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© Global Forecasting Solutions Ltd 2014, All rights reserved
Products & Services offering
© Global Forecasting Solutions Ltd 2014, All rights reserved
Global Forecasting Solutions offers premium and specialized
forecasting solutions in different areas covering the economy,
business, technology, innovation, social media, population dynamics,
and virtually any growth process.
These solutions are targeted at improving your visibility of the future aiming to find a better, more
efficient, and simpler way to forecast trends, build possible scenarios, and optimize resources.
Activities
© Global Forecasting Solutions Ltd 2014, All rights reserved
Our approach
We use mainstream
forecasting techniques
…and our own, published
forecasting framework,
the IS model
S-curve Bell-curve Kondratiev waves
© Global Forecasting Solutions Ltd 2014, All rights reserved
A glimpse of our offering
Early predictability of the Global economic crisis
An analysis about the Future of Europe
Early predictability of The Rise of China and the Asian economies
What makes our world and the economy tick
Forecast of LinkedIn users’ base
© Global Forecasting Solutions Ltd 2014, All rights reserved
Our proven record
Our approach has been proved right in several forecasting cases:
Early predictability of the Global economic crisis
A Forecast of the global economy: 2006-2030
Forecast of LinkedIn users’ base
Global warming: forecast of the rise of CO2 levels and Temperature increase
© Global Forecasting Solutions Ltd 2014, All rights reserved
Our forecasting communityThe Forecasting Net
One of the most active LinkedIn groups
about forecasting and future trends
More than 1,200 international members
with high caliber profiles, including
professors, directors, researchers, and
professionals from every discipline and
industry
Follow us on LinkedIn: Forecasting Net group Like us on Facebook: Forecasting Net page
© Global Forecasting Solutions Ltd 2014, All rights reserved
Our international presence
© Global Forecasting Solutions Ltd 2014, All rights reserved
Products & Services portfolio The “TSO” services offering
• Trends: Forecasting emerging trends
• Scenarios: Modeling and future scenario planning for varying structural assumptions and inputs
• Optimization: best use of systems and resources for optimum results
Vertical markets projects
Products offering
• The Forecasting Tool: an easy to use, excel-based forecasting application utilizing
the s-curve forecasting model
© Global Forecasting Solutions Ltd 2014, All rights reserved
Indicative offerings Business
• Customers installed base evolution
• New and lost customers modeling
• Company revenue forecasting
• Product sales value and quantity forecasting
• Product ageing
• Best time to launch new product or service
• Competition and market share analysis
• New technology adoption
Vertical markets special reports
• ICT sector
• Energy
• Social media
• Transportation
• Financial services
• Food industry
• Construction
• Hospitality
• Healthcare
• Retail / wholesale
• Clothing industry
• Not for profit organizations
• Public sector & local government
Macro economy
• Global economic outlook - long and short term trends
• Economic modeling for countries and regions
• Population dynamics
© Global Forecasting Solutions Ltd 2014, All rights reserved
Physical model interpretationModel's inputs, outputs, and parameters have a physical significance within the confines of the actual system at hand and can be checked for consistency
Forecasting approachWhat aspects of the system a forecaster takes into consideration
System specific dynamicsMathematical modelling
Mathematical modelling System specific dynamics
AD
VAN
CED
AD
VAN
CED
Trend change alertUpfront alert of a major trend change Multi-population forecastingSimultaneous forecasting for many interacting populations (e.g. market shares between competitors) Scenario planningBuilding scenarios for the future based on varying assumptions OptimizationBest use of systems and resources for optimum results Control variablesSystem variables you can use to control the output of the system (e.g. use marketing spending as a control variable to ascertain sales impact)
Physical model interpretationModel's inputs, outputs, and parameters have a physical significance within the confines of the actual system at hand and can be checked for consistency
BASI
CA
DVA
NCE
DBA
SICA
DVA
NCED
Our’s vs. other forecasting methods
* Trends Scenarios Optimization (TSO) method based on the Interaction Systems (IS) and other proven forecasting models. Sophisticated measure of forecasting uncertainty based on prediction intervals depending on the forecast time horizon i.e. how far ahead we want to look into the future
** Standard time series analysis based on commonly used methods such as ARIMA, ARMA, exponential smoothing, linear regression, moving average, naïve method, drift method, etc. Measure of forecasting uncertainty based on standard error indices such as MAD, RMSE, MAPE etc.
*** Naked eye forecasting based on experience and unaided observation
FeatureOur
methodology*Standard
forecasting methods**"Naked eye"
approach***
Basic qualitative insightsVaguely ascertain general trend direction Quantified trend forecastingNumerical forecasts with measured uncertainty Standard measure of forecasting accuracyMeasure of forecasting uncertainty based on standard error indices such as MAD, RMSE, MAPE etc. Advanced measure for forecasting accuracy: prediction intervalsSophisticated measure of forecasting uncertainty based on prediction intervals depending on the forecast time horizoni.e. how far ahead we want to look into the future
Trend change alertUpfront alert of a major trend change
BASI
C BASIC
© Global Forecasting Solutions Ltd 2014, All rights reserved
www.globalforecastingsolutions.com
www.forecastingnet.com
20-22 Wenlock RoadLondon N1 7GUUnited Kingdom Tel: 0044-2076085679