Upload
lytu
View
670
Download
45
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
,
,
,
3
I
2017
,
, ,
3
I
: , . .
: .
.
.
.
.
.
: .
.
2017 1- 11-12
-
I
: , . .
: .
.
.
.
.
.
: .
.
-
11-12 2017
MINISTRY OF NATURE
ENVIRONMENT AND
TOURISM OF MONGOLIA
NATIONAL
UNIVERSITY OF
MONGOLIA
MONGOLIAN
ACADEMY OF
SCIENCES
NATIONAL
UNIVERSITY OF
EDUCATION
NATURAL CONDITION AND TERRITORIAL LOCATION ASPECTS
INFLUENCING IN SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
THE 3nd INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE PROCEEDINGS
VOLUME I
Chief editor: Dr. Prof. G. Nyamdavaa
Editors: cademician D. Amarsaikhan
Dr. B. Batbuyan
Dr. S. Gombobaatar
Dr. P. Battulga
Dr. B. Nyamdavaa
M.Sc. M. Tulga
Prepared by: Dr. P. Battulga
Dr. B. Nyamdavaa
ULAANBAATAR
JANUARY 11-12, 2017
577
20.1
H-987
ISBN: 978-99978-4-283-1
,
, ,
,
. , , .
,
, ,
.
-
, -
. ,
.
, ,
,
.
,
III
- , - .
, !
,
, ,
,
.
,
, , , , ,
, , ,
, ,
- , .
,
,
. , ,
.
, .
, .
,
.
, , ,
.
-
.
,
,
, , .
, ,
, , , , -
, , , , , ,
,
100 .
.
, ,
, ,
.
, , , ,
, .
, , ,
,
.
, ,
III .
,
3- 2017 1- 11-12-
. -
, 2015-2017
- - , -
,
- , , - .
, , ,
, , 100 , .
- , ,
.
, , 27, , ,
20, , , 13,
12, , ,
, 29 , .
,
, , , ,
, .
, ,
,
, ,
.
,
- ,
,
, .
i
, ,
., ., ., ., ., .
, , ....1
., .
. 10
., ., ., CHANG-HEE LEE
: ,
19
.
..... 25
., ., .
( ) .. 37
., ., .
, .. 42
., ., ., .
.... 51
., ., .
, 56
. , .
"- , " .. 66
., ., .
.. 72
.
, .. 77
. , . , ., .
, .. 91
. , .
" " .... 97
.-, ., .
.. 102
.
, , , , , .. 106
., ., ., .
, . 113
., .
.. 122
ii
., .
: , / / ... 129
S. TUMURCHUDUR, M. ZORIGT, B. GANKHUU
FLOW REGIME CHANGES IN THE KHARAA RIVER BASIN . 139
. , . , . -
... 143
, ,
., .-, .
,
. 150
., . . ., .-, . .
, , 159
.
-(ERANNIS JACOBSONI DJAK ) - , . 167
., .
(DENDROLIMUS SUPERANS SIBIRICUS TSCHETV.) , . 173
. , . , . -, . , . , .
(HALOXYLONAMMODENDRON C.A.MEY)BUNGE .. 178
., ., ., .
, ..184
. , .
.188
B.UDVAL, G.TSOGTBAATAR, TS.DASHZEVEG
STUDY FINDINGS OF MONGOLIA CONIFEROUS FOREST, ITS PROTECTION, GENETIC FUND AND SEED SITE SELECTION PROJECT ..197
., ., ., ., .
204
., ., ., .
(LARIX SIBIRICA) ... 211
.
..219
..
.223
..
..231
iii
., ., .
-(ACORUS CALAMUS.L ) , , ,
..237
.
(ONDATRA ZIBETHICUS LINNAEUS, 1766 )- , , , ....242
.
, /SAIGA TATARICA MONGOLICA/ - , , ..253
.-, ., ., ., .
,
...256
.
(SAIGA BOREALIS) , 264
. , . , . , .
269
., .
...276
. , .
30 .282
. , ., .
....295
.
(FALCO CHERRUG)- , ...299
. , . , . , .
, 308
., .
.. 329
, ,
.1, .1, .2, .1, .1,
. 1
1, , , , E-mail:[email protected] 2, -46, ,
Abstract
Hydrological observation record, topographic map, remote sensing data and simulated and bias corrected Regional
climate model data, simulated with WRF and RegCM4 have been used for analysis to reveal current changes in
water and mass balance elements of rivers, lakes and glaciers. River runoff decreases since 1996 till the present and glacier retreat and shrinkage, drying lakes are significantly
intensified in last 2 decades.
ECHAM5 and HADGEM2 GCMs climate prediction results were downscaled with regional climate model
RegCM4 with RCP8.5 GHG emission scenarios for the period of 2020, 2050 and 2080 developed by
P.Gomboluudev, 2015 have been used for water balance model to reveal future climate change impact on water
resources in Mongolia.
Statistically significant changes occur in dates of ice phenomena, ice cover and spring flood, flow regime and water
temperature. Increase in lake area occurred mostly in large lakes, located in permafrost zone and fed by glacier melt
waters. However, total lake area decreased by 1202 sq.km since 1940th till 2015. Due to decrease in areas, number
of extremely small lakes has decreased by 1230 and accordantly number of temporal lakes (shal toirom) has
increased by 565. Totally, 832 lakes dried up in the period. Glacier area has decreased 29.9% in 1940th -2015 period and glacier melt intensified in last decades.
Results based on RegCM4-ECHAM5 show that significant increase in winter precipitation and slight increase in
summer rainfall, air temperature increase in all seasons are projected. Consequently, drastic increase in evaporation
from open surface water will impact on water resources, specially, negatively influence on water balance of lakes
and river basins. Increase in air temperature most likely intensifies glacier melt and area of some selected glaciers
will be decreasing by more than 40% by 2030 in comparisons with current. Current and possible future adaption
measures are discussed for IWRM planning and implementation process.
: , , , , , , , , .
,
, , .
,
, , , ()-
, .
, , , , , , , , , , ,
, , , ,
,
.
, , ,
. , , , , , ,
, . ,
. , , ,
. , ,
.
, , , ,
1
mailto:[email protected]
, , , , ,
. , , .
, , , ,
, , , .
, , , , , ,
1945-2015 , , , ,
,
, , . ECHAM5,
HadGEM2
RegCM4 . RegCM4
RCP8.5 2020 (2016-2035), 2050 (2046-
2065) 2080 (2081-2100) (., 2016)- 1986-2005 .
1. (Rb), (RL), (Ra=RF)
(- )
, ,
oo o , o , ,
.
Oo, , , X, , , , Xa o oxo aa a a, Ee x x, ,
, Xa- x o Xo aa a a,
, , , oo Aa aa Xo,
, , , , , , , ,
a, e, oo, , , ,
, , -, , , , axa, O, -, aa, aa, , , ,
, ,
2
, , , - ,
, , , , , , , A aa a a a .
- 31948, 8406,
1977, 426, 100,
24, , , , , , , , ,
(1:100000 , . ,
2015).
2. , 3/
30.6 3 , 4 3
. 34.6 3
(., ., 1999). 1978 1993 78.4 3
, 2002 16.7 3 2015 22.7 3
11.9 3- (2 ).
, 1:100000 0.1 2- 1391 , 0.1 2-
1.0 2 3399 , , 1.0 2-
5.0 2 287 , 5.0 2- 10.0 2 75 , 10.0 2- 20.0 2
29 , 20.0 2- 50.0 2
, 50.0 2- 100.0 2 ( -), , , , (), , , ,
, - ( ), , 12 , 100.0 2-
500.0 2 , , , ,
, , , Landsat ETM
. 500.0 2-
1000.0 2- , , 1000.0 2- , , -, .
500 3
(., 1996), 1:100000 4296 , 15514.7 2
. LANDSAT ETM 2000 4069 ,
15384.3 2 227 , 130.3 2
0.8 . LANDSAT TM 2006 3825 , 14696.6 2 471 , 818.1 2
5.3 . LANDSAT TM 2010 3699 ,
14393.2 2 597 , 1121.49 2 7.2 . LANDSAT L8 2014 3727 ,
14305.6 2 569 , 1209.05 2
7.8 2015 3464 , 14312.6 2
832 , 1201.9 2 7.8 (3 ).
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
V, 3
V ,
3
, 1996-2015 20
. , , , ,
. ,
, , ,
.
3. ,
, , , 42
600 , . (>90 2), (50-90 2),
(20-50 2), (10-20 2), (5-10 2), (3-5 2), (1-3 2),
(1 2- ) . 2010 94.9 2 , , 69.3 2 , 30.6, 28.0, 26.9
2 , , , 11.9, 11.2, 11.0
2 , (), ,
8.74, 8.03, 7.85, 6.73, 6.16, 5.94 2 , , , , , , 4.96, 4.66, 4.58, 3.80, 3.29, 3.20 2
, , , , ,
, 2.36, 2.43, 2.24, 2.04, 1.81, 1.69, 1.44, 1.37, 1.34, 1.29, 1.21, 1.10 2 , , , , ,
, , (), , , ,
, 0.78, 0.74, 0.61, 0.51, 0.48, 0.35, 0.29, 0.23, 0.14, 0.09 2 , , , ,
, , -, , , .
