08 the Invisible Hand in Action

  • Upload
    stett

  • View
    220

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    1/52

    MB MC

    The Invisible Hand In

    Action

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    2/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter #$ %lasticity &lide 2

    'earning (b)ectives

    1.

    Accounting, Economic and Normal Profit.2. Allocation of resources through economic profit

    and economic loss the example of perfectcompetition.

    3. Difference beteen economic profit and economicrent

    !. "n#isible hand$ applications in e#er%da% life

    &. 'ar(et e)uilibrium #ersus social optimum.

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    3/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide /

    The Invisible Hand

    "n this chapter e ill stud% the natureof forces that guide the in#isible hand.

    Adam *mith+s #ision as thatPeople are moti#ated b% selfinterest.

    -he goal of profit maximiation /underman% conditions0 ser#e societ%+s collecti#e

    interest.

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    4/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide #

    Three Types o .roit

    Accounting Profit total re#enue explicit costs /pa%mentsfor factors of production0

    Economic Profit total re#enue explicit costs implicitcosts /opportunit% cost of the resources supplied b% the

    firm+s oners0 Normal Profit accounting profit economic profit "mplicit

    costs

    "f economic profit, normal profitaccounting profit

    "f economic profit then Normal Profit Acc Profit.

    4ence, positi#e economic profits are called supernormalprofits

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    5/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide

    Three 1inds o .roit

    Totalreven,e

    %plicit

    costs

    Acco,ntingproit

    3oral proit 4opport,nity cost oreso,rces s,pplied

    by owners o ir

    %conoicproit

    %plicit

    costs

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    6/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide 5

    Calc,lating .roits

    *uppose a firm has the folloing$

    TR 5!,6 Explicit costs /salaries0 52&,7%r

    'achiner% and other e)uipment ith a resale #alue of 51million

    Annual interest on sa#ings 18 /implies that the 51 millionspent on e)uipment could ha#e earned 51,7%r had itbeen in#ested06 this is the implicit /opportunit%0 cost

    Accounting Profit $ 5!, 52&, 51&,

    Economic Profit$ 5!, 52&, 51, /implicitcost0 5&,

    Normal Profit Accounting Profit /51&,7%r0 EconomicProfit /5&,7%r0 51,7%r 9:

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    7/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide 7

    6hy Are The istinctions Iportant8

    -o ma(e correct decisions. Example*hould 'r. A sta% in farming or should he manage

    a retail store;

    Assumptions4e is a corn farmer ith pa%ments for land and

    e)uipment /5

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    8/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide *

    9even,e! Costs! and .roit &,ary

    Total %plicit Iplicit Acco,nting %conoic 3oralreven,e costs costs proit proit proit:;>!000

    20!000 >0!000 >>!000 >0!000 ->!000 >>!000

    > 2 / # 5

    "f ->522,, 'r. A is better off farming than as a storemanager. "f -> falls to 52,, economic profit is 51,hich means he can ma(e 51 more as a store managerthan in farming. *o he should manage the store.

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    9/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide ?

    6hy Are The istinctions Iportant8

    -o remain in business in the long run, 'r. Aould need an economic profit or .

    ?% a turn of fate, the oner of the land

    ma(es a gift of it to 'r. A. -he land can alsobe rented to other farmers for 5

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    10/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide >0

    3ew 9even,e! Costs! and.roit &,ary or .,dge

    Total %plicit Iplicit Acco,nting %conoic 3oralreven,e costs costs proit proit proit:;

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    11/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide >>

    The Invisible Hand Theory

    -o @unctions of Price-he rationing function of price

    -o distribute scarce goods to thoseconsumers ho #alue them most highl%.

    -he allocative function of price

    -o direct resources aa% from o#ercrodedmar(ets /here P is too lo to co#er 9:0 and

    toard mar(ets that are underser#ed. ?oth these functions of price underlie Adam *mith+s

    theor% of the "n#isible hand.

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    12/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide >2

    The Invisible Hand 6or@ing as a9esponse to .roits and 'osses

    >esponses to Profits and osses'ar(ets ith firms earning economic

    profits ill attract resources.

    'ar(ets here firms are experiencingeconomic losses tend to lose resources.

    >ecall, normal profit is Bust a cost of doing

    business. Chen economic profit , %ou areonl% earning normal profit.

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    13/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide >/

    >"20

    %conoic proit4 ;>0#!000

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    14/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide >#

    >"0*

    >"0

    %conoic proit4 ;0!#00"0 .rice

    >20?

