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Malaria and the Decline of Ancient Greece: Revisitingthe Jones Hypothesis in an Era of Interdisciplinarity
Christopher Baron1 • Christopher Hamlin1
Published online: 15 September 2015
� Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015
Abstract Between 1906 and 1909 the biologist Ronald Ross and the classicist
W.H.S. Jones pioneered interdisciplinary research in biology and history in
advancing the claim that malaria had been crucial in the decline of golden-age
Greece (fourth century BCE). The idea had originated with Ross, winner of the
Nobel Prize for demonstrating the importance of mosquitoes in the spread of the
disease. Jones assembled what, today, we would call an interdisciplinary network of
collaborators in the sciences and humanities. But early negative reviews of Jones’s
Malaria and Greek History (1909) by classicists and historians ended the project,
despite a positive reception among malariologists. Today, the ‘‘Jones hypothesis’’ is
often used to exemplify the naıvete of past scholarship, and few examine Jones’s
evidence and reasoning. In this age of renewed interdisciplinarity, a review of what
went wrong is timely. Jones and Ross knew they were opening new methodological
territory and struggled with the challenges of multiple ways of knowing. Over 100
years later, malaria remains an important site of historical-biological research, yet
integration is elusive. After reviewing the Jones-Ross relationship, Jones’s inter-
disciplinary campaign, and the reception of the hypothesis among classicists/ancient
historians and in malariology, we conclude by highlighting some of the specific
challenges faced by those exploring the interface of biology and history.
Keywords Malaria � Disease � Interdisciplinarity � Ancient Greece �History � Decline
& Christopher Hamlin
Christopher Baron
1 University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN, USA
123
Minerva (2015) 53:327–358
DOI 10.1007/s11024-015-9280-7
For much of his long and distinguished career at St. Catharine’s College,
Cambridge, William Henry Samuel Jones (1876–1963) bore the nickname
‘‘Malaria’’ Jones for a series of 1907–1909 publications in which he had argued
that malaria had been a significant factor in the decline of golden age Greece. Its
effects, he argued, had not been merely economic and demographic, they had been
existential and cultural.
What is usually known as the Jones hypothesis was actually the idea of the most
prominent malaria biologist of the day, Ronald Ross. Ross’s 1897 experiments (for
which he received a 1902 Nobel Prize) had demonstrated that a mosquito
transmitted malaria. He had gone on to work out the compound population
equations of malaria endemicity. As a result, a disease long seen as intrinsic to place
became an historical entity; malaria was contingent on human movement and
changed land use.
Ross first presented the malaria-and-Greek-decline thesis on November 15, 1906
in an address to the Oxford Medical Society. The young Jones was a classicist
recruited to test the hypothesis. The two worked closely for two years. Though they
differed as to what malaria explained, how it explained it, and how scholars should
reason in such matters, it is better to recognize a Ross-Jones hypothesis. What are
commonly seen as its two chief tenets are actually closer to Ross’s view:
• that malaria arrived relatively late in Greece (mid-to-late fifth century BCE)
• that it was the main cause of an unambiguous if gradual historical event known
as the decline of Greece, which began around 430 BCE.
A ‘‘slashing’’ review of Jones’s Malaria and Greek History (1909) effectively
ended the active phase of inquiry. Embittered, Jones turned to pedagogy,
translations, and projects more traditionally within the domain of classics, though
he never lost interest in question.1 Yet the nickname stuck. A century later, Jones’s
reputation remains linked to what has been called ‘‘the malaria hypothesis of
history’’ (Burke 1996: 2253), which has in turn been seen as ‘‘paradigmatic for
biological explanations of historical change’’ (Rosen 1957: 155–156).
The thesis still elicits strong and divided reactions. Having asserted in 2002 that
the Jones hypothesis might ‘‘be safely dismissed now without further discussion,’’
Robert Sallares was still discussing it (and more sympathetically) two years later
(Sallares 2002: 23; Sallares et al. 2004). The late Mirko Grmek was more positive
(Grmek 1989: 279–283). But unlike Sallares and Grmek, few commentators have
been expert in both classics and biomedicine.
Instead, the history of the idea has been the history of arriving at a satisfactory
interdisciplinary epistemology. Most have approached it from one discipline or
another. Malariologists have generally been intrigued; classicists dismissive. That
disciplinization has affected how the Jones hypothesis has been construed and thus
what evidence might bear on it and how. Simpler but soluble disciplinary questions
1 For biographical information, see Nutton (2004); The Times, 6 February 1963. Jones’s later projects
include a history of the Hippocratic oath, Loeb editions of several Hippocratic texts, translations of Pliny
the Elder, and an edition of a remarkable text known as Anonymous Londinensis. For ‘‘slashing,’’ see
Jones to Ross, 10 April 1909, Ross Papers, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine [hereafter
LSHTM] 89/12/52.
328 C. Baron, C. Hamlin
123
have driven out the more complicated and grander question Jones wanted to ask.
How chronic debilitating disease had contributed to profound cultural and political
change in classical Greece could not be definitively determined; whether malaria
had been present in the ancient Mediterranean world, could be. Some have sought
refuge in the oversimplification of the binary, the better to refute: if malaria cannot
explain everything, it explains nothing. There is evidence of disciplinary disciplin-
ing. Jones, the single-factor advocate who would ‘‘explain all of Classical history in
terms of … malaria’’ (Burke 1996: 2253) has been seen as the rogue scholar, who,
defying the domain of his discipline (which omits chronic disease) and its
conventions of inference and explanation, suffers appropriate ignominy. He has
sometimes been saddled with positions he rejected.2 Or the thesis has been
dismissed on red-herring technicalities. That the changes Jones described are no
longer unambiguously seen as decline has been grounds for dismissal. Many recoil
from his ‘‘moral’’ reading of ancient history and his focus on manly ‘‘character.’’
Jones (and more so, Ross) certainly expressed contemporary imperialist values, but
that hardly negates the importance of inquiry into changing cultural norms – one
might explore the domain of the moral without moralizing.
Malaria remains an important site of historical-biological research in this age of
renewed interdisciplinarity, as historians extend their gazes into the Anthropocene
and seek in multiple ways to draw on biology in rethinking the human past.3 While
its presence in ancient Greece is now admitted, malaria remains geographic
background more than historical foreground, holding the curious status of a cause to
which no effects are assigned. A review of the Jones episode has sobering
implications for that interdisciplinarity. Conscious that they were opening up new
historical territory, Ross and Jones were pioneer interdisciplinarians. Jones labored
to assemble an international network of scholars in many fields who would study the
comparative effects of endemic disease; he and Ross discussed at length the
convergent methodologies on which their case was based – what the philosopher
William Whewell had called a ‘‘consilience of induction.’’ Lines of reasoning
which, individually, were insufficient to compel a conclusion were amplified
through such convergence (Whewell 1840: 230–239).
The trouble with such undertakings is that epistemic assessment is disciplinary.
Disciplines house ways of knowing, enforce rigor. Even within the traditional
framework of classics, the sources support diametrically opposite readings of health
in antiquity, the historian of classical medicine Helen King has noted; the
complexity of reciprocal cause and effect of many types of social, cultural, and
biological factors warrants even more caution in making ‘‘broad generalisations’’
2 Thus Burke: the ‘‘insidious, debilitating and demoralizing effects of malaria, acting as they tend to over
long periods of time, argue strongly against theories attributing sudden calamitous effect on ancient
society’’ (Burke 1996: 2255). Jones emphasizes precisely such ‘‘insidious, debilitating and demoralizing
effects’’ over time. Our impression is that the Jones thesis is often addressed as a familiar idea, not
through any close reading of Jones’s texts. What one referee calls ‘‘equivocation’’ may reflect
expectations that Jones should be making a single and precise claim. Rather, he is inviting attention to a
factor whose effects will have been both profound and complex, direct and indirect. Misunderstandings
may also reflect conflation of Ross’s version (relatively rapid spread over the whole of Greece) with
Jones’s emphasis on local emergence from changed land use.3 For the state of the art, see ‘‘AHR Roundtable’’ (2014). See especially Thomas (2014).
Malaria and the Decline of Ancient Greece 329
123
(King 2005: 8). That disciplines sometimes mesh seamlessly in interdisciplinary
undertakings – including, to some degree, in the contemporary practice of ancient
history – should not suggest that they do so necessarily, nor disguise the enormity of
the problem of interdisciplinary epistemology. Skepticism toward interdisciplinarity
is hardly unreasonable—where, and in whom, will accountability inhere (Hamlin
2012)? What implicit or explicit criteria will constitute it? How are we to answer the
charge that was made against Jones, that he tendentiously assembled suggestive bits
of information, using each to bootstrap the others in pursuit of an idee fixe? One
might say that this is precisely what interdisciplinary inquiries often do.
The long and frustrating contest over the Jones hypothesis has been mainly about
epistemology. Few disputed the facts; at issue was what conclusions they warranted.
Usually those taking positions were brandishing their own epistemic colors,
consolidating disciplinary authority rather than extending it (and perhaps in the
process, exposing it). While many acknowledged that the effects-of-malaria-in-
antiquity problem required a composite approach, there was and is no discipline to
make clear which epistemic conventions to apply. Often the differences have been
fundamental, and on several dimensions. Partisans disagree about:
• What defaults to adopt? Is the absence of (textual) evidence, evidence of
(malarial) absence?
• If malaria was pervasive, what sort of textual evidence should we expect to find?
How many texts are enough?
• Do we reason deductively from general laws of malaria to particulars or rely on
particulars alone?
• What shall be the levels and units of inquiry – centuries, decades, or seasons;
regions, localities, lives, or texts?
The Jones-Ross collaboration was a unique personal relationship – of depen-
dence, respect, trust, openness. Given the wide disparity of skill sets and
orientations between classicists and malariologists, it may be naıve to think that
something like it could or can be readily reproduced, translated into disciplinary
communities, or even made the basis of some new metadiscipline. And yet that may
be what the problem requires.
We first review the Jones-Ross relationship and Jones’s interdisciplinary
campaign. The following two sections ‘‘The Historians’ Response: Explanans and
Explanandum’’ and ‘‘The Malariological Response’’ explore the reception of the
Ross-Jones hypothesis in classical historiography and in malariology, respectively.
The final section ‘‘The Movement to Connect History with Biology’’ considers
implications of the episode for work at the history-biology interface. We first
highlight two factors in the abandonment of Jones’s ideas and approach: the
inability of historians to assess the effects of invisible, endemic disease on the lives
of those they study, and the challenges disease poses to conventions of explaining
historical change. We then consider contemporary interdisciplinarity – the synthetic
genomic-anthropological-archaeological approach to the study of ancient diseases –
and ask whether this resolves (and could resolve) the sorts of epistemic quandaries
that have perpetuated the debate on the Ross-Jones hypothesis for more than a
century.
