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“Credit Risk Management at Standard
Chartered Vietnam”
Master Thesis
submitted to
IMC University of Applied Sciences Krems
and
Vietnam University of Commerce
Master Program
Vietnamese Austrian Business Administration
by
HOANG VIET THANH
For the award of the title
Master of Arts in Business (MA)
Eidesstattliche Erklärung
„Ich erkläre an Eides statt, dass ich die vorliegende Masterarbeit (Diplomarbeit) selbstständig verfasst, und in der Bearbeitung und Abfassung keine anderen als die angegebenen Quellen oder Hilfsmittel benutzt, sowie wörtliche und sinngemäße Zitate als solche gekennzeichnet habe. Die vorliegende Masterarbeit wurde noch nicht anderweitig für Prüfungszwecke vorgelegt.“
Datum: 9. August 2013 Unterschrift
HOANG VIET THANH
Statutory declaration
“I declare in lieu of an oath that I have written this master thesis myself and that I have not used any sources or resources other than stated for its preparation. I further declare that I have clearly indicated all direct and indirect quotations. This master thesis has not been submitted elsewhere for examination purposes.”
Date: 09th August 2013 Signature
HOANG VIET THANH
Acknowledgement
I take immense pleasure in thanking Rector of Vietnam
Commercial University, and Prof. NGUYEN Hoang, Chief of
International Training Department, Rector of the Applied
Sciences IMC Krems University, for having permitted me to
have a chance to complete this dissertation.
I wish to express my deep sense of gratitude to my Internal
Guide, Prof. NGUYEN Hoang, chief of International Training
Department, Vietnam Commercial University; for his able
guidance and useful suggestions, which helped me in
completing the work, in time. Needless to mention that all
SCB staff who had been a source of inspiration, for all
their valuable assistance in the project work and for their
timely guidance in the conduct of my thesis.
Finally, yet importantly, I would like to express my
heartfelt thanks to my parents for their blessings, my
friends/classmates for their help and wishes for the
successful completion of my dissertation.
Master of Art in Business Applicant
FORWORD
n the situation of crisis economy, financial
market of each country has been faced with
fluctuation and risk hidden. As the results,
financial quantitative factors for credit risk management
are the top hottest factors. The world crisis consequences
appear all over the world, thus, credit risk measurements
are needed for every country to identify, evaluate,
foresee the financial situation of each enterprise. Thus,
this is the reason why, author chose the title of Credit
Risk Management of SCB.
I
In the size of thesis for Master of Art in Business,
author would like to indicate his little experience in
this sector along with combining with credit risk
management knowledge over the world. Besides he also would
love to draw quickly the overview of credit in Vietnam,
then, scoped into special application for SCB. Finally,
the dissertation will include the conclusion and short
recommendation for improving credit risk quality at SCB.
LIST OF CONTENTS
Statutory Declaration Acknowledgement ForewordTable of ContentsList of figuresChapter 1: Introduction 11. Background 12. Objectives 13. Structure 2Chapter 2: Literature Review 52.1. Credit risk definition 82.2. The components of credit risk 92.3. Credit risk management 112.4. Risk causes 162.5. Credit measurement 182.6. Basel Committee recommendation in Credit Risk Management
19
Chapter 3: Overview of Credit Risk Management in Viet Nam Banks
21
1. The organization of banks in Vietnam 212. The growth in total assets of banks in Vietnam though period
22
3. Operating Environment in Vietnam’s banking domain 234. Credit Risk Ratio 24
5. Bad Debt 256. The Vietnamese bank ratio of profit/ total revenues 31Chapter 4: Methodology 324.1. Research purpose and target 324.2. Data 334.3. Information gathering method 344.4. Procedures 364.5. Limitation 38Chapter 5: Credit Risk Management at Standard CharteredBank Vietnam (Ltd)
40
5.1. Introduction 405.2. Credit Risk at Standard Chartered Vietnam 415.3. Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered Bank Vietnam (Ltd).
42
5.4. Financial Analysis 53
5.5. Questionnaire result analysis 615.6. Credit Risk Management Summation 745.7. Recommendation 765.8. Conclusion 82References 83Annex 1 85
TABLE OF FIGURES
Figure 1: Credit Analysis Process Flow (John
B.Caouette, Edward I. Altman, Managing Credit
Risk, 1998)11
Figure 2: Credit Organization in a large bank
Joetta Colquitt (2007) 13
Figure 3: Functional Approach to the Credit
Process (Joetta Colquitt (2007) 14
Figure 4: Credit Rating System of Fitch, S&P and
Moody’s 18
Figure 5: The increase of total assets at
Vietnamese Banks from 2009 to 2012 (Extracted from
SBV annual report)21
Figure 6: Credit Risk Ratios at Vietnamese Banks
(Extracted from Vietinbank, Vietcombank, BIDV,
ACB, Eximbank annual report).22
Figure 7: Classification of Loans in Vietnam 24Figure 8: Bad debt rate of Vietnamese banks as at
31th December 2012 (Financial Report of Commercial
Banks)25
Figure 9: The possible loss loans (Group 5)
against total liabilities of Vietnamese banks
(Financial Report of Commercial Banks)26
Figure 10: Vietnam Asset Management Company in
settling the bad debt 27
Figure 11: Extracted from banks financial annual
report. 29
Figure 12: List of SCB staff joined in
questionnaire32
Figure 13: Table of Standard Chartered Vietnam Limited Products 35
Figure 14: The lending procedures of Standard
Chartered Bank Vietnam (Ltd). (Internal Process
37
Document)Figure 15: Documents for Loan Applicants (SCB
Products Internal Document) 38
Figure 16: Credit Grading of SCB (Internal
Document). 39
Figure 17: Table of collateral evaluation at SCB
(Internal Document) 40
Figure 18: Table of maximum percentage for lending
at SCB (Internal Document) 41
Figure 19: The capital mobilization of SCB from
2009 to 2012 (SCB financial report). 48
Figure 20: Annual Financial Report of SCB (SCB
website). Unit: Billion VND 48
Figure 21: The percentage of Loan Development.
Unit: % 48
Figure 22: Bad Debt Rate of Foreign Banks in
Vietnam (Annual Financial Report of ANZ, HSBC,
Citibank, ANZ).49
Figure 23: The liquidity of SCB from 2009 -2012
(Internal Document) 51
Figure 24: The questionnaire result of credit risk
from rivals 53
Figure 25: The questionnaire result of credit risk
from changing of governmental policies 55
Figure 26: The questionnaire result of credit risk
from ineffective work of legality 56
Figure 27: The questionnaire result of credit risk 57
from lacking of information systemFigure 28: Credit risk from cheating financial
reports and/or capabilities 58
Figure 29: Credit risk from using loans with wrong
purpose 59
Figure 30: Credit risk from cross borrowing 60Figure 31: Credit risk from fraudsters 61Figure 32: Credit risk from staff 62Figure 33: Credit risk from procedures 63
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
Chapter 1: Introduction
1. Background
Vietnam is growing with the fast speed in economy.
Vietnam’s GDP was 136 bil USD, the GDP increased 5.6 %,
the revenue per person is 1540 USD/ year, the inflation
rate is roughly 8% (2012, VBF). Besides, in financial
institutes, banks have achieved some remarkable success,
the CAR (Capital Adequacy Ratio) is 13,7% (higher than 9%
required by SBV), the lending amount against Vietnam Dong
capitalized is 95%, LDR is 91.13% (compared with 103.23%
in 2011), the liquidity was improved in crisis economy.
There outstanding number has been attracted a lot
attention from foreign investments and economy specialist.
Though keeping in safe healthy during this year, Vietnam’s
bank field was faced with a lot of problems. The bad debt
ratio was 4.9% in 2012, increased dramatically with 3.1%
in 2011; (-2.4%) is the decrease of total assets of all
bank system (2012 SBV report). Therefore, credit risk
management is really necessary for Vietnam’s economy at
that moment. If a bank collapsed, that is not problem for
1
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
one enterprises, this will lead to a bad situation of
economy.
2. Objectives
Credit is a sector that brings a lot of benefits to banks
in Vietnam, but this is one of the most risky sectors
(make up 70% banking risk). Once it happens, it can lead
banks to many serious scenarios, even bankruptcy. In the
world, there are numerous studies that have been made
already for the whole credit risk management in banks.
Then, all studies has been showed off the disadvantages
and advantages of credit risk system in each country like
Takeshi Jingu (2013) for off balance sheet lending risk in
China, Yogieta S.Mehra (2010) for operational risk
management in India. However, almost researches have made
for this sector focusing on some surface elements of
credit risk such as provisioning, processing, etc, not
draw a full picture with whole scenarios can be appeared
when credit risk comes especially in Vietnam where banks
are different from western system. Therefore this study
has been made with the purpose of concentration on credit
risk management (banking) in Vietnam and help reader to
2
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
possess the knowledge of risk management, especially in
credit of banking sector.
3. Structure
It is very important to build up a well framework to
follow up before go into the detail. The thesis work flow
can be summarized as diagram below
3
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
In chapter 2, the literature review will be made. The
function of this chapter is to bring out the background,
knowledge and information to understand “what is the credit risk?,
how does it works ?, how can we measure it?, etc”.
The review of banking firms in Vietnam will be reflected
in the chapter 3. The reason why this chapter given in the
thesis is that we can have the full review and see the
growth of banking area in Vietnam passed through each
period. Moreover, we can look again the dramatic change of
financial institutes in Vietnam.
In chapter 4, the methodologies of research will be
indicated in this chapter. The methodologies of research
will focus on data aim, objectives of research; data
source and analyzing methods.
For the chapter 5, The credit risk management practices of
SCB will be reflected in this chapter. Besides, the4
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
comparison against Basel requirement will be implemented.
On the other hand, the research is completed by a small
research.
Eventually, a conclusion and recommendations will be
listed for ending the thesis.
5
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
Chapter 2: Literature review
Researches of Credit Risk Management in the world
Credit Risk Management is a very important sector for each
country. Financial institutions have right to gain money
by lending, then, they can get back the original and
interest. That is profits of all banks. However, credit
always contains a lot of risk and can not be eliminated
fully. We can just minimize risk and its bad effect to
banks, even to the whole economy.
In the world, there are many researches related to this
incident. From America to Asia, this incident is always
put in the top urgent. In the size of master thesis,
author would like to choose the most three outstanding6
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
researches in the world about this domain and one of three
will be chose for master thesis flow.
Firstly, that is the research of Dr. Yuan Mu – China. The
research that he did is applied for Doctor title at
University of Sterling, UK is about China’s Banks Credit
Risk Assessment. At the beginning of the research, he
talked about the methodologies used in the research. The
methods are Soft Budget Constraint and the uncertain of
Keynesian approach. In the Keynesian, they introduce the
prefecture of quantity model in credit assessment and this
is the debate of Mr Yuan. He thought that we are living in
not perfect world, thus, generally we can not obtain the
full information. Moreover, two models above come from
western, so it is not suitable in China where is different
from politic, behavior, demographic, etc.
In the next step, he made an overview about roles of banks
and money for the economy, especially, he mentioned credit
as a factor that is not able to unloose in the economy.
After listing some knowledge about credit risk, he, then,
gave the history scales of Chinese banking history. In
this part, the viewer can see clearly the unbelievable
change of China for each period. He also mentioned the
roles of money and bank in China.