10 2- ,
, 5-10 2 , 3-5 2 16 , 1-3 2 75 , 1 2- 500 ,
, . , 19.4 3
(. , 2012). , 1:100000 667.77 2,
. LANDSAT 2000-2002 42
451.0 2 .
1940- 535.0 2 . 1:100000 20 .
, 1940- 535 , 1990 470 , 2000
451, 2011 389 2 . 1940- 1990 12.1 , 1990-2000 4.0 , 2000-2011 13.7 , 70 29.9
. 1990 ,
, 10 (. , 2015). ,
, , ,
, .
4
1910
. - 2010 8 ,
, 600 , 70
( , 2013).
2004-2015 2977-2998 41.15-48.65 , 3033-3057 33.85-40.63 , 3116-3123 31.15-36.76 , 3234-3247 27.33-
33.04 , 3339-3366 19.18-27.57 . -
2005-2014 3607 13.56 , 3621 11.18 , 3700 10.88 , 3732 8.59 , 3771 5.93 , 3814
5.70 (5).
4. GRACE
10.8 3 (, 2003).
NASA DLR GRACE (
-Gravity recovery and climate experiment)-
2005-2011 (K.Kobayashi and J.Asanuma, 2013).
1. , ,
, , 3/
2015 2021
, 66.4 70.9 78.6 67.2 72.9 81.8
4.1 4.0 4.0 5.9 6.0 6.0
4.8 5.6 7.6 6.3 8.7 17.2
5.7 5.9 6.8 6.0 6.5 8.5
, ,
, 4.4 5.1 6.6 5.6 7.6 13.5
1.6 1.8 2.3 2.0 2.7 4.7
1.6 2.0 2.4 2.1 3.2 4.5
37.8 44.7 54.3 43.9 63.5 97.3
,
51.9 81.1 102.0 61.1 111.1 186.1
90.2 94.9 109.4 103.1 108.6 117.3
125.0 169.8 203.2 165.5 260.8 360.0
1.2 1.4 1.6 2.7 3.4 4.0
2.5 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.9 3.0
, , 3.2 3.6 4.1 4.1 4.5 5.0
, 3/ 400.6 493.4 585.6 478.2 662.4 908.9 : ,
, ., 2012
5
-
10 , GRACE , , ,
, , (4 ).
, , , -
, c 2005-2011 30
.
, , .
, , .
, , , , , ,
, .
2010 -
326.3 3/ 2021 478.2 3/, 26.8 ,
(1 ).
,
ECHAM5-RegCM4
2016-2035 , 1985-2005
, 128,
71, 52, , 115, 60-174 / .
95, 88, 52, 67, 41 / ,
74, 138, 107, 85, 45, 130, 20-30,
182-313, 299, --
160-295 / . 2046-2065, 2081-2100
, , ,
(5 ).
5. , ,
, . , ,
, - , , ,
,
(6 ).
6
6. , (R-, P-
, E- , )
IPCC-AR4 , (M), (A)-
RegCM3 , , Landsat ETM+ 1992-2011
. ,
1982-2010, 2011-2030, 2046-2065, 2080-2099 -1.68, -1.76, -2.40, -3.63 / . 2011-2030
5 , 2046-2065 43.3 , 2080-2099 116
. 2030- 13.7 2 , (. , 2014).
, ,
, , ,
. ,
, , , (7 ).
,
()- , . , , ,
, , , ,
, ,
.
, 70 , , , ,
30 .
.
7
7.
.
. , , , ,
, , , ,
, , , ,
, . , ,
,
. , - 445 , 30 ,
2015 . ,
. , , , , ,
, ()-
,
, - . , , , ,
..
, . , .
-
. , . ,
, .
, . , . :
.
, . - ,
.
, .
, .
- , ,
.
- , , ,
,
,
-
-
-
-
8
,
.
- . , ,
. 10
. ,
. - ,
. , , , ,
. , .
- , , , , - , ,
, . - , ,
, , ,
, , , , .
- , , , - , .
3 , , , ,
.
[1]. ., . (2003). . (). . . .
[2]. ., . , K. , . , . , . , . , , . -, ., .. (2012). , ,
. -
. . . 22-35.
[3]. ., ., ., ., .. (2017). , , .
[4]. Davaa G., Kh.Purevdagva, G.Oyunkhuu, B.Baatarjav, S.Mendbayar, D.Monkhbat. (2014) Climate change impact on glaciers and river runoff in the Kharkhiraa river basin, Mongolia. :
, , XII . . 51-63. .
[5]. . . (2015). , . . [6]. Kadota Ts., G.Davaa. (2004). Recent glacier variations in Mongolia, a preliminary study. 3rd International
Workshop on Terrestrial Change in Mongolia, Tsukuba, Japan.
[7]. . (2009). . . VIII , . [8]. ., .. . (1999). . . [9]. ., . , . , . . (2010), ,
. . WWF. .
[10]. ., ., ., ., .. (1996). , . . . 111-116 .
[11]. Carruthers, D. (1914a): Unknown Mongolia: a Record of Travel and Exploration in North-West Mongolia and Dzungaria in the Years 1910 and 1911. Vol. I. London: Hutchinson, 318 pp.
[12]. Kenshi Kobayashi, Jun Asanuma. (2013). Terresrrial water storage change in Mongolia, detected by the GRACE Satellites. Proceedings of conference Regional Climate change and desertification. Mandalgobi.
pp.28-29.
[13]. Ulrich Kamp, Kevin G. Mcmanigal, Avirmed Dashtseren and Michael Walther. (2013). Documenting glacial changes between 1910, 1970, 1992 and 2010 in the Turgen mountains, Mongolian Altai, using repeat
photographs, topographic maps, and satellite imagery, Geographical Journal, doi: 10.1111/j.1475-
4959.2012.00486
9
.1, .2
1 , , : [email protected], : 99009730
2- , : [email protected], : 99196343
, .
, 135 2
( 1) , .
,
, , ,
.
( , 2010;
, 1990; , 1985) .
1.
, , ,
,
, - , 39
( 2, 2).
1. .
( , 1995) ,
,
10
, ,
, .
1.1.
,
1:200 000-
, , ,
1:200000-
(- , 2013; - , 2015; - , 2012). :
1.1.1.
- (apQ), (pQ),
(dpQ), (dQ), , - (iQ, IpQ) (vQ)-
. , ,
, .
1.1.2. , , , -
,
- (E-N) ; (K2bg), (K2bs),
(K2ss), (K2ug), (K2bz); (K1ht), (K1sh), (K1mn), (K1mg)-
(J1-2hh), (J3sr)-
.
1.1.3. , ,, , , ,
- (21au), (21dr), - (NP3-cb1tu), -
(NP1-3cu), (NP3cl), ( NP3ur ), (NP3sh) . 1:200 000- PZ-PR
(- , 2013; - , 2015).
, . ,
.
. : -
, , ,
. , (K1), - (J2-3eu), (2bu),
(P1), (P1ar),
(P1th), (C2ch), (C2bc),
(C1-2mr), () (C2do), (C1is), (C1sh), -
(C1ho), (D2bb), - (D1-
2bh), (D1-2eg), (D1nm)- . 1:200 000-
- vMZ , vPZ,
- vPR (- , 2013; - , 2015). ,
, , - .
,
11
(j3e), ,
, , , , , -
(T3-J1h), , , -
(T1h), , ,
(P1b), , ,
(P1t), , ,
(P1h), , - , (C2z), , , ,
, , , (C2m),
, , , , , , , (C2m), ,
, , , ,
(D3c, D3c), ,
, , , , (D3h), , ,
, - (D3c),
, , , , - (S1h) - . 1:200 000-
- MZ , PZ,
- PR (- , 2013; - , 2015).
2.
, , , , , ,
. , ,
, (21);
, , , (1-2mr); , , , , , ,
(C1is); , , , , ,
, , (1dn) ; , , , , - .
(D1-2bh), ; , , ,
, (D1), ,
, . (D1th), , , ,
12
, - (D2-3ug), ,
, , , , , , , (Su),
,
(S4tm), , , , , -
(O1-2ab), , , , - (O2-3t)- .
1:200 000- sPZ
(- , 2013; - , 2015).
3.
2.
( . , 1988; . , 1986;
. ., 1987; - , 2013; - , 2015; - , 2012; . , 2004) . :
,
, - , .
, , , , .
2.1. ,
,
,
(, -,
) . -, , (apQ2), -, -
, , (pQ1-2, pQ1), - ,
(dpQ1, dpQ1-2), , - , (iQ2, ipQ2) , -, ,
(vQ) 5 , (- , 2015; -
, 2012). , -
, , (pQ1-2, pQ1)
, (vQ) (1-5 /) , (
, , , ) (30.0-408.0 / ) , -, , ,
(-2) , 0.5 /-
. ,
( ., 2010; .
