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IS THE IMPLEMENTATION OF FREE MIGRATION POLICIES WITHIN LATINAMERICA AN INDUCEMENT TO LATIN AMERICAN INTEGRATION?
Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes
Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
INTRODUCTION
Latin American countries have aspired to achieve
regional integration almost from the time they became
independent nations. As early as 1815, Bolivar wrote: “It
is a grandiose idea to think of consolidating the New World
into a single nation, united by pacts into a single bond. It
is reasoned that, as these parts have a common origin,
language, customs, and religion, they ought to have a single
government to permit the newly formed states to unite in a
confederation. What a great idea, to mold the new world into
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
a great nation1 glued by one and only one great link (quoted
in Bertrand 1951).”
The concept of Latin American integration has been kept
alive for two hundred years but is still a distant reality.
A spate of new organizations organized themselves in the 20th
century to increase the coordination of Latin American
nations; their focus was on matters such as regional
security, trade, and democratic and human development. Their
number and scope increased with the creation of the European
Union in 1992. Several new institutions have since been
created that, at least on paper, foster a union based on the
European experience. These efforts have had variable
success, and have normally limited their scope to a selected
group of countries. Clearly, neither the breadth of
integration nor the geographic coverage achieved by Europe
has worked for Latin America.
1 Bolivar uses the terms nation and confederation as synonymous. The letter is used as an example of an early desire to somehow integrate the newly independent nations of Latin America.
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
This paper will identify the critical elements that
promoted integration in Europe but did not operate in Latin
America. Some but not all of those elements were indeed
recreated in Latin America; this paper is focused on those
that were not. We will analyze the feasibility of
substituting for these latter elements with the
implementation of “free migration” policies. We wish to
explore if the implementation of these would advance
integration. We take “free migration policies” to designate
that all Latin American citizens are allowed to travel freely
and establish residence in any country in the region)
To conclude this analysis, we will postulate that the
introduction of free migration policies is a necessary but
not sufficient condition to advance the reality of Latin
American integration. Such policies will initiate this
result, but important additional actions by political elites
will be required to reach the perceived ideal: a Latin
American Union modeled after the European Union.
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
Before we begin the analysis, we must define some
concepts:
What Countries Make Up Latin America? - We define Latin
America as comprising the 19 currently independent nations
that were colonies of the former Iberian empires (Spain and
Portugal). These nations shared 300 years of colonial history
and gained independence from their colonial masters in the
19th century. We use this definition since historically all
Latin American countries have a common culture, share
Catholicism as their major religion, and use but two
predominant languages that have common roots. Many agree that
these important factors provide the cohesiveness required to
form a union. Appendix A shows the 19 countries that,
according to this definition, comprise Latin America; it also
shows some of their major characteristics such as population,
area, and surface etc.
The Desired Characteristics of Integration - The model best
followed in pursuit of Latin American integration is that of
the European Union. Considering different integration
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
schemes found in the world, only one clearly stands out and
has become “one of the most successful examples of
integration (Mattli 1999: 68).” Its main characteristics are
that it:
1. Allows for the free movement of goods, services,
capital, and people.
2. Preserves the concept of individual nation-states and
nationalities.
3. Includes the voluntary transfer of some sovereign
decisions to a supra-national institution.
THE NATION, THE STATE AND REGIONAL INTEGRATION: TWOTHEORETICAL PERSPECTIVES
What is a country? What are the necessary prerequisites
before people will regard themselves as belonging to one
nation? How does a group of countries make the transition to
a regional union? These questions are frequently debated by
scholars in the field of International Relations, where they
offer many theories to explain the concepts of nationhood and
nationalism. Two closely linked schools of thought are
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
derived from these theories and especially help us understand
how nations are born and dissolved. One school is termed
National Conscience, and the other Constructivism. They
have been chosen over mainstream theories (i.e. Realism and
Liberalism) because they employ an interpretative
understanding that is more encompassing than the global
vision of International Relations provided by Realists and,
to a lesser extent, Liberals. This does not mean that
Constructivism considers the balance of power among nations
(to use the Realist example) as non-important, only that it
considers it as one among a realm of variables useful in
understanding evolving relationships among nations.
In our analysis here we must first define what we
understand by country, state, and nation. According to
Rosenberg (2014): “A State … is a self-governing political
entity….” The term State can be used interchangeably with
Country. In his opinion, a state by definition must have: 1)
space or territory with internationally recognized
boundaries; 2) economic activity and an organized economy; 3)
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
a government providing public services and police power; 4)
sovereignty; and 4) external recognition i.e. it has been
accepted as a state by other countries. He further explains:
“Nations, are culturally homogeneous groups of people, larger
than a single tribe or community, which share a common
language, institutions, religion and historical experience.