7
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
Next, he drew a general view of economy of China now with
the statistic. The financial ratios related to credit area
were also dealt with. The final chapters in his research,
he used for his case studies. He did two case studies, one
focused on the credit risk management system of ICBC, the
remaining was utilized for whole banking system in a
province of China.
Nevertheless, he concluded his research by his
recommendation based on the result of interview and his
literature review.
Secondly, that is the research of Dr Edward I.Altman – USA.
In his research, he dealt with the literature review of
credit sector first. Edward has wide knowledge and
experience in banking sector because he is not only a
lecturer of New York University, but also he is the
director of credit risk centre of BNY Mellon (top 50
largest bank in USA).
The literature review of him concentrated on the effect of
change in regulatory to credit risk. Then, he mentioned
the important of credit measurement in credit risk
management. He said that “If we do not have a clearly way of Credit
Measurement, it will be a blind alley for credit risk management”. The
credit risk measurement used is the scales of risk
evaluation made by Moody’s and S&P. On the other hand, the
8
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
rules of Basel were mentioned as highly importance by
Edward.
The size of Edward Research is much bigger than Dr. Yuan
because if Mr Yuan focused strongly in China, Edward used
his research to compare the credit risk management in the
United States of America and the Europe by financial
ratios like capital position, Capital/ Assets Ratio, etc.
In his research, he did not use any interview or
questionnaire. He analyzed based on actual data of banks
in the US and previous research paper.
The third research that I mentioned before is the research
of JPMorgan Chase. His research applied for banks in the
UK. JP Morgan Chase’s research has appeared in the Journal
of Credit Risk in 2013.
As other research, he also started with the literature
review. However, there are some different between 02
researches below. As normal, he went down from the basic
definition, the principle of credit risk management,
measurement, problem in credit management, but the special
thing is that he mentions 04 credit models: Merton, Rating
Actuary and Macroeconomic. Four of credit models above
will support the credit risk management in banks to be
9
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
much more clearly from security in credit to protect bank
from the change.
Continuously, he said about the methodologies of his
research (aim, method and limitation). He did compare each
other between banks in the UK to find out which bank is
the best in credit risk management. The actual data and
the statistic are obviously mentioned strongly.
In summary, in the size of Master thesis for the title of
“Master of Art in Business Administration”, the author
will based on the flow of 03 researches above to find out
the problem in credit risk management of Vietnam in
general, at Standard Chartered Vietnam in special way.
Each research has advantage that we can not refuse and the
disadvantage needed to realize. The research will prefer
the way of Mr Yuan model to remaining 02 researches. The
reason is that the model of Mr Yuan applied for China
where has not totally but almost similar demographic,
politic, behavior, etc. However, the remaining researches
will support to find out the best recommendation for a
good credit risk management. Because researches applied
for UK, US, where have powerful competence in credit risk
management.
2.1. Credit risk definition
10
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
In the economy, credit provider is a basic function of
banks. For almost bank in Vietnam, credit activities make
up ½ total assets and profit from lending is 2/3 against
the total profits of whole banks. However, banking risks
focus on mostly in credit activities. According to Joel
Bessis (2010), “Credit risk is the first of all risk in term of importance”.
Regarding GARP. 2012.”Credit risk is the potential loss due to the
nonperformance of a financial contract, or financial aspects of
nonperformance in any contract”.
State Bank of Vietnam (SBV) - Decision 493/2005/QĐ-NHNN,
22/04/2005. “Credit risk is the loss of payback or late payment”
Generally speaking, “Credit risk is the potential loss that is created
when banks offer credit contracts to customers. Customers do not (or can not)
take the responsibility for their loans and guarantee financial aspects”.
However, we need to understand that credit risk potential
will be kept in every loan. Although a bank has low bad
debt ration, they still face with high credit risk when
they concentrate on only type of individual customers.
Quantitative Concept: Credit Risk is reflected by the bad debt
ratio of bank
Qualitative Concept: Credit Risk is along with the quality of
credit. Means, the quality good will maintain the credit
risk low, and vice versa.11
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
2.2. The components of credit risk
There is necessary to know the categories of credit risk
for having the deep understanding the environment of
credit risk. Concerning about this element, each research
have different expressions. Due to UniCredit Group, they
classified credit risk into three types: Credit Default
Risk, Concentration Risk and Country Risk. Karen A.
Horcher (2005) expressed her ideas a little bit with
author above in her book “Essentials of Financial Risk
Management”. She though that there is essential to divide
credit risk into six separate types including default
risk, counterparty pre settlement risk, counterparty
settlement risk, legal risk, country or sovereign risk and
concentration risk. However, due to GARP (2007), this
organization listed legal risk as an operational risk and
the concentration risk, is a mistake in managing credit
rather than relating as a type of credit risk. Thus, the
thesis will concentrate on the four remaining types of
credit risk classified by Karen A. Horcher (2005).
2.2.1. The default risk
12
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
The definition is given by UniCredit Group is the
probability of borrower’s default. The risk appears when
customers have late payback on loan (or) can not
responsible for their obligations.“Default risk may impact all
credit-sensitive transactions, including loans, securities and derivatives” (see
UniCredit Group).
To avoid such risk, Pavla Vodová (2006) considers that
banks should separate bad customer by defining the
procedures of evaluating credit applicants and set a
maximum credit amount provided to one borrower.
2.2.2. Counterparty Risk
Firstly, according to Julius Tandler (2007), Counterpartyrisk is defined as “Risk of non-performance of counterparts onrepaying any amount of money owed to our bank”.
For evaluating the counterparty risk, the credit scoring
should be used. For example, the party who hold the credit
scoring A will have the lower counterparty risk compared
with credit scoring B.
Counterparty Risk encloses Pre-Settlement Risk and Settlement
Risk. 13
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
Regarding the Pre-Settlement Risk, the Pre-Settlement Risk
arises when the party defaults before the settlement date
and can not meet the provisions of contract, e.g. A
company has a credit contract with the settlement date is
the beginning of Y+3 with the currency USD, but in the end
of Y+2, with the situation of profitable exchange rate
between VND and USD, they exchange their USD to VND in
black market to make profit. Unfortunately, after one week
the buying rate of USD rockets the market. They can not
have fulfilling USD amount as contract required at the
settlement date.
Pre-Settlement Risk includes two components, there are
current exposure and potential exposure (Julius Tandler
2007).
Settlement risk is a baking term used when the
counterparty fail to delivery their assets, money or the
term of contract at the settlement date. Investopedia
explains that “Settlement risk was a problem in the forex market up until
the creation of continuously linked settlement (CLS), which is facilitated by CLS
Bank International, which eliminates time differences in settlement, providing
a safer forex market”.
The cases of German bank Herstatt on 26 June 1974 is a
clearly example about this incident. This bank received
the foreign exchange from their counterparty in Europe,
14
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
but had not made any payment to the financial institution
counterparty at the settlement date. Then, this bank was
bankrupted, leaving the international banking sector a
loss of $620 million (see Remolona 1990).
2.2.3. Country Risk (Sovereign Risk)
As collected from Wikipedia, “Country risk refers to the risk ofinvesting in a country, dependent on changes in the business environmentthat may adversely affect operating profits or the value of assets in a specificcountry”.
Ms Cristina Alina Naftanalia (2012) guessed that “Countryrisk is a materialization risk of the losses caused by the situation and evolutionof the political and macroeconomic developments from the partner country”;while the Sovereign Risk was considered by her that thegovernment uses their authority to guarantee thetransactions.
2.3. Credit Risk Management
2.3.1. What is the credit risk management?
15
Does the borrowerhave a repayment strategy? What other services are needed by the borrower?
Motivation:Why does the
companyneed to borrow?
Does the lender have an appetite for the industry geography? Is the risk reward ratio acceptable? (Credit Culture)
Business and Strategy Review: Does the company have a clear sense of direction and how to get there? Is it doable?Financial Statement Analysis: Balance Sheet Analysis & Cash Flow Analysis-Efficiency & costs-Profitability-LeverageAssess the financial and competitive strengthAssumptions for projections
Management Analysis: Competence, integrity, depth
Industry Analysis: Position in the industry, market share, price leadership, innovation trends
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
First of all, credit risk is the possibility that customer
can not payback loan to banks at the maturity date, or can
not payback fully including first amount and interest for
banks. Credit Risk is not only lending activities, but
also other activities like guarantee, commodity and trade
finance. When an approval for an activity is decided,
banks will analyze the credit applicant strictly for
minimizing credit risk. However, credit risk is a default
elements in credit activities, thus, we only can minimize
the risk instead of removing totally.
The question now is “What is the credit risk management?” Due to
a research of New York University in 2010, Credit Risk
Management includes realization and risk level evaluation,
risk limitation, loss minimization when credit risk comes.
John B.Caouette, Edward I. Altman, Paul Narayanan cited a
process of credit analyze process flow that is necessary
for a financial institutes making a credit decision with
minimum credit risk.
16
Financial Statement Analysis: Balance Sheet Analysis & Cash Flow Analysis-Efficiency & costs-Profitability-LeverageAssess the financial and competitive strengthAssumptions for projections
Management Analysis: Competence, integrity, depth
Industry Analysis: Position in the industry, market share, price leadership, innovation trends
Qualitative arguments to be used in credit memorandum
Financial SimulationBreakeven PricingStress Testin
Risk Rating, CovenantsLoan documentationLegal Opinions
Loan AdministrationSet up, Data SystemsFunding Schedule
Loan DocumentationOther Legal WorkClosing
NegotiationsCredit PresentationCredit Approval
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
Figure 1: Credit Analysis Process Flow (John B.Caouette,
Edward I. Altman, Managing Credit Risk, 1998)
2.3.2. The embody of credit risk management
Credit Risk Management embody in:
- Culture
- Organization
- Policy
17
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
(See Heinz-Peter Berg, 2010)
2.3.2.1. Culture
According to Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, “Credit
culture more narrowly as the sum of all the characteristics of an
organization's unique behavior in its extension of credit.It not only
encompasses the tangible written policies and procedures, but also intangible,
such as ideas, traditions, skills, attitudes, philosophies, and standards.”
In the book “Credit Risk Management” of Joetta Colquitt
(24 May 2007), he thought that a great credit culture
should have
- Highest annual growth rates of loan
- Weighted credit quality goals for bonds
- Targeted returns to be measured against inclusive of
any asset price changes and interest spread income
- Acceptable exposure levels should be quantified for
the loan mix of the portfolio according to the
liquidity and term structures of the different debt
types.
18
CEOCredit OfficerCredit AdminCredit ManagerCredit Risk Management at Standard Chartered2.3.2.2. Organization
The thesis also cite the diagram of Joetta Colquitt (2007)
about the credit organization
Figure 2: Credit Organization in a large bank Joetta
Colquitt (2007)
In a large bank, the organization will be controlled
follow the regional of operating areas (North, South,
19
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
West, East), and the sales field will be separated with
the credit risk management (as figure above). The
separation will help the credit go under the transparent
and minimizing the loss of credit.
2.3.2.3. Credit Process
Figure 3: Functional Approach to the Credit Process
(Joetta Colquitt (2007)
20
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
When a customer comes to bank for a loan request, the
first staff they met is Relationship Manager who can
advise which loan package that is suitable for customer,
and collect the credit application of customer. Then,
he/she will propose the documentation of customer to get
the approval for disbursement after assessing
documentation. RM must follow the loan from the opening
case to ending case. If there is any problem with loans
(customers can not payback loan), RM must send the request
to investigate and further action to the work out and
recovery department.