. 1990; - , 2012).
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
/
, ,
13
- ,
.
,
, , . ,
.
4.
2.2. , - , .
, ,
,
(- , 2015; - , 2012). , -
(E-N) ; (K2bg), (K2bs),
(K2ss), (K2ug), (K2bz); (K1ht), (K1sh),
(K1mn), (K1 mg)- (J1-2hh), (J3sr)-
. ,
, .
,
, (K2bs) ,
(55.0-870.0 / ) , , , , ,
,-,
( 2) , 1.0 /- . , , ,
.
2.3. , , ,
, .
( - vMZ , vPZ, vPR), ( - MZ ,
PZ, - PR), (sPZ) (kPZ-
PR) - (- , 2015; - ,
2012).
,
020406080
100120140160180200
/
vQapQII-III K2bs, K2ss K2ug E-N K1ht sPZ kPZ PZ
14
. , , ,
, .
,
, ,
.
, .
, , , , (kPZ-PR).
75.0 -
, 6- , 78 -
. , ,
.
0.202 /. (.
., 1990; - , 2012) .
1.
-
,
,
aQ.
pQ
vQ
ipQ
,iQ
dQ
,dp
Q
dp
Q
K2
bs,
K2 s
s
K1 h
t
K1m
n,
K1sh
K2b
g
E-N
P
Z-P
R
sPZ
mP
R
,vP
Z
PZ
,
MZ
, /-
0.5
3
0.2
5
0.2
3
0.1
8
0.5
0
0.4
3
0.2
5
0.2
3
0.1
9
0.4
2
0.3
4
0.2
5
0.1
9
3. , , .
3.1. ,
, ,
- , (pQ) 0.43-0.63 /
, (vQ) 0.23-0.28 / . , --
(dpQ1) - (ipQ2, iQ2) ,
0.18 - 0.23 / (8,9)
( 2, 3). ,
( 2) -
, (pQ2-3) 168.98 / , (vQ) 22.90 / (-2, 4).
3.2. ,
,
, (K2bs, K2ss) 0.50-0.58 / , (K1ht) 0.40- 46/
(K2bg) -
(E-N) 0.17-0.24 / (- , 2015; - , 2012;) ( 2,
15
3). ,
(-12) , (K2bs, K2ss)
194.83 / , (K1 ug) 117.0 /
( 2, 4).
3.3.
,
- ( PZ-PR.) 0.41-0.44 /
0.25-0.44 / , 0.19-0.44 / (vPZ)
(MZ, PZ)- 0.19-0.31 /
(- , 2015; - , 2012;)
( 2, 3). ,
75.0 - ,
6- , 78 -
(-2).
-2. , ,
/
-
*
/
1.
1 2 404.2 25 apQII-III
2 3 40.8 27 apQII-III
3 4 47 27 apQII-III
4 6 7 25 apQII-III
5 7 345.9 25 apQII-III
168.98
6 10 - 22.9 27 vQ
22.9
7 9 - 131.7 25 K2bs
8 19 22 K2bs
9 20 427.6 25 K2bs
10 25 300 20 K2bs
11 28 57.5 27 K2bs
12 29 10 27 K2bs
13 34 1.69 25 K2bs
14 37 43.2 K2bs
15 38 30.5 27 K2bs
16 17 870 40 K2ss
17 26 800 27 K2ss
18 31 - 15.2 25 K2ss
19 32 -1 12.1 25 K2ss
20 33 -2 6.2 25 K2ss
194.83
21 13 117 23 K2ug
117
16
22 12 - 75.2 25 E-N
75.2
23 1 67.5 25 K1ht
24 36 31 25 K1ht
49.2
25 5 2.5 25 sPZ
26 14 - 2 25 sPZ
27 15 - 1.65 25 sPZ
28 16 - 0.3 25 sPZ
29 21 10 27 sPZ
30 23 3.44 25 sPZ
31 24 1.5 25 sPZ
32 27 1.5 25 sPZ
33 35 7 sPZ
3.32
34 8 14.2 kPZ
35 22 12.1 20 kPZ
13.15
36 11 - - 1 PZ
37 18 2.14 25 PZ
38 30 1 20 PZ
39 39 - - 6.9 27 PZ
2.76
* 2
,
. : 1. , -
( pQ ) , . (Q2-3)
-, , ,
, - .
2. , , (K2bs, K2 ss) .
, , , , , , ,
, -,
-K2bs, -K2ss - , -
.
3. () - ( PZ-
PR.) . -
- PZ-PR -,
12.1-14.2 / .
17
0.3-2.14 / , ,
, , , , -
.
[1]. ., ., ., . . , 1:500 000. 1988 . ( ).
[2]. ., ., ., . . - , 1:500 000. 1986 . (
).
[3]. , .. -
, 2010 . (
)
[4]. ., .. , - , , 1990 . 4440 ( ).
[5]. ., .. , , 1985 . 3837 ( ).
[6]. ., .. . 2015 . (- ).
[7]. - . , , , , , , , , , - 1:200000-
, ,
. , 2013 .
[8]. - . -, , , , , , - 1:200 000- ,
. , 2015
[9]. - . , , , , . .
2012 .
[10]. - , Acacia Water, Deltares. -
, , 2012. (
).
[11]. - . - . 1:2000 000- ARC GIS
. , 2013 . (
.
[12]. . . =1:1 000 000. 1995 . [13]. . . =1:1 000 000. 1996 [14]. . I . . , 2011, 547.
..
[15]. .. . 52, 2014
[16]. ., . 1:1000 000 , , 2004 ( ).
18
: ,
.1, .1, .1, CHANG-HEE LEE2
1 , , .
2- , ,
Abstract Surface water and groundwater resources in the Tuul River Basin are a vital resource in the socio-economic
situation and its development in Mongolia. Although the river rasin covers about 3.2 % Mongolians total land,
about 46.27 % of Mongolian population lives in the river basin and most of them, around 46 % live in Ulaanbaatar, the capital city of Mongolia. Ulaanbaatar is the highest water usage in the country, and water
supplies in the city completely dependent on an alluvial floodplain groundwater (pumping wells) of the Tuul
River. The river floodplain groundwater and river flow is hydraulically linked and the groundwater storage is
replenished by the river water. However, the river flow has been declined and run dry during low flow period
(early spring for 2-31 days) occasionally since 1997. We havent able to carry out sustainable water resources
management to protect freshwater biodiversity and sustain river flow for ecosystems in the Tuul River. Therefore,
in this region need to be improved water management more urgently to involve the impacts prediction during low
flow period (i.e., spring and autumn). This research aims to understand impact of climate change and groundwater
abstraction on the flow of the Tuul River and provide some baseline data for sustainable water resources
managements of Ulaanbaatar.
: , , , ,
, . 1906-2005
0.74 -, 50 [1].
[2,3,4].
.
.
, , .
,
, [1]. , 2011 551 , 483 , 1587
[5]. -
,
. 1997 2-31
[6].
, .
( ,
) SWAT, MODFLOW,
19
.
,
t ( , , , SDI ) . p
0.05- . Pearson-
, r- , , .
, Streamflow Drought Index (SDI) . SDI 0.0 (
), SDI 0.0 ( )
. [7].
. 1945-2012 ,
,
. SWAT (A=6390 2)
1988-2010 ,
(-1). ( /, , ) ( , , ,
, ) .
300 300 ClobCover, 30 30 GDEM . ,
ArcGIS ( )
[8]. , -,
. National Weather Services NCEP Global Forecast Systems-
(-1).
MODFLOW (A=156 2) 1997-2012 , , ,
. ,
, . , ,
, 3,4 (-2).
Google earth-
. , -- ,
, , .
20
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/P-value
1. SWAT . , ,
[9].
,
,
1945-2012
. SDI , (-3).
[11,12] (PDO)
El Nio-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) .
2. MODFLOW . , ,
[10].
21
(90-95%)
( > 0.0 )
, . 1945-1995 /
8.8 . 1997
1.0 , -3- 1.7
(-3).
. 1945-1995
160.0 /. -1 2- 18 %, 20 %- , -1 2- 49 %, 51 % - .
-3- 60 %- . SWAT 1988-2010 ( -2-
1988-1995, -3- 1996-2010) , ,
( 1). -3- -2- 42 %, 19 %, 56 %- .
83 %- .
94 %- . 93 % -,
. 2008-2012
[13] .
3. () ,
, SDI [9].
1. SWAT , , [9]. (: /)
* , ()
22
(4- )
. 3-5 0.17-280 3/ (18-20 %) . 6-8
220-240 3/ (16-18 %)-, 9-12 0.17-
220 3/ (11-28 %)- .
2011 21 %- 2012 11.5 %-
.
(2004, 2009) , , .
[6]- .
,
.
, .
, , , ,
. (r=0.57)-
. ; 2012
. 3- 27- 4- 27 31 . 2003
2012 .
24 . 2008
.
.
,
i. ,
ii. . ,
iii. ,
,
iv. [16] [14,15].