When a nation of people have a State or country of their own,
it is called a nation-state.”
National Conscience scholars focus on explaining the
concept of nationality and national identity. They expound
on why a group of people acquires a sense of belonging and
fraternity with their countrymen. The work of National
Conscience scholars helps us understand why the Spanish
American Empire fractured and gave rise to 19 different
countries, each with its own national identity. Further, this
occurred while Brazil, the descendent of the Portuguese
Empire, maintained its unity after independence and became
the largest and most populous country in the sub-continent.
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
Anderson (1983) defines the nation as “an imagined
political community – and imagined as both inherently limited
and sovereign” (7). He lists two requirements for the
development of nationalism: 1) a large cultural system that
precedes nationalism – normally a religious community and a
dynastic realm (12-22); and 2) what he calls print capitalism
– “the convergence of capitalism and print technology”2. He
states that this convergence “created the possibility of a
new form of imagined community which, in its basic
morphology, set the stage for the modern nation (46).”
Anderson (1983) explains how the evolution of Spain’s
independent American colonies into different nation-states
resulted from that “each of the new South American republics
had been an administrative unit from the sixteenth to the
eighteenth century (52).” He uses this same principle to
explain the dissolution of some of the first integrated
2 Anderson recognizes that “print capitalism” did not existin Latin America at the time of the wars of independence.He explains this apparent contradiction with the fact thatlanguage in Iberian Colonies was the same as that of theirimperial capitals (Madrid and Lisbon), and was therefore nota determinant in nation building.
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
nations, i.e. Gran Colombia (Venezuela, Colombia, and
Ecuador), and the United Provinces of Rio de la Plata
(Argentina, Uruguay, Paraguay, and Bolivia), In a short time
period these broke–up into their old administrative units
(53). As further support for this view, Anderson (1983)
explains that Creoles3 were the elites that instigated
independence from Spain. Unlike emigrated Peninsulares4 who
could establish an administrative career throughout the
confines of the Spanish Empire, Creoles had their careers
limited to the geographical limits of their regional and
administrative units (58-60).
Anderson (1983:51) also explains why Brazil was able to
remain an integrated territory. He notes that in 1908, the
Portuguese emperor, in flight from Napoleon, immigrated to
Brazil where he stayed for 13 years. When he returned home,
he had his son crowned emperor of Brazil. The country
became independent as an integrated entity and avoided the
3 Ethnic Spaniards born in America.4 People born in Spain.
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
fractioning of several states that characterized Spanish-
America.
For Gellner (1983) “The cultural shreds and patches used
by students of nationalism are often arbitrary historical
inventions (56). The similarity between Anderson’s
definition of nations as “imagined political communities”,
and his stated requirements for the development of
nationalism, is not difficult to find. In a particularly
relevant observation, he mentions that the political strength
of Latin Americans (and Arabs and pre-unification Italians
and Germans) suffered from the fragmentation of their
political roots when they became independent states.
Nevertheless, he considers the outcome of “one nation – many
states” as the least troublesome of possible outcomes.
He also argues that the eventual evolvement of the “one
nation – many states” status into a “one nation – one state”
concept will not be easy. The inevitable outcome of partial
or total unification of states into a nation will result in
the loss of political positions: one less president and
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
several cabinet positions will be eliminated by each state
that merges into the larger nation. This makes politicians
a formidable obstacle to unification (128-130). This may
also avert the integration of the various Latin American
countries (i.e. the “Latin American nation”) into one state.
However, it would not preclude integration modeled after the
European Union where the concept of individual nation-states
remains viable.
The work of National Conscience scholars is helpful in
understanding the past; i.e., the reasons behind the rupture
of Latin America into 19 different countries. It is also
helpful in understanding the evolution of different “imagined
communities” in each of the newly independent states, i.e.,
where the Creole elites created their own national
mythologies thus giving rise to 20 different nationalities
and nationalisms. To elucidate how and why Latin American
countries could be motivated to form a political union in the
future, we must turn to the work of Constructivist scholars.
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
According to Viotti and Kauppi (2010: 276-298)
constructivists generally agree with the following: 1) They
believe state behavior is shaped by elite beliefs, collective
norms and social identities, and thus not only by the
structural conditions of anarchy; 2) Constructivists are
interested in the state as actor, but they do not give
privilege to any particular agent, actor or unit of analysis.