    The %ect o %ntry on.rice and %conoic .roit

    +,antity :illions ob,shels

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    15/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide >

    %,ilibri, when %ntry Ceases

    S

    +,antity :illions ob,shels

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    16/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide >5

    >"0

    %conoic loss4 ;2>!000

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    17/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide >7

    %,ilibri, when %it Ceases

    +,antity :illions ob,shels"00 >"00

    The depart,re o irs ro the ind,stry increases the ar@et price

    S

    D

    50

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    18/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide >*

    'ong 9,n .erectly Copetitive%,ilibri,

    "n the longrun, in a competiti#e mar(et, allfirms ill tend to earn ero economic profits.

    ero economic profits are the conse)uence of price

    mo#ements caused b% the entr% and exit of firmstr%ing to maximie economic profits.

    -he e)uilibrium principle /no cash on the table0predicts, hen people confront an opportunit% for

    gain the% are almost ala%s )uic( to exploit it.

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    19/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide >?

    The Invisible Hand Theory

    -o Attracti#e @eatures-he mar(et outcome is efficient /sociall% optimal0

    P = MC /the #alue to bu%ers of the last unit of thegood sold exactl% e)uals the marginal opportunit% cost

    to societ% of producing one extra unit of the good0.

    -he mar(et is, in a sense, fair.-he price the bu%ers pa% is no higher than the cost

    incurred b% sellers.

    -he cost includes a normal profit.

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    20/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide 20

    'ong 9,n Ind,stry &,pply C,rve

    4o ould the long run industr% suppl% cur#e loo(under perfect competition;

    Assume that all firms ha#e identical coststructures in the short run. *o all long run

    adBustments are made exclusi#el% b% entr% andexit of identical firms using an identicalstandardied production method.

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    21/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide 2>

    'ong 9,n Ind,stry &,pply C,rve

    :onsider an initial e)uilibrium at min A-:. *upposedemand rises. Each firm ill produce more and earnpositi#e economic profits in the short run.

    Ne firms ill enter the mar(et. *hort run industr% suppl%

    cur#e ill shift to the right until prices come don to minA-:.

    -he long run industr% e)uilibrium ill settle at Pmin A-:ith the number of firms being higher.

    -herefore, the long run industr% suppl% cur#e is a horiontalstraight line at minimum A-:. All long run adBustments aredone through the number of firms in the industr% /under theassumption of identical firms ith identical cost structure0.

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    22/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide 22

    The Invisible Hand$ %aple

    *uppose that the mar(et for haircuts andaerobics classes are currentl% at their longrun e)uilibria.

    *uppose then that long hair becomesfashionable hile citiens become morefitness conscious.

    *o, compared to the initial long rune)uilibrium, demand for haircuts ill fall andthat for aerobics ill rise.

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    23/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide 2/

    Initial %,ilibri,in the Mar@et or Hairc,ts

    Hairc,ts

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    24/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide 2#

    Initial %,ilibri, in theMar@et or Aerobics Classes

    Classes

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    25/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide 2

    The &hort-9,n %ect oeand &hits in Two Mar@ets

    Hairc,ts

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    26/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide 25

    %conoic .roit and'oss in the &hort 9,n

    Hairc,ts

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    27/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide 27

    The Invisible Hand Theory

    >esponses to the change in demand forst%lists and aerobics instructorsEconomic loss for st%lists ill

    >educe the suppl% of st%lists

    "ncrease the price until ero economic profits occur

    Economic profit for aerobics instructors ill"ncrease the suppl% of aerobics classes

    >educe the price until ero economic profits occur

    Th I t % t d

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    28/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide 2*

    The Iportance o ree %ntry and%it

    @ree entr% and exit must exist for the allocati#efunction of price to operate

    ?arriers to entr% can be caused b% legal constraints/patents, cop%rights, etc0 and uni)ue mar(etcharacteristics /netor(ing externalities andproduct compatibilit% in the softare industr%0

    A barrier to exit can become a barrier to entr%

    /airline industr% regulation made it impossible forairlines to lea#e unprofitable routes and so airlinesere unilling to enter these mar(ets0

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    29/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide 2?

    %conoic 9ent vs" %conoic .roit

    Economic profits attract resources that pusheconomic profits toard ero, in competiti#emar(ets.

    Economic >ent-hat part of a pa%ment for a factor of production

    that exceeds the oner+s reser#ation price

    'ar(et forces ill not push economic rent toero because inputs cannot be replicated easil%.