88.7 (1997-2012 )
. ,
, ,
v. 2012 200 / [16]. ,
, ,
23
vi. , ,
,
[1]. Bates, B.C., Kundzewicz, Z.W., Wu, S., and Palutikof, J.P. (2008) Climate Change and Water, Technical Paper of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, IPCC Secretariat, Geneva, 210 pp.
[2]. GCCI US. (2009) Global Climate Change Impacts in the United States. Thomas R. Karl, Jerry M. Melillo, and Thomas C. Peterson,(eds.). Cambridge University Press.
[3]. Warren, A.J., and Holman I.P. (2012). Evaluating the effects of climate change on the water resources for the city of Birmingham, UK. Water and Environment Journal, 26, 361-370.
[4]. Yang, Z.F., Yan, Y., and Liu, Q. (2012) The relationship of streamflow-precipitation-temperature in the Yellow River Basin of China during 1961-2000. Procedia Environmental Science, 13, 2336-2345.
[5]. MARCC. (2014) Mongolia second assessment report on climate change. Davaadorj, Batjargal and Natsagdorj (ed.), Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia, pp. 37-84.
[6]. Janchivdorj, L., Odontsetseg, D., Udvaltsetseg, G., Mendsaikhan, B., Erdenebat, M., Enkhtuya, Ma., Unurjargal, D., Senjim, B., Enkhtuya, Mi., Erdenechimeg, B., Bayarmaa, P., Badarch, Kh.,
Oyunerdene, B., Gereltod, B., Tsengelmaa, B., Odsuren, B., Chinzorig, S., and Onon, O. (2011) : , . ISBN: 978-99962-1-118-8
[7]. Nalbantis, I. (2008) Evaluation of a hydrological drought index. European Water 23/24, 67-77. [8]. Atlas of the Tuul, Orkhon River Basin Integrated water Management. Report (atlas) for the
Ministry of Environment and Green Development, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia.(2012) [9]. Chinzorig, S., Raja, U.S., Janchivdorj, L., Seung-Hoon, Y., and Chang-Hee., Lee. Climate change
impact on the Tuul River flow in a semi-arid region in Mongolia Water Environment Research.
2016 [10]. Chinzorig, S., Janchivdorj, L., and Chang-Hee., Lee. Impact of groundwater abstraction on the
early spring Tuul River flow depletion in Mongolia. 2016 (in preparation).
[11]. Bao, G., Liu, Y., and Liu, N. (2012) A tree-ring-based reconstruction of the Yimin River annual runoff in the Hulun Buir region, Inner Mongolia, for the past 135 years. J. Geography, 57(36), 4765-4775.
[12]. Davi, N.K., Jacoby, G.C., Curtis, A.E., and Baatarbileg, N. (2006) Extemsion of Drought records for Central Asia using tree ring: West-Central Mongolia. Journal of Climate, 19, 288-299.
[13]. Davaa, G., Oyunbaatar, D., Badarch, Kh., and Otgonbat, G. (2014) . Research publication, Institute of
hydrometeorology and information, 51-58. [14]. Jadambaa, N., Batjargal, D., Linden, W., Chagnaa, N., Borchuluun, U., and Batsukh N. 2012.
Groundwater resources. In: Tuul River Basin IWRM assessment report (ed. by J. Bron and A.
Linden), Ch. 3, pp 133-174.
[15]. Tsujimura, M., Ikeda, K., Tanaka, T., Janchivdorj, L., Erdenechimeg, B., Unurjargal, D., and Jayakumar, R. 2013. Groundwater and surface water interaction in an alluvial plain, Tuul River
Basin, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia. Sciences in Cold and Arid Regions, 5(1), 126-132.
[16]. Dolgorsuren G., Chagnaa N., Gerelchuluun J., Puntsagsuren Ch., Linden W., Bakey A., Dalai J., Borchuluun U., Davaa G., Oyunbaatar D., Jadambaa N., Demeusy J., Baldangombo I.,
Tumurchudur S., Khishigsuren P., Batjargal D., Tsogzolmaa Kh., Davaanyam T. and Odsuren B.
2012b. Tuul River Basin IWRM. Report for the Ministry of Environment and Green Development.
Ulaanbaatar.
24
.
(Ph.D), - , : 70534081, 94092604, [email protected]
2014-2016 3-
11- 4 .
, , , , ,
, , , , , ,
, , ,
. 15000 , 6
. - ,
., - ,
., ., ., .,
., ., .,
., ., .-
.
, :
,
, , , ,
,
, , ,
.
. :
1. ,
2. , , , 3. ,
,
4. ,
,
, .., .. (1976)
-
, , 3 .
440050 ,
... 1500 -
.
440020 ,
1000015 .
... 1200 ,
430020-430025 (, 1977).
,
, , ,
25
mailto:[email protected]
.
, , , ,
. ,
.. (1881), .. (1883), .. (1899), .. (1899),
.. (1901), .. (1909), .. (1924), .. (1927), .,
.. (1930), .. (1932) ,
, , , ,
.
.., .. (1937, 1938, 1939) , ,
, , , , , ,
, .
1940 ( ) - ,
. .. (1943) ,
, , , , -, , ,
, . (1949) , .. (1950)
, , , , , ,
, , .., .. (1951)
, , , ..,
.. (1952) , .. (1952, 1954)
, , ,
.
1.
.. (1956)
,
.., .. (1963) , , , , ,
-, .
., .. (1975) ,
, ,
,
.
, ,
. - ,
.
, ,
,
, .
26
, ,
1.100000- google earth, ,
. ,
. GPS
, - WGS 84- ,
.
,
, pH .
3/-, , / ,
, ,
.
, .
, ,
. , ,
, . CTD
Diver , , ,
(EC), PH, , (TDS)
.
, , (),
() ,
. , , ,
, .
.
, .
, , ,
GPS- , , .
.
. - //-
//
, ( , )- .
- //-
. 1.1-1.3
, 0.8-1.0 - , 0.6-0.8 - , 0.3-0.5 - , 0.3-
.
50
,
. ,
, .
.
, ,
.. (1952), . (1956)
- - , .
27
.
- ,
. --
, , , -
, , ,
, , , , , .
, , .
, , (,
1956; , 1978).
, ,
.
, , , ,
. 3-5-
, 3-5 / 14-40 /
.
15 /- 10-30 (,
1995). 9-10- ,
. 3- 20-
, 10- 20 . 12-3-
-7-18 , -17-24 , -7-17 ,
-30-33 .
25-28 ( +37 +40 ), +33 +36 ( +67 +70 )
( , 1986; , 1988). 50
0.3-0.7 , 1.3
(, , 1995) .
20-50 , 100
80
, 5-10 .
(,
, 1986). 2014-2016
.
2. 2014-2016
- (.., ., 1984)
- , - -
.
- . - -
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
/2014/
/2015/
/2016/
28
3000 , .
, ,
. 2-3 %
. ,
.
: , . ,
5-10
, 50-90
. ,
.
, . , , ,
() (Q) .
--Q - 1-1 - .
, - ,
. 0.2-0.5% ,
0.05-0.1% .
.
.
-
3-5%,
.
(22-27% ), (1.0-1.5% )
, - .
, .
.
: 50
,
1 2 10-
15 1-3 .
. -Qsa-Bt(sa)-(sa)-(sa) .
, (sa) .
2 .
(0.1-0.3%) .
, ,
.
, :
.
2 . ( ) , ,
.
.
( ) , ,
, ()
(Q) .
, -
.
29
, : , -,
, , .. , ,
.
. 1937.7 2
- - , 3730.8
2 -- .
,
, .
, ,
.
.
.
.
. ,
,
.
. Salsola arbuscula Zygorhyllum
xanthohylon .
.
.
.
,
. ,
/Calligonum mongolicum / /,Salsola arbuscula / ,
,/Zygophyllum xanthoxylon / , /Erodium tibetarum/
.
, ,
. /Nanophyton erinaceum / .
.
, , .
.
, . /Populus diversifolia/
. , , ,
, , , ,
, , ,
, .
.. (1954)
, ,
.
: 2 , 6 16
. 60
(, , 1990; , , 1991).
, ,
.
: .. (1962) 90 , 1983 143 , ..,
. (1983) 114 , .., .. (1985) 108 , . (1995) 15
159 .
30
.
1. 2016 ,
,
: .. (1954) 6 , . (1962) 35
, .., .. (1980) ,
22 , .., .., .. (1986) ,
4 . .. (1954)
2 , .,
. (1968), . (1969), ., . (1970)
, ., ., . (1972) 5 ,
., . (1991) 7 32
. , ,
,
, , ,
.
: , , , ,
, , ,
(Camelus ferus Przewaliskii, 1883) , .
