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AIAA Delta Forum
AIAA Public Policy
A CRISIS IN AERONAUTICSA CRISIS IN AERONAUTICS
The NASA LandscapeThe NASA Landscape
Aerospace Sciences MeetingAerospace Sciences Meeting
January 8, 2001January 8, 2001
Carol A. Cash, ChairCarol A. Cash, Chair
Aeronautics SubcommitteeAeronautics Subcommittee
AIAA Public Policy CommitteeAIAA Public Policy Committee
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AIAA Delta Forum
AIAA Public Policy
Overview
Our topics today:Our topics today:
Historical R&T TrendsHistorical R&T Trends Competitive ForcesCompetitive Forces Technological and Societal ImpactsTechnological and Societal Impacts Cause for OptimismCause for Optimism What Needs to be DoneWhat Needs to be Done
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AIAA Delta Forum
AIAA Public Policy
Historical R&T trends
NASA’s Aeronautics Budget TrendNASA’s Aeronautics Budget Trend
FY ‘00 budget has declined 37% since 1994FY ‘00 budget has declined 37% since 1994
No FY ‘01 data: “aeronautics” has disappeared as No FY ‘01 data: “aeronautics” has disappeared as a line item a line item
$M in FY ‘98 Constant Year Dollars
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AIAA Delta Forum
AIAA Public Policy
Historical R&T trends
Current situationCurrent situation
OMB feels $600M “right” budget historically forOMB feels $600M “right” budget historically for
NASA aeronauticsNASA aeronautics
DOD aeronautics budgets also decliningDOD aeronautics budgets also declining
Commercial needs now drive the aviation businessCommercial needs now drive the aviation business Perception is that aeronautics is a mature industryPerception is that aeronautics is a mature industry
- not “revolutionary” technology- not “revolutionary” technology
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AIAA Delta Forum
AIAA Public Policy
Historical R&T trends
Validation critical for technology insertionValidation critical for technology insertion
Current budgetCurrent budget
cannot supportcannot support
demo programsdemo programs
Industry cannot Industry cannot depend on NASA depend on NASA technology for technology for critical pathcritical path
GE Aircraft Engines PROPRIETARYInfo rma tion on this pa ge is sub ject to t he re striction s specified on th e cover of th is docum ent.
NASA/GE UDFUnducted Fan
Wide-chord compositefan blade evolved
from GE36
NASA/GE QCSEEQuiet, Clean, Short Cycle, Energy Ef ficient
Noise reductiontechnology, compositenacelle and fan blades
NASA/GE E3
Energy Eff icient EngineScaled core featuring
short, durable 10-stageHPC aerodynamics
NASA/GE ECCPEff icient Clean Combustor Program
Ruggedizeddual-dome combustor
Low noise,weight,
durability
BPR = 9.0weight,
durability
P/P = 23:1 Low NOx
GE90 TechnologyDerived from Successful NASA/GE Programs
GE90 … an Example of Productive NASA / GE Technology Transition and Leadership
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AIAA Delta Forum
AIAA Public Policy
Historical R&T trends
Funding limits Technology Readiness LevelsFunding limits Technology Readiness Levels
NASA has NASA has expertise which expertise which Industry needs, but Industry needs, but TRLs are too lowTRLs are too low
NASA and NASA and Industry must Industry must partner to close the partner to close the technology gaptechnology gap
2 71 3 4 8 9
73 4 85 6 9
.
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AIAA Delta Forum
AIAA Public Policy
Competitive forces
Foreign competition increasingForeign competition increasing
Aeronautics major positive factor in trade balance,Aeronautics major positive factor in trade balance,
but U.S. companies are losing groundbut U.S. companies are losing ground
EC investing heavily in aeronautics researchEC investing heavily in aeronautics research
with two full scale engine demonstrationwith two full scale engine demonstration
programs plannedprograms planned
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AIAA Delta Forum
AIAA Public Policy
Technological and societal impacts
NASA goals on-target but . . .NASA goals on-target but . . .
Funding constraints Funding constraints push out milestonespush out milestonesand change scopeand change scope
Technology Technology roadmaps to achieve roadmaps to achieve objectives remain objectives remain unfundedunfunded
Updated Enterprise Goals & Objectives
Reduce intercity &transcontinentaltravel time
ReduceAccident Rates
IncreaseSystemThroughput
ReduceEmissions
ReduceNoise
RevolutionizeAviation
Mobility
AdvanceSpaceTransportation
ReduceCost
Reduce mission& crew loss
ReduceMissionTime
PioneerTechnologyInnovation
TechnologyInnovation
EngineeringInnovation
Commercialize Technology
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AIAA Delta Forum
AIAA Public Policy
Technological and societal impacts
Aero-space R&D bears fruit if:Aero-space R&D bears fruit if:
There is a strong, There is a strong, stable R&D budget stable R&D budget
National core National core competencies are competencies are protectedprotected
Intellectual capital Intellectual capital is nurturedis nurtured
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American In sti tute of Aeronautics and Astronau ticsCongressional Visit Day 2000
Military Superiority
Protect U.S. & AlliesDeterrence
Transportation
MedicalEnergy
ElectronicsManufacturing
CommunicationsMaterials
Information
Leisure
K-12 Outreach
Inspiration
Math & Science Excellence
University Research
Graduate Students
Small BusinessMinority Owned Business
Trade Balance
Jobs
Technology Spinoffs
U.S. Competitiveness
Systems Engineering
Software
Materials Aerodynamics
Electronics & Avionics
Structural & Mechanical Design
Propulsion
Aerospace R&D Bears Fruit ForThe Nation In Many Areas WhileHolding Key Core TechnicalCompetencies In Place.
