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88th Congress, 1st Session Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee bv the I J »X -J Council of Economic Advisers UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 1983 Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

06-1963

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  • 88th Congress, 1st Session

    Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee bv theI J X -J

    Council of Economic Advisers

    UNITED STATESGOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE

    WASHINGTON : 1983

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE(Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.)

    PAUL H. DOUGLAS, Illinois, ChairmanRICHARD BOLLING, Missouri, Vice Chairman

    SENATEJOHN SPARKMAN (Alabama)J. WILLIAM FULBRIGHT (Arkansas)WILLIAM PROXMIRE (Wisconsin)CLAIBORNE PELL (Rhode Island)JACOB K. JAVITS (New York)JACK MILLER (Iowa)LEN B. JORDAN (Idaho)

    HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVESWRIGHT PATMAN (Texas)HALE BOGGS (Louisiana)HENRY S. REUSS (Wisconsin)MARTHA W. GRIFFITHS (Michigan)THOMAS B. CURTIS (Missouri)CLARENCE E. KILBURN (New York)WILLIAM B. WIDNALL (New Jersey)

    JAMES W. KNOWLES, Executive DirectorMARIAN T, TRACY, Financial Clerk

    HAMILTON D, GEWEHR, Administrative Clerk

    COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERSWALTER W. HELLER, Chairman

    GARDNER ACKLEYJOHN P. LEWIS

    Economic Indicators -prepared under supervision of FRANCES M. JAMES

    [PUBLTC LAW 12081sT CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237IST SESSION]JOINT RESOLUTION [SJ. Res. 55]

    To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators"

    TLesolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Confess assembled, That the JointEconomic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that asufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant atArms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies tothe libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint EconomicCommittee; and the required number of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depositorylibraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public.

    Approved June 23, 1949.

    Charts drawn by Graphics Unit, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce.

    Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at 25 cents a single copyor by subscription at $2.50 per year (foreign, $3.50) from:

    SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTSGOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE

    WASHINGTON 25, D.C.Subscribers who wish to receive it at an earlier date after release may take advan-tage of provisions for airmail subscriptions. The domestic airmail subscriptionprice is $5.40 per year.

    The 7962 Supplement to Economic Indicators, which describes each seriesand gives annual data for years not shown in the monthly issues, is now avail-able at 65 cents a copy.

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  • TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDINGTHE NATION'S INCOME, EXPENDITURE, AND SAVINGCurrent estimates indicate that gross national product rose $8.3 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the firstquarter. Personal consumption expenditures rose $4.3 billion although only a $3.3 billion increase was registeredin disposable personal income.

    [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

    Period

    Persons

    Dis-posablepersonal

    Personalconsump-

    tionexpendi-

    tures

    Personalsaving( + ) or

    dis-saving

    Business

    Grossretained

    earn-ings 2

    Grossprivate

    domesticinvest-ment3

    Excessof

    invest-ment

    International

    Foreignnet

    trans-fers byGovern-

    ment

    Net exports of goodsand services

    Netexports

    Ex-ports

    Im-ports

    Excess oftransfers

    ( + ) orof net

    exports

    195219531954195519561957195819591960196119621961:

    IV-1962:

    II--III-IV-

    238. 7252. 5256. 9274. 4292. 9308.8317.9337. 1349. 4363. 6382. 9366. 3372. 6375. 6381. 8384. 1389. 3

    219. 8232. 6238. 0256. 9269. 9285. 2293. 2313. 5328. 5338. 1356. 7340. 1346. 1350.2354. 9358. 2363. 5

    1963: I. 392. 6 ! 367. 8

    18. 919. 818. 917. 523. 023. 624. 723. 620. 925. 626. 226. 326. 525. 426. 926. 025. 824. 8

    33. 234. 335. 542. 143. 045. 644. 851. 352. 153. 658. 154. 157. 057. 257. 657. 760. 0

    49. 950. 348. 963. 867. 466. 156. 672. 772. 469. 376. 672. 476. 675. 977. 476. 376. 2

    -16. 6-16. 0-13. 4 21. 8-24. 3-20. 5 11. 9 21. 4-20. 3 15. 6-18. 5-18. 3-19. 6-18. 7-19. 9-18. 6-16. 2-17. 0

    1. 51. 61. 41. 51. 51. 51.31. 51. 61. 61.71. 51. 61. 71. 71. 81. 81. 4

    1. 3. 4

    1. 01. 12. 94. 91. 2

    -. 82. 94. 03. 32. 83. 83. 73. 72. 53. 23.2

    17. 416. 617.519. 423. 126. 222. 722.926. 427. 328. 426. 928. 328. 229. 028. 328. 227. 9

    16. 117. 016. 518. 320. 221. 321. 523. 623. 523. 325. 224. 124. 524.525. 325. 825. 024. 7

    0. 22. 0. 4. 4

    1. 53.5. 1

    2.31.32.41.51. 32. 22.02.0

    -1.8

    Government

    Periodreceipts

    Netreceipts

    Tax andnontaxreceipts

    oraccruals

    Trans-fers,

    interest,and sub-sidies 5

    Expenditures

    Pur-chases

    of goodsand

    Totalexpendi-

    tures

    Trans-fers,

    interest,and sub-sidies 5

    Surplus( + ) ordeficit(-) onincome

    andproductaccount

    Totalincome

    orreceipts

    Statis-tical

    discrep-ancy

    Grossnationalproduct

    orexpendi-

    ture

    195219531954195519561957195819591960196119621961: III

    IV1962: I

    IIIIIIV

    1963: I

    72. 275. 768. 578. 484. 287. 582. 095. 7

    103. 8103. 0114. 9103. 4109. 2HI. 9114. 9115. 9117. 3121. 1

    90. 694. 990. 0

    101. 4109. 5116. 3115. 1130. 2141. 0144. 8158. 1145. 7151. 6154. 6157. 8159. 2161. 8165. 8

    18.419. 221.523. 025.328.733. 134. 437. 141. 943. 242. 442. 442. 742. 943. 344. 544.7

    76. 082. 875. 375. 679. 086. 593. 597. 299. 7

    107. 4117. 3106. 9112. 1115. 2116. 0118. 2120. 7124. 0

    94. 4102. 096. 798. 6

    104. 3115. 3126. 6131. 6136. 8149. 3160. 5149. 3154, 4157. 9158. 9161. 6165. 2168. 7

    18. 419. 221. 523. 025. 328. 733. 134. 437. 141. 943. 242. 442. 442. 742. 943. 344. 544. 7

    -3.9 7. 1-6. 7

    2. 95. 21. 0

    -11. 4-1. 5

    4. 2 4. 4-2. 4

    -3. 3 1.1-2. 4-3. 3-2. 9

    345. 6364. 1362. 3396. 5421. 6443. 4446. 0485. 7506. 8521. 8557. 6525. 3540. 5546. 4556. 0559. 8568. 4574. 9

    1. 41. 3. 9

    1. 0-2. 4

    . 6-1. 5-3. 0-3. 4-3. 1-3.8-3. 1-1. 9-1. 4-4. 0-4. 3-4. 8-3.2

    347.0365. 4363. 1397. 5419. 2442. 8444. 5482. 7503. 4518. 7553. 9522. 3538. 6545. 0552. 0555. 3563. 5571. S

    1 Personal income (p. 5) less personal taxes and nontax payments (fines, penal-

    ties, etc.).2 Undistributed corporate profits, corporate inventory valuation adjustment,

    capital consumption allowances, and excess oi wage accruals over disbursements.Does not include retained earnings of unincorporated business which are in-cluded in disposable persona! income.3

    Private business investment, purchases ol capital goods by private nonprofitinstitutions, and residential housing.

    4 Net foreign investment with sign changed.

    Government transfer payments to persons, foreign net transfers by Govern-ment, net interest paid by government, and subsidies less current surplus oigovernment enterprises.

    NOTE.Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960.Source: Department of Commerce. 1

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OR EXPENDITUREGNP in the first quarter rose $8.3 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate), or 1^/2 percent, according to current esti-mates. The main increases were in personal consumption expenditures and government purchases.

    BILLI

    600

    500

    400

    300

    100

    EOURC

    5NS OF DOLLARS

    -

    PE~-

    -

    1 ! 11957

    E: DEPARTMENT OF C

    GRC

    ^ -*

    ~_ --*^

    RSONAL CONSUMPTEXPENDITURES

    ^^=-.4=

    GOVERNMOF GOODS

    ""MIIIUM,.!.'"'"""

    1 ! I1958

    OMMERCe

    SEASON*

    )SS NATIONAL P

    r"~^ION

    m~^

    ENT PURCHASESAND SERVICES

    \

    GROSS PRIVAINVES

    1 1 11959

    LLY ADJUSTED ANNU

    RODUCT

    re. DOMESTIC^FMENT """^

    ! 1 1I960

    XL RATES

    -^-*1_

    -^ -^

    NET EXPOF~ AND

    1 1 11961

    n

    ^

    T OF GOODSERVICES

    I96Z

    BILLIONS OF DDL

    -.

    ~

    -..

    ^

    1 ! 11963

    couNca or ECONOMIC A

    LARS

    600

    50O

    4OO

    300

    100

    VISERS

    Period

    I

    1950 _ _ _19511952195319541955 . _ .1 95019571958195!)1 '.)(>()19(111 9021901: III

    IV,190'..': ! .

    I I1 1 1I V

    190:i: 1 . .

    Totalgross

    nationalproductin 1962prices

    lillions of370. 0400. 4415. 8434. 8428. 3459. 6469. 4478. 5471. 1502. 6515. 8525. 5553. 95SS. 5543. 7548.4552. 6554. S560. 6566. S

    Totalgross

    nationalproduct

    dollars, q284. 6329. 0347. 030 5. 4363. 1397. 5419. 2442. 8444. 5482. 7503. 4518. 7553. 9522. 3538. 6545. 0552. 0555. 3563. 5571. 8

    Personalcon-

    sump-tion

    expend-itures

    uarterly c195. 0209. 8219. 8232. 6238. 0256. 9269. 9285. 2293. 2313. 5328. 5338. 1356. 7340. 1346. 1350. 2354. 9358. 2363. 5367. 8

    Grossprivate

    domesticinvest-ment

    ata at see

    50. 056. 349. 950. 348. 963. 867. 466. 156. 672. 772. 469. 376. 672. 476. 675. 977. 476. 376. 276. 8

    Netexportsof goods

    andservices

    isonally a0. 62. 41. 3

    . 41. 01. 12. 94. 91. 2. 8

    2. 94, 03. 32. 83. S3. 73. 72. 53. 23.2

    Gove

    Total

    djusted ! i < n m l product in ciirroiit prices divided by gross national product

    NOTE.Data tor Alaska and Ila\vaii included beginning I960.Source: Department of Commerce.

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  • NATIONAL INCOMENational income increased $4.7 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter. The largest increasewas $5.0 billion in compensation of employees. Declines of less than $1 billion occurred in farm proprietors' incomeand corporate income.

