26
EVRAZ GROUP Corporate Presentation April 2010

презентация для инвесторов, Non deal roadshow, европа и сша, 5-9 апреля 2010

Embed Size (px)

DESCRIPTION

 

Citation preview

  • 1. EVRAZ GROUPCorporate PresentationApril 2010

2. Disclaimer02This document does not constitute or form part of and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer to buy oracquire securities of Evraz Group S.A. (Evraz) or any of its subsidiaries in any jurisdiction or an inducement to enter into investment activity. No partof this document, nor the fact of its distribution, should form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment orinvestment decision whatsoever. No representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placedon, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinions contained herein. None of Evraz or any of its affiliates,advisors or representatives shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of thisdocument or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with the document.This communication is only being distributed to and is only directed at (i) persons who are outside the United Kingdom or (ii) investmentprofessionals falling within Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (the Order) or (iii) highnet worth companies, and other persons to whom it may lawfully be communicated, falling within Article 49(2)(a) to (d) of the Order (all suchpersons together being referred to as relevant persons). Any person who is not a relevant person should not act or rely on this document or anyof its contents.This document contains forward-looking statements, which include all statements other than statements of historical facts, including, withoutlimitation, any statements preceded by, followed by or that include the words targets, believes, expects, aims, intends, will, may,anticipates, would, could or similar expressions or the negative thereof. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks,uncertainties and other important factors beyond Evrazs control that could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Evraz to bematerially different from future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking, including, among others, theachievement of anticipated levels of profitability, growth, cost and synergy of recent acquisitions, the impact of competitive pricing, the ability toobtain necessary regulatory approvals and licenses, the impact of developments in the Russian economic, political and legal environment, volatilityin stock markets or in the price of our shares or GDRs, financial risk management and the impact of general business and global economicconditions.Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding Evrazs present and future business strategies and theenvironment in which Evraz Group S.A. will operate in the future. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertaintiesbecause they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. These forward-looking statements speakonly as at the date as of which they are made, and Evraz expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking to disseminate any updates or revisionsto any forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect any change in Evrazs expectations with regard thereto or any change in events,conditions or circumstances on which any such statements are based.Neither Evraz, nor any of its agents, employees or advisors intends or has any duty or obligation to supplement, amend, update or revise any of theforward-looking statements contained in this document.The information contained in this document is provided as at the date of this document and is subject to change without notice. 