330 C. Baron, C. Hamlin
123
The Biologist and the Classicist
While Ross and a young medic George Grigson Ellett collaborated in some of the
publications, we speak of a ‘‘Jones’’ thesis because Jones was the main and often
sole author of the malarial decline publications. But the idea was clearly Ross’s
(Ross 1910: 3). Their correspondence (only Jones’s side has survived) has many
dimensions. Jones began as research assistant; later Ross became patron, mentor,
and friend. But it was a union of expertise, too, especially as Jones began to read
ancient texts with an eye to malarial significance.
Ross first. In 1906, Ross, now at the new Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine,
was invited to give the annual address to the Oxford Medical Society. ‘‘Malaria in
Greece’’ was mainly a review of his recent epidemiological field work at the drained
Lake Kopais in Boeotia near Thebes, then being reclaimed by British capitalists.
After surveying the workers, he had made a malaria census of area children, using
the rapid technique of spleen enlargement. These children were ‘‘very intelligent,
and many [exceedingly] good looking,’’ but ‘‘most …were far from well, and some
looked miserably ill, emaciated and anaemic’’ (Ross 1909a: 703). Malaria affected
roughly a third of adults and two-thirds of children. The address, widely reprinted,
was also a fund raiser for the Greek Anti-Malaria Society.
But vulnerability was a larger theme than humanitarianism. Ross asked hearers to
imagine the effect on the ‘‘health and vigour’’ of British children of ‘‘a malady
which lasts for years and may sometimes attack every child in a village.’’ That was
what had happened in ancient Greece, and was happening in modern Greece, where
malaria, ‘‘unexpectedly high for any European country,’’ approached Indian or
African levels (Ross 1909a: 706). To a great British empire which hoped to plant its
civilization throughout the globe, that mattered.4
For Ross, who followed the commonplace Dorian invasion view of Greek
decline, the chief worry was racial replacement. Ancient Greek civilization had
been the achievement of ‘‘Aryan invaders,’’ a ‘‘fair-haired’’ people, ‘‘vigorous and
well trained in arms,’’ who were yet susceptible to a plasmodium that they would
inadvertently import in the immune bodies of enslaved north Africans. With suitable
Anopheline vectors already present, malaria had then ‘‘spread … from valley to
valley, … [to] gradually eat out the high strain of the northern blood.’’ Ross
emphasized its deadliness to infants and debilitation to others, ‘‘sapping … the
energies of the race’’ and resulting in a ‘‘darker’’ population. Differential racial
immunity to malaria was well recognized as an impediment to the imperial mission
and a perverse exemplar of racial Darwinism – in India, Italy, and Africa, ‘‘the
stronger … fair northern blood which nature attempts constantly to pour into the
southern lands’’ had been most vulnerable (Ross 1909a: 705–706).5
Ross’s hypothesis was a plausible extrapolation from tropical medicine to ancient
history. He supported it with a modern example: Mauritius, where malaria had
4 For the draft original of Ross’s speech, see LSHTM, 89/10/39.5 Ross was not worried in 1906 about reintroduction of malaria into Britain by returnees from malarious
colonies. That would become a concern for him (and another eminent malarial historian, Erwin
Ackerknecht) later. See Ross, ‘‘Question of Ultimate Disposal of Malarial Cases,’’ 13 November 1918,
Ross Papers, Royal College of Physicians and Surgeons of Glasgow [hereafter RCPSG], WO 23/1/3.
Malaria and the Decline of Ancient Greece 331
123
wrought ‘‘infinite injury’’ following its introduction in 1866. Visiting the island in
1908, Ross found that roughly a third of the island’s children were afflicted, and that
mortality had nearly doubled (Ross 1908). But mainly he was happy to consign the
idea to the scrutiny of ‘‘scholars.’’ For, more than an opportunity to advance a new
hypothesis, his lecture was an occasion to bring malaria into the domain of classical
learning, and thereby to link the new discipline of tropical medicine with the eternal
verities of truth and beauty whose contemplation was the business of august
universities. Occupying the chair at Ross’s address was the clinician/medical
historian William Osler, who had taken the Oxford medical professorship to re-
humanize a medicine sullied by the grim laboratories of the physiologists. And by
talking learnedly about ancient Greece, the ambitious and multitalented Ross (poet,
novelist, mathematician) might show himself, though a graduate of no university, as
a person of liberal education and no mere colonial doctor.
Such contextual elements go some way to accounting for the flood of gratuitous
classical allusions in Ross’s address. He had come to Greece at the onset of the
malaria season to find ‘‘Andromeda in tears, awaiting the onslaught of the fell
monster which was just then preparing to arise (metaphorically speaking) from his
long winter sleep in order to devour her.’’ He had visited the sites of oracles,
Pegasus’ launching pad, and had found the fountain of the three Graces being
desecrated by ‘‘shameless [Anopheline] insects.’’ He was much struck by the sad
state of Thebes – equally a literary and historical site (Ross 1909a: 702–703). For
Ross, as for many admirers of the classical past, mythological, literary, and
historical Greece were all of a piece – he would merely add parasites and
mosquitoes to that mix. On the back of a leaf of Ross’s field notes from Lake Kopais
is a list of names of historical, literary, and mythological figures. It appears that
Ross was learning modern Anglicized spellings. But the list ends with the ancient
and modern terms for mosquito. For Ross, the mythic and the malarial were
somehow one, with Apollo and Anopheles part of the same ontology (Fig. 1).
Before presenting the malaria hypothesis at Oxford, Ross had proposed it to the
eminent classicist J.G. Frazer of Trinity College, Cambridge, who found the idea
plausible.6 Jones’s recruitment came not through Frazer, however, but through the
Cambridge biologist A.E. Shipley (1861–1927), who announced to Ross the next
May that he had found ‘‘a thoroughly capable Classical Scholar’’ who was already
‘‘hard at it, going through all Classical literature to find references.’’ ‘‘I think we
shall now get something satisfactory from the Classical side,’’ he concluded.7
At the time, Jones, BA 1897 (Selwyn College, Cambridge), MA 1902, was a
classical teacher at the Perse School in Cambridge.8 He had just published Greek
Morality in Relation to Institutions. An Essay, which he hoped (in vain) might be
6 Frazer to Ross, undated, probably early July 1906. LSHTM 89/11/2.7 Shipley to Ross, 10 May 1907, LSHTM 89/11/04. Shipley had known of Ross’s ideas before the Oxford
lecture, having written on November 8, 1906, to note his discussions of the matter with ‘‘Macallum of
Toronto,’’ probably the physiologist A.B. Macallum (1858–1934). See LSHTM 89/11/03.8 For a brief biography produced by the St. Catharine’s College archivist (‘‘News from the Archives,
Lent Term 2012’’), see http://www.caths.cam.ac.uk/assets/uploadedfiles/downloads/Jones.pdf.
332 C. Baron, C. Hamlin
123
accepted as a doctoral dissertation.9 He represented the work as a social history of
moral practice, with regard to religion, the state, the family, and finally to private
conduct and conscience. In fact, it was mainly a brisk review of ancient moral
philosophy, but it shows Jones struggling to contextualize unorthodox moral
practices and reveals his concern with moral change. There he recognized
successive ‘‘waves’’ of moral concern: between 500 and 300 BCE, ‘‘manly virtues
of courage and devoted patriotism’’ had given way to ‘‘humane ideals.’’ He would
not label these decline or ‘‘progress,’’ for ‘‘who shall say that one morality is better
than the other?’’ Jones attributed them to ‘‘environment,’’ for him a social rather
than a physical or biotic entity (Jones 1906: 151–156). Under Ross’s influence,
Jones would decide that Greece had declined, but he remained far more interested in
moral change than in military decline or racial replacement. In an early letter he
pressed Ross for modern texts dealing with malaria’s effects ‘‘upon character,
temper, etc.’’ – the ‘‘ethical’’ side of the question (Jones 1907: 48–49).10 Likewise
he was less interested in dating malaria’s arrival than with its effects in Athens
around 400 BCE.
But, like Ross, Jones was infected with imperial anxiety. These changes in the
spirit of a great people were far-reaching, and the ultimate stakes were the progress
of civilization and the ideal state of human souls. These events mattered to
Edwardian classicists, and certainly at the Perse School where, via the ‘‘direct’’
Fig. 1 Note from back of Ross’s field note on malaria of Lake Kopais employees. May 1906. Note thatRoss moves from Persephone in the fourth line from the bottom to the terms for mosquito in the next twolines. Ross Papers, RCPSG 1/7/1/1
9 Jones would be awarded a Cambridge Litt. D. in 1925: ‘‘University News,’’ The Times, 2 March 1925.10 Jones to Ross, 16 May 1907, LSHTM 89/12/02.
Malaria and the Decline of Ancient Greece 333
123
method of language teaching pioneered by the progressive headmaster W.H.D.
Rouse, boys learned to speak and think in Greek and Latin. The classical past was a
laboratory of noble ideals and actions, essential in the urban, industrial, and
utilitarian modern world. But it also revealed how vulnerable civilizations might be
to insidious assaults on ‘‘character’’ (Stray 1992: 37–41).11 Jones’s Morality reflects
his concern that Edwardian boys might not be up to the demands of empire (Jones
1907: 86–87). His teaching did too. Crack shot and second lieutenant Jones taught
Officer Training as well as elementary Latin.12
It was character that malaria threatened. It sapped the will, drained the civilizing
energy of Europeans living in hot and humid places, degrading their morality and
that of their subjects. There was much interest in ‘‘malarial cachexia,’’ the chronic
exhaustion from repeated reinfection, and equally in ‘‘masked malaria,’’ an umbrella
term for its indirect pathological effects. Noting a rumor that German colonials took
quinine to prevent ‘‘moral deterioration,’’ Jones suggested that malaria might be
responsible for Europeans’ ‘‘lapses into barbarism’’ (Jones 1908b: 536–538).
Reviewers were alert to these issues – Jones’s work would shed light on (non-
malarial) Japan’s remarkable progress when compared with malarial China or
Russia (Anonymous 1907). Ruled as well as rulers would benefit from the conquest
of malaria, but Jones, even more than Ross, worried more about English schoolboys
than native populations.
The Ross-Jones case was reasonably complete by June 1907. When Jones had
begun systematically ‘‘reading through all the Greek authors’’ for allusions to
malaria is not clear, but it was a labor intensive process – ‘‘I sometimes spent a week
without finding a single reference!’’ – and he must have begun well before Shipley’s
May 10 letter to Ross.13 In his first letter to Ross, four days later, Jones presented his
evidence – references to enlarged spleens, allusions (in Plato and Aristotle) to
tertian and quartan fevers, and the abandonment of cultivation in Attica during the
war years of the late fifth century. He noted an apparently new term, pyretos, and
suspected that it ‘‘may nearly always refer’’ to a new disease. A week later, he
speculated that malaria’s apparent prominence among adults might reflect its
relative recency. Where well-established, it would mainly affect children, who
would not be immune. He also suggested that another seemingly new term,
‘‘melancholia,’’ might refer to aspects of malaria. It affected the mind too, Jones
noted. Hence ‘‘melancholia’’ might initially have referred both to febrile excitability
and to associated moods – ‘‘short-tempered and morose’’ – of victims.14
Quite quickly too, Jones had begun to think in malarial terms. Despite his
deferential and self-deprecating tone, within weeks he had taken charge of the
11 Influenced by Ruskin and Morris, Rouse was fixated on the purity of rural cultures. The importance for
Jones of the charismatic reformer Rouse should not be underestimated. To join Rouse in reviving a failing
school was to embark on a crusade to recreate the ‘‘life’’ of the classical past.12 ‘‘From the London Gazette,’’ The Times, 9 June 1908. Concerns about manliness as a matter of
national or racial degeneration are prominent among reviewers, too.13 Jones to Ross, 14 May 1907, LSHTM 89/12/01. See also Jones to Ross, 14 June 1907, LSHTM 89/12/13.14 Jones to Ross, 19 May 1907, LSHTM 89/12/03.
