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FY 2020 Full-Year ResultsPresentation
20 May 2020
2
Today’s presenters
Hendrik du ToitFounder and Chief Executive Officer
Background
Kim McFarlandFinance Director
Background
– Founded Ninety One in 1991
– Former Investec Joint Chief Executive Officer (September 2018 – March 2020)
– Re-appointed Chief Executive Officer of Ninety One in March 2020
– 29 years with the business
– Joined Ninety One in 1993
– Former member of the Investec board (September 2018 – March 2020)
– Formerly Chief Operating Officer and Chief Financial Officer of Ninety One
– 26 years with the business
3
Agenda01 Business review02 Financial review03 Outlook and Q&A04 Appendices
FY 2020 Full-Year ResultsBusiness review
5
Momentous year, but that was last year…
FY 2020 key messages
Successful demerger and listing as Ninety One
Resilient business with consistent strategy, and bold ambition for the long term
Short-term investment performance negatively affected by market correction in March 2020
Stable and experienced staff complement, supported by established culture
Net inflows in line with previous year, solid client relationships and diversified offering
Committed to a capital-lightbusiness model
Challenging year ahead as the world battles with effects of COVID-19
1 2 3 4
5 6 7
6
Our purpose Investing for a better tomorrow
Long-term investment excellence is our primary function and is non-negotiable. We aim to provide our clients with an investment outcome that allows them to achieve their financial goals.
We are dedicated to building a better world through our capital allocation. We are responsible citizens of our societies and natural environment.
We are building a firm that aims to achieve excellence over the long term, with a culture that encourages our people to reach their highest potential and puts our clients at the centre of our business.
Better Firm Better Investing Better World
7
The safety and wellbeing of our people and clients are our highest priority
Response to COVID-19
People
Clients
Society
Shareholders
Early learnings from Hong Kong
office
Business continuity plans for working
from home scenarios
No related redundancies or furloughing
Hong Kong staff return
to office
Business fully operational throughout this period (including outsourcing
providers)
Contributed £2.9m to
relief efforts
AUM impacted by
markets
Joining the rebuilding effort -
committed to building a better
world
Our stakeholders January February March April May
Client engagement and service
continues, albeit virtually
All offices shift to working from
home
Proactive engagement
with regulators and
governments
Continued cost discipline
No debt; sufficiently capitalised
Strategy unchanged
Proactive approach to liquidity
management
Staff donation matching scheme
Deliver
Responsible Citizenship
Results
Care
8
Key numbers
Assets under management (AUM) £103. 4bn 7% reduction in AUM, while average AUM increased 10%
Net inflows £6.0bn Continued good inflows
Torque ratio1 5.4% Consistent with the prior year
Adjusted operating revenue2 £588.0m 9% increase
Profit before tax £198.5m 11% increase
Adjusted operating margin3 32.3% Higher than the prior year
Earnings per share (EPS) 16.1p16.8p
Adjusted EPS4 - 10% increase
Basic EPS5 – 11% increase
Investment performance 39% 55%
1-year firm-wide outperformance6
3-year firm-wide outperformance6
Staff ownership 21% Aligned with our stakeholders
Notes:1. Torque ratio is the relative scale of net flows in relation to the overall size of the business, expressed as a percentage. Calculated as net flows for the relevant period divided by AUM as at the first day of that period (annualised for non-twelve month periods).2. Adjusted operating revenue is calculated as net revenue, less Silica third-party revenue and adjusted for foreign exchange gains/losses, deferred employee benefit scheme movements, and other income.3. Adjusted operating profit margin is calculated as adjusted operating profit divided by adjusted operating revenue.4. Adjusted EPS is profit attributable to ordinary shareholders, adjusted to remove non-operating items, divided by the number of ordinary shares in issue at the end of the year. 5. Basic EPS is profit after tax attributable to ordinary shareholders divided by the weighted average number of ordinary shares outstanding during the year, excluding own shares held by Ninety One share schemes.6. Firm-wide outperformance is calculated as the sum of the total market values for individual portfolios that have positive active returns on a gross basis expressed as a percentage of total AUM. Our percentage of firm outperformance is reported on the basis of current AUM and therefore does not include terminated funds. Total AUM exclude double-counting of pooled products and third party assets administered on our South African (“SA”) fund platform. Benchmarks used for the above analysis include cash, peer group averages, inflation and market indices as specified in client mandates or fund prospectuses. For all periods shown, market values are as at the period end date.