    BILLIONS OF DOLLARS500

    BILLIONS OF DOLLARS1 500

    SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

    PROPRIETORS ANDRENTAL INCOME >.

    CORPORATE PROFITS ANDINVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT

    .NET INTEREST

    1957 1959 I960 1961 1962 1963-!/PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES BY COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS.SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. (EXCEPT AS NOTED). COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

    [Billions of dollars, quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

    Period

    19501951195219531954195519561957195819591960196119621961: III

    IV1962: I

    IIIIIIV,

    1963: I

    Totalnationalincome

    241. 9279. 3292. 2305. 6301. 8330. 2350. 8366. 9367. 4400. 5415. 5427. 8458. 0431. 3444. 0448. 9456. 7459. 8466. 6471. 3

    Compen-sationof em-

    ployees '

    154. 2180. 3195. 0208. 8207. 6223. 9242. 5255. 5257. 1278. 5293. 7302. 2321. 6304. 5309. 9315. 2321. 7323. 8325. 8330. 8

    Proprieto

    Farm

    14. 016. 315. 313. 312. 711. 811. 611. 813. 511. 412. 013. 113. 013. 113. 612. 912. 812. 813. 613. 0

    "s1 income

    Businessand pro-fessional

    23. 526. 026. 927. 427. 830. 432. 132. 732. 535. 134, 234. 836. 835. 136. 036. 236. 837. 037. 337. 7

    Rentalincome

    ofper-

    9.09. 4

    10. 210. 510. 910. 710. 911. 912. 211. 911. 912. 312. 812. 312. 512. 612. 812. 912. 913. 0

    Netinter-

    est

    5. 56. 37. 18. 29. 1

    10. 411. 713. 414. 816. 418. 120. 022. 220. 321. 021. 522. 022. 523. 023. 5

    Corporatory va

    Total

    35. 741. 037. 737. 333. 743. 142. 041. 737. 247. 245. 645. 551. 546. 051. 150. 450. 751. 054 053. 3

    fce profitsluation ac

    Profitsbeforetaxes

    40. 642. 236. 738. 334. 144. 944 743. 237. 447. 745. 445. 651. 346. 351.450. 150. 951. 153. 252. 9

    and inven-jiustment

    Inventoryvaluation

    adjustment-5.0-1. 2

    1. 0-1. 0-. 3

    -1. 72. 7

    1. 5-.3 . 5

    . 2

    . 0

    . 2-. 3-.3

    . 3oi

    . 84

    1 Includes employer contributions for social insurance, (Sec also p. 4.) NOTE.Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning

    Source: Department of Commerce.

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  • SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOMEPersonal income rose $2.0 billion in May to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $458.2 billion. Wage and salarydisbursements accounted for most of the rise.

    BILLIONS OF DOLLARS5OO

    BILLIONS OF DOLLARS500

    1957 I 1958SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

    I960 1962 1963

    COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

    [Billions of dollars, monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

    Period

    1954195519561957195819591960 .1961 __1962 *1962: Apr__

    May...JuneJuly.A U R _ _ _S e p t _ _ _OctNovDec....

    1W.3: .Ian...l 'Vl>MarA p r . M i i y < _ .

    Totalpersona]income

    289. 8310. 2332. 9351. 4360. 3383. 9400. 8416. 4440. 5438. 3439. 7440. 7441. 9443. 0443. 5445. 6448. 2450. 4452. 4451. 1453. 2456. 2458. 2

    W ageand

    salarydisburse-ments '

    196. 3210. 9227. 6238. 5239. 8258. 5271. 3278. 8295. 8295. 3296. 0296. 9297. 8298. 1298. 0298. 5299. 8301. 0301. 5303. 6305. 0307. 2308. 7

    Otherlabor

    income 2

    6. 27. 18. 19. 19. 4

    10. 411. 011. 412. 312. 212. 312. 412. 412. 412. 412. 512. 512. 512. 612. 712. 712. 812. 9

    Propriet

    Farm

    12. 711. 811. 611. 813. 511. 412. 013. 113. 012. 812. 812. 812. 712. 812. 913. 213. 614. 013.412. 912. 712! 512. 4

    ors' incomeBusinessand pro-fessional

    27. 830. 432. 132. 732. 535. 134 234. 836. 836. 636. 836. 836. 937. 037. 037. 137. 337. 437. 637. 737. 837. 938. 1

    Rentalincome

    ofpersons

    10. 910. 710. 911. 912. 211. 911. 912. 312. 812. 712. 812. 812. 812. 912. 912. 912. 912. 913. 013. 013. 013. 113. 1

    Divi-dends

    9. 811. 212. 112. 612. 413. 714. 415. 015. 915. 815. 815. 815. 715. 716. 016. 116. 217. 016. 316. 416. 516. 616. 6

    Personalinterestincome

    14. 615. 817. 519. 621. 023. 525. 827. 429. 729. 229. 429. 629. 830. 030. 230. 430. 630.831. 131. 331. 631. 932. 1

    Transferpay-

    ments

    16. 217. 518. 821. 926. 327. 529. 433. 434. 634. 234. 234. 134. 234. 534. 535. 535. 835. 538. 735. 335. 636. 036. 2

    Less: Per-sonal con-tributionsfor socialinsurance

    4. 65. 25. 86. 76. 97. 99. 29. 7

    10. 510. 510. 510. 510. 510. 510. 410. 510. 510. 611.711. 811. 811.911. 9

    Nonagri-culturalpersonalincome 3

    273. 8295. 0317. 9336. 1343. 0368. 6384. 7399. 1423. 2421. 2422. 6423. 5424. 8425. 9426. 4428. 2430. 4432.3434. 6434. 0436. 2439. 3441. 4

    (De lus ive of net income of unincorporated farm enterprises,

    farm wages, agricultural net interest, and net dividends paid by agriculturalcorporations.

    * Preliminary.NOTE.Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960.Source: Department of Commerce.

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOMEIn the first quarter, personal consumption expenditures rose by $4.3 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) whiledisposable personal income rose by $3.3 billion. The saving rate declined to 6.3 percent.

    1,800

    1,6001957 ! 1958

    Jt SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES.

    SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

    ,800

    1,600

    COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

    Period

    195119521953195419551956195719581959196019611962

    1961: III-IV.-

    1962: T - - -II--III-IV.

    1963: I

    Per-sonal

    income

    256. 7273. 1288. 3289. 8310. 2E32. 9351. 4360. 3383. 9400. 8-116. 4140. 5

    419. 4427. 3

    432. 0439. 5442. G448. 0

    452. 1

    Less:'er-

    sonaltaxes

    29. 234. 435. 832. 935. 740. 042. 642. 346. 851. 452, 857.6

    53. 054. 6

    56.457. 758. 558. 7

    59. 5

    Equals :Dis-

    posablepersonalincome

    227. 5238. 7252. 5256. 9274. 4292. 9308. 8317. 9337. 1349. 4363. 6382. 9

    36ii. 3372. 6

    375. 6381. S384. 1389. 3

    392. 6

    Personn

    Total

    Billions209. 8219. 8232. 6238. 0256. 9269. 9285. '2293. 2313. 5328. 5338. 1356. 7

    Seasc340. 1346. 1

    350. 2354. 9358. 2363. 5

    367. 8

    1 consumr

    Durablegoods

    of dollar.'29. ;329. 1H2. 932. -1H9. 638. 5-Hi. -i37. 343. 644. 843. 747. 5

    nally adjt44. 046. 6

    46. 347. 247. 149. 6

    50. 0

    tion expo

    Non-durable^ooc.s

    1 Hi. 11 15. i118. 0119. 3124. S131. 4J 37. 7141. 6147. 1151. 8155. 2162. 0

    isted aimJ 5i>. 2157. 2

    159. 9161. 3163. 0163. (I165. 5

    nditures

    Ferviees

    71). 275. 081. 886. 392. 5

    1 00. 0107. 1114. 3122. 8131. 9139. 1147. 1

    lal rates139. 9142. 3

    344. 1146. 3148. 1150. 1

    152. 3

    Equals:Personal

    saving

    17. 7IS. 919. S18. 917. 523. 023. 024. 723. 620. 925. 626. 2

    26. 326. 5

    25. 426. 926. 025. S

    24. 8

    Per cappossible

    inco

    Currentprices

    Dol1, 4751, 5211, 5821, 5821. 660I, 7411, 8031, 8251, 9041, 9341, 9792, 052

    1, 992. 015

    2. 0242, 0502, 0542, 074

    2, 084

    ita dis-iersonalme

    1962prices '

    lars1, 7181, 7361, 7881, 7701, 8491, 90S1, 9191, 9071, 9651, 9681, 9982, 052

    2, 00.82, 027

    2, 0342, 0532, 0522,064

    2, 065

    .Saving aspercentof dis-

    posablepersonalincome

    (percent)

    7.87. 97. 87. 46. 47. 97. 67. 87. 06. 07. 06. S

    7. 27. 1

    6. 87. 06. S6. (i6. 3

    Popula-

    (thou-sands) 2

    154, 283156, 947159, 559162, 388165, 276168, 225171, 278174, 154177, 080180, 676183, 742186, 591

    .181. 150184, 952

    385, 607186, 258186, 980187, 7.'if>1 S8, :!5(i

    1 Income in current prices divided by the implicit price delator for persona!

    consiimption expenditures on a 1962 base.- Population of tne United States including armed forces abroad. Annuni

    dataasofJt i ly 1; quarterly ( iaf :i centered in the middle ol the period, inirrpobfedfrom montlily figures.

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • FARM INCOMENet farm income (seasonally adjusted) fell in the first quarter to a level slightly above that of a year earlier.

    BILL

    50

    40

    30

    10

    0

    SOU

    IONS OF DOLLARS

    . I l l1957

    CE: DEPARTMENT OF

    /

    1 1 1

    1958

    AGRICULTURE.

    SEASON

    REALIZED GROSSFARM INCOME

    INC

    l 1 i1959

    ALLY ADJUSTED ANNUd

    -^

    NET FARM INCOME.UDING-NET INVENT

    CHANGE

    I.....I 1 ,,I960

    L RATES

    )RY

    "--"""

    _L J i1961

    1 I 11962

    BILLIONS OF DOLL

    "

    1 l i1963

    COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC AO

    4RS

    50

    40

    30

    10

    0

    VISERS ;

    Period

    1953195419551956_1957^ _ ... .1958. .19591960__1961.. .1962

    1901: IIIIV

    1962: IIIIII ..IV

    I ' .Ui . ' i : I

    Personaltotal i

    Fromall

    sources

    20. 019. 018. 318. 618. 820. 519. 019. 620. 320. 4

    income rearm popu

    Fromfarm

    sources

    13. 813. 212. 212. 012. 213. 811. 812. 413. 313. 3

    ceived bylation

    Fromnonfarmsources

    6. 35. 86. 16. 66. 66. 77. 17.27.07. 1

    Realize

    Total !