,
/ / ,
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
1
1 1 1 0 50 2 216 1 2 272
2 2 0 0 104 0 464 2 2 572
3 3 - 0 8 66 3 275 0 2 354
4 4 11 2 118 1 283 0 0 415
5 5 0 3 47 1 378 2 2 433
5
12 13 385 7 1616 5 8 2046
2 -
6 1 6 7 68 0 108 0 3 192
7 2 8 13 86 0 45 1 0 153
8 3 0 0 23 0 19 0 0 42
9 4 23 2 67 1 118 5 0 216
10 5 1 5 107 0 132 19 0 264
11 6 7 15 86 0 177 0 2 280
- 6 45 42 437 1
599 25 5 1154
3
12 1 1 4 103 0 360 3 4 475
13 2 2 1 114 3 724 7 11 862
14 3 0 0 34 1 336 0 8 379
15 4 0 4 37 3 621 3 2 670
16 5 1 9 68 1 458 1 3 441
17 6 0 2 31 0 364 0 3 400
6
4 20 387 8 2863 14 31 3327
4 18 1
-
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
19 2 1 0 35 3 71 0 0 113
2
1 0 35 3 71 0 0 110
62 75 1244 19 5149 44 44 6637
31
. 300-340 (, , 1994)
,
.
.
(Ursus
gobiensis Sokolov et orlov, 1992) , , ,
, , , - 30
. , ,
. . (1995)
11-12
.
(Eguus hemionus hemionus pallas, 1775)
3-4 25-28 .
,
.
. , 2
. ,
10000- .
(Gasella subgutturosa, Guldenstaedt, 1780) ,
, . 5-6
15-45 (, 1962). . (1995)
2000-2500
,
.
, ,
(Canus lupus Linnaeus, 1758) .
,
. (1995) 200-250 .
.
: 24 886
, .
(, 1981). 10
70 (, , 1986), 7 8
(, 1995) .
2014-2016 3- 11-
4 ,
2016 5149 , 1244 ,
19 , 62 , 75 , 44
, Arc Gis 10.2
.
, , , ,
,
, ,
,
, .
, , .- ,
.
, ,
, . ,
, .
32
,
.
3. , ,
.
,
, , -
.
.
75 45% 34
. ,
, , 29894-75168 3 /
.
98,491.51 3/, 164,282.02
3/, 262,773.53 3/ .
2. -
1967-2013
,
(A, B, C)
(3/)
1 1 - 1,185.00
2 - 1 - 130.00
3 1 - 129.60
4 1 -,
2,108.20
5 - 1 -,
26,733.00
6 - // 1 -,
2,016.40
7
1
-,
7,732.00
8 ++ -,
29,894.00
9 -,
11,837.00
10
1
-,
2,419.00
11 1 - 259.00
33
12
1+2
-,
259.20
13 1+2 - 205.60
14 +1 -,
3,110.40
15 - 5,432.00
93,450.40
.
, 4
, / / 19 ,
57 , 20 .
.
,
, , ,
.
67751 , 45836 , 17174 ,
395590 , 1707787 .
4.
100
. -156
,
76%- , . -
/ /, ,
3
.
. -
.
70 200 .
57%20%
4% 19 %
34
-
,
, -
.
5.
- 114
27 . online
4 , offline 23 .
- 6
4 .
, , ,
-
.
- 27
1 4
. 2016 2 , 7 , 11- ,
.
FTP
2.5 G quad SIM GSM/GPRS (, )-
. ,
Bluetooth
.
, ,
. :
1. , , -, -
, ,
.
2. ,
.
3. 1244 50 . , , , , , , ,
, - ,
, , , ,
, .
35
4. , , - ,
.
5. , , , ,
.
6. - III, IV 1.7-
2.6 , 1.6 ,
1.2
,
1.2 , 1.3-3.7 ,
,
.
7. , , ,
8.
[1]. ., . , 2015, 227 . [2]. ., ., ., , . , 2001, 61 . [3]. .. .. , .. // .
. . . 1945. 3, .127-144.//.
[4]. . , . ., 1988. . 144 [5]. .., .. / .
., , 1986. . 27-29.
[6]. .. . ., - .., 1990. 354 .
[7]. . // . ., 1994. . 102-109.
[8]. ., . // , , . ., 1995. . 34-36.
[9]. .. . ., . 1963. 433 . [10]. .. .. (
) , , , ..1960 .125-136
[11]. .. ., 1952. 472. [12]. .. . -
. .1984 .63-68
[13]. .. .. .. .1984.12. 95-101.
[14]. . , .. // , , , 1980 2 5-12
[15]. . - , 1956.-166 [16]. . 1987 -87 [17]. . 1969 -405 147 151 [18]. .., , . , 2015, 8-70 . [19]. .., . , 2005, 85 [20]. . , //
, ..1995 116-121
[21]. . . . // . 1996 3 .63-71
[22]. . .........., 1989.-19
[23]. . , // ...-..1946. 2, 3 -38
36
(
)
.1, .2, .3
1 , -: [email protected], : 99106743 2 , , -: [email protected], : 99182109
3 , -: [email protected], : 88115512
Abstract
Mining industry is one of the key sectors of Mongolian economy. In the south gobi region the mining industry is
rapidly developing due to ongoing and planned mining plants near the Tavan tolgoi coal, Nariin Sukhait coal, Ouy
tolgoi copper-gold, Shivee ovoo coal, Choyr, Nyalga coal, Zuunbayan, Tsagaan els crude oil and Tsagaan suvarga
copper-molybdenum mineral deposits.
This article displays the actual water use data of the mining companies are operating in Gobisumber, Dornogobi,
Dundgobi and Omnogobi provinces in the south gobi region were classified by aimag, river basin, activities and
also the water savings good practice on the case of Uhaa hudag coal wash plant in Tsogtsetsii soum of Omnogobi
province.
As mining, quarrying, processing is growing in the south gobi region there is a trend the water supply and demand
will increase.
: , , ,
, ,
. 300
50 000 . , ,
, , , , , , , , , , ,
10 11 600 .
2015 29 391 694 3 2016 31 348 703 3
.
. ,
.
1. -, , ,
37
mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]
, , ,
2015, 2016
, ,
1.1. ( : , 2015 )
, 2
,
(12-
)
5 500 223 3 16 500 3.0 0.72
109 500 450 14 65 300 0.6 0.68
74 700 275 15 44 400 0.6 0.67
165 400 575 15 61 700 0.4 0.68
// 355 100 - 47 187
900
- 0.69
1.2. ( : , 2013 )
-
//
--
//
, 2
3 900 - - - 1 600
40 900 68 200 - - 400
69 300 77 5 300 - -
6 300 54 700 21 600 82 800 -
120 400 122 977 26900 82800 2 000
4 22.7% 2015 6.1% .
71% -
, 29% , 62.3% -- , 92.7% - ,
50% , 33.0% -- ,
13% . 118 .[9]
2. - , , -- ,
, - ,
38
, , ,
, , , , , ()- -
2015-2016 .
2016
2015 1,07 .
1.3. -
, ( : 2015-2016 )
2015 2016
-
,
3/
-
,
3/
1 4 445 484 1 3 508 618
3 237 770 2 207 965
1 45 570 1 263 278
11 24 662 870 13 27 368 842
16 29 391 694 17 31 348 703
1.4. -
, ( : 2015-2016 )
2015 2016
-
,
3/
-
,
3/
-
4 4 559 204 3 3 816 901
-- 6 23 529 358 7 26 505 604
6 1 303 132 7 1 026 198
16 29 391 694 17 31 348 703
1.5. - , ( : 2015-2016
)
2015 2016
-
,
3/
-
,
3/
1 10 8 160 117 11 7 349 907
1 1 695 365 1 1 803 040
, , 2 1 19 252 872 1 21 623 504
, 1 45 570 1 45 005
2 68 150 - -
1 169 620 1 162 960
- - 1 101 009
, - - 1 263 278
16 29 391 694 17 31 348 703
: 1 , 2
-
, , , ,
. ,
, ,
.
39
2015 16 50%, 2016
17 53% .
1.6. ( : 2015-2016 )
,
, .
1.7. , . ( :
)
2015.12.31- 2016.10.31-
528 240,8 732 971,5
155 474,1 69 240,5
34 063,3 11 288,9
13 666 107,9 11 732 058,6
14 383 886,4 12 545 560,5
, 2013
, , ,
, .
- .
1.8. ( : - )
()
:
: 2013
: :
: 5
-
-
2015 16 8
2016 17 9
2013 2014 2015 2016.11.30-
, 7 012 660 2 427 500 1 355 200 1 550 844
- , 3/ 2 888 947 1 230 521 626 178 837 580
- 2 249 913 780 566 435 233 498 045
- - 210 529 169 630 203 871 245 340
- 324 594 182 115 96 660 -
- 103 911 98 210 94 285 94 195
, 3/ 958 550 489 012 118 685 115 025
- - 2 051 348 963 118 685 115 025
- 956 499 140 049 - -
40
: CPF-3000
2013-2016 5 583 226 3
1 681 272 3,
3 901 954 3 30% .
, , ,
,
. :
;
;
;
, .