9
£10
3bn
AUM Profit before tax and exceptional items
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
AUM CAGR FY92-FY98+93%
AUM CAGR FY98-FY09+19%
AUM CAGR FY09-FY20+12%
Domestic growth phase
Internationalisation phase
Scaling post crisis phase
Resilience over time
Notes:Financial years ended 31 March.1. Bear market defined as a period in which share prices fell 20% (measured by the MSCI All Countries World index) or more from the prior peak and would include the period from the peak in the market to the lowest point of the bear market.
Organically and sustainably built over nearly 30 years
Bear market1
10
Our strategic principles
We offer organically-developed investment capabilities through active segregated mandates or mutual funds to sophisticated clients.
Patient Organic Long-term Intergenerational
We operate globally in both the institutional and advisor space through five geographically defined Client Groups.
We have an approach to growth that is driven by structural medium-to long-term client demand and competitive investment performance.
11
Organically-built and diversified
Note: 1. Excluding SA fund platform AUM of c.£6.2 billion.
Our offering
£45.8bn £30.5bn £18.3bn
Equities Fixed income Multi-asset
4Factor Quality Value Fixed income Alternatives Multi-asset
Specialist Outcomes
£2.6bnCore asset
class offerings1
Distinct skillsets1
Client demand
Alternatives
12
AmericasAUM £13.6bn o/w Institutional 79%
Africa4
AUM £36.0bn o/w Institutional 62%
Diversified distribution across global markets
Notes: 1. Compound annual growth rate (“CAGR”) analysis based on AUM figures in USD; 2. 2010–18 industry CAGR based on data as at 31 December 2018, except for Africa; 3. Africa regional industry AUM CAGR based on figures from Alexander Forbes as at 30 June 2010 and 30 June 2019 and is for South Africa only; 4. Ninety One’s AUM CAGRs are based on AUM including SA fund platform, and the 2010-18 CAGR is based on South Africa AUM only; 5. Asia Pacific includes Middle East
Global reach
Asia Pacific5
AUM £17.4bn o/w Institutional 89%
UKAUM £21.9bn o/w Institutional 48%
EuropeAUM £14.5bn o/w Institutional 75%
Ninety One CAGR 2010-201
Industry CAGR 2010-182,3
Ninety One CAGR 2010-181
15% 22% 8%
Key:
21 Offices worldwide
5Regionally defined Client Groups
5Primary investment centres
1% 2% 2%
21% 30% 6%
16% 20% 5%
6% 8% 4%
13
Continued net inflows, AUM impacted by markets
Assets under management and flows
£ billion
FY 2020
68.0
77.5 75.7
95.3
103.9
111.4
103.4
3.1
6.43.2
20.2
5.43.2
6.1 1.4
6.0
(5.0) (0.6)
(14.0)
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20
5.9% 5.4%Torque ratios: 5.6%4.1% (0.8)%4.6%
Net flows Markets/currency
14
Net inflows of £6.0 billion, in line with prior year (FY 2019 of £6.1 billion)
Notes: 1. Net inflows in financial year ended 31 March 2018 of £5.4 billion.2. Asia Pacific includes Middle East.
