Upload
independent
View
1
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Table of Contents1.0 Introduction........................................21.1 Constructing An Investment Policy Statement.........21.2 Investment Objectives...............................31.3 Target Return For The Portfolio.....................41.4 Level of the Risk...................................51.4 Constraints.........................................61.6 Investment Guidelines...............................72.0 Construction Portfolio..............................92.1 Economic Outlook of Malaysia and its Financial Condition..............................................102.2 Describing The Allocated Funds (across countries, asset classes and securities)..........................152.3 How Select the assets?.............................172.4 Why We Selected the Assets?........................182.5 Proportion of the Investment and The Reason?.......18Reference:.............................................20
1.0 Introduction
This investment policy statement’s objective is to
provide the primary goals and guidelines for our client
on the portfolio management process and describes the
main strategies to endorse the construction on our
investment policy statement. However, we will develop and
divulge the whole information based on our client’s age,
financial ability, asset allocation, risk tolerance and
time horizon that will be included into her investment
objectives. Throughout this work, we will extend and give
our preliminary suggestions to construct the Investment
Policy Statement (IPS) based on the followings. In
addition to this, we will give a quick introductory
explanation what is an investment policy statement, its
purpose, outline expectations and responsibilities both
managers and clients.
BWFNN3033 Portfolio Management
2
Procedure manuals that no one can scrutinise serve little
purpose. The same is true with a statement of investment
policy. If investors are going to have one, the policy
without doubt should influence the investment process.
However, the most important and worthwhile part of the
investment policy statement will do four things that
ultimately affect the investment performance
successfully. Firstly, it will outline expectations and
responsibilities of the parties involved. Secondly, it
will determine the investment objectives and relevant
constraints. Thirdly, it will address the choice of
assets for the portfolio. Lastly, it will provide a
mechanism for evaluation.
1.1 Constructing An Investment Policy Statement
This investment policy statement should be suited for the
specific conditions the portfolio faces and there are
some elements of a useful investment policy that will
help the client to maintain the gainful portfolio
holdings over the long-term. Before carrying out this, we
BWFNN3033 Portfolio Management
3
will introduce and extend the each element by giving the
abstract points based on the example we have chosen.
1.2 Investment Objectives
Our client is Mrs. Clara who is married, has
children and primarily focused on accelerating her wealth
building efforts for her children’s college education and
for her own retirement. As an investment manager, we need
to build up well appropriate asset allocation and
investment strategy because our client is at the mid-life
accumulators who will be caring about her further
financial affairs that can help her over the long-term
way if it is undertaken. Her financial objectives over
the long-term are as below:
The likely income level of the family
Advancing in professions and careers
Building wealth for retirement
Wealth to fund children’s college tuition
Saving for retirement
Takes one or more vacations per year
Buying or leasing a car for her children
BWFNN3033 Portfolio Management
4
Buying vacation home
Other related expenses that will incur her in the
future. All these reasonable objectives must have been
imparted to the client in order to get the precise
knowledge and insights because sometimes the client’s
stated objectives are unrealistic or out of reach so
that as investment manager, we ought to educate our
client on her financial objectives that will be
attaining.
1.3 Target Return For The Portfolio
Specifically the investment policy statement must have
said the target return. This is the level of performance
that the fund seeks to attain. However, the target return
tells us about the standard market which we will be
referring as a main source to gauge the standardised
market return and it can also measure the overall
performance of the market. By indicating this, we are
merely going to refer FBMKLCI Index. This is an important
stage to measure the healthiness of the marketplace over
BWFNN3033 Portfolio Management
5
the
long-term investment. By keeping pace with standardised
index fund, we can know our client’s investment whether
it is going to plummet or skyrocket so that choosing a
right benchmark target return is crucial. In addition,
the chosen target must be reasonable and consistent with
the reality of the life of marketplace. As a fact of this
matter, the target return has some reasonable and
unreasonable objectives. Our client’s target return has
been considered meticulously to keep her investment well
in the long run.
Average rate of return of 8 percent
KLCI Index attainable return should be between 25 –
40 percent or no less than 25 percent.