334 C. Baron, C. Hamlin
123
collaboration, at least intellectually.15 Two weeks into the correspondence he was
learnedly enlisting the authoritative works on historical epidemiology by Charles
Creighton and August Hirsch.16 And while he would never commit the speculation
to print, he was reaching beyond Greece (and Rome). ‘‘Do you not think that
malaria will prove to be the cause why all empires – the Persian Empire, the
Alexandrian Empire, the domain of the Moguls in India, the Spaniards in America –
gradually declined?’’ he asked Ross. ‘‘The more I study the question the more
certain it appears.’’17 On some issues his views were diverging from Ross’s. For
Jones, malaria’s late introduction into Greece was less important than its effect on
Attica, due, he thought, to creation of Anopheline habitat from lapse of cultivation
during the last ten years of the Peloponnesian war, known as the Decelean war
(Jones 1907: 35–41; Jones 1908a; cf. Jones 1909a: 73–79).18
Early in the correspondence Jones had sounded out Ross on publication, perhaps
a catalogue of Greek sources. Over the summer, the project evolved into a pamphlet
and then a small book. Ross’s preface grew into a first chapter, and Jones solicited a
concluding chapter from the young medic Ellett, a 1903 St. Catharine’s medical
graduate.19 Jones was emphatic that their book (which he was subsidizing) be a
work of malaria prevention more than of classical erudition – they would ‘‘drive
home the importance, especially to Englishmen, of expelling malaria from every
country in which it exists. If malaria has caused the downfall of races, the expulsion
of malaria may lead to the growth of great nations in the future.’’20
Malaria: A Neglected Factor in Greek History appeared in September 1907.
Barely one hundred pages, it consisted of two chapters from Jones (Greece and
Rome) as well as Ross’s and Ellett’s contributions. Jones is main author on the title
page, but the book’s cover listed all three.21 The book did not sell, yet Jones was
15 ‘‘Why ever did not some great man take up the subject instead of leaving it to a nobody like myself,
whose name carries no weight?’’ Jones to Ross, 12 July 1907, LSHTM 89/12/16; 7 September 1907,
LSHTM 89/12/24.16 Jones to Ross, 31 May 1907, LSHTM 89/12/08. Curiously, Jones does not cite these sources in his
published works.17 Jones to Ross, 13 June 1907, LSHTM 89/12/12. He later speculated (10 September 1907, LSHTM
89/12/25) about the role of malaria in the fertile crescent in ways that anticipate concepts of river valley
civilizations: malaria would attack non-immune hill peoples as they conquered lowland empires.
Ultimately, Jones sought to enlist east Asian linguists in a parallel inquiry (Jones to Ross, 16 October
1907; LSHTM 89/12/28).18 Cf. Jones to Ross, 27 August 1907, LSHTM 89/12/22. Empirical association of lapse of husbandry
with malaria was longstanding. Jones’s focus on microscale determinants reflects the general trend of
Ross’s and subsequent work: endemicity requires much more than introduction (Ross in Jones 1907:
12–13; cf. Jones 1907: 40n). Ross’s uneasiness with Jones’s version was that it made malaria
consequence rather than independent cause. For Jones such chicken-and-egg issues were moot since he
never represented malaria as sole cause of Greek decline.19 Jones to Ross, 26, 29 May, 20 June 1907, LSHTM 89/12/05-06, 15. Ellett (1876–1974) took his B.A.
in 1898, his M.B. in 1903–4, and his M.D. in 1908. In 1906 he was associated with Cambridge’s
Pathological Laboratory and published a brief paper (Ellett 1906). See also Lancet, 7 November 1903,
1335.20 Jones to Ross, 12 July 1907, LSHTM 89/12/16.21 On the finances, see Jones to Ross, LSHTM 89/12/34. Curiously, the same publishers reissued the
book in 1920, with a new title page listing Ross’s accomplishments.
Malaria and the Decline of Ancient Greece 335
123
elected to a St. Catharine’s fellowship in November 1908. At 32 he felt old to be
beginning an academic career, but accepted the fellowship while continuing to teach
at Perse.22
Over that summer of 1907 and in the 18 months that separated this book from his
better known Malaria and Greek History, Jones was working to unite history and
biology in the study of the effects of endemic diseases. He was consolidating Ross’s
modes of reasoning with historical modes of inference, and building a network of
sympathetic experts in many fields.
Initially the recruitment was limited to Cambridge – some questions would have
to wait until October, when ‘‘the professors return,’’ he told Ross.23 The
parasitologist Shipley (Christ’s College), his recruiter, was lecturer in invertebrate
morphology. In 1907 he also acknowledged Professors Edward Vernon Arnold
(Trinity) (1857–1926), a classicist skilled in both Latin and Sanskrit, and Thomas
Clifford Allbutt (1836–1925), Regius Professor of Medicine, who, like Oxford’s
Osler, had historical interests.24 That he does not list several local experts who
might have helped – the historian J.B. Bury, the classicist Frazer (who had
welcomed Ross’s idea in July 1906), or the malariologist G.H.F. Nuttall, author of a
1900 review of anticipations of the mosquito vector – suggests Jones’s continuing
discomfort with pressing his bold ideas on senior figures. Nuttall lived too far away
(two miles), he told Ross.25 Still, it is an impressive group and reflects both the
greater integration of intellectual inquiry of the period and the workings of small
collegiate institutions which could nurture conversation among medics, classicists,
and biologists.
He had also begun selling the idea beyond Cambridge. He (and Ellett)
approached classicists first through a brief letter in the May 1907 Classical Review
(Jones and Ellett 1907).26 There what would become the Jones hypothesis was
merely a tantalizing juxtaposition of three sets of facts: the frequency in the
Hippocratic texts of allusions to swollen spleen (quickly becoming the standard
indicator of malaria), a malaria-conducive environment in Attica after the Decelean
war, and malaria’s power to cause ‘‘degeneracy – physical, moral, and mental.’’ Its
‘‘most marked symptom,’’ they insisted, was ‘‘dissatisfaction, or even despair,’’ and
added that ‘‘Greek thought during the fourth and third centuries B.C. shows this
characteristic.’’ Readers were invited to submit evidence bearing on these issues.
22 ‘‘University Intelligence,’’ The Times, 21 November 1908; Jones to Ross, 28 November 1908, LSHTM
89/12/38, 39.23 Jones to Ross, 18 September 1907, LSHTM 89/12/26.24 In 1921 Allbutt would publish Greek Medicine in Rome. Venn, Alumni Cantabigiensus, online ed.
http://venn.lib.cam.ac.uk/cgi-bin/search.pl?sur=&suro=c&fir=&firo=c&cit=&cito=c&c=all&tex=SHPY88
0AE&sye=&eye=&col=all&maxcount=50. H. D. Rolleston, ‘‘Allbutt, Sir (Thomas) Clifford (1836–
1925),’’ rev. Alexander G. Bearn, in Oxford Dictionary of National Biography; http://www.oxforddnb.
com/view/article/30382 (accessed September 13, 2013).25 See Jones to Ross, 7 Sept. 1907, 3 November 1908, LSHTM 89/12/24, 89/12/35. In fact Jones
worshiped Frazer as the rare original thinker in an otherwise stodgy field.26 The issue probably appeared later in the summer. In October 1907 Jones mentions submissions to The
Lancet and The Morning Post. They are not published, he thinks, because he is an ‘‘unknown man.’’ Jones
to Ross, 8 October 1907, LSHTM 89/12/27.
336 C. Baron, C. Hamlin
123
In a 1908 paper to the Dutch medical history journal Janus Jones addressed
issues of colonial administration. Malaria could be eradicated, he declared, and
‘‘tropical countries… made healthy enough for white men to live there in comfort.’’
Again, the concern was comparative, collaborative research. Evidence of ‘‘the
mischief, economic, physical and moral’’ done by malaria and other diseases would
raise administrators’ awareness. One should look for instances of emigration of ‘‘the
rich, … capable and … energetic’’ from the countryside to towns – likely a result of
malarial invasion. Historical research might also reveal malaria’s true bill – the sum
of ‘‘loss of life, loss of time, … physical suffering, … and …permanent psychical
disturbances.’’ This was important for Ross, who was claiming that targeted
antimalarial measures would pay for themselves in India. After offering to
coordinate such inquiry, Jones turned cautiously to Greece. There the likely rise of
malaria had coincided ‘‘with certain changes in the Greek character,’’ which led
‘‘ultimately’’ to ‘‘the ruin of the race.’’ That malaria ‘‘undoubtedly has the power to
disintegrate the moral fibre of a people’’ made it ‘‘probable that the decline of the
Greeks is to be attributed, at least in part, to this cause’’ (Jones 1908a; Ross 1910:
295–305).
In ‘‘Malaria and History,’’ published in Annals of Tropical Medicine and
Parasitology, the house organ of the Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine (and
thus Ross’s journal), Jones wrote as a biologist. Using the ‘‘struggle for existence’’
between humans and parasites as his framework, he called for ‘‘induction’’ of
‘‘general laws’’ from historical facts – instances of periodic fevers, autumnal fevers,
fevers in marshy areas, and swollen spleens (Jones 1908b: 529–530). He explained
more fully how malaria affected ‘‘character.’’27 Ross’s racial replacement was one
way (Ross in Jones 1907: 10–12). Poor health during childhood and the sapping of
energy in adults were others. Again, colonial administration would benefit from
anthropological research on the ‘‘psychological peculiarities of peoples among
whom malaria is endemic’’ (Jones 1908b: 536–538).