    Billions35. 333. 933. 334. G34. 437. 937. 537. 939. 940. 6

    Seas40. 140. 840. 340. 340. 541. 4

    40. 8

    ]

    d gross

    Cashreceipts

    frommarket-

    ingsDf dollars

    31. 130. 029. G30. 629. 833. 433. 534. 035. 235. 7

    onallv ad35. 235. 835. 435. 335. 536. 535. 8

    ncome re

    tion ex-penses

    21. 421. 721 i)22. 623. 425. 326. 226. 227. 127. 7

    listed am27. 227. 327. 527. G27. 727. 928. 1

    ceived fro

    Net toper

    Exclud-ing net in-ventorychange

    ] 3. 912. 211. 512. 011. 012. 611. 311. 712. 812. 9

    nial rates12. 913. 512. 812. 712. 813. 512. 7

    m farming

    3 farmators

    Includ-ing net in-ventorychange 2

    13. 312. 711. 81 1. 011. 813. 511. 412. 013. 013. 0

    13. 113. 612. 912. 812. 813. 613. 0

    Net incfarm inclinventory

    Currentprices

    Dol2, 6642, 6452, 5292, 5742, 6953. 20)2, 7753, 0443, 4223,537

    3, 4403, 5703, 5003, 4703, 4703, 6903, 630

    ome perading netchange 3

    1962prices *

    lars2, 9272, 8752, 7492, 76S2, S073, 2662, 8323, 0753, 4573, 537

    3, 4703, 6103, 5003,4703, 4703, 6903, 590

    receipts from marketings, Government payments, and nonmoney in-rnished hy farms.n io rv of crops and livestock valued at the averace price for the year,s n^'isod bosrmninfc 1951 on the basis of 1959 Census of Agriculture defi-; ;! f ; inn. Tlio number of farms is held constant within a year.

    * Income in current prices divided by the index of price? paid by farmers forfamily living items on a 1962 base.

    Source: Department of Agriculture.

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  • CORPORATE PROFITSCorporate profits before taxes were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $52.9 billion in the first quarter, slightlybelow the unusually high rate in the fourth quarter of 1962 and nearly $3 billion above the first quarter rate of lastyear.

    BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARSSEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

    PROFITS BEFORE TAXES */

    \ 50

    40

    EXCLUDING INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT.SOURCE: DEPARTMENT or COMMERCE.

    I963

    COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

    [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual ratesl

    Period

    19511052... .1953. _ .195419551956195719581959... .1000.19(il19021901: ITT..

    IV..1962: I ..

    II.III..IV..

    1963: I

    Corf

    Allindus-tries

    41. 037. 737. 333. 743. 1'12. 0-11. 7:?7. 2-17. '_-15. !- i r> . r51. rHi. 051. 150. -150. 751. 054. 053. 3

    orate pri

    M

    Total

    24. 421. 121. 4]8. 425. 023. 522. 9is! 325. 42-1. 023. 528. 02-!. 027. 527. 027. 128. 129. 728. 3

    ofits (befo/aluationanufactur

    Durablegoodsindus-tries

    13. 511. 812. 110. ]M 212. (i13. 19. 0

    13. -1j ') >11. 7M. 912. 1M. 9M. 2M. 315. 315. 815. 0

    re taxes)adjustmeiing

    Non-durablegoodsindus-tries

    10. 99. 39. 38. 3

    10. 810. 99. 89. 3

    1 1 . 9] 1. 811. 713. 111. 912. 612. 812. 812. 813. 913. 3

    and invenit

    Trans-portation,

    com-muni-

    cations,and

    publicutilities

    4. 54. 84. 9

    . 4

    . -1

    . (i

    . 5

    . 6

    . 7

    . 0

    . 48. 07. 58.08. 18. 07. 98. 08. 1

    tory

    Allotherindus-tries

    12. (111. 811. 011. 012. 81 2. 913. 313.315. 114. 614. 715. 614. 515. 615. 415. 714. 916. 316. 9

    Corpo-rate

    profitsbeforetaxes

    42. 236. 738. 334. 144. 944. 743. 237. 447. 745. 445. 651. 346. 351. 450. 150. 951. 153. 252. 9

    Corpo-ratetax

    liabil-ity

    22. 419. 520. 217. 221. 821. 220. 918. 623. 222. 422. 325. 022. 625. 124. 424. 924. 926. 025. 8

    Corja

    Total

    19. 717. 218. 116. 823. 023. 522. 318.824. 523. 023. 326. 323. 726. 325. 626. 126. 127. 327. 1

    Derate prfter taxe

    Divi-dendpay-

    ments

    9. 09. 09. 29. 8

    11. 212. 112. 612. 413. 714. 415. 015. 914. 915. 515. 815. 815. 816. 416. 4

    ofitss

    Un-distrib-

    utedprofits

    10.78.38.97.0

    11. 811. 39. 76. 4

    10. 88.68. 3

    10. 38. 7

    10. 89.9

    10. 310. 310. 910. 6

    Corpo-rate

    capitalcon-

    sump-tion

    allow-ances 1

    11. 012. 314. 115. 818. 420. 021. 822. 724. 325. 927. 529. 227. 828. 528. 729. 129. 429. 730. 1

    Profitsplus

    capitalcon-

    sump-tion

    allow-ances 2

    30. 729.632.232. 741. 443. 544. 141.448. 748. 950. 855. 551. 454. 854.455.255. 557. 057. 2

    1 Inc'Jndas depreciation, e.'ipHaJ outlays charged to current accounts and acci-

    dental d am sires.:

    Corporate profits after taxes plus corporate capita! consumption allowances.

    NOTE.Data for AJaskn and Hawaii included beginning I960,Source: Department of Commerce.

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  • GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENTin the first quarter, a rise of $1.8 billion (seasonally adjusted annua! rate) in the inventory accumulation more thanoffset a decline of $1.2 billion in fixed investment, resulting in an increase in total private investment.

    BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

    80

    -20

    SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

    GROSS PRIVATEDOMESTIC INVESTMENT

    PRODUCERS-DURABLE EQUIPMENT

    V ...i

    CHANGE IN BUSINESSINVENTORIES

    >1

    1957 1958 1959

    20

    1960 1961 1962

    SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE..

    1963

    COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

    [Billions of dollars, quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

    Period

    195019511952195319541955 . 195619571958195919601961. .19621961: III

    IV1962: I

    II .. .IIIIV

    1963: I

    Totalgross

    privatedomesticinvest-ment

    50. 056. 349. 950. 348. 963. 867. 460. ]56. 672. 772. 469. 376. 672. 476. 675. 977. 476. 376. 276. 8

    Total

    43. 246. 146. 849. 950. 558. 102. 764. 658. 666. 268. 367. 173. 468. 470. 669. 273. 475. 374. 973. 7

    Total

    24. 224. S25. 527. (i29. 734. 935. 53f>. 135. 540. 240. 741. 644. 542. 643. 241. 644. 546. 145. 043. 6

    Fix

    New cons

    liesi-dential

    non fa rm

    4. 12. 52. S3. S5. -1

    18. 717. 717. 0IS. 022. 321. 121. 023. 321. 922. 821. 223.324. 323. 822. 6

    3d invcstn

    traction '

    OtlTotal

    10. 112. 312. 71 3. S1-1. 31 6. 21 7. S19. 017. 417. 919. 720. 521. 220.720. 420. 521. 221. 821. 321. 0

    lent

    or 2

    Nonfarm

    S. 510. 410. S12. 112. 7J 4. 616. 317. 515. 916. 218. 018. 619. 518. 518. 618. 919. 419. 919. 519. 4

    I'roduciable cq\

    1 ola l

    IS. '.)21 . 3U. 3, ., .1LO. SL3. 1L7 228. 523. 125. 927. 625. 528. 925. 827. 427. 628. 929. 229. 930. 1

    ;rs' dur-lipment

    Non-farm

    16. 2I K . 4.18. 619. 5IS. 520. (i25. 026. 220. 323. 125. 123. 025. 923. 524. 924. 926. 026. 126. 626. 8

    Changeness inv

    Total

    li. 810. 2

    3. 1. 1

    -1.65. S-!. 71. 6

    - 2. 06. 64. 12. 13.24. 06. 06. 74. 01. 01. 23.0

    in busi-entories

    Non-farm

    (i. 09. 12. 11. 1

    2 15. 55. 1

    8-2. 9

    6. 53. 71. 93. 23. 85. 96. f>3. 91. 01. 12. 7

    1 Revisions in series on new construction shown on p. 19 have not yet been in-

    corporated into these series.!"Other" construction in this series includes petroleum and natural gas well

    driUinp, -which are excluded from estimates on p. 19.NOTE. Data for Alaska and Hawaii included bejrinnin;: 1960.Source: Department of Commerce.

    8

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  • EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENTAccording to the May survey, business firms plan to spend $39.2 billion on new plant and equipment in 1963, 5 per-cent above the total spent in 1962. Actual expenditures in the first quarter of 1963 were $1 billion (seasonallyadjusted annual rate) below the anticipation in the February survey and $1 billion below the fourth quarter 1 962 rate.Expenditure plans call for substantial increases in each of the last 3 quarters of 1963.

    BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

    SEE NOTE 3 ON TABLE BELOW.SOURCES: SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION, AND DEPARTMENT or COMMERCE.

    I962 I I963

    COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

    [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual ratesl

    Period Total ,

    1951 - . . _ . 25. 641952 . -_. .: 26.491953 _ - . . - . - 28.321954 . _ 26. 831955 28. 701956 j 35. 081957 36. 901958 ... ! 30.531959 _ _ . _ . 32. 541960 _ . _ i 35. 681961 34. 371962 . _ . . 37. 3119633 39. 241961: III . . 34. 70

    IV 35. 401962: I . . .. _ 35. 70

    II _ _ 36. 95III..- . .. . 38.35IV.- 37.95

    1963: I.. _ . 36. 95II3 J 38.40III 3 39. 95

    1 Excludes agr icul ture .: Commercial and other includes trade, service, fluam

    construction.3 Estimates based on anticipated capita] expenditures

    in May 39G3. Includes adjustments when necessary fin anticipatory data.

    NOTE. Beginning 1959 ail quarterly da ta are rounde

    M

    Total

    10. 8511. 6311. 9111. 0411. 4414. 9515. 9611. 4312. 0714. 4813. 6814. 6815. 5613. 651-i. 0014. 2014. 4515. 0515. 0014. 8515. 3515. 80

    e, communic"as reported b

    3r systematic

    d to nearest $

    anufacturi

    Durablegoods

    5. 175. 615. 655. 095. 447. 62S. 025. 475. 777. 186. 277. 037. 726. 10. 406. 556. 957. 257. 307. 357. 657. 95

    tions, andy businessendencies

    50 million.

    ng

    Nondura-ble goods

    5. 686. 026. 265. 956. 007. 337. 945. 966. 297. 307. 407. 657.847. 557. 607. 607.507. 807. 707. 507. 707. 85

    Annual totcoincide \vith

    These figureestimates of tagricultural iicharged to cur

    Sources: 3e

    Mining

    0. 93. 98. 99. 98. 96

    1. 241. 24. 94. 99. 99. 98

    1. OS1. 021. 001. 001. 151. 051. 101. 001. 051. 001. 05

    1 is the sunthe average ts do not acrele Dcpartmeivestrnent arent expenseurities and I

    Transpo

    R,ailroads

    1. 471. 401. 31. 85.92

    1. 231. 40. 75. 92

    1. 03. 67. 85

    1. 08. 65.

  • EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGESSTATUS OF THE LABOR FORCEOn a seasonally adjusted basis, total employment declined and the size of the labor force was little changed inMay; the unemployment rate rose to 5.9 percent.

    MILLIONS OF PERSONS MILLIONS OF PERSONS

    SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

    TOTAL LABOR FORCECIVILIAN LABOR FORCE

    UNEMPLOYMENT

    NONAGRICULTURALEMPLOYMENT

    I

    AGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT

    PERCENT OF CIVIL IAN LABOR FORCE PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCEl(S

    p1EMPEASO

    It19

    LOJAL

    57

    I'MLY

    ElA

    -1

    JT0

    ru

    -

    w3T

    -

    TE

    -

    E11

    -T

    95 3

    '

    - -

    --

    -|-u

    195 )

    -i_ fl

    196()

    1_r -

    -

    "

    I

    T~

    36 9

    -

    6

    -

    S

    -jr" -r - -]

    963

    * 14 YEARS OF AGE AND OVER.SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADViSFRS

    Period

    19581959I9601961 1962 2-

    1962:Apr 3.May..June.-July..Aug..Sept..Oct_-Nov.Dec..

    JanI'YhMar--A p r - _M n v _ _

    Totallaborforce

    (includ-ing

    armedforces)

    71, 28471, 94673, 12674, 17574, 839

    73, 65474, 79776, 85776, 43776, 55474, 91474, 92374, 53274, 142

    73, 32373, 99974, 38274, ,89775, K64

    CivilLploy

    Total

    63, 96665, 58166, 68166, 79667, 999

    Unadj66, 82468, 20369, 53969, 56469, 76268, 66868, 89367, 98167, 56165, 93566, 35867, 14868, 09769, 061

    m em-ment

    cul-turalThous

    58, 12259, 74560, 95861, 33362, 744

    usted

    61, 86362, 77563, 24963, 50063, 99363, 10163, 41863, 09863, 49561, 73062, 30962, 81263, 42463, 883

    Unem-ploy-ment

    ands of }4, 6813, 8133, 9314, 8064, 012

    3, 9463, 7194, 4634, 0183, 9323, 5123, 2943, 8013,8174, 6724, 9184, 5014, 0634, 066

    Totallaborforce

    (includ-ing

    armedforces)

    persons 1471, 28471, 94673, 12674, 17574, 839

    74, 47074, 65774, 5297i, 58575, 05674, 98974, 65174, 57774, 848

    75, 06475. 22575, 43075, 73875, 726

    Civilianlaborforce

    vears of68, 64769, 39470, 61271, 60372, Oil

    S

    71, 58571, 78271, 67371, 73072, 19772, 25471, 91571, 82772, 084

    72, 34872, 50172, 69873, 00272, 989

    Civilis

    Total

    age and o63, 96665, 58168, 68186, 79667, 989

    easonally

    67, 59167, 82167, 73167, 83368, 10468, 18868, 07667, 69168, 091

    68, 17168, 08668, 63668, 87468, 676

    in emplo

    Agri-cul-

    tural

    ver

    5, 8445, 8365, 7235. 4635, 255

    adjustet5, 2965, 2695, 1905, 1185, 0875, 1145, 0404,9834,843

    5, 1834,8415, 0085, 0235, 033

    yment

    Non-agri-cul-

    tural

    58, 12259, 74560, 95861, 33362, 744

    1

    62, 29562, 55262, 54162, 71563, 01763, 07463, 03662, 70S63, 248

    62, 98863, 24563, 62863, 85163, 643

    Unem-ploy-ment

    4,6813,8133,9314, 8064, 012

    3, 9943, 9613, 9423,8974,0934, 0663, 8394, 1363,993

    4, 1774, 4154, 0624, 1284, 313

    Unemp]rate (pe

    civiliaifor

    Unad-justed

    6. 85. 55. 66. 75. 6

    5.65. 26.05. 55. 34. 94. 65. 35. 36. 66. 96. 35. 65. 6

    oymentrcent ofi laboree)Season-ally ad-justedPercent

    5. 65. 55. 55.45.75.65. 35. S5.5

    5. S6. 15. 65. 75. 9

    Laborforce

    partici-pationrate,

    unad-justed '

    58. 558. 358. 358. 057 5

    56. 857. 659. 258. 758. 757. 457. 356. 956. 655. 956. 356. 556. 957. 5

    Tr>i.!i] h ihor lorro as percent of noninstitutional population.' A VT;UTS have hem adjusted by the Council of Economic Advisers for com-

    parison w i t h previous (inla.J i%o i ' n p u i a ) ion Census data used in estimation procedure beginning April

    1W?; ni l other d i i tn based on J'JGO Population Census.

    NOTE.Seasonally adjusted series revised heginning 1949. For definitionsand coverage, see Employment and Earnings, Department of Labor. BeginningI960, data include Alaska and Hawaii.

    Source: Department of Labor.

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  • SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND PART-TIME EMPLOYMENTThe increase in the seasonally adjusted overall unemployment rate in May was accompanied by increases in othermeasures of joblessness.

    PERCENTIO.O SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

    LABOR FORCE TIME LOST THROUGH UNEMPLOYMENTAND PART-TIME WORK

    UNEMPLOYMENT RATE.EXPERIENCEDWAGE AND SALARY WORKERS

    PERCENT

    10.0

    8.0

    SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. COUNCIL or ECONOMIC ADVISERS.

    Period

    195719581959196019611962

    1962: MayJune -JulvAug ...SeptOctNovDec

    1963: JanFebMarApr ._May

    1 -Man ed men living

    " Assu nos nnemployfeconomi reasons lost dworked.

    Dill'c s from total nsons witl iobs but not, aand industrial disputes.

    Unen(percen

    for

    Ailworkers

    4. 36. 85. 55. 66. 75. 6

    5. 55. 55. 45. 75. 65. 35. 85. 55.86. 15.65. 75. 9

    with their wd persons loflerencc beti

    "maTrieultur;t work for si

    iployment of civiluce in Kroi

    Experi-enced

    wage and

    workers

    Per4. 57. 25. 65. 76. 85. 5

    Seasonall5. 55, 45. 45. 75. 65.25. 65. 55. 76.05.55. 45. 5

    res.st 37.5 hourss'een 37.5 hoi1 ernploymeeh reasons as

    t ratein laborP)

    Marriedmen 1

    cent2. 85. 13.63. 74. 63. 6

    v adjustec3.53. 63. 53. 53. 43. 43. 43. 53. 84. 13. 53. 33. 4

    a week; thosITS and actuant (p. 13), wvacation, ill

    Laborforce

    time lostthroughploymentand part-

    timework z

    5. 38. 16. 66. 78.06. 7

    6. 66. 66. 76. 76. 86. 66. 96. 66. 87. 16. 66. 66. 9

    e on part-tim1 number of ]hich includesness, bad wea

    Over 40hours

    17, 60416, 60017, 34517, 66418, 21019, 024

    19, 48219, 60618, 71618, 45219, 88319, 46018, 79920, 12318, 89318, 35818,96418, 06819, 894

    :e for sborours 5 '

    per- ther, . ,N

    So

    Persons

    35-40hours

    Thousan28, 63428, 27327, 72328, 72429, 04728 854

    T30, 22929, 60327, 65628, 81229, 80128, 58726, 30829, 05229, 58728, 70529, 70528, 43730, 489

    ncludes pertaffes or repa^rimarily incLvera^e hourOTE. See nc

    dree: l>("iar

    at work iby hours

    Total

    ds of pers9, 730

    10, 37211, 70211, 52811, 132]] , 675

    Jnadjuste11, 12110, 292

    9, 78310,07110, 74013, 23715, 96812, 07511, 08012, 81211,70614, 31111, 408

    ons who wIT?^ new iobudes person

    s worked: u.e and also

    men! of La

    n nonagriworked p

    Ur

    Part-tieconomi

    Usuallyfull-

    time 4

    ons 14 ve1, 1831, 6381, 0321, 2431, 297I, 049

    11, 1111,041

    9621,0881,0931,0231, 1681, 0011, 1471,0051, 0501, 1366

    1, 021irked part-tstarted, or ics who couldDually fu!l-t:ifootnote 2.

    or.

    cultural irer week sider 35 ho

    me for3 reasons

    Usuallypart-time 5

    ars of age986

    1, 3151, 3041, 3171, 516], 287

    1, 1841, 5891, 7121, 5371, 1521, 1621, 2111, 1651,0961, 1811, 1421, 070

    6 1, 119

    me becauseb terminatecind only parlie, 23.8; usup. 10. Begi

    dustries

    urs

    Part-tieconomic

    Usuallyfull-

    time *and over

    Seasonally1, 0991, 0391,0851, 1241, 1431, 0721, 145

    9951,092

    9651, 0001,0801,010

    of slack wo.

    t-time work.illy par/..tnmminjr I'jW. (

    me for; reasons

    Usuallypart-time5

    T adjusted1,2531, 2891, 3391,2521,2621,3641, 3161,3031,2531,2311, 2291,0991, 184

    k, material

    I.S.I.ll:i in r l iKlo

    11

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  • UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE PROGRAMSInsured unemployment under State programs averaged 1.6 million in May, 54,000 more than in May 1962.

    MILLIONS OF PERSONS MILLIONS OF PERSONS

    WEEKLY INSURED UNEMPLOYMENT(STATE PROGRAMS)

    SEPT.

    SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. COUNCIL OF ECON6MIC ADVISERS

    Period

    1958 ^19501 900 -196119021962: Apr

    Mav . _JuneJulv . . .Aug_ _Sept. _ .OctNovDeo

    1963: J a n _ _ .FebMar _AprMay2-- --

    Week ended:1963: May 4^

    1]IS -25

    June 1 .S

    A

    Coveredemploy-

    ment

    Thou44, 41245, 72840, 33446, 26447, 15047, 37247, 82148, 44248, 43448, 71848, 639

    11 progranInsuredunem-ploy-ment

    (weeklyaver-age) '

    sands3, 2692, 0992, 0672, 9941, 9462, 2161, 8401, 6671, 6991, 6281, 4971, 5391, 7802, 2232, 7782, 7262, 4652, 0891, 7991, 9251, 8551, 7911, 7201, 751

    as

    Totalbenefits

    paid(mil-

    lions ofdol-

    lars) >

    4, 209. 22, 803. 03, 022. 74, 358. 23, 145. 2

    297. 9254. 3215. 4205. 2218. 9181. 119S. 9215. 5236. 5373. 0339. 6343. 0297. 8255. 0

    Insuredunem-ploy-ment

    Weekly2, 5091, 6821, 9062, 2901,7831,8311, 5701, 4691, 5431, 4691, 3311, 3851, 6252, 0632, 5912, 5462, 2981,9181, 6241, 7461, 6801, 6161, 5491, 578

    Initialclaims

    iverage, t370281331350302267250258319261235275314422447325272273239

    256247231244222248

    St

    Exhaus-tions

    lousands50333146323933302826252526283536363733

    ite prograInsurec

    ploymencent of

    emploUnad-justed

    Per6. 44. 44. 85. 64. 44. 53. 93. 63. 83. 63. 33. 44. 05. 16. 36. 25. 64. 73.9

    4. 24. 13. 93. 73. 8

    ms

    1 unem-t as per-coveredyment

    Season-ally ad-justed

    3ent

    3. 9S. 84.04.34-44.44.64. 84.84.84. 74-44. 14. o

    Benefi

    Total(mil-

    lions ofdollars)

    3, 512. 72, 279. 02, 726. 73, 422. 72, 675. 4

    239. 6215. 0188. 9187.0197. 4160. 6176. 6193. 6214. 2342. 4313. 3316. 4274. 8235. 0

    ts paid

    Averageweeklycheck

    (dollars)

    30. 5830. 4132. 8733.8034. 5634. 5234. 0434. 2034. 0134. 2934. 4234. 6934. 9535. 1135. 5235.7035. 8035. 5435. 00

    12NOTE.Por defini t ion? and coverage, see the iQ^S Supplement to Economic

    hid/calory. Data for Alaska and Hauaii included for all periods and for PuertoRico since January 1961,

    Source: Department of Labor.

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  • NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENTNonfarm payroll employment, seasonally adjusted, rose by 170,000 in May. Gains were particularly large indurable goods manufacturing and trade.

    MILLIONS OF WAGEAND SALARY WORKERS

    MILLIONS OF WAGE ^AND SALARY WORKERS

    ALL NONAGRICULTURAL ESTABLISHMENTS

    CONTRACT CONSTRUCTION(ENLARGED SCALE)

    ,L 1 I 1 1 1 t 1 1 1 1

    DURABLEGOODS

    INDUSTRIESV

    """"NONDURABLE- GOODS 1NDUSTRI

    1 , , , , 1 , 1 , , 1ESS*_ '

    1 1 , , , ,

    f

    1

    WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE(ENLARGED SCALE)

    I960. SEASONALLY ADJUSTED DATA.SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR.

    1963 1961'COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

    [Thousands of wage and salary workers; ' seasonally adjusted]Manufacturing (private) I Nonmanufacturing (private) Government

    Period

    195619571958195919601961196221962: Apr__

    May.June-July -Aug_-Sept-Oct__Nov_Dec .

    1963: JanFeb-Mar .Apr'.M;iva.

    Total

    52, 40852, 90451, 42353, 38054, 34754, 07755, 32555, 26055, 40355, 53555, 61755, 53655, 58355, 64755, 59755, 58055, 53055, 73055, 96:556, 1 S956. 3f>9

    Total

    17, 24317, 17415, 94516, 66716, 76216, 26716, 75016, 84816, 89116, 92316, 90816, 79516, 80516, 78116, 69516, 68116, 0321 6, 66516, 7711 (>, 90SHi, 9S-I

    Durablegoods

    9, 8349, 8568, 8309, 3699, 4419, 0429, 4439, 4909, 5449, 5559, 5529, 4619, 4869,4709, -1139,4189, 3909, 4239, 47S9, 575!), 653

    Non-durablegoods

    7, 4097, 3197, 1167, 2987, 3217, 2257, 3087, 3587, 3477,3687, 3567, 3347, 3197, 3117, 2827, 2637, 2337, 2427, 2937, 3337. 331

    Total

    27, 88728, 10427, 58528, 52329, 06528, 98329, 39029, 32429, 38529, 41529, 52629, 53729, 50429, 52729. 5 1 829, 47029, 47029, 61629, 72029, S0629. si;:;

    Mining

    8228287517317096666476566596526486466416386:;o625623625625635637

    Con-tractcon-

    struc-tion

    2, 9992, 9232, 7782, 9552, 8822, 7602, 6962, 7342, 7162, 6712, 7382, 7312, 7152, 7162, 6962, 6542, 6512, (MO2, 6342, 7342 , 7 1 6

    Trans-porta-tionand

    publicutilities

    4, 2444, 2413, 9764, 0104, 0173, 9233, 9253, 9353, 9363, 9343, 9133, 9323, 9283, 9353, 9183, 9213, 836{, 913i, 915>, 915i, 922

    Whole-saleand

    retailtrade

    10, 85810, 88610, 75011, 12511, 41211, 36811, 57111, 54611, 59611, 62111, 65211, 62711, 6121 1, 5941 1 , 60011, 573I I , 6 3 711, 07911, 76511, 7641 1 , 807

    Finance,insur-ance,andreal

    estate2, 4292, 4772, 5192, 5972, 6842, 7482, 7932, 7782, 7862,7882, 7922, 7962, 7992, 8132, S222! 8212, S282, 8362, 8442, 8432, 851

    Serviceand

    miscel-laneous

    6, 5366, 7496, 8117, 1057, 3617, 5167, 7577, 6757, 6927. 7497,7837, 8057, 8097, 8317, 8467, 8767, 8957,9177, 9377, 9157, 930

    Federal

    2, 2092, 2172, 1912, 2332, 2702, 2792, 3412, 3252,3432, 3662, 3752, 3742, 3692, 3712, 3812, 3912, 3792,3562,3632,3632, 380

    Stateandlocal

    5, 0695,4095, 7025, 9576, 2506, 5486. 8446, 7636, 7846, 8316, 8086, 8306, 9056, 9687, 0037, 0387, 0557,0937, 1097, 1127, 132

    sons, domes! i.this table not

    proprietors, solf-cmplo ' innintr 1950. data include Alaska andsource: Drpiirtment of Labor. 13

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • WEEKLY HOURS OF WORK - SELECTED INDUSTRIESThe average workweek of production workers in manufacturing rose in May to 40.5 hours (seasonally adjusted1).

    HOURS PER WEEK (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) HOURS PER WEEK (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)46

    44

    NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING

    1962 I 1963

    38

    30 t-\MI960 1961

    SOURCE'. DEPARTMENT OF LABOR.

    RETAIL TR/!

    nr*- .1 -i

    I960

    OE

    1961 (962 1963.COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

    [Average hours per week; * seasonally adjusted]

    Period

    1952 . _ .19531954..1955 .195619571958 1959 _ _1900lO i i i1 062 21962: Apr ... .

    MavJune.JulyAugSeptOct .Nov . .Dec. ... _

    1963: JanFebMarApr2 _ _ _ _Mav2

    Mai

    A l l

    40. 740. 539. 640. 740. 439. 839. 240. 339. 739. 840. 440. 840. 640. 540. 540. 240. 540. 140. 440. 340. 240. 340. 440. 340. 5

    mfacturing indus

    Durablegoods

    41. 541. 240. 141. 341. 040. 339. 540. 740. 140. 240. 941. 341. 141. 041. 040. 941. 040. 741. 141. 140. 741. 041. 040. 841. 0

    tries

    Nondurablegoods

    39. 739. 639. 039. 939. 039. 238. 839. 739. 239. 339. 740. 240. 140. 039. 839. 439. 739. 339. 439. 639. 439. 539. 839. 639. 9

    Contract con-struction

    38. 937. 937. 237. 137. 537. 036. 837. 036. 730. 937. 036. 637. 536. 737. 437. 337. 737. 237. 335. 436. 536. 637. 437. 3

    Retail trade

    40. 539. 839. 739. 639. 138. 738. 738. 738. 538. 137. 937. 838.037. 937. 937. 938. 037. 837. 938. 037. 837. 937. 837. 9

    1 Data relate to production workers or nonsupervisory employees. Beginning

    1959, data include Alaska and Hawaii.2 Preliminary.

    14

    Source: Department of Labor.

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • AVERAGE HOURLY AND WEEKLY EARNINGS - SELECTED INDUSTRIESAverage hourly earnings of production workers in manufacturing were unchanged at $2.45 in May. Averageweekly earnings, however, rose by $1.22 to $98.98.

    I960 1961SOURCE: D E P A R T M E N T OF L A B O R .

    1962 1963COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

    [For production workers or nonsupervisory employees]

    Period

    19531954___ ...1955_ ...195619571958195919601961__ ...196231962: Apr___

    May_.June,.July-.Aug--Sept__Oct._NovDec..

    1963: J an__Feb__Mar__Apr 3 _May3_

    Avera

    Manufe

    All

    $1. 741. 781. 861. 952. 052. 112. 192. 262. 322. 392. 392. 392. 392. 392. 372. 402. 402. 412. 432. 432. 432. 442. 452. 45

    ge hourly

    icturing i

    Durablegoods

    $1. 861. 901. 992. 082. 192. 262. 362. 432. 492. 572. 562. 562. 562. 562. 542. 572. 572. 592. 612. 602. 612. 612. 622. 62

    earnings-

    ndustries

    Non-durablegoods

    $1. 581. 621. 671. 771. 851. 911. 982. 052. 112. 172. 162. 172. 172. 172. 162. 172. 172. 192. 192. 202. 202. 212. 212. 22

    current

    Contractcon-

    struc-tion

    $2. 282. 392. 452. 572. 712. 822. 933. 073. 193. 293. 273. 243. 233. 273. 283. 333. 323. 333. 393. 393. 383. 373. 31

    prices

    Retailtrade

    $1. 251. 291. 341. 401. 471. 521. 571. 621. 681. 751. 741. 751. 751. 751. 751.761. 771. 771. 751. 791. 781.781. 79

    Aver

    Manufrts for

    Food-stuffs

    260267274288285274277298

    nadjust293288315271283284297322345329208323317317

    rts

    consum

    Indus-trial

    mate-rials

    477521534489569539522561

    ed584553585558558580544541585527518553575593

    ption 3Finishedmanu-

    fac-tures

    217268294326431438423496

    487485512491489505504562539480412491526547

    Merchan-dise

    tradesurplus,season-ally ad-justed

    23438052126065

    383453376

    335439396496367323467174264467

    -1116375G6495

    1 Total exports less Department oi Defense shipments of erant-aid military

    supplies and equipment under the Military Assistance Program.2 Imports for immediate consumption phis entries into bonded warehouses.3 Imports for immediate consumption plus withdrawals for consumption from

    bonded warehouses.

    1 Total adjusted to exclude S33.5 million o- the value reported by economic

    category.NOTE.Seasonally adjusted series revised beginning 1901. Because of revisions

    being made in series, subgroups do not necessarily include all data in totals.Source: Department of Commerce. OO

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • U.S. EXPORTS AND IMPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICESA fall in imports of soods and services in the first quarter of 1963 raised the surplus on goods and services to $4.8billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate).

    BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

    SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE.

    I963

    COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS.