FTSE Bursa Malaysia EMAS Index over the long term
possibly 10 years investment we expect to gain an
average rate of return 20 percent.
Basically, the index fund helps us to get the clear
picture of our selected stocks. Let us say if the average
market does well, our investment presumably will do best.
In short, the average market return tells us the
BWFNN3033 Portfolio Management
6
performance of the overall stocks. Therefore, we have
selected two local indices to get our benchmark return
over the long-term investment as it is mentioned above 10
years and it is a maximum term for our client’s
investment.
1.4 Level of the Risk
We, as an investment group have dedicated much of our
time for the complex topic and it is a critical stage to
assess. In this part, we introduce briefly about the risk
in the portfolio. Risk management insights should be
taught to our client in order to ensure that our client
sufficiently fathom the fundamental nature of risk and
how it can influence the client’s expectations and its
investment performance. As beginner managers, we should
understand that the existence of risk is certain over the
investment life and it is inevitable. However, the risk
can be managed through the investment period. We can
assure our client that the risk decision sometimes lead
to down to the specific downturn conditions. Therefore,
as investment managers, we have considered all the
BWFNN3033 Portfolio Management
7
necessary actions in order to protect our client’s
investment and manage it through that period. There are
however three type of risks that portfolio can take.
These are the risks that require us to measure by either
beta or return variance. The following risks that
portfolio can take into considerations are less, more
than average or the norm condition of market.
As a manager, we advise our client to take a long-term or
above-average risk because it helps our investor or
client to attain much profitable return due to more risk,
our client can probably expect the higher or better
return. Our suggestion based on the long-term equity
securities, government bonds, corporate bonds, and other
fixed income securities. Long-term investment requires
our investor to take higher risk, so as a matter of that
risk, our client can get much lucrative return in the
long run to subsidise the family needs. One of the most
investable stocks is blue chip stock because of its
reputable market capitalisation; it can generate higher
return over the long-term investment
BWFNN3033 Portfolio Management
8
Thus, level of risk in the portfolio is above average,
our priority is to maximise possibility of potential
gains. Therefore, at our client’s age, she should invest
her investment such as secured sovereign bonds, real
estate investment trust and so on. She can gain good
return from the real estate investment by the increasing
the value of her property.
1.4 ConstraintsThere are a few considerations in order to identify those
constraints’ condition we have to take a look carefully
on each criterion that could affect or she must operate.
This is fourth stage that will be elaborating the
constrains based on our client’s will which she will be
allocating the security assets in a way that she can
benefit most.
i. Time Horizon
ii. Exclusions Investment
iii. Liquidity
Time Horizon - our client is at the medium accumulators
which means that her time horizon defines the she will
BWFNN3033 Portfolio Management
9
not
take too much risks in the equity market. We advise her
to invest her money in medium risk assets. In fact,
medium risk assets are the investment vehicles that have
a feasible chance that the assets will appreciate in
value and able to bear a certain degree of risk.
Investors who follow the medium assets risk tend to have
an average risk tolerance. Medium assets such as
mentioned above government bonds, real estate, exempt tax
municipal bonds, zero coupon bonds, foreign common stocks
(blue chips). Actually, investing globally in foreign
stocks or sovereign bonds is much diversifiable for the
client’s portfolio because it has low correlation in
contrast to local government. There are many blue chip
stocks, which are the companies with market
capitalisation of 4billion dollars and above and it is
often called as large cap such companies are Apple,
Amazon, EBay, Boeing, Coca-Cola and so on during this
policy statement, we will elaborate the different type of
asset classes according to its industry.
BWFNN3033 Portfolio Management
10
Exclusion Investments – is another type of investment
constraint that refers to the unwillingness of investing
the money that can often harm society ethically or
morally. Our client’s one of her portfolio constraints is
not to invest the fund in tobacco companies, alcoholic
companies, other prohibited beverages because Mrs. Clara
is Moslem and according to her willing, she is not going
to invest the fund in prohibited things that the religion
does not allow.