[1]. 2010 48 , [2]. [3]. 2016 19 ,
-2030
[4]. 2016 35 ,
[5]. 2016 45 , [6]. 2016-2020 [7]. 2010 24 , [8]. 2014 43 , [9]. 2007 27 , [10]. [11]. 2009 320 ,
[12]. 2015, [13]. , 2013 , 76 [14]. Mongolian mining journal, 2016 , 3, 71 [15]. , 2015-2016 [16]. -
41
,
.1, .1, .1
1 - -
-: [email protected], : 99896809
Abstract
Between 2013-2015, We have implemented fundamental research study on theme Evaluation of groundwater
resources in some bigger depression of South Gobi region of Mongolia and selected the research study area in
Dornogobi province on Sain us, Bor huuvur and Dolood depression. In this paper presented the result of isotope
study on determination of groundwater recharge on those depressions.
Sain us, Bor huuvur and Dolood depressions located in territory of Altanshiree and Urgun soum of Dornogobi
provinces and that depressions are included in arid Gobi desert region of Mongolia. The multi year average of the
precipitation of those depression was 92.2 mm, multi year average of the air temperature was 4.40 and air
temperature reach to +400C in in overheating period, the average relative value of moisture in winter 65%, in
spring 39%, in summer 46% in autumn 50% in last 16 years. We have been determined the groundwater age and
groundwater recharge by using isotopes 18O,2H, 3H, 14C methods which have analyzed in the isotope laboratory of
Nuclear Energy Institute of Pakistan and Beijing Nuclear laboratory of Geology and Geophysical Institute of
China, on 240 piece of samples in 2013-2014. The groundwater recharge was 2.6-40.9mm/a year.
: groundwater age, groundwater recharge, isotope study, stable isotope, radioactive isotope
1980
2, 7, 27
. 2-5 TU
3
[6].
1988
.
- MON8/002,MON8/004, MON8/006 [4]
IAEA/RAS7022
,
,
.
18 2H
:
18O, 2H
. Craig [1].
2 H = 8 18 O + 10 %o SMOW (Craig, 1961) (1)
:
.
< 1 TU Sub modern-1950
1 4 TU Sub modern
42
mailto:[email protected]
5 15 TU ( < 2-10 )
15-30 TU ( 1960-1970
)
30-50 TU 1960-1970 >50 TU 1960
2- :
at 3H = a0 3H e - t t- t = -17.93ln at 3H/ a0 3H (2) a0 3H =10 TU
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
TU 10 5.7 3.3 1.9 1.1 0.6 0.4
14C :
Libby Anderson
T=/ln2*lnA0/A (3)
14C [2].
:
(4)
RAS 7022
, , u .
, 18O, 2H, 3H, 14C 2013 18
100
, 2014 32 140 -
,
, 18O, 2H, 3H, 14C
.
1. , ,
43
2. , 3. ,
4. , 5. ,
1. (2013-2014)
/ / pH
(, , ) () S/cm 0C
1 GW-1 110007l24.1ll 45005l29.1ll 927 1034 7,97 7,9
2 GW-2 , 110010l23.4ll 45013l 58.6ll 837 1568 8,03 7,9
3 GW-3 -2 110012l 47ll 45014l53.1ll 838 1575 8,36 7,8
4 GW-4 110014l34ll 45021l46.6ll 833 1718 7,41 7,5
5 GW-5 -3 110021I24.0ll 45013l36.6ll 842 1413 8,36 8,1
6 GW-6 1100 22l54.9ll 45017l 45.1ll 839 1953 8,92 8,9
7 GW-7 110039l 07.0ll 45020l13,0ll 869 462 9,6 9,6
8 GW-8 , 110044l3.4ll 45016l17.6ll 831 2055 9,27 8,8
9 GW-9 110027l 9.2ll 450 07l 18.8ll 982 889 8,98 8,4
10 GW-10 1100 02l 40ll 45011l 14.2ll 909 1523 8,58 8,1
11 GW-11 1100 04l30.2ll 45015l 35.3ll 909 1320 8,23 8,2
12 GW-12 1100 08l 57.5ll 45020l 50.1ll 875 1432 7,73 7,7
13 GW-13 110019l 21.0ll 45018l 59.3ll 846 1901 7,71 7,7
14 GW-14 -3 1100 22l 28.7ll 45019l 42.1ll 854 3283 8,2 8,2
15 GW-15 110026l13.1ll 450 24l 38.0ll 911 1871 8,61 8,6
16 GW-16 110030l39.5ll 45031l 51.5ll 971 1441 8,23 8,2
17 GW-17 , 1100 36l 22.4ll 45016l 01.6ll 895 2240 8,24 7,6
18 GW-32 , 110010l04.8ll 45013I 24.0ll 832 1707 8,0
19 GW-26 , 1100 56l 25.5ll 45012l 24.0ll 845 3989 7,2
20 GW-27 , 1110 07l 21.3ll 45003l 43.0ll 943 956 7,4
21 GW-28 , 111004l 15.8ll 45003l 08.6ll 985 1990 7,4
22 GW-29 , 1110 02l 17.7ll 45001l 41.0ll 992 3051 7,5
23 GW-30 , 1110 04l 30.8ll 45006l 13.0ll 986 7,6
24 GW-31 , 1100 56l 32.4ll 45011l 24.0ll 837 630
44
18O 2H
[5].
.
18O GWB-4
-16.33 GWD-13 -7.92 .
18O -11.36 -11.96,
-10.97 -12.35, -7.92
-13.15, ( 6).
2H
GWB-1 -116.5, GWD-13 -66.63 .
2H -95.26,
-92.32, -87.76 ( 6).
(GMWL) (LMWL) .
[1].
6. , 18 2
,
. ,
. 18O 2H
.
18O 2H
18O 2H
( 6). -
, , -
45
[7].
,
[2], ( 1). 18
. +400
46%
( 10).
: 3H
GW-17 (2013) 25.11 TU, GW-5
0.37TU . 3H
1.93TU, 10.3TU (-7).
0.37 5.3 TU
2.16 TU . 2 14.5-25.11 TU
27.64TU ( 7)
.
7. , ,
, 2013-2014
.
HIH3O
. , half life
.
1950
2010
[3].
. 14C GW-1
15217.8 , GW-2
17160.4 , GW-4 11063.0 , GW-8
46
25899.6
.
.
, 2000-2015 16
()
, ,
. ()
79.1 () 106.6 2 ()
92.9 ( 8,9).
8,9. , , , ,
(2000-2015)
() 40, ()
4.80 ,
4.40 ( 10).
10. , , , ,
(2000-2015)
47
() 65%, 39%,
46%, 50% .
11. , ,
, (2000-2015)
2. , , , ,
, (2000-2015)
I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
,
0.6 0.8 0.8 2.9 6.2 18.1 25.7 11.6 7.8 2.7 0.9 1.0 79.1 6.6
1.2 0.4 1.3 4.8 14.0 22.4 22.1 19.8 11.6 6.5 1.6 0.9 106.6 8.9
0.9 0.6 1.0 3.8 10.1 20.3 23.9 15.7 9.7 4.6 1.7 0.9 92.2 7.5
, t0C
-19.5 -14.9 -4.0 6.8 15.4 22.3 25.0 22.6 15.0 4.7 -7.9 -17.7 47.8 4.0
-17.5 -12.8 -3.1 7.5 15.4 21.8 24.6 22.4 15.1 5.8 -5.8 -15.3 58.1 4.8
-18.5 -13.8 -3.6 7.2 15.4 22.1 24.8 22.5 15.1 5.3 -6.9 -16.5 53.1 4.4
( 12,13).
48
12. , ,
,2013-2014
13. ,
, 2013-2014
11063-28309 ,
50-104, 30-37%, 0.8-2.1 /
11,7-35 , 96.2-37.1 /, 5-20 ,
5-34% . 40.9
/ 79.1, 7 8-
25.7-11.6 , 7- +400
.
2,6 / .
25900 , 0,7 / 45 ,
49
4.4 / 79.1, 7
8- 25.7-11.6 , 7- +400
.
,
, , 14C
11000-28000 . 1988-
1989
35000-50000
.
, 11063-28309
0,7-47.1
/ .
18O 2H
. ,
, , -
.
- , 18O 2H
.
.
,
1. Aggarwal, P. K., Gat, J., Froehlich, K.F.O. (2005). Isotopes in the water cycle, IAEA 2. , . (2005). , 3. Isotopes in the Water Cycle past, present, future of Developing Science, IAEA, 2005 4. Dr.Janchivdorj, B., Erdenechimeg. (2011). Water supply of South Gobi region of Mongolia: The
trend of Water Resources and Mining development and assessment of groundwater resources
Institute of Geo-ecology, MAS,UB.
5. Ian Clark & Ramon Aravena. (2005). Environmental Isotopes in Ground Water Resource and Contaminant Hydrogeology NGWA Course #394 January 25-26, San Diego, California
6. , . (2014). WB/MOF/MINIS/CS/1.1.7(d/e). (
).
7. Tungalagus company. (2014). The report of detailed survey work of groundwater resources for Sainshand area and research study of hydrogeology
50
.1 , .2, .2, .2
1 , : [email protected], :11-300492
2 , : [email protected], : 11-458586
Abstract
Climate change is already in fact in Mongolia. Natural disasters such as drought, heavy snowfall, flood,
snowstorms, windstorms, extreme cold and hot temperatures, and earthquakes are recurrent the whole year round.