Flow analysis
3,070
1,805
2,382
2,292 4,288 3,666
FY18 FY19 FY20
Advisor Institutional
1,6191,703
2,342
243
2,9081,835
(614)
9811,549
2,670
593 256
1,444
(92)
66
(20%)
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
FY18 FY19 FY20
United Kingdom Africa Europe
Americas Asia Pacific
1
1(215)
2,7482,537
4,583
2,391 2,435
1,212 447751
(288)
280 10871227 217
(20%)
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
FY18 FY19 FY20
Fixed income Equities Multi-asset
Alternatives SA fund platform
Net flows by Client Group (£m)Net flows by asset class (£m)
1
2
Net flows by client type (£m)
15
Short-term performance negatively affected in last quarter
Notes: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding.1. Firm-wide outperformance (underperformance) is calculated as the sum of the total market values for individual portfolios that have positive active returns (negative active returns) on a gross basis expressed as a percentage of total assets under management. Our percentage of firm outperformance is reported on the basis of current AUM and therefore does not include terminated funds. Total assets undermanagement exclude double-counting of pooled products and third party assets administered on our South African fund platform. Benchmarks used for the above analysis include cash, peer group averages, inflation and market indices as specified in client mandates or fund prospectuses. For all periods shown, market values are as at the period end date.2. Mutual fund performance and ranking as per Morningstar data using primary share classes net of fees to 31 March 2020. Peer group universes are either IA, GIFS or ASISA sectors as classified by Morningstar. Cash or cash-equivalent funds are excluded from the charts. Mutual fund performance weighted by AUM.
Investment performance
28%
33%
31%
36%
23%
19%
31%
48%
34%
40%
22%
7%
15%
7%
9%
1 year
3 year
5 year
10 year
1st quartile 2nd quartile 3rd quartile 4th quartile
Firm-wide investment performance1 Mutual fund performance2
39%
55%
56%
79%
71%
61%
45%
44%
21%
29%
1 year
3 year
5 year
10 year
Since inception
Outperformance Underperformance
17%
16Note: ESG stands for Environmental, Social and Governance.
Progress on our strategic priorities
Capture the growth inherent in our current capability set
Develop differentiated strategies, anticipating client needs
Focus on growth in professionally intermediated channels (advisor and institutional)
Ensure sustainability is at the core of our business
– Fixed income and specialist equities saw significant net inflows in the year
– Ninety One has a powerful combination of staff stability and competitive long-term track records
– Multi-asset outcomes-based offerings continued to gain momentum
– Continued to build our equity and fixed income capabilities with recent success in credit, specialist equities, including China
– Positive net flows across both channels
– Strong growth from the advisor channel driven by outcomes-based and specialist equities strategies
– Invest: Recently developed sustainability strategies gaining investor attention and progress in ESG1 integration and active ownership
– Engage: Intensified public advocacy
– Inhabit: Responsible citizenship across our business and our communities
17
Our owner culture is a vital element of our long-term success
We are a people business
Freedom to create within clear parameters of values, team and strategy
Our people have the freedom to be themselves
We combine individual expression with collective ambition and team discipline
We insist on results but not at the expense of the human spirit
We balance relentless drive with decency
We strive to do the right thing, for clients, community and the team
Relationships matter
Employee ownership
21% acquired at fair market value
It is all about the drive to be better: Better firm, better investing, better world
FY 2020 Full-Year ResultsFinancial review
19
Notes: 1. Adjusted operating revenue is calculated as net revenue, less Silica third-party revenue of £21.2 million (2019: £21.8 million) and adjusted for foreign exchange gains of £2.1 million (2019: £5.0 million), deferred employee benefit scheme losses of £1.0 million (2019: gains of £5.0 million), and other income.2. Staff expenses exclude Silica staff expenses of £15.4 million (2019: £16.0 million) and are adjusted for deferred employee benefit scheme losses of £1.0 million (2019: gains of £5.0 million).3. Adjusted operating expenses exclude Silica net expenses of £19.4 million (2019: £20.6 million), include interest expense on lease liabilities of £3.0 million (2019: nil), and are adjusted for deferred employee benefit scheme losses of £1.0 million (2019: gains of £5.0 million).4. Adjusted operating profit margin is calculated as adjusted operating profit divided by adjusted operating revenue.5. Number of full-time employees excludes Silica employees of 465 (2019: 490).
Income statement£ million (unless stated) FY 2020 FY 2019 Change
Closing AUM (in £ billion) 103.4 111.4 (7)%
Net flows (in £ billion) 6.0 6.1 (1)%
Average AUM (in £ billion) 118.3 108.0 10%
Management fees 565.7 524.6 8%
Performance fees 21.5 11.0 95%
Foreign exchange gains and other income 0.8 5.0 (84)%
Adjusted operating revenue1 588.0 540.6 9%
Staff expenses2 (258.8) (242.6) 7%
Non-staff expenses (139.3) (125.5) 11%
Adjusted operating expenses3 (398.1) (368.1) 8%
Adjusted operating profit 189.9 172.5 10%
Average fee rate (bps) 47.8 48.6 n.m.