Liquidity – Our client should carry forward adequate
liquidity – through the choice of investment vehicles and
proper allocation of the assets such as investing in
foreign exchange market, money market instruments and
Malaysian government bonds. However, the foreign exchange
market is thought that it is the most liquid market
because trillion dollars will be exchanging each day.
1.6 Investment Guidelines This part provides our client with solid and robust
investment guidelines in order to ensure that our client
is on the right way. This is the last part of our
BWFNN3033 Portfolio Management
11
Investment Policy Statement and it is crucial to define
the appropriate guideline for the asset allocation
process that we will be discussing in the next part of
construction portfolio. However, this is essential to
make sure as investment manager, we provide our client
with significant and advantageous value of her
investment. Our investment guideline comprises of several
asset class, such short-term securities, long-term asset
and other liquid and illiquid financial securities. The
selected assets classes are as below:
Stocks
Bonds
Real Estate
Foreign Stock
Foreign Bonds
These are the financial securities that we are going to
imply and create the allocation of the assets. Moreover,
asset allocation gives us the maximum rate of return. It
will provide a stream of income that holds with
inflation.
BWFNN3033 Portfolio Management
12
Diversification is another sub-topic of our investment
guideline. The fund that will be investing across the
different asset classes is pivotal and it helps us to
diversify our possibility of risk.
Using a pooled fund – obviously, investing in mutual
funds, unit trust funds are profitable for the middle
accumulators because of its functions, management, as
well as its long –term returns. In addition, this can
give us a higher return over the long-term and there are
less chance to lose the money so that it is important to
ponder that investing in pooled funds can benefit our
client.
Rebalancing stage – tells our client that she will have
to update the assets classes at least annually. The aim
of this rebalancing is to protect from the exposure and
continue the asset allocation with stipulated ranges.
Evaluation – more importantly, to ensure the assets are
doing well or not, we refer to our identified benchmark.
Through benchmark, we can evaluate the each asset class’s
performance that will be included in our client’s
BWFNN3033 Portfolio Management
13
portfolio. Benchmark can truly reflect the all assets
that will be chosen in the portfolio.
2.0 Construction Portfolio Generally speaking, an asset class is classification of
financial assets that deal with same characteristics that
can be tradable. If we look at traditionally, there are
the main asset classes, which comprise of equities,
bonds, cash, and real estate. In modern and globalised
world, those assets can be divided up internationally as
well.
The below table 2.1 classifies the behavior of different
type of asset classes over the given years
Rank One Year Three
Years
Five Years Ten Years
1 Property Property Property Property
2 Equities Equities Bonds Equities
3 Portfolio Portfolio Cash Portfolio
4Internatio
nalBonds Equities Bonds
5 Cash Cash Portfolio Cash
BWFNN3033 Portfolio Management
14
6 InflationInternatio
nalInflation Inflation
7 Bonds InflationInternatio
nal
Internatio
nal
Four key lessons should be taught to our client from the
above given table:
However each classified asset react in a different way to
the fundamental economic conditions and of course it is
performance will not be identical at a given point time.
Portfolio which consists of variety asset classes, can
give our client more steady condition over the ten years.
Our client should beat the inflation over the investment
period. The selected and best-chosen assets that perform
better inflation are real estate or equity.
Diversifying internationally can help our client to avoid
from the disadvantageous of asset classifications.
Asset Allocation Table 2.2
Category Percentage
Cash 0 to 15
Bonds 15 to 40
BWFNN3033 Portfolio Management
15
Large Cap (locally) 40 to 60
Large, Small Cap
(internationally)
5.5 to 8.5
Small Cap (locally) 1 to 4
Risky assets 0.5 to 3.5
Asset Allocation Figure 2.1
10%
24%
56%
8%2%1%
ASSET ALLOCATION
CashFixed IncomeBlue Chip Stocks Foreign StocksSmall CapsRisky Assets
2.1 Economic Outlook of Malaysia and its
Financial ConditionMr Rob Subbaraman, Asia Chief Economist of Nomura Japan,
outlined the leaders and laggards nations for 2014
economy growth as follows
BWFNN3033 Portfolio Management
16
The leaders
Korea 4.1%Philippines 7.1% Malaysia 4.5%
The laggards:
China India Indonesia Thailand
GDP expected to grow by 5.1% fro 2014, driven by higher
consumer and business spending.