That is, the agents may be nations and/or non state actors
including individuals or groups, and they may also derive
from social movements, and corporations, etc., 3) They view
international structure in terms of a social structure
heavily influenced by ideational factors such as the law,
rules, and societal norms. 4) Constructivists do not see
sovereignty as characteristic of individual states, but
rather claim that it is a shared and socially constructed
institution or normative structure among states. 5) All
constructivists share the idea that normative or ideational
factors are equal or more important than material structures
(population size, weapon systems etc.).
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
Among the different trends within Constructivism, one —
Naturalistic Constructivism — seems well suited to use in our
analysis. Represented most prominently by Alexander Wendt,
this school of thought approaches International Relations as
part of the social sciences while emphasizing the structures
of social life; this paradigm focuses on the interaction of
states and the cultures and norms that have been constructed
to guide them (Viotti and Kauppi 2010: 291-294).
Naturalistic constructivism thus allows for the possibility
of “constructing “ a Latin American union by changing the
cultures and norms of the interrelated actors, with free
migration policies being one of the possible variables used
to influence change.
Wendt (1999) argues, “Sovereignty is an intrinsic
property of states, as in being six feet tall; as such it
exists even in the dearth of other states. This property
becomes a “right” only when other states recognize it.
Rights are conferred on actors by others who grant
“permission” to do certain things (280)”. He then
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
mentions that “When states recognize the sovereignty of
others as a right, one can then speak of sovereignty not only
as a characteristic of individual states, but as an
institution shared by many states (280).” Applying these
ideas to the concept of regional integration would mean that
member countries have changed their shared expectations of
sovereignty; i.e., they are then willing to cede some of
their sovereignty to a supra-national institution. This has
already happened in the European Union, and would need to
happen for Latin American integration to succeed.
Before we conclude this section we must state that there
is a tight connection between National Conscience and
Constructivism. According to Walicki (1998), Gellner’s theory
of the nation and nationalism – the statement that nations
are products of nationalism and not the converse – “ …
concurs with the current “constructivist” perspective which
claims that nations are not anything real, objective or
indispensable; they are only “constructs,” contingent and
artificial, deliberately created by various elites (611).”
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
PAST AND CURRRENT EFFORTS AT LATIN AMERICAN INTEGRATION:
Table 1 shows the multilateral institutions that were
created in Latin America from 1947 to 1980. Of those
presented in the table, five are considered ineffective
precursors for Latin American integration. These are: 1) The
Rio Treaty, which covers only security issues; 2) The
Organization of American States, which is equivalent to a
regional United Nations for the Americas; 3) ALADI, which is
limited to trade issues but falls short of a free trade
agreement or common market (it granted tariff preferences to
only 10% of all goods traded); 4) LAFTA, which is no longer
operative; and 5) The Andean Pact which is also now
inoperative. We will not dwell on these institutions.
The case of the Central American Common Market (CACM)
(shaded in the table) is different. Modeled after the
European Common Market, CACM has successfully increased
intra-CACM trade, as shown in Table 2. Unfortunately,
CACM’s success ceased when the army of El Salvador attacked
Honduras in 1969. Although CACM did not disappear, its
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
beneficial effects on trade did. “The proportion of
intra-regional trade out of total trade of CACM countries
represented only 11.9% in 1988, a sharp decline from the
24.2% twenty years earlier (Mattli 1999: 146).” CACM did
experience resurgence in the early 90’s. This
reincarnation will be discussed in the description below of
the new organizations that were created at that time.
Table 1: Latin American multilateral institutions 1947 – 1980
Source: Abstracted by the author from public data.
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
Table 2: Summary of CACM Trade Changes (% of totaltrade)
Source: Mattli 1999: 145. Based on International Monetary Fund data.
Table 3 illustrates the multilateral institutions
created in Latin America from 1981 to date. We are here
able to exclude three organizations that are not considered
effective precursors for an EU type of integration. These
are: 1) ALBA, whose stated purpose is to oppose the
continent-wide free trade agreement treaty that was proposed
by the Clinton administration; 2) UNASUR, whose purpose is
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
akin to that of a regional organization of the United Nations
promoting development in the Southern cone; and 3) CELAC,
that is modeled after the Organization of American States but
without the participation of the U.S. or Canada.
Remaining are four institutions that may be considered
precursors to an EU type of integration: 1) The Central
American Common Market in its 1990 version; 2) Mercosur; 3)
The Andean Community; and 4) The Alianza del Pacifico or
Pacific Alliance. All of these organizations in one way
or another are derivatives of the European Union. They all
share the goals of eventually allowing the free movements of
goods, services, capital, and people, but none share the
concept of ceding sovereignty to a supra-national institution
(although, with the exception of the Pacific Alliance, all
have created multilateral institutions).