    [Millions of dollars, quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates

    Period

    19541955 ...1956 ...195719581959_1960*1961*1962*1961*: I _ _ _

    IIIII _IV

    1962*: IIIIIIIV

    1963: I 2 _ . _

    Total

    17, 75919, 80423, 59526, 48123, 06723, 47626, 97428, 31129, 79028, 35227, 37228, 42829, 09228, 82430, 44030, 20029, 69629, 464

    Expo

    Mer-chan-dise '

    12, 79914, 28017, 37919, 39016, 26416, 28219, 45919, 91320, 47920, 20019, 02019, 94820, 48420, 08821, 04821, 08019, 70019, 992

    rts of goo

    Militarysales

    182200161375300302335402660352448408400452760564864732

    ds and seiIncome

    vestn

    Private

    1, 9552, 1702, 4682, 6122, 5382, 6942, 8733, 4643, 8503, 4323, 3243, 6163, 4843, 6163, 7603, 7844, 2404, 020

    viceson ui-

    icntsGovern-

    ment272274194205307349349380472380480280380436576420456472

    Otherservices

    2, 55)2, 8803, 3933, 8993, 6583, 8493, 9584, 1524, 3293, 9884, 1004, 1764, 3444, 2324, 2964, 3524, 4364, 248

    Impo

    Tola!

    15, 93117, 79519, 62820, 75220, 86123, 34223, 20522, 86724, 96421, 90822, 02423, 48424, 05224, 47624, 88825, 12825, 36424, 692

    rts of goo

    Mer-chan-dise '

    10, 35411, 52712, 80413, 29112, 95215, 31014, 72314, 49716, 14513, 54413, 61615, 30415, 52415, 76816, 12016, 50816, 18415. 940

    ds and so

    Militaryexpend-

    itures

    2, 6422, 9012, 9493, 2163, 4353, 1073, 0482, 9343,0283, 0923, 0562, 7202, 8683, 0162, 9922, 9283, 1762, 964

    vices

    Otherservices

    2, 9353, 3673, 8754, 2454, 4744, 9255, 4345,4365,7915, 2725, 3525, 4605, 6605, 6925, 7765, 6926, 0045, 788

    Balanceon goods

    andservices

    1, 8282, 0093, 9675, 7292, 206

    1343,7695,4444, 8266, 4445, 3484, 9445, 0404, 3485, 5525, 0724, 3324, 772

    1 Adjusted from customs data for differences in t iming and coverage.2 PreUminarv.

    *Data revised beginning I960.Source: Department of Commerce

    24

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • U.S. BALANCE OF INTERNATIONAL PAYMENTSDespite a rise in the surplus on goods and services, the overall payments deficit rose slightly in the first quarter of1963 to $3.2 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate).

    BILLIONS OF DOLLARS20

    BILLIONS OF DOLLARS20

    OVER-ALL BA

    LJ

    1 1 11957

    LANCE [SURPLUS C

    ULJUU1 1 1

    1958

    R DEFICIT (-)]

    UUUU1 1 1

    1959

    uuuur i i

    I960

    u LJ 1 1

    1 1 11961

    ULJ^LJ

    i i i1962

    -

    U1 1 1

    1963

    SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS.

    [Millions of dollars]

    Period

    19561957195819591960*___1961*___1962*__

    1961:*IIIHIIV

    1962:*I . -III I I _ _ _ _IV

    1963:I '

    JjaianCeon

    goodsand

    services

    3,9675,7292, 206

    1343,7695,4444, 826

    6, 4445, 3484, 9445, 040

    4, 3485, 5525, 0724, 332

    4,772

    Govern-mentgrants

    andcapital,

    net

    -2,362-2, 574-2, 587-1,986 2, 769-2, 782 2, 998

    -3, 428- 20

    -3, 720- 3, 960

    -3, 680- 3, 364 1, 776-3, 172

    -3,656

    U.S. pr

    Directinvest-ments

    -1,951-2, 442-1, 181-1,372-1,694 1, 598-1, 557

    Season

    -1, 832-1, 376-1, 596-1, 588

    -796-2,024-1, 436-1,972

    -2, 224

    ivate capi

    Long-termport-folio

    -603-859

    -1, 444-926-850

    1, Oil 1, 209ally adjus

    -376-876-936

    -1, 856

    -1,428-1,316

    -752 1, 340

    -1, 828

    tal, net

    Short-term

    -517-276-311-77

    -1, 348-1, 541

    507ted annut

    -1, 888 1, 756

    -844 1, 676

    1, 2204

    -656 156

    220

    Foreigncapital '

    653487

    22863366728

    1, 020il rates

    8481, 048

    164852

    1, 308216704

    1, 852

    536

    Unre-cordedtrans-actions

    5431, 157

    488412

    -683-905

    -1, 025

    -908-1, 560

    60-1, 212

    -108-148

    -1, 876-1, 968

    -176

    Over-

    Total 2

    -935520

    -3, 529-3, 743 3, 881-2, 370-2, 186

    -1,888124

    -2,620-5, 096

    -2, 340-1, 808-1, 424-3, 172

    - 3, 224

    all balanc

    Total

    -935520

    -3, 529-3, 743-3,881-2, 370 2, 186

    Quai

    -33173

    -912-1,200

    -472-323-693-698-669

    3 (surplus

    Goldand con-vertible

    cur-rencies

    306798

    -2, 275-731

    -1, 702-741-907

    terly tola

    -346331

    -270-456

    -189207

    - 550-375

    ' -78

    or deficitLiquid 1

    To mon-etary

    author-itiesand

    institu-tions 4

    i

    i-3,

    -1,890 546

    -1, 079Is, unadji

    -69307

    -417-367

    416-506-601-388-215

    (-))labilities3

    To otherforeignholders 5

    241278254012

    -289-1,083

    -200sted

    84- 565-225-377

    699.} I

    15805

    -376J Other than liquid !unds.2 Equals changes IB U.S. gold and convertible currencies and liquid liabilities

    to foreigners. Remittances and pensions, not shown separately in tins table,are included in over-all balance and amounted to $736 million in 1962.

    - Minus indicates increase in liabili t ies,* To Internationa! Monetary Fund (IMF) and foreign central banks and

    governments.6 To foreign commercial banks and other international and regional institutions

    not listed in footnote 4, ;tnd other foreigners. 25Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • CONSUMER PRICESConsumer prices were unchanged in April, with a slight fall in commodity prices offsetting a small rise in service prices.

    I N D E X , 1957-59 = 100115

    110 -

    I N D E X , 1957-59=1001 1 5

    110

    - 105

    100

    95

    1957 I 1958SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. "COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS

    [1957-59 = 100)

    Period

    19521953195419551958 . . _1957 .-.195819591960196119S21962: Mar .

    AprMayJune, _July..AugSeptOctNov _ _Dec _ _

    1903: Jan .. Feb _ _MarApr

    Allitems

    92. 593. 293. 693. 394. 798. 0

    100. 7101. 5103. 1104, 2105. 4105. 0105. 2105. 2105. 3105. 5105. 5106. 1106. 0106. 0105. 8106. 0106. 1106. 2106. 2

    All com-modities

    96. 796. 495. 494 495. 398. 4

    100. 7101. 0101. 7102. 4103. 2102. 8103. 1103. 0103. 1103. 1103. 2104, 1104. 0103. 9103. 6103. 6103. 8103.7103. 6

    Co

    Food

    97. 195. 695. 494. 094 797. 8

    101. 9100. 3101. 4102. 6103. 6103. 2103. 4103. 2103. 5103. 8103. 8104. 8104. 3104. 1303. 5104. 7105. 0104. 6104. 3

    mmoditieComn

    All

    96. 796. 895. 694. 695. 998. 999. 8

    101. 3101. 8102. 1102. 8102. 4102. 8102. 6102. 6102. 5102. 6103. 4103. 6103. 5103. 4102. 6102. 7102. 9103. 0

    3

    odities le

    Durable

    102. 7101. 697. 794. 994 998. 299. 7

    102. 0100. 7100. 5101. 5100. 9101. 4101. 5101. 6101. 5101. 7101. 6102. 0102. 2101. 7100. 4100. 6100. 8100. 9

    5S food

    Non-durable

    93. 294. 094 494 496. 599. 199. 8

    101. 0102. 6103. 2103. S103. 5103. 8103. 5103. 4103. 3103. 2104. 6104 6104 4104. 6104. 0104. 1104 2104. 3

    Allservices

    84. 087. 589. 891. 493. 497. 0

    100. 3102. 7105. 6107. 6109. 5109. 0109.2109. 4109. 5109. 8109. 9109. 8109. 8110. 0110. 1110. 5110. 5110. 8111. 1

    Services

    Rent

    85. 790. 393. 594 896. 598. 3

    100. 1101. 6103. 1104 4105. 7105. 3105. 4105. 5105. 6105. 7105. 8105. 9106. 1106. 2106. 2106. 3106. 4106. 4106. 5

    Serviceslessrent

    83. 887.089. 190. 892. 896. 7

    100. 3102. 9106. 1108. 3110. 2109. 6109. 8110. 1110. 2110. 5110. 6110. 5110. 5110. 6110. 8111. 2111. 2111. 6111. 9

    Source: Uepjir tmcnt ol Labor.26

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • WHOLESALE PRICESWholesale prices rose in May for the first time in 4 months. The largest increase was in processed foods.

    INDEX, 1957-59=100 INDEX,1957-59 = 100

    103

    SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. .COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC AD1

    [1957-59=100]

    Period

    1955195619571958195919601961 _ _ .1962 31962: Feb

    MarApr .MayJune _July _ _A u a _ _ . _ __Sept.OctNov. . - __ .Dec..-. .. ...

    1963: Jan . . .FebMarApr. ..Mav 3 .

    Allcom-modi-ties

    93. 296. 299. 0

    100. 4100. 6100. 7100. 3100. 6100. 7100. 7100. 4100. 2100. 0100. 4100. 5101. 2100. 6100. 7100. 4100. 5100. 299. 999. 7

    100. 1

    Farmprod-ucts

    97. 996. 699. 2

    103. 697. 296. 996. 007. 798. 208. 496. 996. 295. 306. 597. 6

    100. 698. 799. 397. 398. 596. 595. 495. 494. 4

    Proc-essedfoods

    94. 394. 397. 9

    102. 999. 2

    100. 0100. 7101. 2101. 8101. 6100. 299. 699. 8

    100. 8101. 5103. 3101. 5101. 3100. 9IOC. 8100. 599. 099. 3

    101. 5

    Commodit

    All in-dustri-

    als1

    92. 496. 599. 299. 5

    101. 3101. 3100. 8300. 8100. 8100. 8100. 9100. 9100. 7100. 8100. 6100. 8100. 7100. 7100. 7100. 7100. 6100. 6100. 410G 5

    ies other 1Indus-trial

    crudemate-rials96. 0

    102. 3100. 996. 9

    102. 398. 397. 295. 698. 297. 195. 895. 394. 494. 494. 895. 194. 894. 694. 894. 794. 994. 994. 394. 1

    ban farm ]Indus-trial in-

    termedi-ate ma-terials 2

    92. 597. 099. 699. 4

    101. 0101. 4100. 199. 999. 9

    100. 0100. 3100. 2100. 1100. 099. 899. 899. 799. 699. 590. 599. 499. 399. 399. 5

    jroducts aiProduc-er fin-ishedgoods

    85. 692. 097. 7

    100. 2102. 1102. 3102. 5102. 9102. 8102. 8102. 9102. 9102. 8103. 0103. 0102. 9102. 8102 9103. 0103. 0103. 0102. 9102. 9103. 1

    id foods (irConsunished gc

    cludinDur-able92. 895. 998. 7

    100. 1101. 3100. 9100. 5100. 0100. 1100. 099. 9

    100. 0100. 0100. 2100. 1100. 199. 9

    100. 093 ()99. 899. 899. 799. 599. 6

    idustrials)tier fin-sods ex-K food

    Non-durable

    95. 897. 799. 999. 3

    100. 8101. 5101. 5101. 6101. 8101. 3101. 6101. 5101. 4101. 5101. 4101. 7101. 8101. 7101. 8101. 7101. 7101. 8101. 6101. 7

    1 Coverage of the subgroups does not correspond exactly to coverage of this

    index.3 Excludes intermediate materials for food mnrmfacturinp: find innnufaetnred

    animal feeds; includes, in part, grain products for further processing.