The sustainability of Malaysia’s favourable near-term
outlook into 2015 and beyond hinges on the implementation
of structural reforms.
Malaysia is one of a few developing countries that
successfully converted an abundance of natural resources
into long-term sustainable growth.
The MH370 tragedy unexpectedly provides an avenue for
Malaysians to strengthen increasingly fragmented social
capital in the country. Societal risks, such as radical
religion and interfaith disharmony, which seemed to be on
the rise before the tragedy become almost subdued and
BWFNN3033 Portfolio Management
17
muted, as if it was a warning from the Almighty. The
tragedy force us to pray together, regardless of
religions of the victims and of greater significance,
mobilizing productive military and commercial assets from
many countries, reflecting a truly global operation. But,
more importantly, we are now valuing so preciously the
lives of those onboard and praying for their souls in
heaven, again without questioning their citizenship and
religious beliefs. In fact, this rare tragedy proved to
be a rallying point for Malaysians moving forward. On the
international front, there is joint search and rescue
(SAR) operations and of most importance military
cooperation, involving superpowers and friendly nations.
These positive externalities augur well for the ASEAN
economic community (AEC) and Asian century as a whole.
There are clearly many lessons that can be learned,
looking from economic and public policy perspectives. We
need to put in place or beef up an early detection system
with adequate warning signals, conduct stress tests and
implement pre-emptive measures. Apart from having good
supervisory oversight, we have to strictly enforce rules
BWFNN3033 Portfolio Management
18
and
regulations and follow standard procedures, as stipulated
by the Government and relevant international agencies and
organizations. These lessons seem almost parallel to an
early warning signals, macro-prudential measures, stress
tests and supervisory oversight that need to be put in
place and implemented to avoid economic and financial
crisis, without which social costs would be far higher,
affecting welfare and wellbeing of millions of households
and consumers.
Growth in real GDP for 2014 is projected to be at 5.5%,
on account of expected fiscal consolidation measures to
rein in budget deficit, generally tight monetary
conditions and enhanced downside risks, especially on
domestic front. External demand, however, is expected to
provide strong support for growth, especially with
accelerating expansion in the world economy, although
global risks remain on the horizon. These include risks
arising from volatility of capital flows and deflation in
key advanced economies, especially with inflation running
below many central banks' targets. As for the year 2015,
BWFNN3033 Portfolio Management
19
real GDP growth is projected to move back nicely along
the potential output growth path of between 5.5 to 6.0%
in 2015, driven by economic efficiency and innovation,
especially with expected enhanced competition in both
product and services markets, less market distortions and
imperfections, greater labour market flexibility and more
importantly productivity gains as well as more efficient
allocation of scarce resources. This projection takes
into account the likely positive impacts as described
above, under the so-called "transformation or reform
scenario". Nonetheless, the achievements under this
scenario require strong "political will" on the part of
the Government, solving not only tough "politico-
economic" issues, but also mending Malaysia's emotionally
charged matters, such as "religious and ethnic"
relations, perception of corruption and mismanagement,
among other things. As a whole, political struggles in
solving current fiscal issues must be won with strong
commitment, intelligent communications, and rock solid
credibility. These "Three C's" can only be delivered by
the establishment of "National Fiscal Council", an
BWFNN3033 Portfolio Management
20
independent body free from day-to-day politics,
established with an overarching goal of achieving fiscal
sustainability and prudence management of public
finances. The ultimate goal is achieve sustainable
economic and social development. Budget deficit reduction
is a necessity and leisurely approach as practiced in the
past is not the best option for this blessed country,
going forward.
Malaysia’s financial system has weathered the recent
global financial crisis well, helped by limited reliance
of financial intermediaries on cross border funding, a
well-developed supervisory and regulatory regime, and a
well capitalised banking system.
Stress test suggests that banks are resilient to a range
of economic and market shocks; though the high level of
reliance on demand deposits is a potential vulnerability.