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    30/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide /0

    %conoic 9ent$ %aple

    4o much rent ill a talented chef get;AssumeA communit% ith 1 restaurants

    restaurants emplo% chefs ith normal abilit%for 53,7%r /the same amount the% could earnelsehere0

    -he 1threstaurant emplo%s a talented chefand customers are illing to pa% &8 more fortheir meals

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    31/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide />

    %conoic 9entDers,s %conoic .roit

    AssumeTRat the each of the restaurants is53,, hich %ields a normal profit

    TR at the 1threstaurant is 5!&, /&8

    more0-he talented chef

    Earns 51F, 53, = 51&,

    >eser#ation price 53,Economic rent 51&,

    -he1threstaurant earns a normal profit

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    32/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide /2

    %conoic 9entDers,s %conoic .roit

    Ch% not pa% the chef less and increase theeconomic profit for the restaurant;9ther restaurants ill bid him aa%.

    *a%, restaurant 1 gi#es the chef 5!, andma(es economic profit of 511,. >estaurant2 ill ant to pa% slightl% more than 5!, andta(e the chef. -he process ill continue until

    economic profit is dri#en to ero. 9pportunities for pri#ate gain seldom remain

    unexploited for #er% long

    MB MC

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    33/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide //

    The Invisible Hand in Action

    Economic NaturalistCh% do supermar(et lines tend to be

    roughl% the same length;

    Ch% do all lanes on a croded, multilanefreea% mo#e at about the same speed;

    MB MC Invisible Hand and Cost &aving

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    34/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide /#

    Invisible Hand and Cost &avingInnovation

    Ch% do firms ha#e an incenti#e to introducecostsa#ing inno#ations; 4o do costsa#ing inno#ations affect economic profit inthe short run; "n the long run;

    Assume! companies transport oil from the middle east

    to the G.*.

    -he cost7trip, including normal profit, is 5&,

    9ne compan% disco#ers the use of a nepropeller that sa#es 52,7trip

    MB MC Invisible Hand and Cost &aving

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    35/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide /

    Invisible Hand and Cost &avingInnovation

    *hort >un

    No impact on price6 A-: and ': ill shift don6Economic profits for the compan% ill increase b%52,7trip

    ong >un9ther companies ill introduce the propeller

    A-: and ': for all firms ill shift don6 mar(et

    suppl% ill shift to the right and price ill fallero economic profits after all firms ha#e adopted

    the ne propeller6 prices loer for the consumer

    MB MC

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    36/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide /5

    .resent isco,nted Dal,e

    :alculating the Present Discounted Halue of@uture :osts and ?enefits-he time #alue of mone%

    "s the concept that a gi#en dollar amount toda% ise)ui#alent to a larger dollar amount in the futurebecause of interest earnings.

    -herefore, earnings recei#ed in the future are

    less #aluable than earnings toda%.*imilarl%, costs incurred in the future are lesscostl% toda%.

    MB MC

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    37/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide /7

    .resent isco,nted Dal,e

    Deposit 51 I r 18 or .1After 1 %ear

    51/1.10 511

    -herefore, the PDH of 511 a %ear from nois 51.

    After 2 %ears

    51/1.10/1.10 51/1.102 5121

    -herefore, the PDH of 5121, to %ears fromno is 51.

    MB MC

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    38/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide /*

    .resent isco,nted Dal,e

    Jenerall%PDVof a pa%ment Mto be recei#ed - %ears

    from no at interest rate r, is$

    Chat is the #alue of a compan% toda% if it illearn its onl% accounting profit of 51!,! in to%ears, gi#en r 28;51!,!7/1 = .202 51,

    Tr

    MPV)1( +

    =

    MB MC Invisible Hand in 9eg,lated

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    39/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide /?

    Invisible Hand in 9eg,latedMar@ets

    Ch% do Ne Kor( :it% taxicab medallions sell formore than 53,;

    *uppose

    Annual cost of operating the cabs /includingdepreciation and all opportunit% costs0 5!,

    TR7%ear 5

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    40/52

    MB MC

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide #0

    Invisible Hand in 9eg,latedMar@ets

    4ad the medallion been free, the cab dri#er+s economicprofit ould be 52,. -his economic profit ould attractentr% into the taxi mar(et.

    "t ould re)uire an%one to (eep 5333,333 in the ban( at

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    41/52

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide #>

    Invisible Hand in 9eg,latedMar@ets

    Ch% did maBor commercial airlines installpiano bars on the upper dec(s of ?oeing!s in the 1s;Gntil late 1F airlines ere regulated b% the

    federal agenc% :A? /:i#il Aeronautics ?oard0.

    >egulated prices on popular routes ere ellabo#e free mar(et e)uilibrium #alues, thus

    generating economic profits hich ere thensupposed to pa% for ser#ice on sparsel% tra#eledroutes.

