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Motivation One who tries to do harm is more evil then
another who commits crime while pursuing legitimate goals
Being victimized intentionally and directly is more painful/worse
WCC occurs as a part of productive activity that benefits everyone Thus street crime = police, WCC = regulation
Victims of many WCC chose their occupation knowing the risks
Incentives for filing civil (vs. criminal) cases?
Should prosecutors consider the collateral consequences of a prosecution? WCC? Women with dependent children?
Basic Concepts/QuestionsDevelopmental TheoriesPolicy Implications
Arrest Rate
Age at Arrest
10 20 30 40 50
4000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
Property Crimes, peak age = 16
Violent Crimes, peak age = 18
The Age-Crime Relationship
Data is AGGREGATE It could hide subgroups of offenders, or
“offending trajectories”Data is Cross-Sectional
Doesn’t track stability/change over timeData is OFFICIAL
Cannot tell us about the precursors to official delinquency (childhood antisocial behavior)
COHORT STUDIES = CHRONIC 6% Correlation between past and future criminal
behavior ranges from .6 to .7 (very strong) Lee Robins- Studies of cohorts of males
Antisocial Personality as an adult virtually requires history of CASB
CASB as early as age 6 related to delinquency
More severe behavior has more stability “Early onset delinquency” powerful indicator of
stability
1/2 of antisocial children are never arrested
The vast majority of delinquents desist as they enter adulthood (mid 20s)
OLD: Crime is the province of adolescents; theories of delinquency most important
▪ Easier to find/survey adolescents too! New (Considering stability/development )
Theories of adolescent delinquency are at best incomplete▪ Central causes of delinquency lie in childhood▪ Chronic offenders still may desist during adulthood
Lifecourse Questions▪ Why do some age out of crime while others don’t?▪ Why is criminality so stable over time?▪ What causes crime at different stages of life?
“Career Criminal” Paradigm Early roots in criminology—studies of
robbers, fences, and so forth Crime as an occupation specialization,
escalation, etc. Empirical evidence = little
specialization, crime not as an “occupation” Developmental Criminology replaces
“Career Criminal” paradigm in 1980s
Must explain why there is stability (continuity) in antisocial behavior
Must explain childhood precursors to offending (childhood antisocial behavior) Severe (age inappropriate) temper
tantrums Deviant/criminal behavior
Must explain desistence, or “change” Antisocial children, but not adults Adults that “age out”
Types of Lifecourse Theories
1. Continuity (Trait) Theories (G&H)2. Continuity and Change Theories
(Sampson and Laub)3. Continuity or Change Theories
(Moffitt)
Some “thing” that is stable over time and related to crime Gottfreson and Hirschi Low self-control
▪ Becomes very stable by age 8▪ Causes crime and other nastiness
Problem? ▪ Why do people desist? Explain “childhood recoveries”
or adult desistence?
G&H ▪ People desist –it’s a “law” or “constant” like gravity,
which doesn’t’ need explanation
Important/Popular book: Crime in the Making: Pathways and Turning Points Through Life
First to fully outline “lifecourse” criminology
Put forth a lifecourse theory Use “Glueck data” to test theory
Pathways = stabilityTurning Points = opportunity for
change
Context•Poverty
•Neighborhood•Others
Parenting• Supervision• Discipline Social Bonds• Family• School•Delinquent Peers
Childhood Adolescence Adulthood
Individual Differences
•Temperament•Conduct disorder diagnosis
Delinquency
Social Bonds•Marriage•Good Job
Length ofIncarceration
Adult Crime
Stability of Trajectory Individual differences (traits) possible Cumulative Continuity
▪ Delinquency/crime has effect on “adult social bonds”
▪ Delinquency/crime can lead to incarceration, which also has effect on adult social bonds
▪ These bonds, in turn, have effect on future crime
Turning Points = Adult Social Bonds Quality Marriage Quality Employment
Why would these things reduce crime? S&L: they increase informal control (bind
individuals to society, give them something to lose)
Other explanations (spend less time with criminal friends, etc.)
New Book/Articles based on follow-up data from Gleuck sample Followed until age 70
Similar to original theory Employment, marriage, military service
More complex-why a “turning point?” Knife off past from the present/future Supervision/monitoring (control) but also
opportunities for social support/growth Change to structure/routine activities Opportunity for identity transformation
Desistence by Default No conscious decision to “stop offending”
▪ Rather, roles, structure, social context changes Human Agency
Vague concept that implies people have some say in the matter. ▪ Not same as “rational choice” nor is it a “trait”
▪ Interaction = land a good job but still must want to keep
Theoretical Importance▪ Lives do not “unfold” in predictable sequences▪ Desistence more difficult to explain than onset or
persistence
A Stability or Change TheoryArgument:
There are 2 different “kinds” of offenders in the world
These types can be characterized by their unique “offending trajectories”
Failure of Mainstream Criminology? During adolescence, these two groups
look rather similar
LCP’s Early Start, Stable over lifecourse, 5% of
general population (small group) Therefore…
▪ Why start so early? Why so stable? AL’s
Late starters, desist in adulthood, very prevalent in population
Therefore….▪ Why start so late? Why desist right away?
Presence of “Neuropsychological Deficits” Where do they come from? Why do they matter?
INTERACTING WITH Ineffective Parenting
Monitoring, supervision, etc.
This “dual hazard” puts them on bad path…however…
What in the environment is affected? Peer Rejection School Failure Parenting
THEREFORE Cumulative continuity Contemporary continuity (still have N.P.
Deficit, personality traits)
Maturity Gap Knifing off Bonds as “rewarding”
Mimic
Why do AL’s desist?However, some may exhibit
continuity “Snares” as another example of
cumulative continuity
Why do we need 2 theories?How does she account for stability
and change?Specific explanations of LCP and AL
offending
The seduction of the chronic 6%The promise of early interventionTheory Specific Implications
Moffitt causes of neurological deficits, effective parenting, other?
S&L family context, parenting, bonds (child and adult)