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2
Daily Weather Map
Rainfall Trends (in CA): One Element
of Climate Change
Source: Adapted from Jim Goodridge. “One Hundred Years of Rainfall Trends in California.” in “Watershed Management
Council Networker.” Winter 1991.
3
OBSERVED GLOBAL SURFACE AIR TEMPERATURES
Source: Adapted from NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York
4
HISTORICAL AND PROJECTED FUTURE CO2 CONCENTRATIONS
Source: Based on IPCC (1995). Derived from ice-core measurements (Siple and South Pole) and direct observation (Mauna Loa, Hawaii)
6
HUMAN ACTIVITIES CAN INTENSIFY
THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT
Transportation
Transportation
IndustryIndustry
UtilitiesUtilities
7
POSSIBLE CLIMATE RESPONSE
Source: Adapted from a February 1997 briefing by Dan Albritton of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
9
INDICATORS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
1998 was the warmest year ever recorded
1 degree Fahrenheit temperature increase over last century
Melting of glaciers worldwide
Sea level has risen 4-10 inches over past100 years
Source: Adapted from Office of Science and Technology Policy. October 1997. Climate Change State of Knowledge
10
The issue is real. Some human-induced
climate change appears inevitable.
Discernible “first signs” are being seen now.
But exact predictions on rates of change, magnitude of change, and impacts in different regions are hard to make.
Some human-induced climate change would be hard to reverse.
SCIENTIFIC CONSENSUS
11
POTENTIAL CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS
Health
Agriculture
Water Resources and Aquatic Life
Coastal Areas
Forests
Species and Natural Areas
Climate Changes
Sea Level Rise
Temperature
Precipitation
Source: Anne Grambsch (1998)
12
AVERAGE ANNUAL EXCESS WEATHER-RELATED MORTALITY FOR 1993, 2020 AND 2050 CLIMATE
199319932020202020502050
00
5050
100100
150150
200200
250250
300300
Los Los AngelesAngeles
00
200200
300300
400400
500500
600600
St. LouisSt. Louis
New York CityNew York City
005050
100100150150200200250250300300
DallasDallas
120120
160160
200200
00
4040
8080
AtlantaAtlanta
00
250250
500500
750750
10001000
12501250
15001500
Sources: Kalkstein and Green (1997); Chestnut et al. (1995) Note: Includes both summer and winter mortality. Assumes full acclimation to changed climate. Includes population growth.
GFDL Climate Change Scenario.
PhoenixPhoenix00
1010
2020
3030
4040
5050
6060
100100
14
CHANGE IN WHEAT YIELD
Percent Change
-30 -20 -10 0 +30>+30+20+10
Source: Rosenzweig, 1995
+ 2.5oC+ 7% Precipitation530 ppmv CO2
17
LOSS OF HABITAT FOR BROWN TROUT
FROM A DOUBLING OF CO2 - 2050
Not includedin analysis *
1-49% Loss
50-100% Loss
Source: EPA, 1995 * Dual screening criteria used for inclusion: 1) Thermal modeling predicts suitability and 2) Fish presence in 10% or more of State’s water bodies. GFDL Climate Change Scenario
20
ACTIONS THAT STATES AND LOCALITIES CAN TAKE
Inventory your state’s or community’s greenhouse gas emissions.
Develop a plan of cost-effective actions to take.
Retrofit public facilities and improve their operations to save energy.
Purchase fuel-efficient vehicles for state and municipal fleets.
Burn methane from landfills and wastewater treatment plants to generate electricity.
Plant trees.
21
ACTIONS THAT HOMEOWNERS CAN TAKE
Reduce your utility bills by purchasing energy-efficient appliances, fixtures, and other home equipment and products.
Use low-flow faucets in your showers and sinks.
Insulate all water pipes to reduce heat loss.
Purchase “Green Power” for your home’s electricity if available from your utility.
Recycle aluminum cans, glass bottles, plastic, cardboard, and newspapers.
Carpool.
22
ACTIONS THAT BUSINESSES CAN TAKE
Buy energy-efficient computers, copiers, printers, fax machines, and other office equipment.
Convert to energy-efficient lighting fixtures that can help you use 40 percent less energy for lighting.
Purchase reflective roofing materials and insulation.
Recycle. Supplement employee
public transportation.
23
Methane Methane ReductionReduction
and Recoveryand Recovery
IndustrialIndustrialSectorSector
HFC, PFC, and HFC, PFC, and NOx EmissionsNOx Emissions
VoluntaryVoluntaryProgramsPrograms
BuildingsBuildings
ForestryForestrySectorSector
InternationaInternational,l,
State andState andLocal Local
ProgramsPrograms
TransportatiTransportationon
SectorSector
EnergyEnergySectorSector
CLIMATE CHANGE ACTION PLAN (CCAP)
24
FOR MORE INFORMATION EPA’s State and Local Climate Change Program (for information on
mitigation and adaptation actions that states and communities can take) Website: http://www.epa.gov/globalwarming/ and click on “Public Decision Makers” under the “Visitors Center”
EPA/DOE ENERGY STAR® program (for information on buying ENERGY STAR® equipment for municipal offices) Tel: (888) 782-7937 Website: http://www.epa.gov/energystar.html
EPA/DOE Climate Wise (for information on cost-effective industrial energy efficiency and pollution prevention actions) Website: http://www.epa.gov/climatewise/
DOE’s Motor Challenge program (for information on energy-efficient motors) Tel: (800) 862-2086 Website: http://www.motor.doe.gov