Other risks faced by the financial system include those
related to rapid loan growth, rising house prices, and
high household leverage, which call for enhanced
monitoring of household leverage and a review of the
effectiveness of the macro prudential measures.
BWFNN3033 Portfolio Management
21
The
regulatory and supervisory regime for banks, insurance
firms, securities markets, and market infrastructure
exhibits a high degree of compliance with international
standards. Areas for improvement include enhancing the
framework of consolidated supervision and addressing
legal provisions that could potentially compromise
independence. The authorities have initiated action to
address most remaining shortcomings, with a draft law set
to eliminate the key gaps in the framework for banking
and insurance supervision. Banking supervision is
comprehensive and intensive, and gaps mainly relate to
formal powers to include financial holding companies in
the consolidated supervision framework, to certain legal
provisions that could potentially compromise
independence.
Malaysia’s financial sector is well diversified. It
comprises banking intermediaries, insurance companies and
capital market intermediaries with total assets of close
to 400percent of GDP as end of 2011
BWFNN3033 Portfolio Management
22
Monetary Conditions – outstanding household loan growth
was stable during the March 2014. Overall loan demand
increased with higher loan applications from both the
business and household sectors.
Banking System – Banking system capitalisation remained
strong with the common equity tier 1 Capital Ratio, tier
1 Capital Ratio and Total Capital Ratio at 12%, 12.8% and
respectively 14.4%. Net impaired loans remained at 1.3%
of net loans while the loan coverage ratio was above100%.
Exchange Rate and International Reserves - In March, the
ringgit appreciated against the US dollar and recorded a
mixed performance against the currencies of Malaysia’s
other major trade partners. International reserves of
Bank Negara Malaysia amounted to RM 427.4 billion
(equivalent to USD131.1 billion) as at 15 April 2014,
sufficient to finance 9.4 months of retained imports are
3.3 times the short-term external debt.
For Malaysia to become a high-income economy, the World
Bank’s recommendations were that the Malaysian economy
specialise further, improve workforce skills, make growth
more inclusive, and bolster public finance. This
BWFNN3033 Portfolio Management
23
obviously requires that “national interest” be defined
broadly – to include all Malaysians and reverse policies
that benefit a select few.
2.2 Describing The Allocated Funds (across countries, asset classes and securities) Allocating your investments among different asset classes
is a point to help reduce risk and potentially raise
gains. Apprise it the opposite of "putting all your eggs
in one basket." The first way to understanding
optimal asset allocation is know its meaning and purpose,
then taking a closer look at how allocation can benefit
you, and the right asset mix to get and maintain it.
Allocated funds is a mutual fund that provides investors
with a portfolio of a fixed or variable mix of the three
main asset classes which are stocks, bonds and cash
equivalents, in a variety of securities. Some asset
allocation funds maintain a specific proportion of asset
classes over time, while others vary the proportional
composition in response to changes in the economy and
investment markets.
BWFNN3033 Portfolio Management
24
Asset allocation mutual funds come in several varieties.
Generally, a "balanced fund" implies a fixed mixed of
stocks and bonds, such as 60% stocks and 40% bonds.
"Life-cycle" or "target-date" funds, which are often used
in retirement plans, usually have a mix of stocks; bonds
and cash equivalent securities that starts out with a
higher risk-return position and gradually become less
risky as the investor ages and/or nears retirement. So-
called "life-style," or actively managed asset-allocation
funds provide the active management of a fund's asset
classes in response to market conditions.
Large-cap stock - These are shares issued by large
companies with a market capitalization generally greater
than $10 billion.
Mid-cap stock - These are issued by mid-sized companies
with a market cap generally between $2 billion and $10
billion.
Small-cap stocks – this type of asset are show small size
of firm with a market cap that is less than $2 billion.
It has the highest risk due to lower liquidity.
BWFNN3033 Portfolio Management
25
Fixed-income securities – the fixed-income asset class consist
of debt securities, which have to pay the owner or
holder, some amount of fee at a maturity. When the
security matures, the income should be as well as the
return of principal.
International securities - These types of assets are issued by
foreign companies and listed on a foreign exchange.