Table 3: Latin American multilateral institutions 1981-2013
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
Source: Abstracted by the author from public data.
These four institutions have focused on free trade as
their prime goal. We can thus measure their success by
measuring the level of trade integration (intra-bloc trade)
attained over a number of years. Figures 1, 2, and 3
present the Trade Level of Integration (as measured by the
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
Estimated Gravity Model Coefficient) achieved by CACM,
Mercosur, and the Andean Pact respectively.
From the graphs we can see that Mercosur, followed by
the Andean Pact, attained the most successful trade
integration results. CACM actually exhibited a negative
level of integration. The trade integration results of
the Pacific Alliance are not presented since this is a very
new organization where the elimination of tariffs has just
occurred. Nevertheless, most analysts consider that the
chances of success of the latter institution are large given
that the constituent member countries are the most open to
foreign trade in Latin America.
Figure 1: CACM Level of Integration
Source: Croce et.al. 2012. Authors’ regressions. Note: Shaded lines indicate 95% confidence bands.
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
Figure 2: Mercosur Level of Integration
Source: Croce et al. 2012. Authors’ regressions. Shaded lines indicate 95% confidence bands;
The above judgments can be supplemented with qualitative
analyses. The Economist (2013) considers the countries of
Mercosur as part of the protectionist wing of Latin America.
With the decline of commodity prices experienced in the past
months, protectionism has increased even among members of the
trade bloc. The countries that established the Pacific
alliance are proponents of free trade and are eager to join
negotiations for the Trans-Pacific Partnership led by the
United States, and thus become part of the potentially
largest trading block in the world.
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
Figure 3: Andean Community Level of Integration
Source: Croce et al. 2004. Authors’ regressions. Shaded lines indicate 95% confidence bands.
In the end, both Mercosur and the Pacific alliance are
the two prime organizations able to advance the prospect of
Latin American integration. The CACM is too small to be
of importance at the continental level. The Andean Pact
although larger, has been riddled by policy infighting
between the “protectionists” (Bolivia and Ecuador) and the
“free traders” (Colombia, Peru) within the organization.
Neither of the two organizations have the size nor the
influence of Mercosur and the Pacific Alliance in the
continent.
THE CONSTRUCTION OF THE EUROPEAN UNION AND ITS LESSONS FORLATIN AMERICA
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
The actual beginnings of the current European Union can
be traced back to the treaty that established the European
Coal and Steel Community (ECSC) signed in 1951 by six western
European countries. (Mattli 1999: 68-138). What elements
made European Integration a success? As Mattli (1999) has
said: “The creation of the European Community is not easily
captured by any simple theoretical argument (68).”
Accordingly, scholars offer the following explanations:
Security/geopolitical concerns – Rosato (2012) argues
that the early success of the ECSC and the European Economic
Community (EEC) that followed it was a consequence of the
perceived military threat of the Soviet Union, and this acted
in combination with the need to neutralize the political
threat of a reemerging Germany. This is probably the most
important element that led to the success of the European
Union. Europe was just emerging from World War II, and the
threat of the Cold War had begun. For Realists this was the
most important, if not the only, reason for the foundation of
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
the ECSC, an organization designed to maintain control of
coal and steel, the raw materials of warfare.
This “element of success” is clearly absent in the case
of Latin America. As expressed by Dabene (2009), “To begin
with, Latin America being a relatively pacified continent,
the motives to initiate an integration process can hardly be
found in a common will to build peace or prevent war (7).”
Although tensions between Latin America and the United States
have always existed, they are not so deeply nor as widely
held by a majority of people or nations as to trigger a
common defense mechanism. The most unity the tension has
garnered has been in some sub-regions where the concept of
anti-imperialism has been the uniting force of a few
countries, notably those that belong to ALBA.
Economic benefits – Moravcsik (2008) suggests that the
prime determinant for the success of the European Union is
grounded in economics. He says: “The West European economies
were then and are still, extremely interdependent. The
value of trade per capita was many times higher than in non-
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
European industrial countries like the U.S. or Japan, making
Europe sensitive to trade fluctuations (18).” Mattli (1999)
mentions the achievement of economic benefits as one of the
necessary conditions for economic success. He states: “…
the potential for economic gains from market exchange within
a region must be significant. If there is little potential
for gain … the process of integration would quickly falter.