    MB MC Invisible Hand in 9eg,lated

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    42/52

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide #2

    Invisible Hand in 9eg,latedMar@ets

    Cith regulated fares, competition could not dri#edon prices

    *o airlines competed for passengers b% pro#idingnon monetar% incenti#es li(e adding more flights,

    piano bars, fanc% food, etc. Airlines added more flights on each route until

    economic profits ere dri#en to ero.

    "ntrastate /ithin state li(e *an Diego to *an@rancisco0 carriers /not regulated b% :A?0 foundpassengers sacrificed amenities for loer prices.

    MB MC Invisible Hand in Anti .overty

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    43/52

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide #/

    Invisible Hand in Anti-.overty.rogras

    4o ill an irrigation proBect affect the incomes of poorfarmers;

    Assume$ An uns(illed or(er has to Bob choices

    Cor( as a -extile or(er for 5F,7%r, or,

    >ent land to gro riceo >ent 5&,7%r

    o Nonlabor cost 53,7%r

    o TR 51

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    44/52

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide ##

    Invisible Hand in Anti-.overty.rogras

    Chat ill be the impact of the irrigationprogram on incomes of tenant farmers;TR ill increase to 51

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    45/52

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide #

    The Invisible Hand and the &toc@Mar@et

    9ne of the most competiti#e mar(ets is themar(et for stoc(s and bonds on Call *treet.

    :alculating the #alue of a share of stoc(

    A share of stoc( in a compan% is a claim to ashare of the current and future accounting profitsof that compan%.

    -he price of a share of stoc( depends on-he compan%+s current and expected future

    accounting profits

    -he mar(et interest rate, as the next example shos

    MB MC The Invisible Hand and the &toc@

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    46/52

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide #5

    The Invisible Hand and the &toc@Mar@et

    AssumeAccounting profit 51 million1, shares of stoc(

    Annual interest rate &8

    Price7shareEach share pa%s 51,7%ear /51 million71,0

    At &8 a 52, sa#ings account pa%s 51,7%r-herefore, the stoc( price 52,

    MB MC The Invisible Hand and the &toc@

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    47/52

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide #7

    The Invisible Hand and the &toc@Mar@et

    @uture profits are not certain.

    *o, current price of a share of stoc( dependson in#estors+ estimates about future profits.

    -hese estimates incorporate informationabout current profits, prospects for thecompan%+s industr%, state of the econom%,

    demographic trends, etc.As this information changes, so does the

    price of a share of stoc(.

    MB MC

    Th %i i @ H h i

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    48/52

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide #*

    The %icient ar@ets Hypothesis

    -he Efficient 'ar(et 4%pothesis isessentiall% a nocashonthetableh%pothesis.

    Ne information is reflected in the currentprice of a stoc( ith amaing speed andaccurac%.

    -he current price of a stoc( reflects allrele#ant information about its current andfuture earnings prospects.

    MB MC

    %i i t M @ t H th i

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    49/52

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide #?

    %icient Mar@ets Hypothesis

    Chat do %ou thin(;:an %ou increase %our profit in the stoc( mar(etb% using information from the mass media;

    Do stoc(s in ellmanaged companies perform

    better than those in poorl% managed companies;Jood management is better than bad management,

    but the surplus is captured b% those that pro#ide thatbetter management and not the stoc(holders.

    MB MC

    Th i ti ti B t

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    50/52

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide 0

    The istinction Between an%,ilibri, and a &ocial (pti,

    -he e)uilibrium /nocashonthetable0 principlemeans that there are no unexploited opportunitiesin mar(ets that are in e)uilibrium.

    -he mar(et e)uilibrium does not impl% that the

    resulting allocation is necessaril% best from thepoint of #ie of societ% as a hole.

    -he smart for one, dumb for all principle

    E)uilibrium ill not be sociall% optimal hen thecost and benefits for the indi#iduals differ fromsociet% as a hole.

    MB MC

    The istinction Bet een an

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    51/52

    Copyright c 2007 by The McGraw-HillCopanies! Inc" All rights reserved"

    Chapter *$ The +,est or .roit and the Invisible Hand &lide >

    The istinction Between an%,ilibri, and a &ocial (pti,

    Are there Otoo man% smart people or(ing ascorporate earnings forecasters;

    -he anal%st ith the best forecasting model ill earna indfall b% bu%ing stoc(s hose prices are about to

    rise. Ji#en the speed of response of stoc( prices to ne

    information, the second best forecasting model,hoe#er good, is of no use.

    *o a rat race to number one place is rational from apri#ate perspecti#e but not necessaril% from a socialpoint of #ie.

  • 8/10/2019 08 the Invisible Hand in Action

    52/52

    MB MC

    %nd o

    Chapter