2.4. Risk Causes
The risk causes of credit can be divided in to Objective
Causes and Subjective Causes. (Kenneth J. Singleton, 2003).
2.4.1. Subjective Causes
Human Resources and Work forces
21
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
- The limitation of creditor competence is the big reason
for Credit Risk happen. They evaluate and finalize wrongly
credit decision to non-profit investment, non-effect
business plan, etc. On the other hand, the unstable
financial analyze skill of creditor takes them into fail
in large project consider and decide step with long
investment tenor, project feasibility and capability.
- The morality of creditor is very important in right
credit decision with high influence. Indeed, if creditor
receives corrupt money from project owners or individual
customers for make an artificial report or financial
statements, it can take them to wrong credit decision,
then, make loss to banks.
Operations and Technology
- The credit operates base on the internal rules, DOI
(Digital Object Identifier), Process. However, in credit
risk management, all elements above sometimes are not
complied, not follow the loan distinction, reserves, then,
it weakens the credit risk management of bank. On the
other hand, the technology is one of the reasons that
raise the banking credit risk.
22
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
- Credit risk may come from verifier board, checker teams.
If they do not follow strictly the process, bank rules,
the risk can be happened.
- The next reason is the policy. Every bank has particular
policy combine with their business strategy. Yet, they
will make a big mistake when create regulation with the
purpose of rocketing business. At that moment, the policy
will be changed into focusing on one kind of economic
element, expanding long term loans while lack of long term
capital, concentrating on profits and bypass the credit
risk compliance.
2.4.2. Objective Causes
Market and Client
- Price fluctuation on the market can make the input
prices (iron, steel, etc.) be high. From this, the
activities of enterprises are not smooth as normal. Thus,
the credit actives will be also influenced. On the other
hand, the compound market of exporting and importing
market can effect direct to banking credit operations.
23
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
- The cause also comes from customers. They use lending
with other purpose, not focus on business, this have led
the liabilities to increase higher and higher including
banking loans. Secondly, lack of enterprise management can
engender bad result for company even collapsed. Bank can
not collect totally asset from bankruptcy company and get
lost. Thirdly, this is lack of attitude. They did not have
the manner to pay back money while they have the capacity.
Politics and Economy
- The change of mobilization interest ceiling rate from
SBV can lead the lending interest went up. As the result,
many enterprises can not pay back the loan with high
interest and put the burden on the bank.
- The depression of global economy brings the negative
effects to companies. Surplus supply while lack of demand.
They can not sell their goods, products, then, the profits
go down.
- The fluctuation of foreign exchange, gold rate, etc
influences also the enterprise activities.
24
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
2.5. Credit Measurement
Based on the definition of Standard Poor’s, credit
measurement can be understood that credit measurement is
the evaluation on the good will of loan repayment and the
capability of debtor by ranking letter.
The most popular credit rating method is Moody’s, S&P and
Fitch. The risk will be ordered from lowest risk to
highest risk. The investment decisions are described as
column beside.
25
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
Figure 4: Credit Rating System of Fitch, S&P and Moody’s
2.6. Basel Committee recommendation in Credit Risk
Management
Basel Committee was established by President of Central
Bank G10 in 1975 (See Wikipedia). This committee has
executive representative of national banking observation
unit of Belgium, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan,
Holland, The United Kingdom, The United States of America.
Basel Committee has annual meeting at International
Payment Bank in Washington, US or Basel City of
Switzerland. The rules of Basel Committee in credit risk
management focus on (See Studies on Credit Concentration,
Basel Committee on Banking Supervision 2005)
26
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
Rules 1: BOM is responsible for approval and re-evaluate
frequently the credit risk management policy and strategy.
Credit Risk Strategy reflects the level of risk acceptance
with demand profit of bank. Besides, Credit Risk Strategy
also identify the target market and general features in
Credit Portfolio.
Rules 2: BOED must accept to operate credit activities
under bad debt rate required by BOM. They also must
develop policies to foresee credit risks in whole
portfolio.
Rules 3: All banks must identify clearly and manage
strictly in all products and services. For new product
ranges, it need to be verified, tested, risk controlled
before lunching or sent to market with the approval from
BOM.
Rules 4: All banks must set up credit limit for whole
credit portfolio
Rules 5: All banks must work within the required credit
limit
Rules 6: All banks must have a clear process and policies
Rules 7: Lending Operations will be made based on fairly
treating between two partners
27
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
Rules 8: All banks must update frequently the status of
loans for loans that have signal of bad debt or credit
risk.
Rules 9: All banks must build the system to monitor every
loans to ensure that the reserve is whether enough or not.
Chapter 3: Overview of Credit Risk Management in
Viet Nam Banks
Vietnam is a developing country with fast growth speed
compared with some countries in Asia and over the world.
The banking industry of Vietnam has developed since 1951
after the events of State Bank of Vietnam establishment.
Although banking field in Vietnam has experienced over 60
years – a very modest number with other developed country
like Japan, China, the US or the UK. However, Banks in
Vietnam has achieved a lot of success and has contributed
greatly to the Vietnam’s economy.
28
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
1. The organization of banks in Vietnam
As the decision of Vietnamese government – 163 CP, Vietnam
has only one State Bank that has the unique function of
printing notes and managing the cash flow. SBV will be at
the centre and manage all banks in Vietnam.
Vietnam has approximately 70 working financial
institutions including Policy Banks, Governmental Credit
Foundation, Commercial Banks, Wholly-owned Foreign Banks,
Branches and representative of foreign banks, Join Venture
Banks.
2. The growth in total assets of banks in Vietnam though
period
Unit: thousand billions vietnam dong
29
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
Banks 2009 2010 2011 2012Commercial
Banks82.6 82.9 82 80
Foreign
Banks11.43 11.89 12 11.9
Financial
Institution
s
1.36 1.38 1.35 1.32
Figure 5: The increase of total assets at Vietnamese Banks
from 2009 to 2012 (Extracted from SBV annual report)
As you can see from this table the total assets of
domestic commercial banks in Vietnam is highest. The
volume increased gradually from 2009 to 2010 before
reaching a slow fall during 2011 – 2012. Foreign Banks in
Vietnam is the main competition between HSBC, ANZ and
Standard Chartered. The total assets went up from 11.43 in
2009 to 12 in 2011. In 2012, it went down to 11.9. The
total assets of other financial institution dived during
this period along with crisis economy.
30
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
3. Operating Environment in Vietnam’s banking domain
Vietnam’s banks operations have been effected negatively
from macro economy in recent years. The world economic
crisis impacts greatly to operations of banks. Besides
that Vietnam suffers the highest inflation rate in history
with the largest number around 18% in the period from 2009
to 2012. Thus, SBV issued the tightened policies for
curbing inflation. The capitalization interest went down,
and lending interest rocketed market, the liquidity has
been in dilemma.
At the end of 2010 and beginning of 2011, the tightened
policies of SBV showed clearly in increase the interest of
reimbursement and decrease credit growth limit. Therefore,
commercial banks Vietnam coped with the difficulties in
reaching projected revenues.
The element of gain/loss FX in recent years also is the
important factor that impacted directly to operations of
banks. In 2011, the exchange rate between VND and USD for
31
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
interbank increased by roughly 9%. After adjustment of
exchange rate with the high inflation rate, the forex
market is in stressed.
Other factor is the gold trade. Gold trade in recent times
has been managed strictly from SBV. From 01st Jan 2013,
all commercial banks do not have the authority for trading
gold. This decision from SBV leads many banks to loss
heavily in profits and capital.
After reviewing the operating environment of Vietnamese
banks, we can realized that SBV has been careful in
managing banks in Vietnam during difficulties economy over
the world with the purpose of avoiding to be in case like
the corruption of giant financial bodies in USA.
4. Credit Risk Ratio
Credit Risk Ratio is calculated as
Credit Ratio = CurrentLiabilitiesCurrentAssets
(See Basel II)
32
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
The table below showed out the trust that the state-owned
banks (pink highlighted) have the highest credit ratios,
approximately 70%, counted as at 31th December 2012. By
the contrast, the credit management at commercial banks
like ACB or Eximbank seems to be better.
2011 2012Vietinbank 74% 70%Vietcombank 51% 60%BIDV 66% 68%ACB 41% 43.5%Eximbank 46% 53.82%
Figure 6: Credit Risk Ratios at Vietnamese Banks
(Extracted from Vietinbank, Vietcombank, BIDV, ACB,
Eximbank annual report).
5. Bad Debt
5.1. Bad debt and the consequences
Risks always go along with credit risk activities. The
risk will be much more complicated when banks compete
33
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
together to have many more customers on their hands.
Stages of credit evaluation can be ignored. They prefer
the amount of disbursement to the credit risk management.
From this, it will bring big risk with huge losses to
banks in Vietnam. “Bad debt in the banking sector is a
major concern”, Mr. Le Xuan Nghia, the deputy head of the
National Financial Supervisory Committee.
Bad debt will be a true disaster if it comes true for
banks. The first consequence can be listed out is that bad
debt may lead to decrease the cash flow. When the cash
flow is affected, there is a problem in credit activity of
this bank. They can not have enough money for credit
sector as usual while this is the main sector of banks
with highest revenue. On the other hand, individual
customers, SMEs, corporations are hard to approach the
capital of banks.
Secondly, bad debt is the burden of economy. Bad debt will
not only effect to banks, but also the whole economy. Bad
debt and low interest rate will calm the development of
economy.
Thirdly, if banks have bad debt, they will have plans to
settle the property of customers. However, with the
downturn of economy, this work is not simple, especially
in Vietnam. There are some conflicts between legal
34
Loans in tenorLoans overdue under 10 days Qualified - Group 1Loans overdue from 10 to under 30 daysNotice - Group 2Loans overdue from 30 days to under 90 daysUnder - Qualified - Group 3Loans overude from 90 days to under 180 daysDoubful - Group 4Loans overdue over 180 days Possible loss - Group 5Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartereddocuments. Due to 03/2001/TTLT-NHNN of SBV, banks can not
sell the asset of loans to collect debt. However, the
announcement number 195 of SBV said that banks can sell
the asset of loans directly to collect debt without
permission of debtors. Furthermore, the process of selling
the assets and suing has been taken a lot of time. The
capital will be kept under the mortgage for a long time
and can not be used.
5.2. Bad debt number in Vietnam
Bad debt in Vietnam will be divided into five groups as
the official decision of SBV (15/2010/TT-NHNN, 2010)
35
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
Figure 7: Classification of Loans in Vietnam
The debt from 03 to 05 is the main reason for credit risk.
With the crisis economy, loans of this group experienced a
dramatic increase passed years. According to the monthly
speech of SBV, as at the end of December 2012, the bad
debt of whole banking system in Vietnam is around 8.8% -
10% against total liabilities, compared with 3.05% in
2011.
Figure 8: Bad debt rate of Vietnamese banks as at 31th
December 2012 (Financial Report of Commercial Banks)
36
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
The graph above showed that the bad debt is extremely
serious. Vietcombank increased from 2% to 3.21% in 2012,
ACB from 0.9% to 2.1% , Sacombank from 0.57% to 1.4%,
BaoViet Bank from 4.56% to 6.13%, Navibank from 2.92% to
3.97%.
Some banks maintain the speed of average bad debt increase
are Techcombank (increase 0.12% during period),
Kienlongbank from 2.77% to 2.78%. We have one exceptional
case, the bad debt decrease instead of going up. That is
PG bank with 2.96%, compared with 3.06% in 2011.