Adjusted operating profit margin4 32.3% 31.9% n.m.
Full-time employees5 1,165 1,139 2%
20
Income statement (cont.)
£ million FY 2020 FY 2019 Change
Adjusted operating profit 189.9 172.5 10%
Adjusted net interest income1 4.5 5.5 (18)%
Silica profit 1.9 1.4 36%
Profit before tax and exceptional items 196.3 179.4 9%
Exceptional items
Ninety One share scheme implementation 13.1 - n.m
Other exceptional items (10.9) (1.0) n.m
Profit before tax 198.5 178.4 11%
Tax expense (42.5) (38.6) 10%
Profit after tax 156.0 139.8 12%
Note: 1. Adjusted net interest income is calculated as net interest income less interest income arising from Silica operations, interest expenses from lease liabilities for office premises of £3.0 million (2019: nil) under IFRS 16 Leases, and other interest expenses.
21
Movement in profit before tax (“PBT”) and exceptional items
Notes: 1. Other items include foreign exchange gains and other income, adjusted net interest income, and Silica profit.2. Other exceptional items of £10.9 million largely related to the demerger from Investec and subsequent listing on the LSE and JSE.
Profit analysis
£ millions
– Management fees increased 8%
– Downward fee pressure
– Average fee rates impacted by AUM mix
FY 2019 PBT and
exceptional items
Management fees
Performance fees
Other items1
Staff expenses
Non-staff expenses
FY 2020 PBT and
exceptional items
Share scheme
implementation
Other exceptional
items2
FY 2020 PBT
22
Notes: Analysis based on adjusted operating expenses as defined on slide 19.1. Excludes Silica net expenses; however, includes Silica as a non-consolidated third party provider within client and retail fund admin.
Operating expense analysis
10%
7%
11%
15%
27%
14%
16%
FY 2019
10%
6%
11%
15%
27%
16%
15%
FY 2020
Promotional
Travel
Information
Systems
Client & retail fund admin
Accommodation
Overheads
Response to COVID-19
– FY 2020 includes the £2.9 million contribution towards COVID-19 relief efforts
– Continued cost discipline
– No material operational or staff impact
368.1398.1
16.2 5.1 2.1 2.0 4.6
66% 65%
FY19 expenses Staff expenses Accommodation Systems Promotional Other expenses FY20 expenses
Staff expenses
Non-staff expenses
Breakdown of non-staff expenses
Adjusted operating expenses (£ millions)
– 8% increase in adjusted operating expenses
– Approximately two thirds of the total expenses relate to staff
– Variable component of staff expenses is aligned with financial performance
– Continued investment to support long-term growth
1
23
Additional expense analysis
Operating expenses
– New corporate functions and replacement services
– Duplicate accommodation expenses (London office)
Recurring
Non-recurring
– Net effect of Ninety One share scheme
– Demerger expenses, one-off rebranding
– Closure of subsidiary
Exceptional items
0.2
2.7
1.5
(0.5)
3.6
6.5
10.9
(13.1) -
-
FY 2019FY 2020
– Exceptional items for FY 2020 relate to the demerger from Investec
– Actual demerger expenses were in line with guidance disclosed in Ninety One Prospectus, dated March 2020 (£10.8 million)
– FY 2021 guidance:
– New corporate functions
– Duplicate accommodation costs relating to London office
– Net effect of Ninety One share scheme
– Demerger expenses, one-off rebranding
£millions
– expect to increase (specifically marketing)
– expect to decrease
– expect to be immaterial
– expect to decrease
24
Committed to a capital-light model
Notes: The above table represents the amalgamated position across Ninety One plc and its subsidiaries and Ninety One Limited and its subsidiaries, which for regulatory capital purposes are separate groups. Both groups of companies had an expected capital surplus at 31 March 2019 and 31 March 2020.1. Non-qualifying assets comprise assets that are not available to meet regulatory requirements.