3. Agenda 03 Strategy and Management Action Plan 2009 Results Summary Liquidity and Financial Position Operations by Segment Recent Market Developments Outlook Appendices 4. Sound Long-Term Strategy04Long and railway product leadership in Russia and the CIS Maintained leadership in Russias construction steel market Rail mill reconstruction designed to produce high-speed rail and increase rail production volumesStrong presence in international flat and tubular markets Continuous integration of international assets Full order book at Canadian tubular plant for 2010Low cost leadership position Cost of revenue reduced by 35% compared to 2008 Closure of inefficient production capacity Ongoing implementation of cost reduction programsVertical integration with competitive mining business Iron ore self-coverage: 96% Coking coal self-coverage: 117%* Won tender for Mezhegey coal deposit to maintain coking coal self-coverage going forwardLeadership in vanadium business The sole producer of vanadium-rich ore in Russia Global footprint: five operating units on four continents Acquisition of Vanady-Tula, Russias largest producer of ferrovanadium, signals further expansion ofvanadium-processing capacity * Including 40% equity stake in Raspadskaya coal company, accounted on pro rata basis. Excluding this stake, integration would have been 74% 5. Management Actions in 2009 05Production optimisation Closure of inefficient capacity Flexible product mix designed to maximise demand and pricing opportunities Full Russian and Ukrainian capacity utilisation since 1 July 2009Cost savings Cash cost of one tonne of Russian semi-finished steel products reduced by 37% to approximately260 US$/t compared with 2008 Labour costs decreased by 27% Costs of services and auxiliary materials decreased by 28%CAPEX reduction CAPEX in 2009 totalled US$441m (60% down vs. 2008) well within US$500mFY2009 guidanceFinancial management US$654m released from working capital Total debt reduced by US$2bn to US$7.9bn, net debt decreased to US$7.2bn 5-year convertible bond and GDR issue in July raised US$965m 5-year RUB20bn bond issue in October 2009 and 3-year RUB15bn bond issue in March 2010 3-year US$950m loan committed from Gazprombank in October 2009 Covenants reset with ample headroom 6. 2009 Financial Summary 06US$ mln unless otherwise stated20092008ChangeRevenue 9,77220,380(52)%Cost of revenue(8,756) (13,463)(35)%SG&A (1,268) (1,751) (28)%Adjusted EBITDA*1,2376,206 (80)%Adjusted EBITDA margin 13% 30%Net Profit/(loss)**(1,261) 1,859Net Profit margin n/a9%EPS (US$ per GDR) (3.10)4.85Net Debt*** 7,2269,031 (20)%Sales volumes**** (000 tonnes)14,28217,021(16)% * Adjusted EBITDA represents profit from operations plus depreciation and amortisation, impairment of assets and loss (gain) on disposal of PP&E.Excluding one- off items, adjusted EBITDA would have been US$1,330 million ** Net loss before changes in accounting policy would have been US$207 million. Negative effect included additional impairment (US$76 million), a revaluation deficit (US$420 million) and an increase in depreciation expense of US$558 million *** As of the end of the period **** Here and further in this presentation steel segment sales data refer to third parties sales 7. 2009 Financial Highlights 07 Group revenue decreased by 52%, driven largely by Consolidated Revenue by Segmentdecrease in average prices and sales volumes of steel US$ mlnproducts7,0005,133 Recovery of export demand for semi-finished steel 6,000 4,639 343225422804helped to fully utilise Russian assets from 1 July 2009 5,0001386524,000 Improvement in prices and volumes in the second half of 3,000 4,6874,2912009 led to EBITDA margin progression from 10% in 2,0001,0001H09 to 15% in 2H09 0(785)(1,005) (1,000) (2,000)1H09 2H09Steel Mining Vanadium Other operations EliminationsRevenue, 2008-2009Consolidated Adjusted EBITDAUS$ mlnUS$ mln24,000 1,00020,38021,000 769800449718,000600 468 18515,0007012,000400 94 (6,895)9,7729,000(3,574)514 (139)200 3896,000 0 (34) (71)3,000(51) 0 (200) 2008PricesVolumes Other20091H092H09RevenueRevenue Steel Mining Other operationsVanadiumUnallocated & Eliminations 8. Maintaining Cost Leadership 08 Control of raw material costs through cost efficient Cash Cost*, Slabs & Billetsvertical integration US$/t Constant review of product and resources flows to450402 430identify potential efficiency gains400 420394 Approximately 75% of consolidated cost is rouble 350denominated300 285253 Russian-based assets have benefited from declines