However, the potential for gain may grow with the diffusion
of new technologies. Market players will then have an
incentive to lobby for regional institutional arrangements,
and for regional rules, regulations, and policies (42).”
This “element of success” is present in the case of
Latin America. The agreements of regional commercial
integration –CACM, MERCOSUR, etc.– are normally followed by
substantial rates of increase in intra-regional commerce.
Such an increase is a welcome development in a region where
“intra-regional trade accounts for less than 20% of total
Latin American trade, compared to about two thirds in the
European Union (EU), almost 50% in NAFTA and about 40% in
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
Asia (Rosales and Herreros 2011: Par 2).” Considerable
economic benefits could accrue from Latin American
integration.
A leading country – Mattli (1999) postulates that the
presence of “a benevolent leading country seeking integration
(42)” is essential to the process since it serves as a focal
point coordinating the issuance of rules, regulations and
policies. “Contested institutional leadership or the absence
of leadership makes coordination problems very difficult to
resolve (42)”. In his opinion, Germany is the country that
has assumed this role in the European Union since the mid -
1970’s. At that time, the country had developed tremendous
economic powers and was rapidly moving to become the third
largest economy in the world (101). Previously, the United
States had taken such a leadership role. Mattli explains
that the “US role as security guarantor was a crucial factor
at the beginning of European integration. The U.S.
presence in Europe contained Germany, giving the French
sufficient confidence in their security to build a bilateral
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
relationship with that country. This allowed West European
governments to avoid questions of West European foreign
policy and defense, due to their absorption into the Atlantic
Alliance under American leadership.
Latin American integration processes have normally
lacked the factor of any country grasping for a position of
leadership. Mattli (1999: 140-163) argues that all attempts
at regional integration from 1960 to the late 1980’s failed
in part because there was no country willing to assume the
position of a leader. He finds a similar situation in
MERCOSUR where Brazil, the dominant economy, has been
reluctant to “become the regional leader capable of serving
as institutional focal point and willing to act as regional
paymaster (160).” The only instance where the process of
integration did find such a leader was during the first
decade of the Central American Common Market. The United
States played that role by providing substantial funds,
including increased contributions to Honduras and Nicaragua
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
when they complained about deteriorating terms of trade for
their countries (152).
The ideology of integration – Parsons (2002: 47-84)
argues that the Europeans chose the EEC model over competing
models that required less extensive cooperation and weaker
international institutions due to the advocacy – by a small
elite group – of a new ideology of integration. It was his
opinion that this group was based in France, where they were
able to prevail over groups with different ideas. This
“success element”, however, only influenced the form of
integration eventually chosen for the ECSC and EEC –
requiring the relinquishing of some sovereignty from
participating states – not the actual process of integration,
which could have occurred under different forms. It is
therefore not a universal “success element “ for regional
integration.
While there has been no shortage of ideas regarding the
creation of a Latin American Union (Simon Bolivar and Hugo
Chavez are good examples), there has not yet been a group of
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
people in a position of power able to influence a country
and/or region in the same way as the French elite were able
to influence the creation of the ECSC and the EEC in the
1950’s. However, the model of integration achieved by the
EU has been lauded by most governments in Latin America and
may substitute for the requirement of an independent ideology
of integration.
The establishment of commitment institutions - Mattli
(1999) names a “weaker” condition needed for successful
integration, i.e., “The provision by an integration treaty
for the establishment of “commitment institutions,” such as
centralized monitoring and third party enforcement (42-43).”
He states that the formal ECSC treaty of 1951 as well as the
subsequent Treaty of Rome, the Single European Act, and the
Maastricht Treaty provided the institutional framework that
gave rise to the European Commission and the European Court
of Justice, which served as “commitment institutions” in the
integration process (100).
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
In his studies of Latin American efforts at integration,
Mattli (1999: 139) argues that weak leadership and an absence
of “commitment mechanisms” have derailed several integration
objectives in Latin America.
The existence of a European identity – Pagden (2002)
argues that Europe is the only continent that was able to
develop a collective individual identity dating back for
several centuries. He states: “Only Europeans have
persistently described themselves, usually when faced with
cultures they found indescribably alien, to be not merely
British or German or Spanish but also European … (33).” The
European culture was able to develop into an incipient
European nationalism in the post-war years. According to
Chebel (2002) “European nationalism has borrowed from the
national mystique by defining itself according to the same
criteria as the nation state: historical memory building, a
common identity and culture for all the entities grouped
within the bounds of a given territory, and political
economic objectives destined to ensure general prosperity and
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
to defend the global interests of its participants (178).”