Capital position
– Our balance sheets are sufficiently capitalised, with no debt, and can support our business through this period of uncertainty
– Reduction in total equity reflects dividends paid prior to the demerger
– No further ordinary or special dividends to be declared for FY 2020
– Expect to target an ordinary dividend payout ratio of at least 50% of profit after tax
– Will also consider a special dividend
– No plans to increase current number of shares in issue (c.923m)
£ million FY 2020 FY 2019
Equity 151.1 195.7
Non-qualifying assets1 (12.7) (9.3)
Qualifying capital 138.4 186.4
Dividends declared after year end - (64.7)
Estimated regulatory requirement (96.8) (86.4)
Expected capital surplus 41.6 35.3
25
Tough times ahead
Outlook
We had a momentous year, but now facing challenging market and economic conditions
Product relevance, investment performance andclient service will be key to ongoing success
Opportunity-richenvironment for alpha generation
Lower revenue expected, which requires cost discipline
We remain a resilient, stable business withstrategic clarity andan ambitious long-term growth agenda
27
DisclaimerThis presentation (the “Presentation”) has been prepared by Ninety One plc and Ninety One Limited (together, the “Company” and, together with their subsidiaries from time to time, “Ninety One”).
This Presentation is provided on a strictly private and confidential basis for information purposes only and must not be relied upon for any purpose. This Presentation does not constitute, and should not be construed as, part of any offer, invitation or inducement to sell, or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for, any securities in any member of Ninety One and it is not intended to provide the basis of any investment decision nor does it, nor is it, intended to form the basis of any contract for acquisition of or investment in any member of Ninety One, financial promotion, or any offer or invitation in relation to any acquisition of or investment in any member of Ninety One in any jurisdiction. This Presentation does not constitute either advice or a recommendation regarding any securities.
This Presentation may contain statements that constitute forward-looking statements relating to the financial condition, performance and position, strategy, results and business of Ninety One. These forward looking statements can be identified by the use of forward looking terminology, including, but not limited to, words such as “expectation”, “belief”, “estimate”, “plan”, “target”, or “forecast” and similar expressions or the negative thereof; or by forward-looking nature of discussions of strategy, plans or intentions; or by their context. No representation is made that any of these statements or forecasts will come to pass or that any forecast results will be achieved. All statements regarding the future are prospective in nature and are not based on historical and current facts, but rather on current expectations, assumptions and projections of management about future events and are, therefore, subject to inherent risks and uncertainties. Various factors could cause actual future results, performance or events to differ materially from those described or implied in these statements. Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding Ninety One’s present and future business strategies and the environment in which Ninety One will operate in the future. Further, certain forward-looking statements are based upon assumptions of future events which may not prove to be accurate and the Company nor any other person accepts any responsibility for the accuracy of the opinions expressed in this Presentation or the underlying assumptions.
By their nature, all forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they are based on information available at the time they are made, including expectations and assumptions, and relate to future events and/or depend on circumstances which may be or are beyond Ninety One’s control, including among other things: changes in the domestic and global political and/or economic environment that would materially affect Ninety One; changes in
legislation or regulation impacting Ninety One’s operations or its accounting policies; changes in business conditions that will have a significant impact on Ninety One’s operations; changes in exchange rates, interest rates and/or tax rates; and changes in the structure of the markets, client demand or the competitive environment. As a result, Ninety One’s actual future financial condition, performance and results may differ materially from the plans, goals, objectives and expectations set forth in any forward-looking statements.
Past performance is not an indication of future results and the results of the Ninety One in this document may not be indicative of, and are not an estimate, forecast or projection of, Ninety One’s future results. The forward-looking statements in this Presentation speak only as at the date of this Presentation and the Company and its affiliates expressly disclaim any obligation or undertaking to release any updates or revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect any change in the Company's expectations with regard thereto or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any statement is based after the date of this Presentation or to update or to keep current any other information contained in this Presentation or to provide any additional information in relation to such forward-looking statements, except as required by law. You are therefore cautioned not to place any undue reliance on such forward-looking statements nor on the on the completeness, accuracy or fairness of this Presentation.