Figure 9: The possible loss loans (Group 5) against total
liabilities of Vietnamese banks (Financial Report of
Commercial Banks)
37
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
Overall, almost bank have twice increase of this group as
at 31th December 2012. As the requirement of 15/2010/TT-
NHNN, 2010, for loans in group 5, all banks must keep the
reserve at 100%.
As can be seen from this chart, the highest number is
belonged to BaoViet Bank, i.e. 2.93%. The second place is
Navibank with the number of 2.5%. The remaining positions
are LienVietPostBank, Vietcombank, Kienlongbank with the
number of 1.46%, 1.42%, 1.36% respectively.
Other banks have the loans in this group at roughly 1% are
Vietinbank (0.86%), Techcombank (0.99%), ACB (0.81%), PG
Bank (0.83%).
In general, the highest loans of group 5 are focus on
small banks with low credit management system. “State-
owned economic groups are performing very inefficiently.
They have used a large part of the national capital and
are accumulating bad debts for banks" Mr Nghia, a former
central bank official said. The speech of him is the most
suitable answer for the case of Vietcombank.
5.3. Bad Debt Controlling in Vietnam
38
VAMC InvestorsBanks
Government
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
World Economy has been experienced a deep fall. The
consequence is that enterprises can not sell their good,
high inventory. Then, they are not able to pay back loans
to banks and lead to create bad debs. In Vietnam, after a
slow decrease of bad debt, it went up over the two passed
quarter in 2013 (from 4.14% in 2012 to 4.65% in 2013 –
VnEconomy). As forecasted and experienced the deep
consequences, Vietnam Government has decided to create
Vietnam Asset Management Company – VAMC on June 2013.
VAMC was established based on the decision number 53 of
SBV. Follow this decision, if financial institutions have
bad debt rate over 3%, they will be required to sell for
VAMC.
39
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
Figure 10: Vietnam Asset Management Company in settling
the bad debt
VAMC uses the capital of government for purchasing the bad
debt of banks. The bad debts include the assets of debtors
when applying a loan, bonds, etc. Then, company will re-
sell those assets to investors. In 2013, Vietnamese
Government estimates to settle around 80 -100 thousand
billions VietnamDong of bad deb (VnEconomy).
For dealing with bad debt, banks have been required
compulsory reserves by SBV (TT02-2013-NHNN,2013). The
required rate is:
- Group 1: 0%
- Group 2: 5%
- Group 3: 20%
- Group 4: 50%
- Group 5: 100%
The required reserves can help banks to avoid bankruptcy
in case of too much bad debts. The required reserves must
be calculated as formula below
R = Max (0, A-C) x r
While: R Compulsory Reserve Amount40
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
A Loan Amount
C Collateral Valuation
r Reserves Rate Required
(See SBV regulation, 493/2005/Q.-NHNN, 2005)
Finally, the SBV’s decision number 780 has cited about the
debt restructuring. If loans are in group 1, but customers
are in dilemma and facing with difficulties in paying
back, financial institution can consider the debt
restructuring (including adjust tenor and debt
rescheduling) after strictly evaluation. This action can
support enterprise to have more time to payback loans.
During this time, they will have plan and strategy to push
up the operations of company and pay back money to banks.
6. The Vietnamese bank ratio of profit/ total revenues
NO BanksLending Profit/ Total Revenues
2009 2010 2011 20121 Agribank 73 68 67 62.1
2Vietinban
k90 84 82 81
3 Vietcomba 68 67 62 60
41
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
nk4 BIDV 70 72 71 715 ACB 63 63 61 59
6Standard
Chartered58 58 57.5 58
Figure 11: Extracted from banks financial annual report.
This table showed that, with the lending profit/ total
revenues over 50%, this is also means that the lending
operation is the main area of all banks in Vietnam.
Therefore, if banks do not have the credit risk management
strong enough, banks will face with a lot of troubles come
from the market, this is also effected to whole Vietnamese
economy.
Chapter 4: Research methodology
4.1. Research purpose and target42
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
In the basic way, the purpose and target of the research
is to show the practices of SCB in credit risk management
by analyzing current financial ratios of SCB, describing
the credit management of SCB. On the other hand, author
would like to provide the overview of credit market in
Vietnam with scope of Vietnam Economy, bad debt statistic,
etc. Finally, the research includes a small survey used
for SCB staff with the purpose of investigating the root
causes of credit risk of SCB. Then, author would indicate
some recommendations for credit risk improvement at SCB.
Generally, the research will answer respectively those
answers below:
- Which credit risk is SCB coping?
- How can describe the credit management system of SCB?
(lending procedures, credit management organization,
credit policies, credit measurement)
- How is safety of SCB financial ratios?
- Does SCB credit risk management satisfy with the
requirement of Basel?
- After doing the survey, what do the causes of SCB
credit risk come from?
- What are the suggestions for enhancing the credit
risk management at SCB?
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Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
4.2. Data
For all researches in the world, we need support
information. The support information is divided into 2
types: primary and secondary. In this thesis, the primary
and secondary information are used.
4.2.1. Secondary information
As business dictionary, “Secondary data is collected by someone
other than the user”. E.g. a student does a research in asset
and liability management in bank can use paragraph that
describes the general asset management of country from
ministry of finance.
Secondary information is the basis for everyone who has
started a research. The second chapter – literature review
is an example of secondary information collection.
Secondary information may be found from a lot of
references. It can be from books, magazines, newspapers;
or from Internet; even from others experiences.44
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
All secondary data that was collected during master work
is really necessary for the author and help author to
solve with problems in credit risk management of banks in
Vietnam. The information, data of banks in Vietnam is
always kept in secret. The approach with this kind of
information is really hard, but, with the support of
Standard Chartered Vietnam and other banks colleagues,
author has obtained a lot of precious secondary data which
is really useful for the dissertation.
4.2.2. Primary information
If secondary data is collected from others and it will be
summarized and categorized by author, primary data will be
processed by the author. “Data observed or collected directly from
first-hand experience”, quoted from Business Dictionary.
In a dissertation, primary information is one of the best
ways that help students to apply the theoretical knowledge
that is received from academic environment into reality.
It will bring an effective view of thesis about problem,
with the comparison between the practices and literature.
Then, the productivity of article will be higher.45
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
During the size of master dissertation, primary data will
be also utilized by author. The purpose of using this
method is that primary data will support author to find
out the true causes of credit risk to Standard Chartered
Vietnam, then, author can propose right and suitable
solutions for credit risk improvement at SCB. The method
of primary information is to use questionnaire. The
participant for questionnaire is SCB staff.
4.3. Information gathering method
With the purpose of research, there are really necessary
to combine the methodology of qualitative and quantitative
methods for the highest and the most effective
productivity. The usage of both is called mixed method.
Based on the definition of Dr. Johnson, “Mix research - research
that involves the mixing of quantitative and qualitative methods or paradigm
characteristics”.
4.3.1. Quantitative method
46
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
As defined by Paranomality website, “Quantitative method is a
research method that relies less on interviews, observations, small numbers of
questionnaires, focus groups, subjective reports and case studies but is much
more focused on the collection and analysis of numerical data and statistics.”
Additionally, the definition of Creswell (1994) stated
that the quantitative research is explaining phenomena by
collecting numerical data that are analyzed using
mathematically based methods.
Author made a questionnaire was filled by SCB staff to
prepare the quantitative data. The number of SCB staff
joined in this survey is 200 people with detailed as table
below. The questionnaire will include rank order questions
with the purpose of ordering from lowest to highest level
of credit risk causes. The research questionnaire is
designed with the verification from SCB.
Title QuantityBusiness Lines (Sales) 100Product Officers and
Managers
20
Risk Officer 20Operations Officer 20Credit Officer 20
Branch Back Office 20
47
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
Figure 12: List of SCB staff joined in questionnaire
The target of questionnaire is to statistic the causes of
risk in the opinion of SCB staff. The research response
result input to SPSS and Excel for analyzing data.
4.3.2. Qualitative method
The definition of qualitative method is given by Wikipedia
is “Qualitative researchers aim to gather an in-depth understanding of
human behavior and the reasons that govern such behavior”.
On the Business Dictionary, they define the qualitative
method that the qualitative method includes the interview
conducted to gather the needs, reaction and point of view
to a problem.
The qualitative method was processed under face to face
interviews and voice conferences. The steps of qualitative
will be discussed in the next part.
4.4. Procedures
48
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
After showing out the literature review, the financial
analysis for credit risk management in Vietnam, especially
at Standard Chartered Vietnam will be processed. The
analysis will be focus on two categories below.
Short-term liquidity risk, this ratios help to know the
current operations of enterprise and the ability of pay
back liabilities in short term.
Long-term risk shows the possibility of paying back
liabilities in the long term.
Along with analysis financial ratios, author used crystal
ball for calculating the expected loss of SCB based on the
data of bad debt at SCB through the period from 2009 –
2012. The analysis will operated under Variance and
covariance method.
The survey was conducted under the permission of SCB
Vietnam. At the beginning, author sent introduction email
by internal system to whole SCB Vietnam and get the
response for accepting to join the survey or not. The
response from email was tracked. After having enough
people as listed in previous page, author sent electric
questionnaires to all interviewees via email. Kindly be
noted at this point, the questionnaire was made by Google,
and the data return was recorded under XLSX file. Then,
the data was imported directly to SPSS for analyzing.49
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
The interviewer was joined by 250 SCB Staff. The reason
for needing much more 50 participants than official
portfolio is that some staff could give up during the
interview session; the connection between Google server
and SCB net could be broken, then, the records of
interviewees were not validated on the system, etc. Many
reasons could be appeared during session, then, we need to
have supplementary questionnaire to avoid risk of
insufficient data. The result of the survey is that author
collected 210 result samples from colleagues. However, as
mentioned before, author chose only random 200 samples for
statistic in the master dissertation.
Besides, the direct interview with SCB managers will be
held. Why does the author need to question them directly
instead of emailing for them as other staff? We can answer
this question in simple way. They are all managers of SCB.
They are really busy for dealing with bank operations. On
the other hands, they have a lot of emails per day and if
author sent email to them, they can miss this email
because it is marked not importance, secondly, they think
that they do not need to response this kind of email.
Thus, author did call to them and arrange the small voice
conference with 10 managers in the south. Each
conversation has the duration of 5 minutes. For the rest
managers, the author tried to appoint with them for having50
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
lunch together, in this appointment, the questionnaire was
implemented. Fortunately, the voice conferences and
appointments with managers were successfully, author got
all their information, comments about this problem at SCB.
Their points of view are really precious for not only
statistic of the survey, but also for the current status
of credit risk at SCB.
4.5. Limitation
4.5.1. Difficulty in the ratios list
There is a lot of limitation in selecting the financial
ratios. It is really hard for analyzing all ratios. Author
must select the most important and outstanding factors to
list in the dissertation.
4.5.2. Difficulty in private data approach
Almost documents in banks are confidential. Although
author is currently an officer of SCB, the data copy must
51
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
be authorized by compliance department. However, author
can see a part of needed information because the remaining
documents are ranked as highly confidential. Thus, author
does not have the authorization to access.
4.5.3. Limitation of getting co-operation from SCB staff
SCB staff have high workload. Thus, author found hard to
getting the co-operation from filling in the survey. The
only method in this situation is to persuade as many as
staff for reaching the number of estimation, design an e-
survey and send link through internal email.