Water resources and its regime are under treat of climate change Mongolia already experiences considerable water
stress as a result of insufficient and unreliable rainfall, changing rainfall patterns or flooding. The impacts of
climate change-including predicted increases in extremes-are likely to this stress, leading to additional pressure on
water availability, accessibility, supply and demand.
In order to see the impact of climate change on water quality, we analyzed statistically air temperature and
precipitation in comparison with water bacteriological and chemical parameters. By correlation analysis, air
temperature has weak correlation with mineralization, sulfate, ammonia, nitrate and total coliforms, out of all water
parameters. It was observed slight tendency in increase of these water parameters with the increase in air
temperature. However, there was not observed relationship between air temperature and other water parameters.
: ,
, , ,
, , , ,
.
25.0%-
.
(- 2008).
100 0,60C
15- .
,
1970
.
1940-2007
2.10-, 1.9-2.30 ,
1.6-1.70 .
3.60- , 1.8-1.9 .
1.10- (, .).
70
, , , ,
30
. , . , ,
, v 45-55.2
4-5 v v 10
.
2020 39-66 , 2050 50-72 , 2080 106-193 ,
50 2040
, 100 2050-2060 .
, 99
, 47 , 27 .
51
, 1960-
1992 338 ( , )-
6060 , ,
, , , , 8 .
21.9% , 10.4% , 37.5%
, 3.7% , 11.2% , 2.7%
(., 1998).
, ,
, 2012 87 , 63
. ,
,
3.4%- , 16%- , 9.2%- , 2.3%- 2
.
36.8% , 9.2% , 14.9% ,
11.5% , 2.3% , 14.9% , 16%
, 9.2%
. 25.3%-
.
2013 300
/, , , , / 126 211 ,
31 ,
9.2%, 24%
.
, ,
.
2016 5585
263 , 2214 346 , 11420 774 .
,
2000 . ,
,
.
1. (/),
-
1970-2008
, ,
.
6 1972-2005 .
, ,
52
, 9, /
, , , , , , , , /
3 / , E.Coli, /- 2006-
2010 .
. (MNS:900-2005) . , ,
.
-
( 1).
,
.
, .
, , ,
1970- 1980-1990 2000
( 2).
2. , (/), (), (/), ()
,
1980- , 1988-1995 2000
( 3).
3. , 1979-2008
, , ,
1.1-8.0 .
, ,
1.2-2.2 .
53
, ,
-, , ,
, , , -,
, , , ,
. -,
, , , , , ,
,
( 4-7).
4,5. , 2006-2010
6,7. , 2006-2010
,
. ,
, ,
. , ,
.
, ,
.
. , ,
, .
,
54
. , , ,
2013 1960-1992 1.5 .
,
.
1. , . , ,
.
,
, , , . 2. , ,
,
.
3. , , ,
, , .
[1]. ., ( 2008) , , , , -20
[2]. Mongolia: (2010) Assessment Report on Climate Change 2009, (MARCC 2009). Ministry of Nature, Environment and Tourism,
[3]. . (2002) [4]. . (2005) , [5]. ., (2009) - [6]. ., (2012) , ,
[7]. .., (2015) / /
55
,
.1, .2 , .3
1 . , : [email protected], : 99111529 2 . . , : [email protected], : 99035448
3 . . , : [email protected], : 99907458
Abstract
Most countries around the world are utilizing surface water for most percentage of their water supply. More
developed the country is the higher utilization of surface water. This is an indication of developed countries taking
policies to use faster renewable water resources to protect environment. It is also due to higher initial investment
cost for utilizing surface water compared to extracting from ground water resources. Especially for countries that
have similar conditions like Mongolia which has extreme weather and located on high elevated and cold region,
investment cost is high. These are the conditions that are causing low utilization of surface water sources for water
supply in our country.
There are examples of successfully using portion of river flow for operations during global warming and continuous
dry seasons. There is a statement in National Security Policy of Mongolia that says "Flow regulations on big rivers
to improve surface water utilization, construction of collection reservoirs for rain, snow and ice in regions with less
evaporation and more electricity resource potential, and build water supply system to store and transmit water to
gobi and steppe regions where there are higher evaporation rates. There are many water policies approved by
parliament and government that aims to increase surface water utilization percentage.
Approach to use surface water in a right way is to construct dam and reservoir to regulate flow. This method has the
advantages of allowing us to not only use the resources, but also to collect water to preserve the river basin and
region, and provide sustainable water supply for our next generations. These reasons are demanding us to increase
surface water utilization for Mongolian water supply.
c: , , ,
(), , .
,
609.5 3 597.5 3 , 12 3
. 5.8 34.6 3
.
1. [6]
, 3 , 3
597.5 4.96
500
, 62.9
34.6 4.96
12 5.6
609.5 10.56
,
. 39 % [12]
10% .
, ,
.
34,6 3/ .
40
.
56
1. , , 3/ [4].
13 739 3
180 56- [11].
.
.
70 , ,
22 % , 30 %-
, 78 %
.
2. 70 % [6]
.
.
1- 47 %
, 53 % .
3- 14 , 10 000
.
57
3. [12]
,
, ,
.
.
, ,
,
.
, ,
, , ,
. ,
.
2. , 3/
1968
[15] 1992
[14] 1996
[14] 2005
[6] 2008
[7] 2010 [7]
2011
[10] 2015
1 37.0 17.7 25.2 71.4 60.7 64.5 54.9 53.0
2
96.0 23.7 34.6 71.0 94.7 76.9 77.2 80.0
48.0 27.4 7.9 52.3 83.5 98.7 133.7 100.0
3
,
69.0 23.3 25.8
35.8 3.2 4.8 3.7 8,6
93.8 50.7 42.8 35.2 72.8
,
, 27.6 35.2 33.4 31.9 36.0
80.0 170.0 100.0 170.2 170.0
4
1.68 0.6 0.8 1.95 0.4
0.8 0.7 0.27 0.3 2.5 1.8
, ,
() 7.2 5.8 2.3 2.7
5 250.0 447.8 399.6 433.8 499.0 427.1 510.3 521.8
2015
, ()-
. 20-
400-500 3 0,4-0,5 3 5
%- .
58
2004 20 %- , 80 %-
.
, -
,
. ,
40 .
- 100 %,
.
20-25 .
.
, ,
. 6 400
[16]. - .
2030
1500-2000 3/ 1.5-2.0 3/
[9].
20
.
.
,
.
20
.
4. [13]
. 2014
21 . 2013-2014
.
[5].
,
.
73.42%
18.24%
0.77%4.82% 2.41% 0.34%
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
70.00%
80.00%
(
)
59
,
.
, ,
.
1960-
. 2000 , -
,
.
, .
- .
,
, .
,
, , ,
, ,
.
()- BP( ), (
)
, ,
.
.
,
. (FIDIC) [17]
, ,
,
.
5. (FIDIC)-
-
. -
, .
,
. , -
60
,
.
EN16310:2013
[18] .
, , ,
, .
, ,
,
. -
. ,
.
.
()-
. -
()- ,
,
.
.
3. [19]
,
, 3-20
, ,
, , 1-3
, 2-4
,
1-2
2-6
.
, .
-
.
60 , 10
.
.
,
1994
, 1995
, ,
, 2006 ,
, 1994
, 2010 ,
61
,
.
, ,
,
,
. (H)-
, ,
,
,
.
- , - - ,
-
. - , ,
2016 40-
-
, -
[21]
.
1824
3/, 944 3/,
355 3/ .
1/5 19 %- .
,
- ,
,
.
6. [21].
,
, , ,
. ,
, ,
,
.
62
,
, ,
,
,
, . ,
1997
, 1992
-
.
,
.
.
,
.
,
.
[8], [23] ,
.
.
4. , [8]
/
1 , , , , 8 10 10
2 , , , ,
5 10 10
3 - 8 10 10
4 , ,
5 10 10
5 5 10 10
6 , , , 5 8 10
7 , , , , 5 10 10
8 , , , , ,
5 10 5
9 , , - 2 3 -
10 , , , ,
, , , 8 10 10
11 2 3 0
12 , , , 5 10 10
13 , 5 10 -
14 - 5 10
15 , , , ,
, , , , 3 5 5
16 , 10 10 5
17 , , 10 5 3
18 - , , 3 5 0
-
,
[24] , 75% (
63
), 85% ( ) 2-3 5-7
.
-
[25] .
. :
, 95 ,
185, 355, 275
.
.
.
.
. ,
.
,
, , ,
.
.
- , , 3
.
, , , ,
.
, , 3
.
,
.
, , ,
, ,
.
,
.
2.01.14-86 40 . - 10
.
, , ,
.
, - ,
.
64
- .
EN16310:2013 .
.
, , , , ,
.
, .
2.01.14-86- - .
[1]. - 2010 48 . . 3.5.1.7 .
