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© 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Global Risk AssessmentGlobal Risk Assessment
Presented by:
Gerald J. KomisarVice PresidentGlobal Risk Assessments
May 07, 2004Miami, Florida
Confidential
The World at Risk:Threats to International Business
The World at Risk:Threats to International Business
2© 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Global economic downturn and recovery
Dramatic changes in the world in the past few years have impacted our lives and businesses in profound ways.Dramatic changes in the world in the past few years have impacted our lives and businesses in profound ways.
Expansion of worldwide risks
Globalization
Perceptions of the United States
3© 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
A discussion of geo-political and security risksA discussion of geo-political and security risks
Perspectives on terrorism and global security threats
Regional “hotspots”
Understanding and managing global risks
4© 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
A Global Terrorism AssessmentA Global Terrorism Assessment
Status Report
International cooperation
Terrorists under pressure
Conclusions
Homeland defense
5© 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
A Global Terrorism AssessmentA Global Terrorism Assessment
Current Threats
Al Qaeda
Regional groups
Preferred targets
Terrorist weapons
6© 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Middle East
Iran
Oman
Yemen
Turkey
UAE
JordanIsrael
SyriaLebanonIraq
Kuwait
Saudi Arabia
Situation in Iraq
Israel - Palestine
Regional attitudes
Regional Issues Affecting Global SecurityRegional Issues Affecting Global Security
7© 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Southeast Asia
Thailand
MalaysiaSing.
Indonesia
PhilippinesPhilippines Problem areas
Prospects
Regional Issues Affecting Global SecurityRegional Issues Affecting Global Security
8© 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Europe
Regional Issues Affecting Global SecurityRegional Issues Affecting Global Security
UnitedKingdom
Spain ItalyGreece
Poland
Hungary
9© 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Africa
Regional Issues Affecting Global SecurityRegional Issues Affecting Global Security
Algeria
TunisiaMorocco
Somalia
KenyaTanzania
Nigeria
10© 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
South Asia
India
Pakistan
AfghanistanKashmir
Afghanistan
Pakistan
India-Pakistan Relations
Regional Issues Affecting Global SecurityRegional Issues Affecting Global Security
11© 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Asia Korea
Greater ChinaNorthKorea
SouthKorea
TaiwanHongKong
RussiaChina
Japan
Regional Issues Affecting Global SecurityRegional Issues Affecting Global Security
12© 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Latin America
Argentina
Brazil
Chile Uruguay
ParaguayBolivia
Peru
Ecuador
Colombia
Venezuela
Regional stability issues
Security factors
Regional Issues Affecting Global SecurityRegional Issues Affecting Global Security
© 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Understanding and assessing business risks
Developing effective risk management solutions
Outlook
Enduring threat of terrorism and geopolitical risk
14© 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
EBB Home Page
15© 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Featured Article
16© 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Regional Page
17© 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Industry Page
18© 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Custom Report
19© 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Archive
© 2004 American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Global Risk AssessmentGlobal Risk Assessment
Presented by:
Gerald J. KomisarVice PresidentGlobal Risk Assessments
May 07, 2004Miami, Florida
Confidential
The World at Risk:Threats to International Business
The World at Risk:Threats to International Business