52
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
Chapter 5: Credit Risk Management at Standard
Chartered Bank Vietnam (Ltd)
5.1. Introduction
Standard Chartered is a successful M&A between Standard
Bank and Chartered Bank in London (UK) in 1969. As the
information from Wikipedia, “It operates a network of over 1,700
branches and outlets (including subsidiaries, associates and joint ventures)
across more than 70 countries and employs around 87,000 people. It is a
universal bank with operations in consumer, corporate and institutional
banking, and treasury services. Despite its UK base, around 90% of its profits
53
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
come from Africa, Asia and the Middle East.”. With the revenue of $
18258 billion and Operating Income of 19071 billion in
2012 (See FTSE 2012), Standard Chartered is one of the
biggest international banks over the world.
In Vietnam, Standard Chartered opened a representative in
1904 in Saigon, Vietnam (now Ho Chi Minh city). Then, It
came out of Vietnam due to the war and returned in 1993.
In 2009, Standard Chartered commenced operations in its
locally incorporated entity – Standard Chartered Vietnam
(Limited).
After long time operation in Vietnam, Standard Chartered
Vietnam has been a bank in top 3 of strongest foreign
banks in Vietnam along with ANZ and HSBC. It provides
products and services for variety segments: Personal
Banking, Priority Banking, SME Banking and Wholesale
Banking.
Personal
Banking
Priority
BankingSME Banking
Wholesale
Banking
Deposits Priority
Benefits
Current
AccountTransaction
54
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
CardsPriority
Solutions
Treasury
Services
Principal
FinancePersonal
Loans
Priority
Services
Trade finance
and Working
Capital
Corporate
FinanceMortgage International
Banking
Services
Financial
MarketsInsurance
Term LoansServices
5.2. Credit Risk at Standard Chartered Vietnam
As one of the top 3 strongest foreign banks in Vietnam,
SCB should not be out of the race for launching credit
products to attract customers. Nowadays in Vietnam, people
have adapted with purchasing goods by credit card (non
using cash) or approaching personal loans easier. A loan
will bring a huge benefit to bank, but it also creates a
big loss when customers are not able to payback in crisis
period.
“Risks can be found in any products”, Mrs. Trinh Dinh
Phuong Anh – Head of Consumer Banking Product, SCB Vietnam
said.
55
Figure 13: Table of Standard Chartered Vietnam LimitedProducts
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
In Vietnam, Vietnamese have approached the credit cards
since 2008, so credit cards are just familiar with a part
of people in Vietnam. Many people do not have the
awareness the importance of paying back money after buying
goods. Like personal loans, when customers apply to a
credit card or loan, they do not need to have a clearly
financial plan for repayment. The application just
includes the job certification and salary statement. This
will create a big split for bad debt if banks do not have
a strong credit risk management.
More secured than credit card and personal loans, mortgage
loans require customers to deposit their asset for
guarantee. In case of bad debt, banks can settle the asset
for money collection. However, as talked in the previous
chapter, there is still some mismatch of the legal
documents in Vietnam. It will take long times for asset
settlement. On the other hand, the property fluctuates
daily. At the moment of credit decision, the asset (or
property) is in good price and can be guarantee for loans.
However, after few months, the price of asset can be
declined. In this case banks will be lost, the
consequences are really incredible.
SCB is a foreign bank, thus, the process of credit risk
management in each country will be synced with SCB group.
56
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
Indeed, with the credit risk management system, SCB
Vietnam have stable in credit development. Although the
profit can be low compared with other banks, but SCB has
the lowest bad debt rate in Vietnam. “Slowly but surely”,
Louis Taylor – CEO SCB Vietnam said. The credit risk
management of SCB will be explained deeply in the next
part.
5.3. Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered Bank
Vietnam (Ltd).
Credit Risk Management system is an important tool for all
banks. In Vietnam, as a foreign bank, SCB must have strict
regulation on credit management. If they do not protect
their credit risk management, they must to face with a lot
of troubles when credit risks happen. The worst result is
that they must re-sell bank to other financial institution
like SCB Canada (Wikipedia) and go out of Vietnam. Thus,
Credit Risk Management is one of the actions that is put
in priority.
5.3.1. Lending Procedures
57
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
Figure 14: The lending procedures of Standard Chartered
Bank Vietnam (Ltd). (Internal Process Document)
In Vietnam, each bank will have separate lending
procedures. The process will be different a bit betweens
banks based on their policy. However, as a world wide
bank, SCB have a united process and the same for all SCB
58
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
in over the world. Therefore the procedures of SCB will
have some changes, compared with other local banks.
As can be seen from the figure above, first step is
“document collection”. This step will be processed by
sales officers (PFC-*, DS*, R*). After agreeing to apply
for loan, customers will be requested for document
preparation. The needed documents for two kind of loans
are listed on two table below.
59
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
Figure 15: Documents for Loan Applicants (SCB Products
Internal Document)
Sales Officers will make a seal “Original Seen and
Verified” on all received documents from customers to
announce the responsibility of documents. Then, they will
transfer all documents to Sales Coordinators.
The next stage is basic assessment. After receiving
documents from Sales, Sales Coordinator will have a check
as if fulfilling documents, verify signature of customer.
Sales Coordinator will book loan on “Lending Tracking
System” to announce for credit. Then, they will scan all
documents to a system that is called eOPS and book CIC. In
Vietnam, the credit history of all customers will be
stored in CIC (a property of SBV). Sales Coordinator must
attach the result of CIC with the document before transfer
to other department before processing.
Credit Officers and Operations Officer will do the
remaining steps. Credit Officer will check again the
submitted documents by Sales Coordinator. If there is any
enquires, they will reject to Sales Coordinator and note
the rejection reason on comment of EOPS. From this, Sales
Coordinator will request Sales Officer to explain. After
having acceptable reason, Credit Officer will do the next60
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
action.Credit Officer will call to customers for KYC,
verify against the document of customer. Credit officer
will also check the CIC result from Sales Coordinator. If
customer has not bad debt or bad lending history, credit
officer make a loan proposal, then submit to authorization
officer. Customer will be scored, and passed cases must
above 4.
Grade Rank Description Risk Status92-100 1 Excellent Low83-91 2 Extreme good Low74-82 3 Very Good Low65-73 4 Good Low56-64 5 Average Normal47-55 6 Normal Normal38-46 7 Under Average Normal29-37 8 Under Standard High20-28 9 Loss High10-19 10 Highest Loss High
61
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
Figure 16: Credit Grading of SCB (Internal Document).
If loans are approved, credit officer will send a request
to Asset Valuation Company for asset appraisal. The
finding will be exposed after 2 working days. This step is
only for mortgage loan. The collaterals of loans are
evaluated as follow table of condition.
Collateral Evaluation Types of Collateral
Strongest – 1
- Block deposit amount at
SCB
- Personal Mortgage in
urban areas in Hanoi or
Ho Chi Minh City.
- Corporate Mortgage in
urban areas Hanoi or Ho
Chi Minh City
- Governmental Bonds
- Bonds issued by State-
owned BanksAverage - Guarantee by government
62
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
- Mortgage in sub-urban
areas in Hanoi or Ho
Chi Minh city.
- Stocks posted in
VietnamStock Exchange
Center
Low
- Transportation
- Inventory
- Stocks are not posted
Other
- Guarantee by other
companies
- Infrastructure
Figure 17: Table of collateral evaluation at SCB (Internal
Document)
The accepted collateral will be considered for loans must
be higher than low. After having the result of evaluation,
credit officer will proposed all documents along with
Asset Valuation Result to CAC (Credit Approval Centre –
including all related Head and Managers) to get the final
approve. After having the approval, credit officer will
complete case on EOPS, then, push to Operations Unit.
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Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
Operations Officers will include ATM& Card Operations
Officer, Lending Operations Officer, Account Services
Officer. Lending Operations will take the responsibility
for disbursing money to customer account when Account
Services team open successfully. The request will also
send to ATM& Cards team for issuing cards for customer if
demand.
No borrowers can make the loan with total credit. The
limit will be set by SCB for avoiding risk. The percentage
of credit limit will base on the borrowing purpose, the
financial prove, etc.
Purpose of borrowing Maximum creditPersonal Loans Based on income, from 3 -5
times monthly incomeMortgage Loan Based on the collateral,
maximum 70% of collateralSME Loan Based on kind of loan, from
70% -100% WB Loan Based on kind of loan, from
70% -100%
Figure 18: Table of maximum percentage for lending at SCB
(Internal Document)64
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
As the requirement from Basel (2000), Credit organization
must have clearly credit granting. That’s means the
lending procedure must be divided carefully, separate the
business unit and credit department where credit
processing and deciding. On the other hand, the limit for
borrower must be set based on bank’s policy. Compared with
those rules of Basel, SCB has worked well in this field.
5.3.2. Credit Organizational Structure
SCB has indentified the roles and responsibility of BOM
and all staff in credit operation and management to ensure
that:
- All important credit strategy and grading should be
considered carefully by individual and team with wide
knowledge and experience in credit risk management.
- All departments related to credit activities will be
separated to guarantee credit quality. For example,
credit analyzing department, business line, credit65
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
management are three departments which work
individually for minimizing the unclear in lending
process.
Here are all units at SCB involving the credit risk
management
- Board of Management (BOM)
- Board of Executive Directory (BOED)
- Credit Risk Management Union (CRMU)
- Credit Centre (CC)
- Board of Branch Managers (BOBM)
- Collection Department (CD)
- Group Audit (GA)
Board of Management (BOM)
BOM is responsible for final accurate of credit activities
in banks including strategy propose, target and action
plan of BOM. The credit responsibilities are:
- Approve and re-evaluate frequently credit strategy as
a party of strategy and business target of bank.
- Approve credit policy with safety in lending
guideline.66
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- Approve organization structure of credit sector in
bank including delegation
- Approve types and products of lending.
- Ensure recruiting a qualified management team enough
for credit management.
- Forecast the scenario of credit risk now or in the
future
- Read carefully the annual financial report of bank,
BOED, internal audit, etc to monitor the quality of
credit process compliance.
-
Board of Executive Directors (BOED)
BOED is responsible for complying with the credit strategy
published by BOM
- Guarantee the credit activities followed indentified
strategy.
- Observe the capabilities of loan repayment and
suggest the level of reserve.
- Ensure the Human Resources and Training Development
if any.
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- Report the credit risk management to BOM at least
twice a year.
Credit Risk Management Union (CRMU)
- CRMU is including senior managers in credit sector.
CRMU is under the responsibility of following credit
risk codes of bank
- Build and propose credit policies and procedures,
then, submit to BOED.
- Set the credit limit for lending portfoliobased on
credit risk management strategy.
- Evaluate the quality of lending portfolio and
portfolio materials.
- Maintain and evaluate the credit scorecard
Credit Centre (CC)
CC is the unit where approve all loan applications.
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- Approve all loans under 120 billions VietnamDong, if
excess the above amount needed to have approval from
BOED.
- Report credit activity directly to CRMU and support
for Audit Company, Group Audit.
- Comply strictly to lending policies and procedures.
Board of Branch Managers (BOBM)
BOBM must warrantee the operations of branch. BOBM do not
have the right to approve loan application, but the
related credit responsibilities are
- Manage all process and policy compliance at branches.
- Promote and training the lending products, policies,
and system to staff.
- Report the credit operations to CRMU
- Guarantee the competence of staff at branches in
credit area.