These pieces – and his 1909 works, Malaria and Greek History and a companion
study on ancient Italy (1909b) – reveal the growing network Jones had assembled. It
included Angelo Celli, one of the most prominent Italian malariologists and later
author of a history of malaria in Italy (Celli 1933), and Francesco Genovese of
Caulonia, who had published a translation of the Ross, Jones, Ellett volume (with
Rome added to the title and a preface by Celli) (Jones 1908c). From Borneo Anton
Willem Nieuwenhuis (1864–1953), physician, anthropologist, and expedition
leader, wrote that malaria there had ‘‘the disintegrating effect which I [Jones]
assert it had among the Greeks’’ (Jones 1908b: 537). An American lawyer and
amateur historian resident in Capri, Thomas Spencer Jerome (1864–1914), directed
Jones to the substantial literature on post-febrile psychosis that had followed Emil
Krapelin’s pioneering paper in 1881, and Jones noted ‘‘cerebral’’ malarial symptoms
27 This is Jones’s most enthusiastic endorsement of a view he was not enthusiastic about. He suggested,
contra Ross, that darker-skinned peoples might have been less susceptible to malaria because they were
original inhabitants, and not, as Ross would have it, slaves (see Jones 1909a: 70). Jones to Ross, 2
September 1908, LSHTM, 89/12/32.
Malaria and the Decline of Ancient Greece 337
123
in the Hippocratic corpus.28 Other correspondents included the Oxford Roman
historian William Warde Fowler (1847–1921), a specialist on popular religion and
friend of Rouse, Otto Effertz, a Mexican vaccinator, who had insights into
population immunity, Professor Edson of Denver (presumably Carroll Edson,
professor of therapeutics at the University of Colorado), and three Greek
malariologists, Professors Constantine Savvas and Aristotle Kouzis of Athens and
Dr. J.P. Cardamatis, active in the Greek anti-malaria organization (Jones 1907,
vii).29 Thus within two years a Cambridge circle had become an international
network – all long before email or even air-mail.
But the core of the collaboration remained the complex friendship of Jones and
Ross. While they agreed that fuller recognition of malaria’s historical effects could
spur and guide malaria policy, each was asking particular disciplinary questions and
engaging in a distinct mode of knowledge-making. Malaria scientist Ross sought
general truths. He saw ancient Greece as a case study, one with world-historical
significance perhaps, but not otherwise singular. Jones was concerned with the
singular effect of presumed malaria, individually and collectively, on late fifth-
century Athenians. Effectively, for Ross Greece answered a malarial question; for
Jones, malaria answered a Greek question. Jones’s question was predicated on a
positive answer to Ross’s: only if malaria were in Greece could it have had its
effects. But it was far trickier. And Jones could help Ross far more than Ross could
help Jones.
In answering Ross’s question, the two were, in piecemeal fashion, employing a
hypothetico-deductive approach. Three principles regulated their reasoning. First
was uniformitarianism: read the past from the present, infer the effects of malaria in
antiquity from its effects in the modern world, since it was a universal physical
cause. No society where malaria was rife could ‘‘thrive,’’ Ross maintained, and
Jones agreed that the ‘‘inevitable consequences’’ of endemic malaria were ‘‘decline,
physical, intellectual, and moral.’’ Since Greece had once thrived (men with swollen
spleens could hardly have cultivated their bodies in gymnasia, Ross held) but no
longer did, one could, on the grounds that like effects have like causes, posit
malaria’s arrival as the cause of that change. The logic was not only orthodox
geological reasoning but an application of Occam’s razor, the principle of
explanatory parsimony (Ross in Jones 1907: 13; Jones 1909a: 52–53; Jones 1908a).
Second was the natural experiment of Mauritius. Not only did one know that
malarial regions did not thrive, one could show cause producing effect. In fact, the
example was more symbolic than substantive: Ross’s 1908 Mauritius field study
came too late to impact Jones’s work and was concerned more with morbidity and
mortality than with social, economic, or cultural effects. For Ross, however,
Mauritius offered a basis for calculating the likely rate of spread of malaria in
ancient Greece. On that basis he hypothesized that mid-fifth-century Athenian
military campaigns in Asia and Africa were its source. To the more cautious Jones,
Mauritius merely exemplified the fact of introduction in historical time.
28 Two decades later, Jones’s work would inform the principal British treatise on the subject, by the
Glasgow psychiatrist William Kirkpatrick Anderson (Anderson 1927).29 Jones to Ross, 3 November 1908, LSHTM 89/12/35.
338 C. Baron, C. Hamlin
123
Parsimonious actualism and the Mauritius analogy made malaria-as-cause-of-
Greek-decline a plausible working hypothesis. It supported a prediction: if malaria
were new to Greece, it would have left literary traces. Not only did Jones find
abundant allusions to malaria in the later fifth century, he found no hint of it in the
seventh-century writings of Hesiod, who hailed from Boeotia, a region that would
become heavily malarial. Apparently independently, Jones also discovered other
non-trivial malaria-related phenomena that Ross might have predicted: allusions to
swollen spleens and indications of malaria’s prominence among adults, suggestive
of its recency (Jones 1909a, vii). Subsequently, he would present further diagnostic
and geographic evidence – references to Anopheles-nurturing locales, for example.
From the standpoint of malarial science, the case was strong enough to warrant
tentative adoption of the hypothesis. Malaria was clearly present and apparently
new. Since multiple forms of decline were its ‘‘inevitable’’ consequence, these could
be assumed to have occurred, though how fully they accounted for Greek ‘‘decline’’
might not be clear. But for that, there was no obvious alternative hypothesis. The
later enthusiasm for the Ross-Jones hypothesis among social scientists, including
epidemiologists and geographers, likely reflects the fact that by their standards and
with regard to questions of regional change, it was good science. In letters to Ross,
the humanist Jones occasionally indulged in scientists’ terms – he claimed proof.
Convinced that malaria must have deleterious effects, Ross was little concerned
with details. Jones’s far more difficult problem was to apply the hypothesis to
particulars of Greek history. And while he gave lip service to economic and
demographic matters, where the impact of endemic disease would be less
controversial, he remained fascinated with how malaria changed how persons
thought and acted.30 His description of such changes would often be quoted.
It is surely not fanciful to trace to … [malaria] the subtle but unmistakable
change which came over the Greek character after the fifth, and to a greater
degree the fourth century …. Gradually the Greeks lost their brilliance ….
This is painfully obvious in their literature, if not in other forms of art. Their
initiative vanished; they ceased to create and began to comment. Patriotism,
with rare exceptions, became an empty name, for few had the high spirit and
energy to translate into action man’s duty to the state. Vacillation, indecision,
fitful outbursts of unhealthy activity followed by cowardly depression, selfish
cruelty and criminal weakness are characteristic of the public life of Greece
from the struggle with Macedonia to the final conquest by the arms of Rome.
(Jones 1909a: 101–102)
In trying to explain shifts in Athenian culture, Jones tackled the hardest end of the
problem, confronting the full spectrum of historical contingency. How could malaria
have been responsible for these changes? One way was through a learned ‘‘laziness.’’
Since exertion triggered relapses, persons in malarious regions became disinclined to
‘‘toil, either of body or of mind,’’ resulting in a general ‘‘lack of enterprise.’’ In turn,
30 In shorter presentations (e.g. 1908a) Jones alluded to demographic and economic effects. In his longest
and final treatment (Jones 1909a: 107–108) he simply incorporated these general statements, verbatim,
without comment. He was more interested in such factors in Roman history, where there was a more
ample historiography to support such inquiry (Jones 1909b).
Malaria and the Decline of Ancient Greece 339
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loss of ambition led to hedonism (and effeminacy), cowardice, and cruelty: thus ‘‘the
history of a malarious country will probably be marked by fitful efforts, begun under
the influence of excitement, pursued with no constancy or vigour, and often stained by
perfidy, deceit, blind folly and savage cruelty’’ (Jones 1909a: 92–94).
Admitting that these ‘‘moral faults’’ might have other causes, Jones turned to
direct mental symptoms of malaria – particularly melancholia. He argued that even
a few malarial melancholics might disrupt ‘‘healthy social life,’’ for (in Athens) so
much depended on the leadership of the ‘‘comparatively small number of men, who
met to discuss and transact the business of the city-state’’ (Jones 1909a: 100–102; cf.
Jones 1907: 45–46). Perhaps even within a generation, such a condition would
‘‘weaken the mental life of the whole community.’’ Children would learn from their
parents ‘‘habits of indecision, and … sink into pessimism, moroseness, ferocity and
other forms of psychic weakness.’’ Malaria also undermined the ability to respond to
other causes of degeneration. A ‘‘vigorous people’’ would ‘‘bravely cast aside worn-
out institutions; … [would] not yield to vicious habits, … [nor] calmly look on
while others succeed to their place’’ (Jones 1909a: 104–105).
Even under Ross’s influence, Jones did not see all malarial transformations as
unambiguous decline. Among elites, malarial malaise might have triggered the rise
of introspective philosophy, while fostering ‘‘degrading superstitions’’ among the
rest (Jones 1909a: 103–105). Malaria had perhaps improved the status of women, as
wives became nurses (Jones 1908a; cf. Jones 1909a: 123–126). But Jones was
understandably reluctant to specify how these mechanisms had operated in
particular cases. He was fighting a burden-of-proof battle. Malaria need not be
the explanation of first resort, but he hoped it would be included as an important
explanatory factor in the core questions of classical history, questions that were
ultimately biographical and existential: who were these ancient ones whose thoughts
and deeds were so striking? Only concede that malarial causation met the burden of
plausibility, and to exclude it from consideration would become as unacceptable as
including it had once been. Yet few would grant that indulgence.
The climax of the Jones-Ross collaboration was a January 1909 symposium at
Liverpool, jointly sponsored by the School of Tropical Medicine and the Liverpool
branch of the Classical Association, with Jones as main speaker (Fig. 2). This was
probably the first time Jones and Ross met in person. This symposium was less
interdisciplinary union than strategic alliance. Both the Classical Association
(created in 1903) and the new School represented marginal fields fighting for
recognition in curricula and in culture more generally (Stray 1992: 28–32).
Roughly a month later, Jones’s best known exposition, Malaria and Greek
History appeared, dedicated to Ross and published in the Manchester University
Historical Series. It included an essay on ‘‘Greek Therapeutics and Malaria Theory’’
by the Oxford medical historian Edward T. Withington, author of Medical History
from the Earliest Times (1894). The new book may not seem distinctively different
from his 1907 book, but Jones saw it as ‘‘evidence without any theorizing.’’ He
boasted of inspecting every extant source. He had been told that the case was now a
‘‘certainty.’’31
31 Jones to Ross, 31 October 1908, 3 November 1908, LSHTM, 89/12/34, 89/12/35. Cf. Jones (1909a, v).
340 C. Baron, C. Hamlin
123
But Jones was not making the argument usually attributed to him. At the end of
Malaria and Greek History he asserted unambiguously that malaria had not been
the cause of Greek decline, but merely an additional disturbing factor. Other factors
were political changes (unwise territorial ambition), religious changes (loss of
faith), cultural/economic changes (the coveting of luxury), war, and, finally, the
‘‘unnatural vice’’ (sometimes ‘‘prevalent among the Greeks to an almost incredible
extent’’).32 ‘‘It would be absurd to maintain that all these changes were produced by
malaria,’’ he had told readers of The Annals of Tropical Medicine, but surely their
effects had been ‘‘aided by …an insidious foe, which weakened the individual from
his birth, and left him an easier victim to the disintegrating forces of his
environment’’ (Jones 1907: 49–50, 53; Jones 1908b: 536–537). It would, he asserted
in Malaria and Greek History, ‘‘be a simple task to show how the imperfections of
the later Greeks, the decline in physical excellence, the lack of mental and moral
strength, even the depopulation of the country, can be accounted for by the wide
prevalence of malaria.’’ But he labeled ‘‘such … reasoning… fallacious in the
extreme.’’ Instead, malaria ‘‘was but one out of many causes, a single component of
a most complex whole’’ (Jones 1909a: 104–107 [authors’ italics]). In public Jones
had consistently been more circumspect than Ross; here, in what he saw as his final
statement, he was even more tentative in rejecting the position that would later be
attributed to him.