in 250268utilities and staff costs200224 In 2H09 costs were negatively affected by raising scrap1501H08 2H081H092H09prices SlabBillet*Average for Russian steel mills, integrated cash cost of production, EXW Consolidated Cost of Revenue, 2009 Cash Cost, Russian Coal and Iron Ore Products5%6% US$/t17% 10% 7063 6056 5%17% 6%5047 43 46 50 8%408%4% 11% 3%3035 30Iron ore Coking coal Scrap 20FerroalloysPurchased semis Auxiliary materials 1H082H08 1H09 2H09ElectricityNatural gas Staff costsTransportation DepreciationOther Coking coalIron ore products 58% Fe Source: Management accounts 9. Cash Flow Generation in 200909US$ mln2,0006541,7001,600 (141) 1,187624 1,2121,200 800 (671) 400 (441)0 Adjusted Changes in Income tax CF from Interest paidCAPEX CF from Free cash EBITDAWC operating& covenantinvesting flow*(excl. non- activitiesresetactivitiescash items)charges (excl. CAPEX)* Free cash flow comprises cash flows from operating activities less interest paid, covenant reset charges, plus cash flows from investing activities 10. Capital Market Developments in 2009 10 Concurrent GDR and 5-year convertible bond offerings in July raised US$965m RUB20bn 5-year bonds issued in October (equivalent to US$700m) US$950m credit facility committed by Gazprombank in October US$225m 4-year revolving credit facility for Evrazs US subsidiary agreedin December Potential covenant compliance issue successfully addressed: Banks-lenders approved covenant amendments in November 2009 Bondholders approved covenant amendments in December 2009 US$800m loan to VEB repaid in December 11. Debt Maturities and Liquidity Profile 11Total debt of approx. US$7.9 billion, net debt of US$7.2 billion as of 31 December 2009Short-term debt is approx. US$1.9 billionCash and cash equivalents amounted to US$675 million as of 31 December 2009Total liquidity as of 31 December 2009 is in excess of US$2bn, including undrawn credit facilities and bank depositsRUB15bn (equivalent US$500m) 3-year bonds issued in March 2010Negotiation of long-term loans with Russian banks at advanced stage Debt Maturities Schedule Debt Maturities Schedule Breakdown of Short-term DebtBreakdown of Short-term DebtUS$ mlnUS$ mln2,5004171,909 1,8342,000 8051,500 1,240 1,3391,000704595505500 1715 0 6872010201120122013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1Q2Q3Q4Q$3.2bn syndicated loan Revolving debt Term loans Source: Management accounts 12. Increase in Export and Geographic Diversification 12 Sales to customers outside Russia increased from 61% Steel Products Sales Volumes by Product Steel Products Sales Volumes by Productto 71% of total revenues 000 tonnes Sales of steel products to Asia exceeded sales to6,0005,188 5,273 5,314Russia and the CIS, reflecting production flexibility and 4,218increasing cost competitiveness4,000 Geographical diversification of the business helped to2,3672,6472,110stabilise operations in crisis environment 2,0001,588919 667 Change in the product mix towards semi-finished586 426 0products had limited effect on margins due to exportSemi- ConstructionRailway Flat-rolled TubularOther steelparity pricing of Russian domestic finished steel finished20082009productsSteel Products Sales by MarketSteel Products Sales by MarketSteel Products Sales by OperationsSteel Products Sales by Operations000 tonnes000 tonnes8,00016,0006,56912,3935,6656,00012,00010,7374,465 4,1234,000 8,0002,723 1,8892,0732,000 1,215 4,000 2,699 712 642663 5642,0751,261 885 668 58500Russia CISEuropeAmericas Asia Africa &Russian & North American European South African RoWUkrainian2008200920082009 13. Steel: CIS Domestic 13 Apparent domestic demand for finished steel stabilised at approximately 70% ofpre-crisis volumes with some fluctuations due to destocking-restocking cycles A decrease in sales to the CIS was partially offset by an increase in export sales Prices of key products remain close to export parity level Government infrastructure spending is supporting demand for construction steel andrailway products in the Russian market Revival of seasonal demand should support higher finished steel prices in RussiaSteel