Collection Department (CD)
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Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
An effective department of collection in bank is highly
important. When experience staff in credit collection work
in a unit, they can suggest the methods that are suitable
for situation, use deeply knowledge of law, negotiate and
other skills that gained previous cases. Moreover, the
alerts of collection officers are necessary for minimizing
bad debt. They can base on some criteria like overdue,
loans in difficulty trading areas, etc. to notify to
credit officer.
When they foresee the signals of bad debt, collection must
follow the collection solutions that are built by CRMU.
- Negotiate with customer for restructuring loans by
changing terms, interests or collateral.
- Request to repay back loans.
- Settle the collateral or sue for non – performing
loan at the court.
- Transfer loans to shares.
Group Audit (GA)
Target
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GA will directly report to BOM. They have an important
role in identify whether all units comply strictly with
the policies whether or not. GA will an individual unit,
they just need to report to BOM about the activities of
credit. BOM can not control the operations of GA. GA is
under the control of Regional Audit including Singapore,
Thailand, Malaysia, Vietnam, Indonesia, Philippines.
Responsibility
GA must follow
- Evaluate the suitability, full and effective of
internal process and policy.
- Checking the transparent of financial ratios.
- Consider any official decisions from CEO to bank’s
operations.
- Discover fraud in credit sector.
- Checking the authority on the system for each unit.
- Unusual audit for minimizing frauds.
GA will have unlimited right to assess to the system,
bank’s operations and must receive the support in
reporting of related units.
The organization of SCB was showed above. The organization
of SCB credit management was designed in united concept
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over the world. Therefore, the verification of SCB
(internal audit) always operates individually. CEO only
can receive the report from them, but can not effect to
change the result. It is not surprise that the requirement
of Basel is followed up strictly at SCB.
5.4. Financial analysis
5.4.1. Risk Analysis at SCB
Before starting to analyze the Bad Debt at SCB using the
Add In Crystal Ball, we need the first look about the data
of bad credit of SCB through the period from 2009 to 2012
by the chart below.
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1st Quarter 09
3rd Quarter 09
1st Quarter 10
3rd Quarter 10
1st Quarter 11
3rd Quarter 11
1st Quarter 12
3rd Quarter 12
0 50000 100000150000200000250000300000
Bad Debt of SCB
Series 1
Using the Crystal Ball, with the Binomial Distribution,
with the possibility of 0.25 (as standard), trial 1000
times to calculate the Va, we have the results in graph
below
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The result of the software reflected that after 1000
trials, the Alpha = 5%, applied the Variance and
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Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
covariance method to calculate the expected loss and the
formula
VaR = Vox(-m+ ⱷ(z)∂) (1)
Using statistic method, we found that μ = 98000, and ∂ =
73000
Applied for (1) with alpha = 5%
VaR = 252 753 (millions VND)
In consecutive year, the loss estimation of SCB will
around 252 753 millions VND.
5.4.1. Capital Mobilization
Currency 2009 2010 2011 2012VND 1891 1945 1956 1554USD 1238 1519 1938 1435
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Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
Figure 19: The capital mobilization of SCB from 2009 to
2012 (SCB financial report).
As can be seen from this table, the capital
mobilization of SCB went up steadily in this period.
The activities of mobilizing in USD or in VND achieved
a great success with the big amount of 1554 billion VND
in 2012 and 1435 billion VND (as exchange from USD
mobilization). If the economy has not gone down in
2012, the capital mobilization of SCB can be better.
5.4.2. Loan Balance and Bad Debt from 2009 – 2012
Criteria 2009 2010 2011 2012Total Loan
Balance1860.43 2236.64 2238.85 1927.12
Bad Debt
Rate
(Group 3
to 5)
3 3.1 2.9 3
Reserve
Rate2.89 2.89 1.5 1.2
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Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
Figure 20: Annual Financial Report of SCB (SCB website).
Unit: Billion VND
From the table above, the percentage of credit growth is
calculated as below
Criteria 2009 2010 2011 2012Percentage
of Loan
Developmen
t
NA 120.22 100 86.07
Figure 21: The percentage of Loan Development. Unit: %
As can be seen from both tables, we can see the loan
development of SCB increased gradually from 2009 -2011
before experiencing a slight decrease in 2012. The Loan
Balance went up from 1860.43 billion VND to 2236.64
billion VND in the period of 2009-2010, increase 120.22%.
It also increased to 2238.85 billion VND and reached the
percentage of loan development 100% in 2011. However, as
the result of economy crisis, the percentage of loan
development decline slightly to 1927.12 billion VND in
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Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
2012 (increase only 86.07%). In 2013, SCB estimates to
grow higher than 2000 billion VND in loan disbursement.
The bad debt rate is around 3%, compared with 5% as
requirement from SBV (SBV regulation, 2011). This number
shows that SCB has achieved a good result in bad debt
management. In group of foreign banks, SCB is leading in
curbing bad debt.
Criteria ANZ Citibank HSBC ANZBad Debt
Rate (From
3 to 5)
3.9 3.1 3.5 3
Figure 22: Bad Debt Rate of Foreign Banks in Vietnam
(Annual Financial Report of ANZ, HSBC, Citibank, ANZ).
5.4.3. The structure of loans of SCB in 2012
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Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
This Pie Chart reflected that loans came from
international enterprise are highest with the percentage
of 59% in 2012. The next position is the domestic
companies, 26%. The last is from personal banking. Yet,
kindly be noted that CB of SCB has been found since 2009.
It has only 5 years for development till now. This proves
that the personal banking will be moved ahead and be
forecasted to beat out domestic enterprises for 2nd place.
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26%
59%
15%
Structure of Loans based on types of customers
Domestic EnterprisesInternational EnterprisePersonal Banking
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
9%
54%5%
27%6%
Structure of Loans based on loans purposes in 2012
Business Expand Working Capital ImprovementGuarantee Early BusinessOther Purpose
(See annual report of SCB – 2012)
We have one more pie chart described the structure of
loans based on loans purpose of wholes sales banking at
SCB. Making the largest part of “cake” is belonged to lend
for improving working capital with 54%. The working
capital loans are short term, usually under 1 year.
The working capital of enterprise is calculated
Working Capital = Current Assets – Current Liabilities
(Investopedia)
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Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
When the working capital lost, companies must add to
maintain the business. Thus, make a loan from bank will be
a good choice for them.
Second place is “Loans for early business”. As the
encouragement from SBV, SCB has launched several promotion
loan packages for new business. These packages will
support new companies to have fulfilling capital for
producing and business lines. The percentage of criteria
is 26%.
The remaining places are “Business Expand”, “Guarantee”
and “Other Purpose”, respectively.
5.4.4. Credit Growth
With the good history of credit extent, Standard Chartered
is assigned in the bank group can develop the maximum of
lending 14% while other foreign banks in Vietnam like
HSBC, ANZ, Citibank stopped at 11%. This proves that SCB
has an advantage in developing credit sector in Vietnam
because of suitable interest rate, good credit risk
management system.
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5.4.5. Liquidity ratio
2009 2010 2011 201225% 27% 27.5% 31%
Figure 23: The liquidity of SCB from 2009 -2012 (Internal
Document)
The liquidity ratio of SCB has increased gradually in this
period. From 25% in 2009, SCB ended the year of 2012 with
impressive number 31%. Because the credit sector in
Vietnam is facing with poor situation. If any decision
like “No pain no gain” at that moment, it can lead bank to
serious consequences. Thus, SCB has tried to increased
credit risk for avoiding risk of liquidation. They balance
between credit and capitalization.
5.5. Questionnaire result analysis
5.5.1. Credit risk from business environment
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Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
5.5.1.1. Credit risk from rivals
One of the most outstanding point that can be used for
describe about Vietnam Banking market is that almost banks
now are focusing on expanding network, concentrating on
largest cities and industrial zones, especially personal
loan concentration. All banks are joining in this race,
then, it leads the competition to become much more
drastic. As can be predicted before, SCB developed based
on the stability. When seeing the expanding strongly
networks of other banks, SCB still maintain the number of
branches at three (two for Hanoi and one for Ho Chi Minh).
The target customers will have stable and high income. SCB
does not intend to general market.
However, Sales always scare about losing customers for
other banks. Thus, in some cases, customers with low
capabilities of finance, bad performance of business, lost
in profit, competitive ratio in the market low, etc.
Moreover, other competitive banks with weaker credit risk
management can offer customers loans with quicker process
and disbursement. Thus, they still ignore all risks above
and make cheating applications and apply loans for
customers. This is one of the important things that make
the quality of credit decreased. Although the credit
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Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
procedures of SCB are really strong, but “we can not eliminate
all risks”.(See Basel).
From the result of questionnaire, we can see almost SCB
staff agree that credit risk from rivals is high, only 10%
took their choice as normal. The rate of selection of this
question is 90%.
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
FewNormalHighExtremely high
Figure 24: The questionnaire result of credit risk from
rivals
5.5.1.2. Credit risk from change in governmental policies
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Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
As mentioned from credit process, companies or individuals
will be required to submit the business plan and loan
repayment strategy. These proposals based on the current
situation of economy and it can be changed anytime in the
future due to change of governmental policies. “A good credit
contract will be good at that moment, but not certainly in the future”Dr. Le
Xuan Nghia – Head Deputy of Bad Debt Management – VAMC
said.
Indeed, the change in governmental policies will impact
all aspect of economy. If this is a good change, it will
motivate the increase of economy. By contrast, it will
lead to down turn of economy and effect badly to the
country.
For example, the agrarian reform in Zimbabwe is the
consequences of diving consecutively in productivity. Ex-
president of Zimbabwe is Robert Mugabe. In the period of
2000-200, he made an order to return all paddy field of
white farmers and redistribution for black farmers after.
As the results, the productivity of agriculture products
went down haft in 09 years consecutively. (CNN).
In Vietnam, there is no dramatic changes that lead to bad
consequence as the example, but, with the fluctuation of
economy, the price ceiling of some essential products in
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Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
producing of companies like petrol, oil, gas, iron and
steel has gone up and down as the result.
- Based on decision 9274/BTC-QLG of Vietnam Petrolimex
Corporation, the price ceiling of petrol in Vietnam
will be adjust, increased to $ 124.7/ cask on 15th
July 2013.
- Based on the 19th decision of Ministry of Industry,
the electricity will increase by 5% compared with
previous period.
The result of the questionnaire also pointed out that the
credit risk from change in governmental policies is a high
risk element to credit. The chart below showed that 80% of
SCB staff chose that this is a high risk. 18% of
interviewers thought that is a normal risk and 20% people
chose “extremely high”. The rate of selection in this
question is 85%.
860% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
FewNormalHighExtremely High
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
Figure 25: The questionnaire result of credit risk from
changing of governmental policies
5.5.1.3. Credit risk from ineffective work of legality
In recent years, Vietnamese government has issued a lot of
documents for guiding credit operations in Vietnam. The
announcement 163/2006/NĐ-CP from Vietnam Government said
“In case of customers can not repay back loans, banks can have full authority
on settling assets of customers”. However, it will be conflict with
the actual that banks are financial institutions, not
legal organizations, thus, banks can not use the assets
for bidding or re-selling. They must send it to the court.
The process at court usually takes long time. Therefore,
banks are coping with a lot of troubles when settling non
performance loans.
At SCB, the bad debt rate is low. There are not many cases
of NPLs must be processed compared with other banks.
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Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
However, there are several cases that are still pending
due to this reason.
As the result of survey, no one thought that this is not a
risk. By contrast, over 70% of interviewees expressed that
this is really a credit risk. The rate of selection in
this question is 71.2%.