[2]. - 2016 19 . -2030. 2.3.1 1. , .
[3]. - 2014 43 . . 3.2.11 . [4]. - 2010 24 3.3.2 . [5]. . 2013-2014. [6]. , , .
, , . . 2008 .
[7]. , , , .
. 2012 .
[8]. , , , . . (Ph.D). , . 379- .
[9]. . , . . 2011 .
[10]. .. . . 2011 . 29- . [11]. The Worlds Water Vol. 8 Select Content (2014) [12]. FAO: AQUASTAT 2002; land and population: FAOSTAT, sauf pour Etats Unis (Conterminous, Alaska and
Hawaii): US Census Bureau.
[13]. http://www.unep.org. UNEP. Vital Water Graphics. [14]. .. . . 2004 . 79- . [15]. ., .. - . . 1975 .39- . [16]. . .. . 1994 . [17]. http://fidic.org International Federation of Consulting Engineers. [18]. EN16310:2013 (E) - , ,
.
[19]. P.Novak, A.I.Moffat, C.Nalluri and R.Narayanan. Hudraulic Structures. Fourth edition. Taylers & Francis. London and New York. Page 24.
[20]. . . . WB/MOF/MINIS/CS/CQS/1.1.1. (b)(i)/2013; . 4888-MN. -
. , ,
. . 2015 .
[21]. . - . [22]. UNITED NATIONS ECONOMIC COMMISSION FOR EUROPE Convention on the Protection and Use of
Transboundary Watercourses and International Lakes
[23]. . , . , .. .
[24]. . . - , .
. 2013 .
[25]. , - , . - . 2016 .
65
http://www.unep.org/http://fidic.org/
- ,
1 , 2
1 (Ph.D), - - , 99439651, [email protected] 2 - - ,
() 150
1/10- , , ,
, , ,
, , ,
. -
200
- . ,
,
. ,
,
- , , , ,
[3].
2016 -
- , , ,
- , -
[4].
- , ,
, 7
.
, ,
.
1157
, , 3764
( )
. ,
,
- .
3725.5 , 10
1859.2 2.0 ,
,
.
,
- , - , -
10 ,
2006-2007 , 2014
. ,
2014 ,
66
mailto:[email protected]
2005 , 2014 .
2005 .
(1,7-2,00), (2,0-2,50)
,
.
1. , (2005-
2015 )
2016 7- ( -4, -
8 ) 12 , , 1, 2-
.
2. (2005-2015 )
,
32,8-34,7%, - 57,9% (
60%-40%-20% IV-V ,
.).
69,9%- .
(NH4+-
N), (NO2--N), (NO3--N), (PO4-P), (Fe), (F),
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
215
220
225
230
235
240
245
250
255
260
265
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-
, ,
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
160.0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-
-
67
: (pH), ,
, (O2) .
1. ( : 2016 VII/10-VII/25)
t0
(0)
(-/)
2 (%)
(/)
1 200
17.0 1,766 34.7 408,51
2 500
16.7 1,833 32.8 349,75
3 300 19.2 2,067 123.7 340,89
4 - 19.0 2,450 102.1 301,85
5 -
19.2 2,333 99.4 340,07
6 -
80
18.2 2,433 82.8 267,10 ,
7 -
1200
16.6 1,833 94.6 250,93
8 -
500
16.8 2,000 93.6 264,72
9 -
16.4 2,003 104.2 245,5
10 -
200
16.2 2,133 85.9 266,81
11 -
20.8 2,833 57.9 423,64
12 -
200
17.1 1,866 105.5 212,73
2. ( : 2016
VII/10-VII/25) p NH4+ NO2- NO3- PO43- F
1 200
7.41 0.81 0.003 0.25 0.017 0.99
2 500
7.23 0.50 0.003 0.27 0.023 0.89
3 300
7.72 0.76 0.005 0.23 0.013 0.75
4 - 7.63 0.51 0.004 0.19 0.018 0.87
5 -
7.50 0.39 0.004 0.29 0.021 0.84
6 -
80
7.48 0.48 0.008 0.34 0.023 0.51
7 -
1200
7.54 0.40 0.002 0.31 0.016 0.72
8 -
500
7.33 0.39 0.002 0.24 0.032 0.66
9 -
7.57 0.08 0.002 0.17 0.036 0.64
10 -
200
7.11 0.23 0.003 0.21 0.024 0.62
11 -
7.36 0.42 0.005 0.16 0.029 0.66
12 -
200
7.04 0.08 0.005 0.20 0.021 0.33
68
12
(340,07-
408,51/), III
, 7.04-7,72- .
2.8-
3.0/2/3- .
II-III .
3. (/)
4.
4-
. -
.
3. 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 2005 2006 2007 2008-
2010
2015 2016
IIa IIa IIa Ia IIa IIa IIa IIa ,
0.81
0.510.39 0.4
0.230.42
0.080
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
NH4+
I -
II-
III-
IV-
V-
VI-
69
1994-
2007 , 2008
( .
, 2011) [6].
3 ,
.
- 20
. 2871 , .
8 1569 , .
5. , ,
8 :
5 435 , . 185 .
7 534 , . 200 .
10 702 , . 250 .
15 998 , . 340 .
, 6 174758 ,
, , , , , , ,
, III .
, ,
.
, ,
.
-
( ), , , ,
70
( ) , ( )
, , ( )
. ,
8 1569 ,
174758 ,
, -
, .
,
.
A
[1]. . . . / - / -.: 2015. 25-29.
[2]. . . .: 2011. . 189-192, 198-207. [3]. : ,
. .:2004. 9-22, 61-68.
[4]. - , , , . . .:2016.
[5]. , , . - . -. 2015.
[6]. ., ., ., . . ., 2011. . 22-43.
[7]. - , , , . .:2010. 132-206.
[8]. . . ., . .:2016. 12-16.
71
.1 , .1, .2
1, , , [email protected] 2- -
Abstract
In this paper we attempted to draw natural and surface-water conditions in Dornod province, to estimate
geomorphological regions. Eastern (Dornod) province is located in the east of the Mongolia. It orders on the north
with the Russian Federation and in the East and Southeast with the Peoples Republic of China. Province was
established in 1931.
: , , ,
:
1. 2. .
,
. ,
, . ,
, .
, , .
, , ,
. ,
:
a) - b) c) - d) - .
, 6.47
6500 . :
1. 4.74 4750 000 000 2. - 200
3. 550 ( 4. - .
, ,
. ,
.
, , ,
, ,
. .., ..
, ,
, .
. .
.
,
. 14-16 , , 17-19
, 25-27-
( .., .., 2002).
72
, , .
, 60-65 , 15-30 ,
.
,
X XI Y .
, 6,473 4,74
3, 200 /3, 550 /3, , 1
3 . , , ,
.
300 .
, 1000 2 60 610
2 .
.
1.
., ., . (1966) ,
, , , , ,
- , , .
( ),
()- .
1. 2. 3. , .
(2
/3 , HCO3- ),
(, 5-15 /3 , SO42- SO42-Cl- Na+- g2+-Na+-
) ( ., 2015).
, .
1. , . : ., (2015)
, . . . 344
()
t0C pH ,
/ 3
.-
./3
1 6 6.3 1.5 5.6
2 4 5.8 3.3 21.2
73
3 (1959) 2 6.0 0.94 9.4
4 (1958) 4 5.8 1.97 17.3
5 4 6.8 0.39 4.0
6 5 6.5 0.85 5.2
7 3 7.2 1.2 8.8
8 - 7.3 0.41 4.4
9 - 7.4 0.93 4.8
10 - 5 6.8 0.41 3.1
11 - 1 6.4 0.80 8.46
12 3 6.2 0.19 1.75
13 - 7.3 1.45 10.4
14 - 7.0 0.75 2.8
15 - 7.3 1.87 13.2
16 - 7.4 0.31 1
,
, , ,
, ,
( 2) . , ,
, ,
.
2.
(/2 )
0.01> 1
0.01-0.10 2
0.10-0.20 3
0.20< 4
0
1
2 , 2
3 ,
3
(7- )
, 0
10- 1
10-20 2
20- 3
(/* )
1> 1
1-2 2
2-4
3
4-5 4
5 2- / / 1
5-300 / / 2
300-500 / / 3
5002- 4
. ,
, . - ,
, ,
.., ., . 1:2 500 000 ,
. ,
1:100 000 .
, ,
.
74
3. ,
3 3 2 2 1 11
3 3 2 3 1 12
2 0 2 2 1 7
1 0 0 2 1 4
2 3 2 2 1 10
1 3 2 1 2 9
2 3 3 2 1 11
1 0 3 1 1 6
1 3 3 1 2 10
(
)
3 3 2 3 1 12
2 3 2 2 1 10
1 0 2 2 1 6
1 2 2 2 2 9
1 3 3 2 2 11
-
1 3 2 2 1 9
3 0 3 3 2 11
2.
75
,
.
,
.
, ,
,
. 40
.
, , ,
. ,
,
.
[1]. ., (2015). , . : . 40-45 . 32