While the concept of European nationalism is not universally
held (e.g., the far right in many EU countries is opposed to
it) it cannot be denied that a European identity does exist
in Europe
Latin Americans share many cultural and social
characteristics: a past characterized by 300 years of
colonial dominance by an Iberian power, a predominant
religion (Catholicism), the use of a Romance languages
(Spanish and Portuguese), a similar value system focusing on
the family, similar legal systems derived from the Napoleonic
Code, and similar political systems influenced by the strong
presence of the United States. Despite these similarities
and as expressed by CEPAL’s5 general secretary, “The problem
for Latin America is that the proper strategy to “meld
different nationalisms into a single Latin American
nationalism has not been found (quoted in Dabene 2009: 19).”
A Latin American identity does not exist either. One has
5 Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean, known as ECLAC, UNECLAC or in Spanish CEPAL
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
to travel outside Latin America to find a common identity
(i.e. the Latinos in the U.S. or the slightly derogatory
Sudacas in Spain). A Latin American identity is practically
non-existent in Latin American countries.
As we can see, Latin America currently possesses only
one of the six elements that permitted the success of the
creation of the European Union; this element is the potential
for economic gains. The sub-continent also enjoys a rather
homogeneous Latin American culture. However, cultural
homogeneity has not evolved, as it did in Europe, into a
regional (i.e. Latin American) identity. Thus, if Latin
American integration is ever to succeed, it will require
finding a different path.
The next section will analyze the concept of free
migration and its usefulness in paving the way to Latin
American integration.
FREE MIGRATION AS A MEANS TO LATIN AMERICAN INTEGRATION
Can effective Latin American integration be achieved
without the five missing elements that were present in
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
Europe? We can argue that four of the elements, i.e. a
leading country, an ideology of integration, the
establishment of commitment institutions, and, to a lesser
degree, a Latin American identity, can be constructed by a
leading elite in a group of countries deciding that
integration is a desired route to development. However,
the first and most important “element of success”,
security/geopolitical concerns, is not present in the sub-
continent and there is no indication that it will exist in
the foreseeable future.
The need for security in Western Europe after the death
and devastation of two World Wars was a powerful motivator
towards the creation of the ECSC, the EEC and eventually the
EU. Absent the influence of such a powerful motivator,
Latin America must seek some other motivator as a substitute.
The implementation of free migration policies can become the
alternate motivator in Latin America in light of the
following reasons:
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
Free migration policies reverse the cause of Latin
American fragmentation: The borders of Latin American
countries were drawn on the administrative units of Spain and
Portugal during the colonial era. That they were drawn this
way is attributed to the fact that Creoles, the elite group
that promoted independence from Spain and Portugal, saw their
careers confined to the administrative units of their birth.
“If peninsular officials could travel the road from Zaragoza
to Cartagena, to Madrid, to Lima, and back again to Madrid,
the “Mexican” or “Chilean” creole typically served only on
the territories of colonial Mexico or Chile: his lateral
movement was as cramped as his vertical ascent (Anderson
1983: 57).”
If the lack of freedom of movement among the different
administrative units of the Spanish empire gave rise to 19
different nation-states, 200 years ago, it follows that
allowing freedom of movement today should be conducive to
integration.
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
Allowing free migration among countries is within the
realm of possibilities of the political elites in present day
Latin America: Migration is subject to the laws of the
involved countries, and the laws are subject to modification
by the actions of legislative bodies. Actually, the
implementation of free migration laws might be easier in
these regions given that politicians and others have fostered
the concept of a Latin American brotherhood for many decades.
Both the Pacific Alliance and Mercosur have stated their
intention to allow the free circulation of their citizens.
Both groups as well as the Andean Community have moved to
facilitate the movement of workers and business executives by
establishing express procedures for the issuance of working
visas and elimination of visa requirements for tourists.
However, the major step, implementing free migration
policies, has been left for a future undefined date.
Nevertheless, the fact that it has even been contemplated
leaves no doubt that it is now firmly placed on the agenda of
policymakers.
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
The implementation of free migration policies allows for
a fast dissemination of the social benefits of integration:
An integration process is normally associated with economic
benefits due the increase of free trade. Economic benefits,
however, take some time to reach the different levels of
society. They are experienced first by the corporate world
and the economic elites of the countries involved and it
might take years to be felt by the common person, i.e. the
majority of voters in a democracy. Free migration
policies affect the common person first, by allowing him to
change his place of residency as soon as member countries
implement the policies. This happens even when the
majority of persons do not intend to move to another country.