Figure 26: The questionnaire result of credit risk from
ineffective work of legality
5.5.1.4. Credit risk from lacking of information system
88
0102030405060708090100
Extreme HighHighNormalFew
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
In Vietnam, there is only CIC provided the credit
information for banks. However, CIC has stopped as an
information provider, not a truly professional credit
evaluation centre.
CIC was found in 1995 as the announcement 120-QĐ/NH14 of
SBV. It has achieved some achievements in providing credit
information of individuals, corporations to banks. From
this, it helps banks to reduce risk for weak customers and
decide right credit decision.
However, the information given by CIC is simple without
detail financial ratios evaluation and based on report
from financial institutions. Monthly financial bodies must
send a report of credit activities including detail
information of customers to SBV. Then, CIC will take the
information of SBV into their database. Thus, if there is
any mismatching from banks (not include customers in the
report), CIC will not reflect any information in the
system. This will be a big gap and then, leads to big
loss.
SCB has a trouble with this mistake. When sales
coordinators of SCB looked up the information of customer
on the CIC, CIC replied that “There is no credit
information”. That’s means customer do not have any bad
debt at banks in last 05 years and customer qualified to
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apply loans at SCB. However, after 03 days of
disbursement, risk team rechecked all documents of
customers and realized that this customer had a bad debt
(group 4) at other commercial bank. This is one of the
actual consequences appeared at SCB.
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Extreme HighNormalHighFew
Figure 27: The questionnaire result of credit risk from
lacking of information system
As experienced gained from history, about 75% SCB staff
realized the problem of incident. 4% of staff evaluated
that this is a low risk. The percentage of this question
is 70%.
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5.5.1.5. Credit risk from cheating financial reports
and/or capabilities
In Vietnam, the asset and capital of companies are usually
much smaller than debt. Therefore, almost companies used
the method of hiding their loans for receiving a good
report. This will lead bank to take risks. If the current
financial status of companies goes far compared with the
financial report, it will be a big trouble. Companies lost
in actual, but gain profit in the financial report. Then,
what will the sources of loan repayment?
SCB staff also agreed that this is the highest risk from
customer, with the percentage of 100%. The percentage of
selection in this question is 95%.
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Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
0102030405060
Few
Normal
High
Extremely High
Few NormalHighExtremely High
Figure 28: Credit risk from cheating financial reports
and/or capabilities
5.5.1.6. Credit risk from using loans with wrong purpose
Almost companies are disbursed at SCB successfully must
have a possible business and repayment plan. Hence, if
corporations use wrong purpose as applied loans, all
statistics before disbursement will be nonsense. As a
method of preventing risk, risk officers of SCB must come
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Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
to corporations frequently with the purpose of rechecking
the usage of loans after disbursement.
In some cases in actual, customers use a part of loans for
personal purpose, then, when companies do not have enough
capital, they are not able to pay back loans for bank and
create the bad debt.
The result of questionnaire reflected as diagram below.
The percentage of selection is 97%.
FewNormalHighExtremely High
Figure 29: Credit risk from using loans with wrong purpose
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Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
5.5.1.7. Credit risk from cross borrowing
Vietnam regulation does not require customers used their
asset for borrowing at only one bank. Moreover, this
information does not reflect in the CIC result. Hence,
bank does not know the asset usage of customer at other
banks
Customers applied loans at SCB sometimes have current
credit relationship with 02, 03 or more other banks. These
customers usually are corporate, big enterprises.
Consequently, SCB is hard to know the status of rollover
at other bank. That means they will use loans of 2nd bank
for settling loans at the 1st bank, vice versa.
This reason has total selection percentage 73%.
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Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
38%
47%
15%
Few Normal High Extremely High
Figure 30: Credit risk from cross borrowing
5.5.1.8. Credit risk from fraudsters
In the history of operations in Vietnam, SCB has
experienced some cases that made by fraudsters with the
purpose of appropriating money of bank. The bullets below
showed off the cheating method of customers.
- Customers use the fake contract, invoice to prove the
capability of loan repayment.
- Customers create the fake current business
operations. When risk officers come to the company
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Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
for rechecking. They have act like in a drama to
prove that they are working in normal. However, they
are loosing in revenue.
- When customers deposit their assets as inventory. In
one case that was discovered on August 2012, the
inventory has just only the cover and outside box,
not have the content insides.
- Create fake land authority paper to deposit at bank
- Customers use rental house for mortgaging at bank
- Customers use sharing assets for mortgaging at bank
without permission of asset co-owners
As the result of questionnaire, the percentage of
selection for this question is 63%
0% 20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
FewNormalHighExtremely High
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Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
Figure 31: Credit risk from fraudsters
5.5.1.9. Credit risk from staff
Firstly, credit staff is incompetence. They process a loan
only based on documents from customer, and not verify
again carefully. Then, they analyze on wrong statistic and
lead to wrong credit decision. For the side of approver,
they have many loans for approving. Sometimes, they can
not read totally and carefully one by one document, thus,
they can be easy to take the mistake of following the
instruction of credit officer. Moreover, they are too
confident with the mortgage assets valuation.
Secondly, the activities of rechecking loans after
disbursement are still not tightened. Furthermore, the
knowledge of staff in customer business sector is low,
then, they can not know totally what exactly customers do
after disbursement.
Thirdly, the morality of credit staff is also a problem.
Some credit staff takes advantage of credit approval
authority, they compromise with customer to achieve the
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Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
commission. Then, they will approve the credit of customer
even though this will bring big loss to bank.
As realized that this is very serious and sensitive
factor, all SCB staff evaluate and mark this credit cause
at high level. The percentage of this question is 98%.
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Extremely HighHighNormalFew
Figure 32: Credit risk from staff
5.5.1.10. Credit risk from procedures
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As talked in previous part, SCB has developed based on
stability. Thus, the lending procedures of SCB have built
with strict security. Thus, the procedures of lending at
SCB will be not a big issue.
The result from questionnaire is also proved that point of
view, with 100% of interviewee.
0
20
40
60
80
100
Few
Normal
High
Extremely High
FewNormalHighExtremely High
Figure 33: Credit risk from procedures
5.6. Credit risk management summation
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At the beginning of this part, the author would love to
indicate the human recourses of SCB first. As the result
of the questionnaire, a numerous number of staff chose
that the risk comes from staff is high. However, with the
hierarchy followed strictly as SCB group, the risk from
business line effect to credit decision is not a problem
with SCB. Yet, the other incident is the back office
mistake. Although back officer have great training on risk
management, but SCB still have recorded some credit frauds
related to credit back office. Although the number of
fraud cases is not too much, but this can effect to the
reputation and credit safety of SCB.
The training is also a problem for SCB. Though having
short courses in risk management, the result is not high
enough and sufficient. These courses focus on mainly
introduction, duration is about 1 or 2 hours. This can not
help staff to have fully view of risk management and
realize the consequences of credit risk.
Nevertheless, the credit approval hierarchy is a great
outstanding point, compared with other banks, even foreign
banks in Vietnam like HSBC, Citibank, ANZ. With the
totally separate between front line, back office and
approval board, SCB guarantee the risk of credit will be
lowest. On the other hand, staff with high qualification
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is another good point for SCB. They have deep knowledge in
Vietnam credit law and regulation. The law and regulation
can not be acknowledged only by BOM or other managers,
this incident must be realized by all staff of SCB to
minimize risks to banks.
Secondly, the procedures of lending process are quite
great. With the standard quality of SCB group, lending
procedure is not a weakness of SCB. Besides the commitment
of approving the credit in 24 hours, SCB has minimized the
paper process to bring the best service to customers. The
security and risk control are ensured. In addition, the
interest rate of SCB can be committed as lowest rate in
the market due to low interest rate of capital
mobilization. Thus, there are many customers applied for
loans at SCB to have the promotion interest rate.
Nonetheless, with strictly lending procedures for credit
risk minimize, a lot of customers can not qualify with the
lending conditions of SCB. Consequently, they will come to
other banks with easier process.
Credit organization is also a strong point of SCB. If
other banks in Vietnam, they are still confused with which
are their standards of credit organization. A lot of bank
give the authorities to the hand of one person or do not
have separate risk controlling division. In contrast, the
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credit organization of SCB is really a highlight point.
The authority is divided into many people, all steps have
dual control. On the other hand, the risk controlling
division of SCB works effectively in managing credit risk
during this time. As the result, the credit loss and fraud
of SCB are lower than other banks and the pressure of
manager on SCB staff to change credit decision is
minimized.
For the financial ratios, with the loan development in
2012 is 86.07% while the bad debt rate is only 3%. This
proves that the credit risk policy of SCB is safe.
Furthermore, the liquidity increase year by year and reach
approximately 30% in 2012. This can help bank to protect
the capital in short term and have strong capital to
invest in other domain. Moreover, complied with the
requirement of SBV in reverse rate (at least 70%
outstanding balance), authorized capital (3000 billions
Vietnam Dong) are qualified by SCB. There are not many
foreign banks in Vietnam can not do like this.
5.7. Recommendation
1. Recommendation for credit staff and managers
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As a world trademark of an international bank, SCB has
introduced a professional image of working, services to
customers. For a long time, services quality has been
treated well. However, in recent years, some officers of
SCB have worked for the commission only. They compromise
with customer, ignore rules of credit risk, decide wrong
credit decision. Consequently, banks will take a big loss.
Therefore, staff should put the benefits of bank first to
reduce risk for bank.
Training for staff should be held frequently. The training
for new staff is doing under training on the job. That
means the senior officer will educated for newbie. That is
really unprofessional. The solution is that SCB should
establish the educational centre where has united
pedagogic method, official documents and material. On the
other hands, SCB employee should improve the competence of
risk management.
For the approver, Approver will take the higher
responsibility than officers. Thus, they should work at
the highest morality. Every decision of them will effect
badly / well to operation of bank.
Bank need to have specific plan to improve the quality of
BOM. BOM that is a unit decide the existence of bank.103
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Thus, the qualification of BOM should be qualified with
strict condition (talent, qualification, leading skill,
etc.). On the other hand, every documents issued by banks
should be united with detail guidance.
Eventually, bank should push the effectiveness of group
audit. The internal audit will help bank to control the
risk.
2. Recommendation for credit information
In Vietnam, CIC has act as the credit information centre
belonged to SBV. Therefore, SCB need to cooperate with CIC
to develop and improve the credit information system. SCB
should observe and make frequent report to CIC about the
number of loans and quality of credit to CIC.
At that moment, the software named LITS (Lending
Information Tracking System) responsible for tracking all
loans of banks. However, the disadvantages of LITS can not
track a loan over 5 years. After 5 year, loan will be
cleared automatically. Indeed, the report about loan can
be not accurate. SCB should fix this problem to implement
the credit information quality.
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Almost information of customer is collected from the
application form that is written by customer. Although SCB
always have trustworthy in customers and treat customers
fairly, evidently, not total information written on form
by customers is right. Hence, besides collecting
information from customer, SCB should expand the
information sources to know more about customers business,
the possibility of repayment, etc. Additionally, the
relationship with other banks in Vietnam will also help
SCB to reduce credit risk. If SCB has a suspicious loan,
they can enquiry to partner banks about loan history,
characteristics analysis, etc. That information is not
disclosed to CIC. It is really precious for bank.
Finally, the market division of bank should work more
effectively. They should forecast the fluctuation of
market earlier; give information for other team about
import, export, inflation rate, interest rate of
competitors, etc in time.