Product Sales VolumesSteel Product Sales000 tonnesUS$ mln8,0008,0007,2156,638 737 6836,0006,000 1,875 4,7651,7075154,0004,000 1,1852,490 3,8023,610 2602,0002,455 2,000 7291,250801 6106382500 0 2008 2009 2008 2009Semi-finished Construction Railway Other steel Semi-finished Construction Railway Other steel 14. Steel: CIS Export 14 Export sales volumes increased by 15% Increasing production of billets due to more favourable pricing environment Continued growth of billet prices driven by an increase in world scrap, iron ore and cokingcoal prices Delayed effect of rising steel prices due to the fact that export prices are typically fixed oneto three months ahead of productionSteel Product Sales Volumes Steel Product Sales000 tonnes US$ mln5,9726,000 4,000 5,178404 3,4127371,182 4013,0004,000 686444 2,418209 1,821 2,9692,000 1,091 5322,0001,0001,119 1,9341,476 1,41755800 20082009 2008 2009 Slabs Billets Construction Other steelSlabs Billets Construction Other steel 15. Steel: North America15Volumes bottomed out in the middle of 2009 with subsequent stabilisation and some signs of recovery at the beginning of 2010Stable demand for large diameter pipes in Canada due to long contractsDestocking is largely over with apparent demand remaining distinctly limitedWell-positioned to benefit from expected government infrastructure investmentsEvraz Inc. NAs Steel Sales Volumes Evraz Inc. NAs Steel Sales000 tonnes US$ mln3,000 4,5002,699 4,0224,0002,5002,075 3,5001,0312,000 3,000 1,876 6692,1532,5001,500 8912,0001,0006881,500 1,0141,3521,000553500465 386 500 484 369 312 332 310 217 0 02008200920082009 Construction Railway Flat-rolled Tubular Construction Railway Flat-rolled Tubular 16. Steel: Europe, South Africa 16Destocking of traders is largely overDomestic demand in Europe remains weak and mostly related to public projectsPositive trend registered with public works and energy sector in EuropeIncreased share of production is exported to the Middle East and North AfricaHigh utilisation of South African operation achieved due to sharp increase in export salesSales Volumes, European AssetsSales Volumes, South African Assets000 tonnes000 tonnes1,400800 1,2616681,200 76 700 10 5851,000600 19 885131 5003728001,037400600 300 294776400 1 200200 286 100 160 14890 0 0200820092008 2009 Construction Flat-rolled Other steel Construction Flat-rolled Other steel 17. Mining: Well-placed to Benefit from Recovery17 Full self-coverage in raw materials enabled cash preservation during downturn Mining segment remained EBITDA positive even at the bottom of raw materialprices cycle Sustainability of vertically-integrated model in market downturn Benefiting from growth of iron ore and coking coal priceIron Ore and Coal ProductionMining Segment Revenue* and EBITDA000 tonnes US$ mln20,0004,0003,63416,0002,210 2,1312,015 3,0002,69112,0004,788 5,3014,9984,2772,0001,3951,456 8,00010,1748,735 9,127 1,000 4,000 8,2802790 01H082H08 1H09 2H09 20082009 Iron oreCoking coal Steam coal Revenue EBITDA* Includes intersegment sales and purchases 18. Vanadium18Global leader with five operating units on four continents and geographically diversified revenuesVanadium follows steel market trends, being impacted by market downturnAcquisition of Vanady-Tula, Russias largest ferrovanadium producer, signals further expansion of vanadium-processing capacityVanadium Sales* by Products Vanadium Products Sales* by Regiontonnes of VUS$ mln 10185316.1 451614 11.61210.310 8 6.573 6 4 169 2 0Vanadium in slagVanadium in alloys and chemicals 2008 2009 Russia & CIS Europe Americas Asia Africa & RoW * Third parties sales 19. Key Investment Projects19 CAPEX in 2010 expected to be around US$800m vs. US$441m in 2009 Approximately US$450m of 2010 CAPEX to be directed to increasing productivityand development projects, key projects being:ProjectTotal CAPEX Cum CAPEX by 2010 CAPEX Project Targets 31.12.09Reconstruction of rail US$440m US$30mUS$220m Capacity of 950k tonnes of high-speed rails, includingmill at NKMK 450k tonnes of 100 metre rails On-stream by 2013Reconstruction of rail US$55mUS$28mUS$27m Production of higher-quality