Evidence of this can be found in Eurobarometer surveys
showing that “freedom of movement within the EU-27 is often
seen as the best achievement of the European Union, ranking
above the euro, economic prosperity, or even peace. Yet to
the disappointment of the European Commission, which is
concerned about economic growth and labor flexibility,
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
European citizens have been rather slow in utilizing this
right (Koikkalainen 2011).”
Free Migration Policies may offer alternatives to
immigration to the United States and Spain: Latin America is
a net exporter of migrants. The prime mecca of attraction
for emigrants has been the United States. The U.S. has
become home to approximately 12.0 million Mexicans, of which
approximately 51% are unauthorized. Although the number of
Mexican immigrants has currently fallen to zero (Passel et
al. 2012: par 1), immigration from Central America and South
America has increased to where “the Latin American cohort –
even excluding the Caribbean – comprised the single largest
group of foreign born in the United States and 5.5 percent of
the total U.S. population. … New destination countries in
the OECD – in particular Spain and Japan, and to a lesser
extent Italy – have seen immigration from Latin America
increasing at greater rates than in the United States (Mazza
and Sohnen 2010).”
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
It is not a secret that anti-immigrant feelings have
increased substantially in the OECD countries as a result of
the “great recession of 2009”. Both the U.S. and Spain
have stepped up efforts to repatriate its Latin American
immigrants potentially creating social disruptions in the
sending countries. One alternative seldom discussed is
intra-Latin American migration. Table 3 shows the
evolution of migrant stocks in selected Latin American
countries according to the 1990 and 2000 census rounds. They
show that intra-regional migration has been increasing in
several countries. This data has been confirmed by other
sources: “Intraregional migrants in Latin America now exceed
3.5 million, according to the University of Sussex’s Global
Migrant Origin Data Base, which is constructed from data from
the 2000-2001 round of censuses (Mazza and Sohnen 2010).”
This has happened without free migration policies, and with
less negative reactions than immigration to OECD countries.
Implementation of free migration policies in a region can set
in motion the principle of human capitalism, i.e., where
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
workers may go where their skills are needed and which work
to increase the economic benefits of regional integration.
TABLE 3: Evolution of Migrant Stocks in Selected LatinAmerican Countries, 1990 and 2000 census rounds
Source: Mazza and Sohnen 2010.
Free migration will help achieve a Latin American
Identity: The lack of a Latin American identity was
identified as one of the missing “elements of success” that
promoted Europe’s integration. However, this element has
not always been absent in Latin America. Caballero (2007)
mentions that it did exist, at some level, during the wars of
independence. In his opinion, a dual concept existed at
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
that time that identified the “patria grande” as the whole
Latin American territory while “patria chica” referred to the
administrative unit that would eventually become the
independent nation. When independence was achieved and
the elites began to construct an image of the new nation, the
concept of “patria grande” came into disuse. Yet it has
not been completely erased from the collective memory. Just
as intra-regional migration can reverse the causes of Latin
American fragmentation, it can help reconstruct the Latin
American identity of a “patria grande”. In this regard, it is
interesting to note “In 2006, Argentina began a
regularization program for Mercosur citizens called “Patria
Grande”. As of June 2009, 1 million people had signed for
the program (Mazza and Sohnen 2010)”.
Despite the implied benefits that free migration
policies may bring to the integration process in Latin
America, we must remember that its implementation is not
necessarily an easy task. There will undoubtedly be forces
that oppose the idea and which may derail any proposed
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
project. A brief description of the three most likely
potential obstacles follows.
U.S. opposition to free migration: The United States has
exerted a very strong influence in Latin America for at least
the past 100 years. The relationship has been asymmetrical
and, many times, pervasive. The U.S. is either the first or
second trading partner of each Latin American country, and
therefore the U.S. government’s opinion can be enforced with
the threat of commercial sanctions.
Currently the U.S. is not hostile to regional
integration. “<The U.S.’> policy has changed from frank
hostility to CEPAL’s conception of planned integration in the
1950’s, to supporting the creation of free trade areas in the
1960’s, and then to an invitation to join a hemispherical
initiative in the 1990’s, before returning to bilateralism
in the 2000’s (Dabene 2009: 23).” At the same time the
U.S. has been very supportive of European integration, and
its role as security guarantor was critical for the creation
of the ECSC. It is therefore unlikely that the U.S. would
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
oppose a Latin American integration project at present.
However, it is likely to object to the opening of Mexico to
free migration from the South, particularly from Central
America, believing, with some reason, that if Mexico is
opened to Central Americans it will be used as a springboard
to illegally enter the U.S. In the past, the U.S. has not
been hesitant to ask Mexico to require visas from certain
nationalities, and Mexico has normally acquiesced.