Fig. 2 Ticket to the Liverpool Symposium. LSHTM 89/13/12
32 Jones’s fascination with the role of male homosexuality is hard to miss. He could imagine no link
between malaria and homosexuality. Always it is an independent, and, to him, inexplicable aspect of
cultural contingency. He saw it as a weakness while acknowledging its importance: ‘‘It is hard not to
believe that much physical harm was caused thereby; of the loss to moral strength and vigour there is no
need to speak’’ (Jones 1909a: 103).
Malaria and the Decline of Ancient Greece 341
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That tentativeness was both strategic and a reflection of complications. Rome
supplied the latter. Already in the summer of 1907 Jones recognized that if malaria
had come early to Rome (e.g. in the third century BCE), as Ross’s Liverpool
classics colleague Herbert Augustus Strong thought possible, the problem arose of
how Greece could fall and Rome rise under the same causes. If true, their case was
‘‘weakened.’’ While Strong’s citations did not allow unambiguous diagnoses, they
led Jones to consider the complex interplay between malaria and culture.33 In
Greece, malaria had sapped ‘‘manly vigour and intellectual strength’’ and produced
a ‘‘weak and inefficient’’ individual subject to ‘‘hedonism, pessimism,’’ and
‘‘brooding.’’ But it had ‘‘turned the sterner Roman into a bloodthirsty brute’’ (Jones
1909b: 120; Jones 1907: 85).
Rhetorically, Jones could also take the high ground of cautious (indeed, virtually
vacuous) moderation, because he had found an authority more outrageous than he
(or Ross). This was the physician-iconoclast John Macculloch (1773–1835). Jones’s
fullest account of malaria’s psychosocial effects came as ten pages of block
quotations from Macculloch’s 1827 Essay on Malaria, the better known of his two
works on the subject. These appear tacked on near the end of Malaria and Greek
History; that Jones fails to integrate them suggests he had discovered Macculloch’s
work at a late stage. Relying on an 80-year-old work may seem odd, but
Macculloch, who had brought ‘‘malaria’’ into English as a disease name, was still
respected, though on epidemiological more than on clinical matters.34 Macculloch
had written at length on malaria’s psychological and sociological effects. These,
particularly in southern Italy, included ‘‘‘Abortion, infanticide, universal libertin-
ism, drunkenness, want of religion, [and] gross superstitions’,’’ as well as murder
(Jones 1909a: 117). Jones’s only comment was that Macculloch’s observations
reflected malaria’s ravages ‘‘before scientific treatment and [quinine] prophylaxis
came into vogue’’ and thus were relevant to ancient Greece. But Macculloch’s much
stronger malarial determinism made Jones look sober by comparison. Thus
Macculloch was doing the heavy lifting. Only admit a fraction of what he claimed,
and malaria’s importance as historical agent would be undeniable.
Consistently, then, Jones had claimed that
• The changes in Greece after 400 BCE were not uniformly or unambiguously
‘‘decline’’
• Malaria was not necessarily a newcomer to Greece in the mid-fifth century
• Malaria was not the cause of change, or even necessarily the most important of
many causes.
33 Jones to Ross, 6, 9 June 1907, LSHTM 89/12/9-10. Strong believed malaria was in Rome roughly two
centuries before references to quartans and tertians. See Manton (1976).34 Macculloch’s subsequent work (1828) would have given Jones even more ammunition had he
consulted it. On Macculloch see Bruce-Chwatt (1977); Hamlin (2014: 206–249). A likely conduit is
Nuttall, whose review of the mosquito hypothesis (Nuttall 1900) mentioned Macculloch, but drew heavily
on the (1883) paper of A.F.A. King, for which Macculloch had been a major source.
342 C. Baron, C. Hamlin
123
The Historians’ Response: Explanans and Explanandum
Jones’s ‘‘brilliant studies’’ would launch ‘‘a new era in the study of … antiquity,’’
declared one early American commentator: ‘‘no longer’’ would it be possible to
ignore malaria, either in explaining depopulation or the ‘‘change in the character of
much of the life and thought in the ancient world’’ (Van Buren 1912–1913: 337).
Not so. Jones would be both dismissed and misread, saddled with the very view
he had called ‘‘fallacious in the extreme.’’ But even sympathizers rarely engaged
with his work or took up the campaign to include biological factors in accounting
for social and cultural changes. The Ross-Jones thesis had implications far beyond
ancient history. It raised more general questions of how historians should
incorporate malaria and endemic diseases in their accounts, and a host of meta-
issues: the inclusion of scientific reasoning in historical inference, default
explanatory assumptions, and the sensitivity of historical accounts to spatial and
temporal scale.
All these are evident in the first brief Times Literary Supplement review
(anonymous, but in fact by the archeologist David George Hogarth, then of the
British School in Athens and subsequently keeper of the Ashmolean) and the brief
controversy that ensued. Hogarth held that Jones had not established anything: a
plausible speculation remained that. The textual references were insufficient.35 Only
an explicit recognition of endemic malaria, ideally by lay writers, would have
sufficed – and beyond a single passage from the comic poet Aristophanes, there was
none. The extrapolations from malarial science were merely tendentious. Hogarth
misread Jones as a reductionist, as seeking to explain racial decline not cultural
change, and as claiming that Athens had been stricken by epidemic malaria. In any
case, the events needed no ulterior explanation. With the main thesis exploded, the
extensions were easy targets. That malaria might have improved the status of
women was risible. Hogarth admitted that malaria had existed in ancient Greece but
granted it no historical significance ([Hogarth] 1909a).
Very likely it was Hogarth’s review that led Jones to abandon the campaign to
join biology and classical history.36 His letters in the weeks following its appearance
mingle pain, humiliation, disappointment, outrage, and the vain hope that Ross
could somehow fix things.37 He represented himself as martyr to Clio. ‘‘Not only do
I suffer, but the cause of history receives a serious blow.’’ He hoped ‘‘the
physicians’’ would rise against this ‘‘narrow-minded’’ ‘‘scholar,’’ ignorant both of
disease and its history. He composed and had printed a long rejoinder which TLS did
not publish, but got Ross to write a short, sober one, reasserting that the thesis was
founded on convergent arguments – ‘‘medical’’ (Mauritius) and ‘‘historical.’’38 Ross
represented Jones’s work as hypothesis-testing and, while admitting his own
35 For a recent evaluation of the philological component of Jones’s argument and how his
‘‘methodological and … ideological presuppositions’’ affected it, see van der Eijk (2014: 115–117).36 van der Eijk (2014: 114) notes the persistence of the malaria hypothesis in Jones’s later works. But the
interdisciplinary project ended in 1909.37 Jones to Ross, April 10, 12, 13, 14 (two letters), 15, 21, 24, 25, 1909, LSHTM 89/12/52-61.38 Jones to Ross, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 21 April 1909; LSHTM 89/12/52-59.
Malaria and the Decline of Ancient Greece 343
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inability to assess its scholarly quality, thought Jones had presented a ‘‘considerable
body of evidence.’’ And he represented ancient Greece as an instance of a larger
historical phenomenon: the largely invisible effects of the ‘‘great endemic diseases
on the history of nations, and indeed, of species’’ (Ross 1909b).
In his response, printed in the following week’s TLS, Hogarth rejected general
forms of evidence. Modern Mauritius (or Scotland, a hypothetical Ross had thrown
in) had nothing to do with ancient Greece. Switching to an argument that would
frequently complicate the reception of Jones’s views, Hogarth questioned whether
Greece had declined – certainly not, he said, if one included the rise of Alexander
and the philosophy of the fourth century. If Ross wanted to ply his malarial
explanation, Crete, site of rapid and unexplained decline, would be a better choice.
But ultimately at issue was disciplinary imperialism: ‘‘If ancient history is to be
rewritten according to biological inferences, may she meekly ask that biology
reciprocate by accepting historical evidence? Biological textbooks would become
very interesting and entertaining if they included as facts all the remarkable physical
features of ancient human life which rest on very fair historical evidence’’
([Hogarth] 1909b).
The following week, Jones finally got in a riposte (1909c). He pointed out that
any reviewer who had read his book with care would know that, following the
ancient geographer Strabo, Jones had declared Alexandria malaria-free — thus
nullifying Hogarth’s attempt to point to the flourishing city (founded in 331 BCE) as
evidence of non-decline. Jones held (disingenuously) that his book was not mainly
about fourth-century Greece but about the history of malaria, and protested being
pigeonholed: ‘‘why does your reviewer think I am bound to assume that every
decline that has taken place in Greece is due to malaria?’’
But other early reviews of Malaria and Greek History in America and France
similarly failed to recognize that Jones was merely making malaria one factor
among several responsible for the decline of Greece (Ferguson 1909; Glotz 1910:
347). Jones protested the misreading in a letter published in the June 1910 Classical
Review. ‘‘In reply to many reviewers,’’ he began, ‘‘I should like to state … that I do
not hold that malaria caused the decline of Greece or of Rome.’’ He then asserted
two axioms: first, that ‘‘Endemic malaria does serious harm,’’ and second that
‘‘Malaria was not a static factor in ancient history.’’ He then alluded to evidence
from ancient Latium, from contemporary southern Italy, and to Hippocratic
passages suggesting that malaria affected dark-haired peoples less than fair-haired.
He concluded by reiterating the invitation he and Ellett had made three years before:
‘‘further research … would bring out some interesting results’’; he would be happy
to help and coordinate (Jones 1910).
While Jones’s two books had made little dent on classicists, readers concerned
with global malaria were more enthusiastic. R.T. Hewlett, who reviewed both books
for Nature, saw that Jones was not claiming malaria as a sole cause and found the
argument both plausible and as well-developed as it could be ([Hewlett] 1908;
1909). More importantly, Jones’s hypothesis became the exemplar of a critique of
historians’ narrow-mindedness made by the American geographer Ellsworth
Huntington in a December 1910 presentation on ‘‘The Burial of Olympia’’ at the
Geographical Society. Returning from central Asia, whose ‘‘pulse’’ he had famously
344 C. Baron, C. Hamlin
123
taken, Huntington had visited Greece. He, like Ross, saw degeneration from ancient
glory, though as deforestation not disease.
Huntington ended by urging historians to expand their scope to account for such
changes, by embracing all of the five large domains of human experience: the
‘‘political,’’ ‘‘psychological,’’ ‘‘economic,’’ ‘‘geographical,’’ and ‘‘pathological.’’