This presentation contains non-IFRS financial information which the directors of the Company believe is valuable in understanding the performance of the Ninety One. However, non-IFRS financial information is not uniformly defined by all companies and, therefore, it may not be comparable with similarly titled measures disclosed by other companies, including those in Ninety One’s industry. Although these measures are important in the assessment and management of Ninety One’s business, they should not be viewed in isolation or as replacements for, but rather as complementary to the comparable IFRS measures.
Certain figures in this Presentation are subject to rounding. Accordingly, figures shown for the same category presented in different charts or tables may vary slightly and figures shown as totals in certain charts or tables may not be an arithmetic aggregation of the figures that precede them. In addition, certain percentages in this Presentation reflect calculations based upon the underlying information prior to rounding and, accordingly, may not conform exactly to the percentages that would be derived if the relevant calculations were based upon the rounded numbers.
FY 2020 Full-Year ResultsAppendices
29Notes: AUM as at 31 March 2020.
AUM by asset class, Client Group and client type
6%
3%
44%29%
18%
AUM by asset class
SA fund platform
Alternatives
Equities
Fixed income
Multi-asset
35%
13%17%
14%
21%
AUM by Client Group
Africa
Americas
Asia Pacific
Europe
United Kingdom
32%
68%
AUM by client type
Advisor
Institutional
30
Specialist commodities(inc. Global Environment)Real estate
Private equity
Infrastructure debt
Global
Asia (inc. China)
United Kingdom
Emerging markets ("EM")
Europe
Africa (inc. SA)
Absolute return
Developed markets credit
EM sovereign & currency
EM credit
Africa (inc. SA) fixed income
Africa (inc. SA) credit
Income
Growth
Africa (inc. SA)
United Kingdom
EM
Notes: AUM as at 31 March 2020, excluding SA fund platform (£6.2bn). Breakdown based on underlying strategy definitions.
AUM by strategy
£45.8bn £30.5bn
Equities Fixed income Multi-asset Alternatives
£2.6bn
Global
Regional
£18.3bn
31
14%
23%
39%
14%
10%
Corporates / other
Public authorities / official institutions
Pension funds
Insurance
Investments in mutual funds
32%68%
39%
35%
19%
8%
Private banks / wealth managers
Retail banks / insurance / IFAs
SA fund platform
Other
AUM by client type
Institutional Advisor
£103.4bn £33.4bn£70.0bn
3
1
2
AUM by client type
Notes: AUM as at 31 March 2020. Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding.1. “Other” represents c.1% of institutional AUM.2. “IFAs” represent Independent Financial Advisers. 3. “Other” represents sub-advised and legacy direct book.
32
48%52%
Emerging markets
Developed markets
Notes: AUM as at 31 March 2020. 1. Emerging markets includes Africa and Asia Pacific (excluding Australia).
AUM by emerging/developed markets
AUM by client
location
AUM by investment
strategy
1
57%
43%
33
Sustainability is in our DNA
Holistic approach Invest, Engage, Inhabit
We started on the front line of sustainable investing: Africa
Front-line expertiseWe believe that with systematic engagement, integration and impact reporting we can bring about positive change
We manage differentiated strategies run by specialist sustainabilityinvestors
Active ownersImpact and sustainability strategies
Set up dedicated ESG Team
Initiated ESG integration across investment teams
Began deploying developmental capital across Africa through private equity & credit funds
Deployed developmental capital via infrastructure & direct real estate funds
CEO co-authored report from Business and Sustainable Development Commission, titled Better Business, Better World
Launched Global Environment StrategyPublished
commitmentto climate changeaction
Launched UK Sustainable Equity Fund
Adopted Global Stewardship Policy
Launched systematic & transparent proxy voting programme
2016 201920152009 20122008 2018
LaunchedGlobalEnvironmentFund
Launched SRI fundsin South Africa
Promote financial literacy in joint venture with UCT
Founded PPP in Namibia to support Black entrepreneurs
20011999 2007 2010
Helped draft amendment to regulation 28 of the South African Pension Funds Act
Member of Committee on Responsible Investing in South Africa
Researched the impact of climate change on shareholder value in South Africa
2011
Joined Impact Investment Institute