3. Recommendation for collaterals
SCB Staff must complete collateral contract, eligibility
contract (land holding certification, verified
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Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
certification, agreements, etc.) before disbursement
because all paper above will decide the right of settling
assets in case customer can not repay back loans.
SCB should re-evaluate assets and collaterals frequently.
At that moment, SCB use outsourcing company for asset
evaluation. Yet, with large valuable assets, they should
have a board of advisor for asset evaluation. This board
member can comes from reputation and trade mark companies
in this area.
SCB should update the newest circulation, information of
SBV related to collaterals.
4. Recommendation for credit policy and credit procedures
For the business line, they responsible for setting
relationship with customer, maintain the relationship and
expand continuously relationship with customers, then,
reaching the business target safely, effectively.
They should identify the business market, target customer
based on collecting and evaluating the market information,
proposed loans to higher level. In addition, the business
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Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
line should corporate with other departments, divisions to
build the customer policy, including product improvements.
They also introduce directly newest products and services
to customers and keep in touch with customers in case of
having demand and answer queries of customers.
If the product is lending products, they are in charge of
collecting loans application of customers. They should
evaluate carefully before submitting to credit risk
management department. They must guarantee the documents
and signature of customer that collected from customers
faithfully. Moreover, they also should corporate with
other department for collecting bad debt if any.
For risk management department, with the function of
researching, analyzing, risk management, they must take
the responsible of building credit risk management policy.
From this, they can identify bad debt percentage and have
further action. They also must observe the credit policy
compliance.
Next, they need to manage the credit portfolio.
Observation frequently credit portfolio to ensure that
lending outstanding balance for individuals or groups must
not be over total approved credit limitation. Then, they
should detect risk in time for further action.
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Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
On the other hand, they must grade customer as standard
grading of SCB, customer classification and risk analysis
including legality analysis, fulfill of application form,
credit decision, etc. Plus, they need to propose the
credit limit for customers to minimize the risk.
Observing and checking the business line in document
collecting, process compliance to ensure a transparent
process.
For lending operations department, they have responsibility for
disbursing loans, loans collection, ensuring the date of
system matched with the hard copies, custody loan
contracts safely and sufficiently.
They must comply with the SCB standard related to check
and verify lending papers. All of papers must be verified,
sufficient and fully legality.
Accordingly, they also ensure that they input information
to system right. All information about the collaterals,
lending tracking, customer requests, etc must be updated
to this system.
They are in charge of collecting the credit papers from
branches, sales channels for custody. They also have an
important function of disbursing loans for customer. They
have the right of using fund held account – a type of
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Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
account can be debit to negative for disbursement. Hence,
they have to reconcile this account daily in case of
internal fraud.
Lending Operations will make monthly reports which
including lending data (credit limit, outstanding balance,
paid to date, etc), then, send it to SBV. Besides that,
all query information from Business lines, BOM will be
answered by Lending Operations.
The installment payment will be collected by Lending
Operations. For the repayment date, they should monitor
the account of customers, and block installment on
customer account. Then, they should send the list of not
repayment and overdue loans to business lines and
collection department.
When they think about the unnecessary or unsuitable in
credit policy, they need to raise the problems to higher
level for adjustment in time.
5.8. Conclusion
With the downturn of economy, Vietnam and other countries
must have specific strategies to cope with risk
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Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
management. There are several types of risk. In the size
of master thesis for “Master of Art in Business
Administration”, author would like to concentrate on the
risk in banks, more detail credit risk management. In
banking firms, there are 03 types of risk for banks:
operational risk, market risk and financial risk. Credit
risk belongs to the third group that is financial risk.
Credit sector is core for any banking services. Thus,
credit risk management will be put in top priority. If
credit risk comes to bank, it will bring a lot of loss,
even bankruptcy for banks and bad effect to the whole
economy.
As the importance of credit risk management, author
mentions some researches that were made by famous and
realizable researchers in over the world. They come from
China, UK and US where have strong credit risk management.
The flow of their research goes down from the literature
review, the credit models to the practices / application
for specific cases. The thesis of author will be expanded
based on the flow of three researchers above. From this,
author figure out the assessment for credit risk
management in Vietnam generally, at SCB in special way.
In Vietnam or some countries over the world, central bank
will work like a government division where monitor the
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Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
cash flow of commercial banks, cash flow in the market and
will issue financial policies for controlling the market.
However, SBV’s operations are still big question. The
policies for credit risk management from SBV sometimes
conflict with the decision, law and regulation from the
government. Thus, commercial banks confuse to follow the
guidance documents.
The credit risk management in this thesis will base on the
culture of credit, organization, procedures and
performance. The statistics are included for each part, if
any.
In this conclusion, author will provide some
recommendations for banks including the documents and
staff to improve credit risk management quality at SCB.
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Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
REFERENCES
1. Elizabeth Mays, 1999. Credit Risk Modeling. AMACOM.
221pp.
2. Wikipedia, 2012. Credit Risk.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Credit_risk, Accessed on
06th April 2013.
3. Dr. Nguyen Minh Kieu, 2006. Credit and Appraisal.
Financial Publisher. 444 pp.
4. Le Van Te, 2009. Banking Credit. Transportation
Publisher. 276 pp.
5. Dr. Nguyen Minh Kieu, 2009. Financial Risk
Management. 492 pp.
6. Standard Chartered Vietnam, 2012. Internal Process of
Lending. SCB VN. 72 pp.
7. Standard Chartered Vietnam, 2013. Vietnam Banking
Field Overview. SCB VN. 16 pp.
8. Nguyen Dinh Tho, 2011. Research Methodology in
Business. Labor and Social Affairs Publisher. 592 pp.
9. Cafef, 2013. 2012 Non-Performance Loan of Vietnam
Overview. http://cafef.vn/tai-chinh-ngan-hang/tinh-
hinh-no-xau-cac-ngan-hang-20121106065835302ca34.chn,112
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
Accessed on 7th April 2013.
10. Code of Conduct, 2013, SCB Policy.
11. Compliance Policy, 2013, SCB Internal Policy.
12. Dr. Yuan Mu, 2009, Doctor Dissertation.
13. GARP, 2012, Credit Rules
14. Decision 493/2005/QĐ-NHNN, 2005, State Bank of
Vietnam
15. Karen A. Horcher, 2005, Essentials of Financial
Risk Management
16. GARP, 2007, Credit Rules
17. UniCredit Group, 2012, Credit Instruction
18. Pavla Vodová, 2006, Thesis for Doctor award
19. Julius Tandler, 2007, Credit Management
20. Remolona, 1990, Bankruptcy for financial bodies
summary
21. Cristina Alina Naftanalia, 2012, Definition for
country risk
22. Wikipedia, 2012. Country Risk.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Country_risk, Accessed
on 07th July 2013.
23. John B.Caouette, Edward I. Altman, Paul
Narayanan, 2008, Credit Process
24. Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, 2009, Bank
Policy
25. Joetta Colquitt, 2007, Credit Risk Management
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Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
26. Kenneth J. Singleton, 2003, Credit Risk
Clarification
27. Moody’s, S&P and Fitch, Sources on the Internet
28. Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, 2005,
Studies on Credit Concentration
29. Decision of Vietnamese government – 163 CP,
2008, State Bank of Vietnam
30. Financial Report of HSBC, ANZ, Citibank,
Vietinbank, Vietcombank, etc, 2009-2012, Bank’s
website.
31. Annual Report, 2009-2012, State Bank of Vietnam
32. Decision 03/2001/TTLT-NHNN, 2001, State bank of
Vietnam
33. Decision 15/2010/TT-NHNN, 2010, State Bank of
Vietnam
34. VnEconomy, 2013. VAMC establishment
http://vneconomy.vn/20130522114955509P0C6/no-xau-can-
dieu-kien-gi-de-vamc-mua-lai.htm, Accessed on 029th
July 2013.
35. Regulation 493/2005/Q.-NHNN, 2005, State Bank of
Vietnam
36. Dr. Johnson, 2006, Mix Research Methodology
37. SPSS and Ball Crystal Software Instruction book
38. Standard Chartered Bank Product, 2013, SCB
website
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Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
39. Wikipedia, 2013.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Standard_Chartered,
Accessed on 04th April 2013.
40. Internal Financial Report, 2009 -2013, Standard
Chartered Bank Vietnam (Ltd).
INTERNAL QUESTIONNAIRE OF CREDIT RISK
The purpose of survey is to improve the quality of products and services, withthe target of minimum credit risk. SCB really appreciates your helps andsupports. We commit that the statistics from customers will be used only forthe survey and not to expose to the third party. Thanks for your co-operation !
1. Which department at SCB are you working for? Product Operations Risk
Credit Sales Branch Back
Kindly help to evaluate the cause level of credit risk from the lowest level (Few)to the highest (extremely high) by checking on the square
2. Credit risk from change in governmental policies
115
Standard Chartered Vietnam (Ltd)Operations Department
7th Floor, Vinaconex Tower, 34 Lang Ha Street,Dong Da, Hanoi
Annex 1
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
Few Normal High Extremely high
3. Credit risk from ineffective work of legality Few Normal High Extremely high
4. Credit risk from lacking of information system Few Normal High Extremely high
5. Credit risk from cheating financial report and/or capabilities Few Normal High Extremely high
6. Credit risk from using loan with wrong purpose Few Normal High Extremely high
7. Credit risk from cross borrowing Few Normal High Extremely high
8. Credit risk from fraudster Few Normal High Extremely high
9. Credit risk from staff Few Normal High Extremely high
10. Credit risk from procedures Few Normal High Extremely high
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Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
11. If you have any suggestion for credit risk managing improvement, kindly help us to fill in rows below.
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Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
ID Project NameDays Start End 1-Apr
8-
Apr
26-
Apr
27-
May
14-
Jun
28-
Jun5-Jul 2-Aug 6-Sep
1.0 MBA Thesis 158 1-Apr 6-Sep
1.1Thesis Proposal
Submission25 1-Apr 26-Apr
1.1
.1
Define research
objectives4 1-Apr 5-Apr
1.1
.2
Define research
requirements1 6-Apr 7-Apr
Ask for support from
Standard Chartered
Vietnam
2 8-Apr 10-Apr
1.1
.3 Write Proposal3 11-Apr 14-Apr
1.1
.4
Confirmation of Topic
and Draft by IMC
Program Director
0 26-Apr 26-Apr
1
Milestone Table
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
1.2 Resources 43 2-May 14-Jun
1.2
.1
Find relevant
information through
academic books and
Internet
22 2-May 24-May
1.2
.2
Request for
Information and Data
to Standard Chartered
Vietnam
11 27-May 7-Jun
1.2
.3
Conduct Survey
Questions34 10-Jun 14-Jul
1.3Composition of Master
Thesis83 15-Jun 6-Sep
1.3
.1
Deliver survey
questions to Standard
Chartered Vietnam
33 15-Jun 18-Jul
2
Credit Risk Management at Standard Chartered
Branches via Internal
Email and Hard Copies1.3
.2 Collect the survey4 20-Jun 24-Jun
1.3
.3
Classify the survey
results3 25-Jun 28-Jun
1.3
.4 Analyze survey results6 29-Jun 5-Jul
1.3
.5
Analyze Standard
Chartered Vietnam Data6 6-Jul 12-Jul
1.3
.6 Complete Master Thesis20 13-Jul 2-Aug
1.3
.7
Submission of Unbound
Version0 2-Aug 2-Aug
1.3
.8 Corrections14 2-Aug 16-Aug
1.3 Final Submission 0 6-Sep 6-Sep
3