That all these were active (and interactive) in the fate of ancient Greece should be
self-evident. Preoccupation with the political (and psychological) was merely the
species-bias of an introspective story-telling animal. Oblivious to Jones’s struggles,
Huntington acquitted historians of blame for that narrowness. Economists were
taking the lead; geographers and ‘‘pathologists’’ should follow (Huntington 1910).
Ross and Jones had done precisely what should be done. Historians might check
the plausibility of the thesis by appealing to those who had suffered from malaria or
‘‘every traveler who has seen much of the Orient,’’ or to ‘‘physicians.’’ They would
learn that ‘‘initiative or energy’’ could not be expected where ‘‘the majority’’ were
‘‘permanently devitalized by this baneful disease,’’ whose psychological effects
were culturally specific. Those Jones had found – effeminacy in Greece and
brutality in Rome – were ‘‘just the effects which would have been produced by
malaria upon people of the temperaments of the two races.’’ Huntington saw Jones’s
discovery of malaria’s propensity to strike adults as convincing evidence of its
novelty. Of course other factors were involved. Yet one could ‘‘scarcely resist the
conclusion that … malaria must have had an important place in the psychological
changes which accompanied the decline of civilization and population in both
Greece and Rome.’’ Huntington also refined the claims. He was not convinced that
Jones and Ross had explained malaria’s onset, which he attributed to postglacial
climatic change in the seasonality of rainfall, producing the fishless, drying puddles
ideal for Anopheline breeding (Huntington 1910: 670–675).
Appearing within one year of Jones’s book, the pieces by Hogarth and
Huntington mark the poles of nearly all subsequent response to his hypothesis. It is
fair to say the substantive matter – malaria’s actual role in ancient Greece – rarely
surfaced, falling victim to disciplinary defensiveness, conflicting habits of
reasoning, or differing views of burden of proof. Because he demanded ‘‘positive
evidence,’’ Hogarth might have read more sympathetically and still concluded that
Jones was dealing with inherently inaccessible matters. While he did not claim that
the contents of texts exhausted what could be known, he sharply distinguished
textual testimony from ‘‘speculation.’’ He and Jones were disagreeing too about
what needed explaining and what constituted explanation. Though Hogarth (and
many successors) were ambivalent about whether fourth-century Greece had
declined or flourished, he (and they) often treated whatever had happened as already
explained. Often ineffable ‘‘culture’’ would serve as its own cause. By contrast,
Ross and Jones, with an explanation in hand, assumed that change – of culture or
anything else – required cause: Greece did not simply fall, it was pushed.
In fact, a key problem in assessing the thesis was ambiguity about the so-called
‘‘decline of Greece’’ that it purported to explain. Initially Ross (and Jones) had been
concerned with the ‘‘fact’’ of an essentially unreversed decline from the late fifth
through the first century, measured by military and economic decline. But while
Malaria and the Decline of Ancient Greece 345
123
Ross (and Huntington) remained concerned with that long period, Jones and most
classicists focused on its beginning, the ambiguous changes around 400 BCE.
Like Hogarth, scholars were becoming increasingly reluctant to diagnose
comprehensive decline for this earlier period. Two examples should suffice, both
major historians of the ancient Greek world. John Bagnall Bury, Regius professor of
modern history at Cambridge from 1902 to his death in 1927, first published his
history of ancient Greece in 1900, later editions of which were still being used as
textbooks in the 1980s. Bury, like Jones a few years later, highlighted growing
individualism in fourth-century Athens. To Bury, however, this was positive.
The individual citizen no longer looks at the outside world through the
medium of his city, but regards it directly, as it were, with his own eyes and in
its bearings on him individually…. And since his own life has thus become for
him something independent of the city, his attitude to the city itself is
transformed. The citizen of Athens has become a citizen of the world. His duty
to his country may conflict with his duty to himself as a man; and thus
patriotism ceases to be unconditionally the highest virtue. Again, men begin to
put to themselves, more or less explicitly, the question, whether the state is not
made for the individual and not the individual for the state—a complete
reversal of the old unquestioning submission to the authority of the social
organism. (Bury 1913: 560–561)
The decline of ‘‘patriotism’’ in fourth-century Athens which Jones ascribed to a
debilitating physiological and moral condition was, for Bury, an intellectual and
moral achievement, a rejection of ‘‘unquestioning submission to authority’’ in favor
of a man’s ‘‘duty to himself.’’
Mikhail Rostovtzeff, best known as author of multi-volume overviews of the
social and economic history of the Hellenistic world (1941) and the Roman Empire
(1957) took a similar stance. In an earlier work, based on lectures in 1921–1923,
Rostovtzeff, like Jones, noted a growing disunity in fourth-century Greece, leading
to military weakness, and reflecting declining participation in its fundamental
political and social institution, the polis (Rostovtzeff 1930: 314–321). But
Rostovtzeff identified no particular cause. Democracy (whose levelling tendencies
looked to him like socialism) contributed, but oligarchy and tyranny per
definitionem were no better equipped to stoke citizen interest in self-governance.
However, notwithstanding ‘‘weakness and anarchy’’ in political life, he found
energy, invention, and a flourishing economy: ‘‘the Greek world was never so rich
as [in the fourth century], whether in Greece proper, Asia Minor, and the Black Sea,
or in Italy, Sicily, Gaul, and Spain’’ (Rostovtzeff 1930: 319). Artistic and
intellectual endeavors had thrived, too:
On the whole, the fourth century was a worthy successor of the fifth. The
creative power of the Greek people was as strong as ever. It grew and
flourished, conquering one new domain after another and attaining in some of
them the same perfection that stamps the literature and art of the preceding
century. (Rostovtzeff 1930: 319)
346 C. Baron, C. Hamlin
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This is a far cry from the lethargy and disillusionment one might expect from a
malaria-ridden region. Rostovtzeff ignored malaria, along with disease generally.
Even those who admitted a fourth-century decline usually ignored the malaria
thesis. An examination of general overviews of Greek history in the four major
languages of classical scholarship during the 1920s and 1930s reveals few mentions
of Jones’s research or malaria. An exception is George Willis Botsford’s Hellenic
History (1922, with four revised editions through the 1970s). Botsford painted a
bleak picture of Athens after Spartan victory in the Peloponnesian War, due to loss
of soil productivity and labor, and weakened finance from the dismantling of
Athens’ overseas empire. His first edition (but not later ones) cited Jones: ‘‘it is
probable that the spread of malaria from the neglected fields militated against racial
vitality’’ (Botsford 1922: 401).39 But Botsford’s depiction of economic and political
affairs in the fourth and third centuries was hardly one of unreversed decline.
Athens recovered, spurred by renewed industry and efforts in farming, commerce,
and manufacture. He acknowledged declining Athenian political participation and,
like Jones, attributed it to growing individualism and ‘‘the aversion of cultured
citizens from military life’’ – but not to the ulterior factor of malaria (Botsford 1922:
414–415).40
A few years later Cyril E. Robinson, in his textbook History of Greece, treated an
early fourth-century ‘‘era of decadence’’ in Athens as a matter of fact, and began a
discussion of its causes by noting the plausibility of the suggestion that ‘‘the decline
of the Greeks in the Fourth Century may have been attributable in part to the spread
of malaria’’ (Robinson 1929: 254). He then summarizes Jones’s arguments without
naming him. But in his subsequent treatment Robinson points to economic and
psychological causes, finding the biggest culprit in the teaching of the Sophists:
their individualism turned men inward and away from their duty to the state
(Robinson 1929: 255–257).
If this individualism required causes, increasingly these were institutional. M.W.
Laistner, writing in 1932, asserted that the ‘‘weakness of the Athenian democracy in
the [fourth] century was the result largely of economic conditions’’ and a few lines
later noted the growing political and military apathy in Athens, ‘‘the most serious
indictment that can be brought against the ordinary citizen.’’ But this too was
couched in the larger framework of economic issues; there is no hint of moral decay
(Laistner 1932: 336). Considering ‘‘the end of the Greek city’’ two decades earlier,
Eugene Cavaignac had blamed individualism (especially concerning land owner-
ship) as the biggest threat to the polis, but then sought an institutional explanation
for why the polis had been so instable, appealing ultimately to ‘‘profound tendencies
of the Greek mind’’ (Cavaignac 1913: 378).
Elsewhere too, the diagnosis of some failure of the will, often expressed in terms
similar to Jones’s, is ascribed to grand impersonal forces. Describing ‘‘the
39 Botsford lists Malaria and Greek History in the further reading after the first chapter, and includes
malaria as one cause of decline in the book’s concluding paragraph (473).40 Like Ross, Botsford saw Greece’s problems largely in racial terms, and a strong Orientalist attitude
runs deep in his history. Interestingly, a reviewer of the first edition implies that he should have given
Jones’s hypothesis fuller consideration, noting that Botsford ‘‘is lukewarm in regard to the theory of Jones
… that malaria had a marked effect on the racial vitality of Greece’’ (Hyde 1923: 126).
Malaria and the Decline of Ancient Greece 347
123
weakening of public spirit’’ in the Greek city of the fourth century, Maurice Croiset
wrote that ‘‘strong and firm resolutions now give way to hesitation, indecision,
discouragement, and, consequently, disagreement…. A certain languor, quite
natural after so much fighting and destruction, invades the soul of the people’’
(Croiset 1925: 160–161). Desire for peace had destroyed the steadfast and clear-
headed resolve of the people. Malaria could cause such languor, Jones knew. Did
warfare have a similar ‘‘natural’’ effect? To Croiset, however, an economic recovery
incompatible with malaria had contributed to the neglect of public duties by
allowing men to enjoy more fully the pleasures of peace (Croiset 1925: 161).
Like Croiset, Gustave Glotz, still one of the best-known scholars of the ancient
Greek city and economy, viewed the fourth century largely as a period of decline for
the polis. His language, too, echoes Jones. ‘‘Never again, after 404, did the moral
atmosphere in Greece become what it had been before. An invasive egoism came to
corrupt public and private morals’’ (Glotz and Cohen 1936: 3). But he then notes
advances during this same period, including improvements in the monetary
economy (especially at Athens) and in agriculture. Overall Glotz presents a nuanced
image of decline, explained by warfare, economic and political policies, and
intellectual developments.41 As with other scholars, Glotz blames individualism for
the lack of concern among all classes for the welfare of the city and for the general
unwillingness to devote oneself to the public good. But here, too, Glotz appeals to
economics.