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AIAA Delta Forum
AIAA Public Policy
Technological and societal impacts
Future challenges require technologyFuture challenges require technology
Transportation in the 21st Century will be driven byTransportation in the 21st Century will be driven by the desire to travel further, get there faster and the desire to travel further, get there faster and explore new frontiers.explore new frontiers.
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AIAA Delta Forum
AIAA Public Policy
Cause for optimism
Agencies must work togetherAgencies must work together
Declining aeronautics research budgets areDeclining aeronautics research budgets are a threat but also an opportunity for leveragea threat but also an opportunity for leverage
NASA, DOD and DOE identifying program synergiesNASA, DOD and DOE identifying program synergies
Requires executive level commitmentRequires executive level commitment and stable budgetsand stable budgets
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AIAA Delta Forum
AIAA Public Policy
Cause for optimism
Professional organizations mobilizeProfessional organizations mobilize
AIAA PPC Subcommittee on AeronauticsAIAA PPC Subcommittee on Aeronautics
Aeronautics Coalition targeting new AdministrationAeronautics Coalition targeting new Administration
AIA successful in championing PresidentialAIA successful in championing Presidential
Commission on AerospaceCommission on Aerospace
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AIAA Delta Forum
AIAA Public Policy
Cause for optimism
Awakening Aeronautics AwarenessAwakening Aeronautics Awareness
“Aeronautics is an R&T-intensive enterprise…the committee is greatly concerned that ongoing reductions in R&T, which seem to be motivated primarily by the desire to reduce expenditures in the near term, are taking place without an adequate understanding of the long-term consequences…In addition, for the United States to succeed in the globalized world aviation market, the nation requires clearly defined national objectives for aeronautics R&T.”
(Committee on Strategic Assessment of U.S. Aeronautics,
National Research Council)
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AIAA Delta Forum
AIAA Public Policy
Cause for optimism
Congress concerned by declining budgetCongress concerned by declining budget Congress remedied deficiencies for noise andCongress remedied deficiencies for noise and
emissions research in ‘00 budgetemissions research in ‘00 budget
‘ ‘ 01 01 Conference Bill restored and increased vitalConference Bill restored and increased vital
programsprograms
NASA NASA Authorization Bill provided additional fundingAuthorization Bill provided additional funding
authorization and supportive language for aeronauticsauthorization and supportive language for aeronautics
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AIAA Delta Forum
AIAA Public Policy
What needs to be done?
The Federal Government must:The Federal Government must:
Recognize the importance of aeronautics to this Nation Recognize the importance of aeronautics to this Nation
Ensure that RT&D is Ensure that RT&D is balancedbalanced
Foster and encourage partnerships with NASA, DOD, Foster and encourage partnerships with NASA, DOD,
DOE, FAA, Industry,DOE, FAA, Industry, and Academiaand Academia
Provide strong, stable budgets for aeronautics researchProvide strong, stable budgets for aeronautics research
Make appropriate investments in research facilitiesMake appropriate investments in research facilities
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AIAA Delta Forum
AIAA Public Policy
What needs to be done?
AIAA Aeronautics Issues for ‘01:AIAA Aeronautics Issues for ‘01:
Develop and implement a National Aviation ResearchDevelop and implement a National Aviation Research
and Technology Planand Technology Plan
Provide for the design and development of a safe andProvide for the design and development of a safe and
efficient air transportation systemefficient air transportation system
Maintain a skilled workforce through increased fundingMaintain a skilled workforce through increased funding
of innovative academic research of innovative academic research
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AIAA Delta Forum
AIAA Public Policy
What needs to be done?
What can What can YOUYOU do to help? do to help?
Contact your legislators to voice your concerns Contact your legislators to voice your concerns
Educate Congress on the importance of aeronauticsEducate Congress on the importance of aeronautics
Create public awareness of the issuesCreate public awareness of the issues
Join us for Congressional Visits Days 3-21 and 3-22Join us for Congressional Visits Days 3-21 and 3-22
Get involved; become part of the solutionGet involved; become part of the solution