12
© 2008 Borrell Associates Inc. Upcoming Reports for 2008/2009 Upcoming Reports for 2008/2009 September 4, 2008 TVB Annual Forecasting Conference Gordon Borrell, CEO, Borrell Associates Inc.

© 2008 Borrell Associates Inc. Upcoming Reports for 2008/2009 September 4, 2008 TVB Annual Forecasting Conference Gordon Borrell, CEO, Borrell Associates

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

© 2008 Borrell Associates Inc.

Upcoming Reports for 2008/2009Upcoming Reports for 2008/2009

September 4, 2008

TVB Annual Forecasting Conference

Gordon Borrell, CEO, Borrell Associates Inc.

© 2008 Borrell Associates Inc.

Local vs. National Online Advertising

Source: Borrell Associates Inc., as of Q1 2008 data

© 2008 Borrell Associates Inc.

LocalLocal Interactive Spending through 2013 Interactive Spending through 2013

© 2008 Borrell Associates Inc.

Local Video Dominates by 2013Local Video Dominates by 2013

Source: Borrell Associates 2008

$14.1$14.1

$23.0$23.0

+ 5x

- 43%

© 2008 Borrell Associates Inc.

Local TV Interactive Revenues through 2010Local TV Interactive Revenues through 2010

($ in millions)

$75 $119

$283

$447

$772

$1,158

$1,448

$1,665

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008p 2009f 2010f

+50%

© 2008 Borrell Associates Inc.

2007 TV Interactive Revenue2007 TV Interactive Revenue By Market SizeBy Market Size

Source: Borrell Associates Inc. n=613

DMA Market Size

Avg. Share of Local Online Advertising

Lowest Highest

Markets 1-20 0.5% <1.0% 3.7%

Markets 21-50 1.2% 0.2% 11.1%

Markets 51-100 1.1% <0.1% 7.1%

Markets 101-210 1.8% <0.1% 18.5%

Average/ Range 1.0% <1.0% 18.1%

© 2008 Borrell Associates Inc.

Fourth Annual Benchmarking ReportFourth Annual Benchmarking Report

BenchmarkingLocal TV InteractiveAdvertising

• Revenues• Expenses• # of salespeople• $ from video streaming• $ from banners• $ from “up-selling”• $ from mobile adv.• ?• ? • ?

January 2009

© 2008 Borrell Associates Inc.

Interactive Advertising How-To ReportInteractive Advertising How-To Report

• Benchmarking• Top performers• Video streaming• Mobile advertising• Email advertising• Banner advertising• Branded vs. separate sites• ?• ? • ?

November 2008

How to IncreaseInteractive AdvertisingNOW

© 2008 Borrell Associates Inc.

New Local Brands Are EmergingNew Local Brands Are Emerging

© 2008 Borrell Associates Inc.

CAGR High for TV SitesCAGR High for TV Sites

Revenue ($ billions)* CAGR**

Website Type 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008  

Local Online $1.7 $2.1 $2.7 $4.8 $5.7 $8.7 $13.1 40.5%

Local Newspapers 0.66 0.81 1.2 2.0 2.6 3.1 3.7 33. 5%

Local TV 0.06 0.08 0.12 0.28 0.45 0.77 1.16 67.2%

Local Radio N/A 0.02 0.03 0.06 0.13 0.19 0.26 69.9%

© 2008 Borrell Associates Inc.

Web Site Valuation MultiplesWeb Site Valuation Multiples

Average Website Valuation by Type

Newspaper

Local Television

Local Radio

Pure-Play

Estimated Values (000s)

$25,463 $4,167 $5,646 $9,793

2008 Rev. Multiple 5.8 7.4 7.7 5.6

2008 Cash Flow Multiple

11.5 17.4 17.3 12.4

© 2008 Borrell Associates Inc.

Thank You!Thank You!

Gordon [email protected]