railsmill at NTMK 550k tonnes capacity On-stream by 2012Pulverised coal injection US$320mUS$0m US$10m Lower coke consumption from 420 to 320 kg/tonne(PCI) at NTMK andZSMK No need for gas consumption On-stream by 2013BOF workshop US$260m US$230m US$20m Modernisation of productionreconstruction NTMK Increasing capacity from 3.8 to 4.2 mtpa On-stream by 2010Reconstruction of CCMUS$60mUS$5m US$40m Modernisation of productionSlab 3 NTMK Further increase in steelmaking capacity from 4.2 to 4.5 mtpa On-stream by 2010Reconstruction of wheel US$100mUS$87mUS$13m Production of higher-quality wheels& tyre mill (heattreatment shop) NTMK On-stream by 2010Development of TBD US$1m Less than US$50m, Maintaining self-sufficiency in high-quality hard cokingMezhegey coal depositincluding license coal after depletion of existing deposits cost On-stream by 2015 20. Key Market Developments20 Recovery in prices for semi-finished steel is driven byEvraz Selling Pricesgrowing input costs and by demand from emergingUS$/tmarkets in Asia, the Middle East and North Africa700 Demand in all markets improving550 Russian domestic demand for construction steel in 1H10400expected to be higher than in 2H09 Expected steelmaking capacity utilisation in 1H10:250 Russia to remain 100% 100 Jan-09Mar-09 May-09 Jul-09 Sep-09Nov-09 Jan-10 Mar-10 Ukraine to remain 100% Slabs, Russia, export*Billets, Russia, export* North America from nadir of 50-55% in 3Q09 to 90%Rebars, Russia, FCA Plate, North America, FCA Czech Republic from 30% in 2Q09 to 75%*Contract prices South Africa from 45% in 1H09 to near 100% Vanadium Prices, FeV, LMB Russian mining assets are running at 100% capacity in US$/kg Vcoal and 90% in iron ore40 Prices for semi-finished products in 1H10 are expected tobe higher than 2H0930 Vanadium expected to perform better than steel due toincrease of vanadium usage rates in the emergingmarkets steel production sector closer to the levels of20industrially developed countries Expected 1Q10 EBITDA of approximately US$400m 10Jan-09Mar-09May-09 Jul-09 Sep-09 Nov-09Jan-10 Mar-10 21. Outlook for 201021 Continuation of favourable pricing trends driven by higher raw material costs, growth in emerging markets and moderate recovery in mature markets Russian and Ukrainian operations expected to continue running at full capacity, utilisation of overseas assets expected to increase in response to improved demand Growth of raw material prices provides support to steel prices Russian construction market displaying positive dynamics. Seasonal upturn in demand expected from May Asian, Middle Eastern and African markets to remain important sources of revenue for Russian and Ukrainian operations Favourable fundamental trends being offset by lag effect between raw material price increase and delayed growth of steel sales prices Global demand for long products is expected to continue to strengthen on the back of infrastructure investments driven by various governments stimulus packages, designed to combat economic recession 22. Summary 22 2009 results were heavily impacted by global recession Increased geographical diversification of business helped to stabilise cash flows Vertically integrated business model demonstrated its viability through the price cycle Improved global demand for semi-finished steel allowed us to fully utilise Russiansteelmaking capacity with effect from 1 July 2009 Successful execution of management action plan, including cost savings, CAPEX reductionand working capital release Net debt reduced by 20% to US$7.2 billion Lenders supported debt covenant reset with ample headroom Stable demand, the improved pricing environment and our cost leadership credentialsleave us well positioned to fully capitalise on the market recovery 23. Appendices 24. Evrazs Global Business 24 25. Revenue by Geography of Customers 2520082009South AfricaSouth Africa& RoW& RoW4%4% Other Asia Other Asia13% 13%China Russia 1%31%Middle Russia China East 37%5% 3%EuropeMiddle 13% East 8% Ukraine2%Other CISEurope 3% Ukraine 4%9% Other Americas CIS Americas 22%3% 25% 26. +7 495 [email protected] www.evraz.com