International securities allow an investor to diversify
outside of his or her country, but they also have
exposure the foreign related risk. The risk that a
country will not be able to honor its financial
commitments.
BWFNN3033 Portfolio Management
26
2.3 How Select the assets?First of all, I see the needs of my client, Mrs . Clara
Based on her occupation, I can see that she must be
considering about target risk and target date strategies.
This is because she is going to retire in a few years.
So, she has to be well prepared about when the return
that she will get.
Target risk strategies
The fund that she invests may not be return as she wants.
Might be she loses the money or gain extra money. Stock
markets and investments are keep on changing and can
decline significantly due to issuer, market, economic,
political, regulatory, geopolitical and other conditions.
For example, Mrs Clara selected to invest in small-cap
company is because it is more volatile than investments
in larger companies. So that the possibility she can gain
more interest is higher. The second investment that she
did for example is investment in foreign markets that
involve greater risk and volatile than investments in
larger companies.
BWFNN3033 Portfolio Management
27
Target date strategies
This strategy is for Mrs Clara to choose the time horizon
that works best for her specific financial goals
consistent with the approximate retirement year. As she
wants to have a good return in the year she retired, she
chose the asset allocation of cash, fixed income, blue
chip stocks, foreign stocks, small caps and risky assets
that have a specific date on when she will gain earnings
from her investments.
2.4 Why We Selected the Assets?We have picked out the assets based on our diligent
research. We as an investment manager pondered that there
are so many different or identical factual evidences.
However, we selected the assets based on the factors that
our client can able to meet. The factors are such as risk
BWFNN3033 Portfolio Management
28
tolerance; time horizon and et cetera. Several numbers
of assets that Mrs Clara has allocated are for reducing
the portfolio risk since different investments can be
affected by the economic events and market factors. By
owning different types of investments help to reduce the
possibility of exposure that a particular risk type will
adversely affect her portfolio.
2.5 Proportion of the Investment and The
Reason?Since our client is in the mid-life accumulators, she has
a desire to begin a plan for a comfortable retirement. At
this life cycle stage, our client tend to realize that
her productive years are about half over and needs a good
proportion of asset allocation to get high return on
investment which give a significant impact on wealth. We
recommend the appropriate proportion for asset classes
for client to achieve the main goals which is to maximize
return and minimize risk and obtain a long-term growth
capital.
BWFNN3033 Portfolio Management
29
To achieve high level of return, we suggest that our
clients need to invest 64% in equities, which are
Blue chip stocks for 56% and foreign stocks for 8%.
This is because equities have the highest potential
of return but also have high risk. The positive side
of stocks is that the stocks keep pace with
inflation and hold or increase their value over
time. The possibility of losses can happen but on
this situation, our investor can recover the losses
due to her longer time horizon before retire.
The proportion for fixed income is 24% which the
investor will receive steady income that provided.
The fixed income assets tend to have lower return
than equities because it has low risk. This low risk
securities include corporate and government bonds.
In the financial assets at least need a small
proportion of cash which is 9% for investment
opportunities that our client should have. Cash pay
little or no interest but it is for shelter from
BWFNN3033 Portfolio Management
30
other asset classes that have high short term risk
of loss.
Our clients also should take a very small proportion
for high risk asset which are 2% for small cap and
1% for risky assets. This in return can contribute
to the income from the investment. We want to take a
precaution action since the investor is not a risk
averse. This is the right proportion to invest in
risky assets.
BWFNN3033 Portfolio Management
31
Reference:
Akhbar, Siaran.(2014, April 10). Monetary and Financial
Developments. Retrieved from:
http://www.bnm.gov.my/files/publication/msb/2014/3/i_en.p
df
Malaysia Business Advisory. (2014). Malaysia Economy 2014.
Retrieved from: http://malaysiabizadvisory.com/malaysia-
economy-2014/
Suzy. (2014, January 28). Malaysian Economic Outlook. Retrieved
from: http://www.mier.org.my/outlook/
Vinals, Jose., Singh, Anoop.(2013, January 28). Financial
System Stability Assessment. Retrieved from
https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/scr/2013/cr1352.pdf
BWFNN3033 Portfolio Management
32