Jones’s works do not appear in Glotz’s bibliography to La cite grecque, though it
includes a good deal of English-language scholarship from the period. In just over
100 pages given to the decline of the Greek city in the fourth century, there is not a
single mention of malaria, or disease in general (Glotz 1928: 345–448). Not only
had Jones failed to leave his mark on classicists and ancient historians, but the
whole realm of health and disease was ignored, even by scholars whose framework
was largely economic and social.42
By the 1970s, the traditional narrative of Greek decline had been flushed from
mainstream scholarship. Since then, scholars have gone to great lengths to show that
the Greek polis remained vital even after the Macedonian conquests of the fourth
century (Billows 2003; Gruen 1993). One now uses value-neutral terms to describe
changes in societal structures and the individual’s place in the world, vis-a-vis his or
her fellow humans or the gods, rather than ‘‘decadence’’ or ‘‘decline.’’ Jones’s
‘‘inferences about social, moral and economic decline … appear naıve to a modern
public’’ and ‘‘are based on outmoded racial and social premises’’ (Borza 1979:
41 Glotz develops this picture further elsewhere, in Part Three (‘‘the city in decline’’) of La cite grecque
(Glotz 1928: 345–448).42 One other notable example: A.W. Gomme makes only two passing references to ‘‘medical science’’
(Gomme 1933: 48, 79) and none to malaria. He concluded that the Athenian population increased
between 400 and 320. Curiously, and apparently independently of Jones’s writings, a similar argument
about malaria and decline, with references to other supporting work, appears in a 1933 French medical
thesis (Belios 1933).
348 C. Baron, C. Hamlin
123
105).43 And the literature and art of the Hellenistic period (not to mention the fourth
century) is more carefully and sensitively treated, viewed not as a baroque,
degenerate afterimage of classical purity, but as informed by and reacting to the new
world created by Alexander’s conquests (Pollitt 1986).
Whatever its merits, Jones’s hypothesis faced changing explanatory conventions.
Economic (and social) factors, as Huntington presciently recognized, were
becoming important to historians reckoning with industrialism and Marx. The
Edwardian imperialism of Jones and Ross was giving way to the ambivalent
introspective individualism that would flourish in the age of Freud. Croiset’s appeal
to the exhaustion of the Peloponnesian war to explain the Athenians’ rejection of the
civic expressed as well the mood of Paris in 1922: ‘‘Above all they want peace,
which thereafter seems to the majority of them the greatest of all blessings; it is
peace which they wish to preserve at any price, even to the extent of closing their
eyes to more or less imminent dangers’’ (Croiset 1925: 161). Perhaps the non-
judgmental celebration of the polis reflects the toleration and communitarianism of
more recent times. But nowhere amongst these explanatory options had there been
room for pathological explanans.
The Malariological Response
While Jones’s ideas were becoming less truth-like for historians, they were
becoming more so for malariologists – not a happy prospect if we expect
interdisciplinarity to bring convergence. Generally, malaria experts approached the
Jones thesis as a matter for refinement not refutation. In broad terms, their approach
was Ross’s: to apply general knowledge to particular cases. Collectively, the new
and varied post-Ross approaches to malaria – epidemiological, parasitological,
immunological, ecological, eradicationist, and finally genomic – have made his
single-invasion view less likely, and Jones’s local surge notion more so. Malarial
outbreaks, as noted in a recent summary, ‘‘can only be really understood by micro-
analyses, conducted at a very local level, of geography, hydrology, climate,
competition between different species of mosquito for breeding sites, and human
activities’’ (Sallares et al. 2004: 312). They are local and transitory, matters of here
and there, now and then. But vastly greater knowledge has brought less certainty,
and Jones’s great idea is probably forever condemned to the limbo of plausibility.
Very likely malaria did affect ancient Greek history in important ways, but the
complexity of those effects precludes precision on individual cases, like late fifth-
century Athens.
There were many sources of complexity. First, malaria was not one but many
diseases. The malaria one lived with (the milder, but recurrent and debilitating
vivax) differed from the deadlier falciparum malaria that killed children. (Ross had
found both in Boeotia.) Second, there might be natural long-term waves in malarial
43 For the new attitude, see Paul Cartledge’s introduction to Cartledge et al. (1997); Giovannini (1993);
Mikalson (2006: 218–220). Emily Mackil’s investigation of settlement abandonment in Hellenistic
Greece (Mackil 2004) exemplifies a more nuanced approach to ‘‘decline.’’
Malaria and the Decline of Ancient Greece 349
123
intensity, or so argued the eminent malaria scientist Angelo Celli in a 1925 longue
duree history of malaria in the Roman Campagna, the most important comple-
mentary work to Jones’s studies of Greece. Though Celli thought Jones had
overstated his case – at least for Rome – he agreed that malaria was responsible for
‘‘ruining mental energy and moral determination’’ and that it had had momentous
effects, including the rise of the latifundia: small landholders could not make it in
malarial regions (Celli 1933: 5–10).
A decade later, Lewis Hackett, the Rome-based head of the Rockefeller
Foundation’s European malaria-eradication program, highlighted ecological distur-
bances of a human-malaria ‘‘equilibrium.’’ The First World War was one such.
Malaria overwhelmed armies on the Macedonian front and had briefly spread to
remote and normally non-malarial places (as far north as Archangel). Doubtless, the
human past had been full of such ‘‘localized’’ outbreaks. Each, ‘‘like a storm of
limited extent but devastating character,’’ was a ‘‘disturbance in the intricate and
age-old balance of man’s environment.’’ Their causes were so ‘‘inconceivably
complicated’’ that any ‘‘simple explanation’’ was usually wrong. But the best
knowledge of such events came from ‘‘Greece and Rome where history is oldest and
most precise,’’ that is, from Celli and Jones (Hackett 1937, xi–xv, 1–5).
Writing in 1980, Hackett’s successors, the WHO malariologists Leonard Jan
Bruce-Chwatt and Julian Zulueta, held that much greater awareness of the habitats
of newly discriminated Anopheline species, of their varying host preferences, larval
predators, and plasmodium-transporting competence, were significant factors as
were the differing strains of plasmodia. They took seriously Jones’s ‘‘masterly
study,’’ especially his philological achievement. They accepted that Greece had
declined over several centuries following the Peloponnesian war, but acknowledged
anomalies, particularly those noted by Brunt and Braudel, who had pointed out that
malaria had not prevented great military undertakings (Bruce-Chwatt and Zulueta
1980: 17, 33–34).44 Like Huntington and Macculloch they focused on alluvial
aggradation, mainly from 300–100 BCE. It had created prime habitat for the most
important of the Greek Anopheline vectors, A sacharoviae and A lanbranchiae.
Coastal trade would then have allowed repeated reintroductions (Bruce-Chwatt and
Zulueta 1980: 21–26).
Bruce-Chwatt and Zulueta, like Hackett before them, could admire Jones’s work
without committing to the Ross-Jones thesis. That malaria might have been in
Greece before 500 made no difference since its effects were local and transitory.
Equally, it was ‘‘a moot point’’ whether it had been ‘‘the main factor of the decay of
Greek civilization’’ (Bruce-Chwatt and Zulueta 1980: 34). They understood
contingency and complexity in the relations between plasmodium and society.
From the 1920s, however, some began to reject the Ross-Jones thesis (in fact
Ross’s version) due to its political implications. Ross had wanted to treat malaria as
an independent variable: it caused decline. But blaming nature absolved govern-
ments of responsibility in the creation or toleration of plasmodium-facilitating
institutions. Jones had been comfortable with complex causal reciprocity:
44 They noted, too, the unenthusiastic reception by historians and hoped William McNeill’s recent
Plagues and Peoples (1976) would change that.
350 C. Baron, C. Hamlin
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abandonment of farmland in Attica during the Decelean war had allowed malaria to
flourish and had helped catalyze subtle cultural changes. But he would be branded
with the Ross position by those for whom a malarial explanation of regional
backwardness was the antithesis to recognition of structural injustices.45
Holding such a view was the most influential medical historian who might have
sympathized, Erwin Ackerknecht. To his magisterial 1945 study on the disappear-
ance of malaria in the upper Mississippi basin, Ackerknecht had appended ‘‘Some
Remarks on Malaria and History.’’ History made malaria, not the reverse, he held.
Yet the ‘‘highly artificial’’ and ‘‘monistic’’ theories of Ross, Jones, and Celli had
invidiously become textbook truths. Perhaps malaria had impeded settlement in
America, but it had yielded to economic institutions (full return on one’s labor), to
culture, and to sheer cussedness. Even ‘‘disregard for human life,’’ evident in
lynching and in the ‘‘barbaric’’ birthing practices of the European pioneers, had
been factors. The shaking of revivalist religiosity might symbolize the overcoming
of malaria, while malaria-associated indolence might be interpreted as cause rather
than effect. Ackerknecht was speculating, but his point was that malaria did not
dictate the human response to it. Returning to the question of ancient Greek malaria
two decades later, he suggested that agricultural deterioration had been the main
factor, overlooking the fact that the malarial monist Jones had said the same thing
(Ackerknecht 1945: 131–133; Ackerknecht 1965: 89; Rosenberg 2007).46
That the findings of successive generations of malaria biologists have sometimes
converged with Jones’s insights does not mean that the classicist’s questions were
high on any scientific agenda, or that the growth of knowledge will automatically
answer all the questions scholars ask. Rather, in malariology as in other sciences,
methods privileged questions. Beginning in the 1950s many of these were genomic:
recognition of the sickle cell mutation helped explain long-recognized racial or
regional differences in susceptibility. Later, it, along with thalassemia-related genes
and the G6PD gene, would allow molecular population geneticists to reconstruct the
movements of malaria-challenged populations.47 On that basis Robert Sallares, the
rare expert in genomics and classics, suggests that falciparum malaria was in
Greece long before 500 BCE, and thus that the Jones (or rather the Ross) hypothesis
might be ‘‘dismissed’’ (Sallares 2002: 23).48
45 See e.g. Hackett (1937, xvi); Evans (1989) (thanks to Ann Carmichael for this reference). The
sharpness of the divide reflects a political split in Italian anti-malaria policy: see Snowden (2006).46 Tensions persist. The anthropologist Peter J. Brown argues that the ‘‘MBD’’ (Malaria Blocks
Development) model deflects attention from exploitative land tenure, yet eradicationist campaigns based
on DDT and more recently bed nets remain the main approach to breaking the disease-poverty cycle
without recourse to profound political change (Brown 1987; Brown 1997).47 For an early review, see the medical anthropologist Carol Laderman (1975). More recently see e.g.
Sallares et al. (2004: 311).48 Here and in his earlier work, Sallares reads Jones as heavily reductionist. Thus, he describes Jones as
having ‘‘invoked malaria as a deus ex machina to explain the decline of ancient Greece’’ (Sallares 1991:
271). He does proceed to examine the hypothesis in more detail, ultimately concluding that the evidence
speaks against it (278–281). In 2004, the wording is slightly more reflective of Jones’s actual argument:
‘‘his view that malaria was a major reason for the degeneration of the moral character of the ancient
Greeks…’’ (Sallares et al. 2004: 311).
Malaria and the Decline of Ancient Greece 351
123
What once was only qualitative can now be quantitative, Sallares et al. (2004)
recognize, but Jones’s problem was qualitative, defiantly humanistic. Not popula-
tions, plasmodia, mosquitoes, or genes, but persons interested him. His fixation on
‘‘character’’ would be dismissed as outdated and judgmental. Yet it was merely an
inquiry into malaria’s clinical sequelae, which included physical and psychic
exhaustion. After the Second World War, interest in clinical aspects of malaria
would recede as new anti-malarials became available. ‘‘Malaria cachexia,’’ a term
that had once comprehended the panoply of psychosocial symptoms, would be
replaced by the narrower ‘‘cerebral malaria,’’ a rare form of falciparum infection.49
Accepting the revelations of genomics leaves us in the odd position of admitting
malaria’s presence in ancient Greece, yet allowing it no effect on ancient society.
‘‘The Movement to Connect History with Biology’’50
Ross and Jones badly wanted to bring biology into history. In his Oxford address
Ross had challenged historians: malaria and other parasitic diseases had ‘‘modified
history to a much greater extent than we conceive’’; historians (and economists) had
irresponsibly neglected such endemic diseases (Ross 1909a: 707).51 He expanded on
the point in 1907:
The student of biology is often struck with the feeling that historians, when
dealing with the rise and fall of nations, do not generally view the phenomena
from a sufficiently high biological standpoint. … They seem to attach too
much importance to individual rulers and soldiers, and to particular wars,
policies, religions, and customs; while at the same time they make little
attempt to extract the fundamental causes of national success or failure. (Ross
in Jones 1907: 1–2)
These fundamental causes were ‘‘sociological’’ – i.e. ‘‘ecological.’’ Jones agreed.
He worried in spring 1909 that his own failure to make a stronger case had doomed
consideration of malaria’s enormous role in history.52
As we have seen, he was right to worry. Generally the response to Jones has not
been to reinterpret malaria’s role, but to ignore it. Paul Burke began a review on
malaria in antiquity by dismissing the question: ‘‘The sparseness and the ambiguous
nature of ancient references to fevers … combined with the necessarily inferential
nature of conclusions to be reached, is presumably one of the reasons why the major
modern historians of Classical antiquity leave the question of the role of disease in
ancient life almost entirely alone’’ (Burke 1996: 2252–2253). Burke was not
denying the presence of disease, but merely disciplining a discipline. ‘‘Major’’
historians evidently knew enough to concentrate on soluble questions.
49 Curiously, Jones and Ross do not use the term, but they certainly invoke its legacy. See James (1905);
Stratman-Thomas (1941: 187–189). For modern views of cerebral malaria, see Gay et al. (2012).50 Jones to Ross, 16 October 1907, LSHTM, 89/12/28.51 The Smithsonian version erroneously uses ‘‘epidemic’’ twice.52 Jones to Ross, 15, 21 April 1909, LSHTM 89/12/57, 59.
352 C. Baron, C. Hamlin
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Often that caution has been justified, and the historian has been the voice of
sobriety, reminding us of how little we actually know. If changing biological
theories are themselves properly a subject of history, to found historical knowledge
on them would be unwise indeed. Unfortunately that has often been done –
History’s own history is littered with enlistments of bad biology, e.g., racism, social
Darwinism, geographic determinism, and eugenics. A half century after Jones, in
‘‘The Next Assignment,’’ the 1957 presidential address to the American Historical
Association, the eminent Harvard historian William L. Langer repeated Ross’s call
to bring biology into history. ‘‘Buried in their own conservatism,’’ historians were
failing to open ‘‘new horizons as our cousins in the natural sciences are constantly
doing,’’ he complained (Langer 1957). For Langer, these new horizons came from
psychoanalysis, then well accepted, just as malariology had been in 1907. Langer,
who accurately summarized Jones’s argument, was particularly interested in
traumas induced by deadly epidemics. Plague psychology might even help us
understand Luther’s tormented mind.53
While the decline of psycho-history surely reflects the decline of Freud’s
authority, it may also reflect historians’ unease with the kinds of explanation it
offered. The Jones controversy too exposes tensions within interdisciplinary
epistemology. One concerns the sacrifice of professional judgment. Early on, Jones,
struggling to convince classicists of malaria’s ‘‘devastating effects….upon charac-
ter,’’ made the same appeal Huntington would make. Doubters should consult the
tropical diseases specialist or malarial recoveree (Jones 1907: 54). But such appeals
to external authority undermine disciplinary identity and integrity – surely a mature
classicist should not jettison customary knowledge-making practices for every
neophyte with extra-disciplinary fantasies?
Despite profound differences in disciplinary agendas, the humanist Jones and the
scientist Ross managed to work together because they were using the same kinds of
evidence in the same sorts of ways. Allusions to seasonal periodic fevers, enlarged
spleens, or disturbed drainage suggested malaria. The contemporary historian, by
contrast, is rarely equipped to collect, much less interpret, genetic data or
discriminate mosquito species. The historian must trust pronouncements made by
non-historians using alien methods.
Why then the abandonment of Jones, in his day and our own? We suggest two
factors.
First is inability to assess the subclinical. Epidemics, distinct events that horrified
those who experienced them, have been easy to accommodate into historical
narratives.54 The morbidity of invisible endemic disease, a quotidian pathology in
more ways than one, is less easy to accommodate.55 Untrained as diagnosticians,
wary of stereotyping, historians have had no real option other than assuming a
common state of psychic and biotic integrity among those we study.
53 Langer ranged even further afield. His conclusion – ‘‘we may, for all we know, be on the threshold of a
new era when the historian will have to think in ever larger, perhaps even in cosmic, terms’’ – referred not
to the Anthropocene, but to sunspot cycles.54 Still, we should not assume that epidemics are uniformly recorded. The obliviousness of the
Hippocratic writers to the plague of Athens is a case in point (Nutton 2000).55 Morbidity itself is problematic (Riley 1997: 1–2).
Malaria and the Decline of Ancient Greece 353
123
Second are malaria’s anarchic implications. Malaria disrupted cultural stability,
Jones argued, but did so in ways that were both varied and insidious. It affected
Greece differently than Rome. While cultural change had other causes, Jones held,
few of these could be taken as wholly extra-malarial, since malaria operated directly
on central elements of human agency. Admit malaria on Jones’s terms, and it could
displace all other forms of historical accountability. Thus, Burke’s admonition not
to stray from texts to the plasmodia-filled bodies of their authors.
Can we do better? While few classical historians other than those focusing
specifically on health, medicine, or the environment consider malaria (Hughes 2014:
199–200), in recent decades an interdisciplinary enterprise of paleopathology,
drawing on fields ranging from genomics to archaeology, has made it possible at
least to demonstrate its presence in ancient Greece far more confidently than Ross
and Jones could do (Grauer 2012). That enterprise is predicated on the actualism of
Jones and Ross: modern malaria is the guide to past malaria. And yet modern paleo-
malariologists have been reluctant to embrace the full range of implications of that
stance: the complex cultural aspects of malaria remain a no-man’s land between
disciplines, a domain some may recognize but which most hesitate to enter. The
literature review in a recent dissertation on malaria in prehistoric Greece is
illustrative. A short section on ‘‘social and economic effects’’ (Morgan-Forster
2010: 44–48) includes allusions to Jeffrey Sachs, development economist, bed-net
crusader, and most prominent contemporary advocate of the MBD hypothesis, and
quotations from Jones, Macculloch, and Ross to illustrate mental and emotional
distress malaria may generate.
Morgan-Forster is open to Jones’s question – what did malaria do to the Greeks?
– and her tentative answer is, as far as it goes, Jones’s (though stripped of its
inflammatory moralisms: ‘‘decline’’ is now ‘‘lack of progress,’’ while ‘‘lethargy’’ is
‘‘decreased productivity’’).56 Still, she offers no updating of these citations, which,
in the climate of any modern science, will raise suspicions merely from their
datedness. Moreover, in Morgan-Forster’s work and more generally, citation has not
led to application. Indeed, the suite of methods paleopathologists have confidently
developed do not themselves require or even invite attention to such matters: subtle
psychiatric/cultural effects will not show up in DNA or skeletons. Consolidating the
known may indeed be a better strategy of discipline-building than extrapolating into
contested disciplinary territory. We may insist on privileging Jones’s question – did
malaria have important (perhaps transitory and regional) historical effects – but it
seems unrealistic to expect technique-driven research to do so.
Morgan-Forster does cite the work of S.D. Fernando, one of a small group of
scattered investigators carrying out clinical and epidemiological studies of the
neurological, psychological, and psychiatric sequelae of malaria (and who also often
cite Jones, Macculloch, and Hippocrates). This new work complements the more
recent focus on the acute neurological and psychiatric symptoms of hospitalized
victims of ‘‘cerebral’’ malaria with well-controlled studies showing a ‘‘hidden
burden’’ of subclinical psychosocial effects, including cognitive impairment in
56 It should be noted that in classical medicine ‘‘lethargy’’ was not the judgmental term it would become
but a technical diagnostic term for a dangerous clinical state which can arise in many diseases.
354 C. Baron, C. Hamlin
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children who experience multiple infections of more benign forms of malaria –
precisely what Jones and Ross would have expected (Fernando et al. 2010).
The existence of such work makes it clear that modern malariology could support
extension into social and behavioral reconstructions if paleopathological recon-
structors wished to do so. But whether that extension would be tolerated is another
question. It is significant that Morgan-Forster’s study is of prehistoric and not of
classical Greece. She can assert the priority of biological evidence to account for
historical change (including the gesturings toward the concerns of Sachs, Jones,
et al.) precisely because text-based classicists do not contest that territory. But one
may well ask, if paleopathological approaches are robust enough to warrant
conclusions in the prehistoric period, why not in the historic period? And yet, the
response of most classical historians remains Hogarth’s: if an important event
happened, we expect the texts to testify to it.57
These implications go well beyond the issue of malaria in classical Greece. The
Jones episode suggests that the biology-history interface is more likely to continue to
be one of disjunctive contestation and compartmentalization than one of comple-
mentarity and multidimensional enrichment. We have here a situation in which before
about 800 BCE, persons living in Greece are effectively biological entities, subject to
malaria and to whatever economic and psychosocial effects it brings. After that date,
they are text-creating cultural entities who either do not experience malaria or are
unaffected by it. But surely such a representation is more an artefact of the partiality of
disciplinary gazes than a depiction of ancient existence.
For what is at stake is the important issue of how we humanize historical subjects, a
problem which historians often handle with allusions to ‘‘agency,’’ but which often
will be more problematic for archaeologists and anthropologists. The cultural and
psychosocial domain that so fascinated Jones, where personhood and pathology
mingle, is so important because it is the junction of the historical and the biological.
Jones asks that we regard even classical Greeks as biological entities; he protests a
dichotomy that separates text-creating agents – subjects with whom we can seek
existential connection – from prehistorical, and, too often, acultural humanoid beings,
who merely register as populations of pathogen hosts. We are both.
Acknowledgments We wish to thank Jessica Baron, Ann Carmichael, Daniel Smail, Julia Adeney
Thomas, and attendees at a symposium at the University of Notre Dame in November 2014 for their
critical readings, comments, and suggestions.
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