    3 Preliminary.

    Source: Department of Labor.

    27

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERSDuring the month ended May 1 5, the index of prices received by farmers declined 1 percent, with the most significantdeclines being for cattle, eggs, and wholesale milk. The index of prices paid was unchanged and fhe parity ratiodeclined 1 point to 77, the same as in March.

    tNDEX, I I N D E X , 1957-59 = 100

    PRICES PAID,INTEREST, TAXES, AND

    WAGE RATES

    80

    RATIO yIOO

    RATIO-"IOO

    ._ ...

  • SUPPLYIn May, the money supply was unchanged and time deposits rose $1.1 billion on a seasonally adjusted basis.

    BILL

    160

    120

    40

    0

    SOUR

    ONS OF DOLLARS

    . "" ' . -

    _

    .

    r1957

    GE: BOARD OF GOVERNC

    .. "^""'

    1958

    RS OF THE FEDERAL

    AVERAGES OF C

    .**..,,.

    TIME DCOMME

    1959

    RESERVE SYSTEM.

    )AILY FIGURES, SEASO

    MONEY SUPPLY

    ^ 1

    EPOSITS AT ALLERCIAL BANKS

    4

    \ .--

    I960

    MALLY ADJUSTED

    ^**~

    ^^*

    1961

    _ ^ -^

    ^^*

    1962

    COUN

    BILLIONS OF DOLL

    * ""

    '

    ~

    ***

    -

  • BANK LOANS, INVESTMENTS, DEBITS, AND RESERVESCommercial bank loans rose $1.4 billion, seasonally adjusted, in May.

    BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*

    2 5 0

    BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*2 5 0

    ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS

    TOTALLOANS AND INVESTMENTS

    BANK LOANS

    INVESTMENTS IN U.S GOVERNMENT SECURITIES

    * SEASONALLY ADJUSTEDSOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS or THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM.

    I960END OF MONTH

    COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

    End of period

    1956-. .. .. _1957195819591960190119(12 s19012: Apr

    MayJuneJulyAny;SeptOct. .NovDec5

    19G3: JanFebMar.Apr5May5.

    (s

    Totalloansand

    invest-ments

    161. 6166. 4181. 0185. 7194. 5209. 6228. 1215. 0216. 4220. 3217. 8220. 3222. 022-1. 4225. 9228. 1228. 9232. 3235. 0232. 6234. 8

    All comneasonally

    Loans,excluding

    inter-bank

    88. 091. 495. 6

    107. 8114. 2121. 1134. 7124. 5124. 8126. 6126. 1127. 3129. 7131. 0132. 2134. 7134. 7136. 8137. 8137. 4138. 8

    ercial bankadjusted dr

    Investi

    U.S. Gov-ernmentsecurities

    Billions57. 357.064. 957. 659. 664. 704. 364. 665. 566. 664. 165. 004. 361. 264. 464. 364. 665. 466. 764. 064. 1

    ta)

    nents

    Othersecuri-

    tiesof dollars

    16. 317. 920. 520. 420. 723. 829. 125. 926. 127. 127. 628. 028. 028. 629. 129. 129. 630. 130. 531. 231. 9

    Weeklyreportingmemberbanks '

    Businessloans 2

    30. 831.8

    2 31. 72 30. 732 22

    32. 935. 232. 832. 933. 433. 033. 434. 134. 334. 735. 234. 334. 635. 235. 035. 1

    Bankdebitsoutside

    New YorkCity (343centers),

    seasonallyadjustedannualrates 3

    1, 3851, 46 S1, 4811, 6561, 7361, 8832, 021s,0442, 015S, 0002, 0552, 0171,988S, 081S, 0.912, 067s, 149S, 086S, 095&, 199S, 151

    A

    Totalreserves

    19, 53519, 42018, 89918, 93219, 28320, 11820, 04019, 72319, 82319, 92420, 04319, 92420, 03420, 20519, 60420, 04020, 03519, 58119, 51619, 57419, 679

    ,1 member

    Excessreserves

    Millions o652577516482756568572510503491529566455484592572483472426434459

    banks * 4

    Borrow-ings atFederalReserveBanks

    ' dollars688710557906

    87149304

    6963

    10089

    1278065

    119304

    99172155121190

    Freereserves

    36-133

    41 424

    669419268441440391440439375419473268384300271313269

    1 Member banks are all national banks and those State banks which have taken

    membership in the Federal Reserve System.' Commercial and industrial loans and prior to 1956 agricultural loans. Series

    revised beginning October 1955, July 1958, July 1959, and April 1961.* Debits durine period to demand deposit accounts except interbank and

    U.S. Government. Prior to 1955, relates to 344 centers outside New York City.* Averages of daily figures. Annual data are for December.

    99946033

    NOTE.Between January and August 1959, series for n i l commercial bunk:expanded to include data for all banks in Alaska and H a w a i i . D;il ; i formember banks include Alaska and Hawaii bccinninir 1

    31

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • CONSUMER AND REAL ESTATE CREDITIn April, total consumer credit outstanding rose almost $1 billion, compared to a rise of slightly over $1 billion inApril 1962.

    BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

    60

    END OF MONTH

    TOTAL CONSUMER CREDIT OUTSTANDING

    ot.

    r INS

    *MM

    ^^^M^

    >ta_tKMmi

    fALMENT CREDIT EXTENDED\

    '*""1'"

    1 "" "

    lr"y1"

    INSTALMENT1

    SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

    -^- j^- *^ _

    CREDIT REPAID1

    (ENLARGED SCALE)

    [

    I957 1958 1959SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS or THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM.

    I960 1961 1962 1963COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

    [Millions of dollars|

    Period

    19531954 .19551956 _ _1957 _1958--. .-1959.--1960 -_196119621962: Mar__ __

    Apr. . . .MayJunJulAugSepOctNov _ .Doc

    UK::-:: Jun . .I'Vb..Mar.Apr

    Consu

    Total

    31, 39332, 46438, 83042, 33444, 97045, 12951, 54256, 02857, 67863, 45856, 27557, 31458, 31859, 10859, 36460, 00360, 12660, 62661, 47363, 45862, 74062, 21962, 27663, 267

    iner creditt

    Total i

    23, 00523, 56828, 90631, 72033, 86733, 64239, 24542, 83243, 52748, 24343, 21143, 83744, 49545, 20845, 65046, 20446, 31046, 72247, 27448, 24348, ISO48, 02548, 19048, 873

    outstandirinadjustedInstalmentAutomo-

    bilepaper9, 8359, 809

    13, 46014, 42015, 34014, 15216, 42017, 68817, 22319, 38417, 34817, 67118, 03218, 41018, 68018, 93318, 88119, 08319, 30719, 38419, 42619, 50319, 72020, 121

    g (end of r

    Personalloans4, 7815, 3926, 1126, 7897, 5828, 1169, 38610, 48011, 25612, 71411, 34311, 54011, 69611, 87211, 99012, 18712. 29112, 36412, 47912, 71412, 73512, 79012, 86413, 068

    eriod;

    Non-instal-ment 2

    8, 3888, 8969, 92410, 61411, 10311, 48712, 29713, 19614, 15115, 21513, 06413, 47713, 82313, 90013, 71413, 79913, 81613, 90414, 19915, 21514, 01014, 19414, 08614, 394

    Consumand rTo

    Extended

    31, 55831, 05138, 97239, 86842, 01640, 11948, 05249, 56048, 39655, 3954, 4994, 6594, 6504, 6234, 6694, 6194, 4914, 6824. 9614, 8294, 8784, 8854, 9405, 020

    er instalmcepaid (seastal

    Repaid

    27, 95630, 48833, 63437, 05439, 86840, 34442, 60345, 97247, 70050, 6794, 1214, 1664, 2114, 2024, 2834, 2614, 2894, 2984, 3804, 3714, 3764, 4494, 5404, 490

    nt credit eonally adji-Automofc

    Extended

    12, 98111, 80716, 73415, 51516, 46514, 22617, 77917, 65416, 00719, 5151, 5821, 6751, 6551, 6211, 6311, 6021, 5051, 6851, 7971, 6841, 7431, 7341, 7821, 864

    xtendedisted)ile paper

    Repaid

    10, 87911, 83313, 08214, 55515, 54515, 41515, 57916, 38416, 47217, 3541, 4151, 4351, 4471, 4331, 4561, 4461, 4401, 4911, 4901, 5131, 5041,5171, 5501, 570

    Mortgagedebt out-standing,nonfarm1- to 4-familyhouses 366, 10075, 70088, 20099, 000107, 600117, 700130, 900141, 300153, 000168, 400155, 700

    159, 900

    164, 200

    168, 400

    NOTE.Data for Alaska and IJavraii included beginning January a??

  • BOND YIELDS AND INTEREST RATESIn early June, the yield on 3-month Treasury bills was somewhat higher than in May. Yields on U.S. Governmentbonds and, especially, on municipal bonds were also higher.

    PERCENT PER ANNUM PERCENT PER ANNUM

    COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

    [Percent per annum]

    Period

    1956.. .19571958195919601961... _1962... .1962: Apr

    May . _June _ _July .. ...AugSept.. _ .GotNov_._Dec..

    1963: Jan.Feb.MarApr.May _

    Week ended:1963: May 18..