However, if Mexico decides it is in its own interest to allow
Latin American free migration, there is not much that the
U.S. government can do, i.e., other than threaten to decrease
the commercial relationship. This is considered an unlikely
event given the importance of the trading relationship
between the two countries. Mexico is currently one of the
world’s largest markets for U.S. goods. Further closing
the border to the legal movement of people is not much of a
threat given the already cumbersome procedures for entry from
Mexico to the United States (Mexicans need a visa to travel
to the U.S., crossing the border from Tijuana to San Isidro
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
takes more than 90 minutes on average. Canadians do not
require a visa to enter the U.S., and the average crossing
time at Niagara Falls is approximately 10 minutes
(Cali2.net)).
It will be very difficult to coordinate the immigration
policies of 19 Latin American countries: This is undoubtedly
true; however, any Latin American integration project does
not have to start with all the composite countries
simultaneously. It can start with as few as two countries,
and will probably begin with the members of one of the
regional trade groups that already exist; i.e. Mercosur, or
the Pacific Alliance (Mercosur has already taken some steps
towards introducing free migration in its zone of influence,
although the process is less developed than in Europe
(Siciliano 2013)). If successful, other countries could
decide to join in, or allow for free migration within their
trade groups. If this idea has traction, the first step
will have been taken towards an imagined Latin American
community. This was certainly the case in the EU; it
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
started the ECSC with just 5 countries and has since grown to
27.
Free migration will increase anti-immigrant feelings
that will derail the integration process: This is certainly
possible, especially if the initial process involves large
migrations from less developed to more developed countries.
However, the situation extant within the two blocs most
likely to initiate the process (Mercosur and the Pacific
Alliance) involves countries with relatively similar levels
of development. As a result, the implementation of free
migration policies within these two groups is not likely to
result in the displacement of large numbers of migrants. But
as the groups enlarge and less developed countries join the
groups, the number of migrants will increase. This
situation would be equivalent to the one Europe faced when
Eastern European countries were admitted into the Union.
Despite fears that an unmanageable number of immigrants would
flow to the West, the situation has rather proceeded in an
orderly fashion, even during the current economic crisis. The
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
anti-immigrant parties have gained ground with the electorate
but they still have not become a major force in national
elections.
The above does not mean that free migration policies
will be adopted as a natural evolutionary process by the
different nations that make up Latin America. The
implementation of free migration policies will require the
leadership of political elites in at least a small group of
countries. However, if this step is taken, it will provide
regional integration processes with a great assurance of
success. As has been stated by the Economic Commission for
Latin America and the Caribbean: “Migration is an
indissoluble, visible and relevant component of all
integration processes, especially when they aim for more than
commercial exchange. Since integration is a potential
instrument for a national development process, and since
mobility is a critical component of these processes,
integration cannot succeed without considering the mobility
of the population (Martinez and Stang 2005:56).”
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
CONCLUSION
As well understood in analyses of International
Relations, the current behavior and interaction of nations is
tightly bound to their early history. This is also true in
our analysis here of Latin American integration. We have seen
that the fragmentation of the region had its origin in the
manner that Spanish and Portuguese authorities administered
their American possessions in the 17th and 18th centuries, and
which led to the “construction” of 19 different nation-
states.
Despite their 19th century dissolution, the idea of Latin
American integration has been latent for the past two
centuries, but has picked up steam in the past two decades.
Several institutions were created in the past few decades
that attempted to emulate the achievement of the European
Union. Nevertheless, several success elements that allowed
for its “construction” seem to be absent in Latin America.
While the political elite can recreate some of these missing
elements, the most important one – a geopolitical/security
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
concern – cannot be found in the region and therefore needs
to be substituted by an alternative, and equally powerful
element.
The implementation of free migration policies in the
region is indeed that alternative element that can
successfully foster regional integration. Unlike
security/geopolitical concerns, free migration is within the
reach of political elites. Its implementation will provide
the necessary cohesiveness to the countries experimenting
with new ways of association, and will provide the push
needed to move the integration process forward.
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
APPENDIX 1
THE COUNTRIES OF LATIN AMERICA
Source: Abstracted by the author from public data. Note:Contains data on some of the economic and social variablesfound in the Latin American countries as of 2008 and 2009.The variables selected are not intended to constitute a fulleconomic analysis. Rather, these data are presented in anattempt to offer a quick overview of the respectivecountries’ competitive qualifications.
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Carlos E. Gonzalez Juanes Comprehensive Exam Paper Spring 2014
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