    25.-June 1__

    8 _ _15..22

    U.fcJ. GOVE3-monthTreasury

    bills 12. 6583. 2671. 8393. 4052 9282.3782.7782. 7352. 6942. 7192. 9452. 8372. 7922. 7512. 8032. 8562. 9142. 9162. 8972. 9092. 920

    2. 9032. 9222. 9743. 0282. 975

    "2. 997

    rnment secur

    35 yearissues 2

    3. 123. 622. 904. 333. 993. 603. 573. 483. 533. 513. 713. 573. 563. 463. 463. 443. 473. 483. 503. 563. 57

    3. 553. 593. 643. 683.66

    ity yields

    Taxablebonds 3

    3. 083. 473. 434. 084. 023. 903. 953. 893. 883. 904. 023. 983. 943. 893. 873. 873. 893.923. 933. 973. 973. 963. 973. 994. 003. 99

    High-grademunicipal

    bonds(Standard &

    Poor's) *2. 933. 603. 563. 953. 733. 463. 183. 083. 093. 243. 303. 313. 183. 033. 033. 123. 123. 183. 113. 113. 15

    3. 143. 153. 203. 243. 26

    Corpora(Moo

    Aaa

    3. 363. 893. 794. 384. 414. 354. 334. 334. 284. 284. 344. 354. 324. 284 254. 244. 214. 194. 194. 214. 22

    4. 214. 224. 234. 234. 23

    te bondsdy's)

    Baa

    3. 884. 714. 735. 055. 195. 085. 025. 025. 005. 025. 055. 065. 034. 994 964 924. 914. 894. 884 874. 85

    4. SO4. 854. 844. 844. 83

    Primecommercial

    paper,4-6

    months3. 313. 812. 463. 973. 852. 973. 263. 203. 163. 253. 363. 303. 343. 273. 233. 293. 343. 253.343. 323. 25

    3. 253. 253. 253. 383.38

    T?PT \new homemortgageyields 5

    4. 795.425. 495. 71ii. 185. 8 15. 625. 685. 655. 615. 605. 605. 585. 565. 555. 535. 535. 525. 505. 475. 44

    J Rate on new issues within period. 2 Selected note and bond issues.3 Series includes: April 1953 to date, bonds due or callabie 10 years and after,

    * Weekly data are Wednesday figures.e Data for first o! the month; based on the maximum permissible interest rate

    (5J4% since May 1951) and 25-year morteases paid in 12 years.

    6 Not charted.

    33Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • COMMON STOCK PRICES, YIELD, AND EARNINGSStock prices have changed little since early May.

    INDE80

    70

    60

    40

    PE

    4

    2

    RAT

    20

    10

    SOUF

    , 1941-43 = 10

    N

    5CENT

    ''-^ ,''"~

    0

    ^^^v- 1 .... ' . i" I95T

    CE: STANDARD AND P

    X_---

    , , , , , , , , , , ,

    ^-^

    PRICE /E

    ^^ ^

    1 ! 11958

    DOR'S CORPORATION.

    COMPOSITE PRICE 1ND500 COMMON STOC\^ j

    1t i t i . f i - r , e l> : i r

    res

    ise 1

    Militaryassist-ance

    2. 22. 31. 01. 41. 41. 81. 4. 2. 1. 1. 3. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1

    9. 2. 2

    1. 11.3

    cipts and cxpet

    tnenl nnd hun

    Budgetsurplus

    ordeficit (-)

    -2. 8-12. 4

    1. 2-3. 9-6. 4-8. 8

    11. 91. 4

    1. 5

    3. 5-3. 7 1. 5

    2. 7-5. 5-1.0

    . 8-2. 5

    . 51. 9

    1. 9 . 5

    -9. 9-10. 0

    ditures exclude n

    .in or the M i . M i i i ' l .

    Publicdebt

    (end ofperiod) 2

    270. 42S4. 8280. 5289. 2298. 6304. 1316. 1296. 5297. 4299. 6298. 6298. 3302. 3300. 0302. 6305. 9304. 0303.9305. 2303. 5303. 7305. 8299. 6305. 8

    r t a i n i n ! n r 'ovcrn-

    35

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • FEDERAL CASH RECEIPTS FROM ANDPAYMENTS TO THE PUBLICIn the first quarter, cash payments exceeded cash receipts by $900 million on a seasonally adjusted basis.

    BILL35

    1

    IONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUST

    t

    ED)35

    30

    EXCESS OF CASH

    %% mt& ~

    EXCESS OF CASH

    1 1 \1957

    RECEIPTS

    LJPAYMENTS

    i i195

    -

    81

    j_

    Li i

    L-i

    i t959

    .

    1 I 1I960

    u y u ui i i

    1961

    LTUUi i i

    I9B2

    li

    1 1 11963

    CALENDAR YEARSSOURCES: TREASURY DEPARTMENT, AND BUREAU OF THE BUDGET.

    J-S

    COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

    [Billions of dollars]

    Period

    Fiscal year:1958195919601961- .1962196311964 i

    Calendar year:19581959196019611962

    Quarterly total (calendar years) :1961: III

    IV1962: I

    IIIIIIIV -.-

    1963: I

    Cash receiptsfrom the

    public

    81.981. 795. 197. 2

    101. 9108. 4112. 2

    81. 787. 698. 397. 9

    106.2

    23. 421. 326. 231. 026. 023. 028. 2

    Cash pay-ments to

    the public

    83.494. 894. 399. 5

    107.7116. 8122. 5

    89. 095. 694. 7

    104. 7111. 9

    Unadjusted26. 727. 226. 027. 928. 529. 626. 6

    Excess of re-ceipts (+) or

    payments

    1. 5-13. 1

    .8-2. 3-5. 8-8. 3

    -10. 3

    -7. 3-8. 0

    3. 6-6. 8-5. 7

    -3. 3-5. 9

    . 33. 1

    2. 5-6. 6

    1. 6

    Cash receiptsfrom the

    public

    Set

    24. 625. 225. 326. 527. 327. 127. 4

    Cash pay-ments to

    the public

    isonally adjus26. 326. 927. 627. 028. 129. 228.3

    Excess of re-ceipts ( + ) or

    payments

    ted

    -i. r 1. 7-2. 2-. 5- . 7

    2. 1-. 9-

    "Estimate. Sources: Treasury Department and Bureau of the Budget.

    36Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • FEDERAL BUDGET, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASISOn a national income accounts basis, Federal Government expenditures rose slishtly more than receipts in the firstquarter, resulting in a deficit of $1.6 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate).

    BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*120

    BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*120

    100

    SURPLUS

    DEFICITI I

    nr

    * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES.SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE.

    I960CALENDAR YEARS

    1961 1962

    + 20

    COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS.

    [Billions of dollars, quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

    Period

    Fiscal year:196119621963'1964 i

    Calendaryear:195519561957195819591960196119621961: II-

    III.IV.

    1962: I...II..Ill,IV.

    1963: I.

    Total

    95. 5104. 0108. 8111. 4

    72. 877. 581.778. 590. 396. 998. 3

    108.297.798. 9

    103. 8105. 9108. 4108. 9110. 5113. 3

    Federal (

    Personaltax andnorii>ixreceipts

    44. 047. 650. 148.8

    31. 535. 237. 336. 640. 444. 045. 049. 144. 745. 146. 748. 049. 249. 950. 150. 5

    3overnme

    Corpo-rate

    profitstax

    accruals

    19. 821. 921.723.3

    20. 920. 219. 917.722 021. 221. 023. 620. 621. 323. 723. 023. 423. 524. 524. 3

    nt receip-

    Indirectbusinesstax andnontaxaccruals

    13. 614. 615.315. 8

    11. 011. 612. 211. 913. 014. 113. 915. 014, 113. 914. 714. 615. 215. 015. 315. 5

    s

    Contri-butionsto social

    insur-ance

    18. 019. 821. 823. 4

    9. 310. 612. 212. 414. 917. G18.420. 518. 318. 618. 820. 320. 520. 520. 723. 0

    Total

    97. 7105. 7113. 2119.0

    68. 971. 879. 787. 991. 493. 1

    102. 1109. 5101. 9102. 2105. 1108. 3109. 0109. 8112. 0114. 9

    Feders

    Pur-chases

    of goodsand

    services

    54.859. 864. 468. 2

    45. 345. 749. 752. 653. 653. 257. 062. 456. 656. 559. 561. 962. 162.763. 465. 9

    il Govern!

    Trans-fer pay-ments

    25. 927. 829. 730. 9

    14. 014. 917. 421. 322. 223. 827.428. 527. 327. 727. 828. 028. 028.529. 529. 9

    nent expe

    Grants-in-aid

    to Stateandlocal

    gover-nments

    6. 67. 37. 88. 8

    3. 03. 34. 15. 46. 76.37.07.77. 07. 07. 07. 57. 97.58. 08. 3

    nditures

    Netinterest

    paid

    6. 96. 67.37. 5

    4. 95. 25. 75. 66. 47. 16. 66.76. 76. 56. 46. 66. 76. 86. 97. 1

    Subsidiesless

    currentsurplus

    of Govt.enter-prises

    3. 44. 24. 03. 6

    1. 62. 72. 83. 02. 52. 84. 14. 24.34. 54. 44. 34. 34. 34.33.8

    Surplusor

    deficit

    2 2 l! 7-4. 3-7. 6

    3. 85.72. 0

    -9. 4 1.1

    3. 8O Q

    -1. 3-4. 2-3.3 1. 3-2. 47

    . 9 1. 4 1. 6

    1 Preliminary estimates by Bureau of the Budget.

    NOTE.Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960.Source: Department of Commerce.

    37Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • UNITED STATESGOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE

    DIVISION OF UBLIC DOCUMENTS

    WASHINGTON 25, D.C.

    PENALTY FOR PRIVATE USE TO A V O L DPAYMENT OF POSTAGE, S3OO

    (GPO)

    OFFICIAL BUSINESS

    First-Class Mail

    ContentsTOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING Page

    The Nation's Income, Expenditure, and Saving 1Gross National Product or Expenditure 2National Income 3Sources of Personal Income 4Disposition of Personal Income 5Farm Income 6Corporate Profits 7Gross Private Domestic Investment 8Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment 9

    EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGESStatus of the Labor Force 10Selected Measures of Unemployment and Part-Time Employment 11Unemployment Insurance Programs 12Nonagricultural Employment 13Weekly Hours of WrorkSelected Industries 14Average Hourly and Weekly EarningsSelected Industries 15

    PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITYIndustrial Production . . _ _ . 16Production of Selected Manufactures . - 17Vveekly Indicators of Production ISN e w Construction _ _ . 1 9New 1 lousing Starts and Applications for Financing . . . 20Trade Sales and Inventories 21Manufacturers' Sales, Inventories, and New Orders 22Merchandise Exports and Imports . 23U.S. Exports and Imports of Goods and Services .... _ 24U.S. Balance of I n t e rna t i ona l Payments . - - - . . . . 25

    PRICESConsumer Prices _ . . . . . . . . _ _ _ . 26Wholesale Prices _ 27Prices Received and Paid by Farmers . . . . . _ . .. 28

    MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETSMoney Supply . _ . . ...... .. . . . . . . . . . . . 29Selected Liquid .Assets 1 leld by the Public 30Bank Loans, Investments, Debits, and Reserves 31Consumer and Real Estate Credit 32Bond 1 ields and Interest Rates . 33Common Stock Prices, Yield, and Earnings .... . . _ . _ . . 34

    FEDERAL FINANCEFederal Administrative Budget Receipts and Expenditures. . ... 55Federal Cash Receipts from and Payments to the Public . . . . . . 56Federal Budget, National Income Accounts Basis . . 57

    38Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis