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Stock Tales are concise, holistic stock reports across wider spectrum of sectors. Updates will not be periodical but based on significant events or change in price.
Stock_____
TALES
October 25, 2019
ICIC
I S
ecurit
ies –
Retail E
quit
y R
esearch
Stock T
ale
s
October 25, 2019
CMP: | 120 Target: | 160 (33%) Target Period: 12-14 months
months
Globus Spirits (GLOSPI)
BUY
Transition from ENA supplier to diversified business…
Globus Spirits (GSL) has a grain based manufacturing capacity of ~150
million bulk litre as on FY19, spanning across five integrated distilleries at
Vaishali (Bihar), Bardhaman (West Bengal), Behror (Rajasthan), Samalkha &
Hisar (Haryana). For FY19, IMIL contributed 47% to gross revenue while
ENA, others (animal feed, CO2, bottling, etc) formed 40%, 11%,
respectively. We expect 13%, 16%, 46% CAGR in revenue, EBITDA, PAT,
respectively, in FY19-21E driven by growth in IMIL, ethanol & bulk category.
ENA, ethanol, IMIL production to ensure utilisation stays high
For FY19, the company achieved extra neutral alcohol (raw material for IMIL,
IMFL) production at ~130 million litre (~85-90% utilisation) and is expected
to reach ~150-155 million litre (~95% utilisation of full capacity) in FY21E.
The capacity makes GSL self-sufficient in terms of captive utilisation of its
own ENA needs with low requirement of any incremental capex (~42%
captive utilisation of current capacity), residual being sold in open market,
which generated 43% (~| 427 crore) of net revenues in FY19. Going
forward, ethanol supply to OMC in the near term will further utilise ~22% of
the overall capacity, keeping utilisation in the 90-95% range.
Diversified business model positions GSL across value chain
GSL covers entire value chain of alcohol manufacturing undertaking an array
of operating activities from manufacturing of extra neutral alcohol (ENA) to
contract bottling of Indian made foreign liquor (IMFL), to marketing and
selling of IMIL and several by-products. IMIL dominates the share of captive
utilisation (~46% of FY19 revenue), with Rajasthan being the dominant
contributor (~75-80% of IMIL revenues, ~30% market share in the state).
Also, the company’s JV ‘Unibev’ (90% owned, 10% owned by former USL
MD Vijay Rekhi) has launched three IMFL liquor brands in Prestige and
Above category in a few pilot southern states. The management has been
slowly building up the franchise across key territories.
Valuation & outlook
We believe that initially newer capacities at Bihar and West Bengal will reach
optimal utilisation with bulk alcohol. Newer brands for IMIL (like “Goldee”
recently launched in West Bengal) and ethanol supply would lead to greater
captive usage of ENA. GSL saw a strong improvement in EBITDA margin
(~9% in FY19 from 8.1% in FY18). We expect margins in the range of 9-10%
for FY20E, FY21E, on the back of favourable hike in Rajasthan and negation
of rising input costs by higher bulk and ethanol realisation. We expect 13%,
16%, 46% CAGR in revenue, EBITDA, PAT, respectively, in FY19-21E.
Robust growth in the IMIL, ethanol & bulk category are expected to drive the
performance. Subsequently, RoCE is expected to move from 10% to ~14%
in FY21E. We have a BUY rating on the company with a target price of | 160,
valuing the business at 9x FY21E EPS.
Key Financial Summary
| crore FY18 FY19 FY20E FY21E CAGR
Net Sales 855.2 985.9 1,149.4 1,268.6 13.4%
EBITDA 68.2 88.3 102.3 119.2 16.2%
PAT 5.8 24.3 36.7 51.9 46.1%
P/E (x) 57.2 13.7 9.1 6.4
M.Cap/Sales (x) 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3
RoCE (%) 6.0 9.5 11.3 13.5
RoE (%) 1.6 6.1 8.4 10.7
Source: ICICI Direct Research, Company
Particulars
Market Capitalisation (| cr) 337.7
52 Week High / Low (|) 182/92
Promoter Holding (%) 55.1
FII Holding (%) 0.4
DII Holding (%) 0.2
Dividend Yield (%) 0.0
Price Chart
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Nifty Smallcap 50
Globus Spirits (RHS)
Key Highlights
Globus’ grain based ENA capacity
expected to reach ~150-155 million
litre (~95% utilisation of full capacity)
in FY21E
We expect 13%, 16%, 46% CAGR in
revenue, EBITDA, PAT, respectively,
in FY19-21E driven by growth in the
IMIL, ethanol & bulk category
Research Analyst
Bharat Chhoda
Harshal Mehta
ICICI Securities | Retail Research 2
ICICI Direct Research
Stock Tales | Globus Spirits
Company Background
Globus Spirits, incorporated in 1993, is engaged in manufacturing,
marketing and sale of industrial alcohol comprising rectified spirit and extra-
neutral alcohol (ENA), country liquor and Indian made foreign liquor (IMFL).
GSL has established a significant presence in country liquor across states
like Haryana and Rajasthan. GSL currently operates a distillery capacity of
~150 million bulk litre across four modern and fully integrated distilleries at
key markets like Bihar, Rajasthan, Haryana and West Bengal (newly
commissioned). Also, an additional capacity of ~10 million bulk litre at Bihar
(de-bottlenecking) is expected to begin commercial operations in a few
months. Post the capacity enhancement, total manufacturing capacity would
be scaled up to ~160 million bulk litre.
Exhibit 1: FY19 revenue break-up
47%
40%
11%
2%
IMIL
ENA
Others - Spent Grain, CO2, DDGS
Bottling
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
History and track record
Globus Spirits was incorporated on February 16, 1993 under the
name Globus Agronics Ltd
First distillery that was set up commenced production of ethyl
alcohol in April 1994 at Samalkha Unit, Haryana. The unit was set up
with an installed capacity of 144 lakh BL per annum
GSL set up a second distillery unit at Behror, Rajasthan in 1996-97.
and entered into an agreement with International Distilleries (India) -
a subsidiary of International Distillers and Ventures, UK, to bottle
IMFL products under the brand name of ‘IDI’
Commenced bottling of IMFL at Behror Unit in August, 1999; and
country liquor at Samalkha unit in December, 1999
GSL launched new whisky brand County Club and entered into a
bottling tie-up with Jagatjit Industries in 2010. Globus Spirits has
received court approval to merge ADL with itself
The company signed a franchisee bottling agreement with USL in
2012
GSL recently added two additional capacities at West Bengal and
Bihar (~60 million litre) taking total ENA capacity to 150 million
Geographical presence
ICICI Securities | Retail Research 3
ICICI Direct Research
Stock Tales | Globus Spirits
Investment Rationale
Capacity utilisation to remain high
GSL has a manufacturing capacity of ~150 million bulk litre as on FY19,
which spans across five integrated distilleries at Bardhaman (West Bengal),
Behror (Rajasthan), Vaishali (Bihar) and Samalkha & Hisar (Haryana). Prior to
the 150 million bulk litre consolidated capacity, GSL had embarked on a
strategy, a few years ago, to add two additional capacities at WB and Bihar
(~60 million litre). However, the Bihar plant subsequently got entangled in
the changes of condition for issuance of distillery license in the state,
negatively impacting its P&L. The Bihar government, upon orders of the High
Court, later allowed manufacturing of ENA in the state implying that it can
now recommence the distillery and export ENA out of the state and country.
As on FY19, the plant has recommenced its operations, and along with ENA;
the ethanol supply is expected to drive its utilisation. The plant is expected
to further reach optimum capacity utilisation in the next six to 12 months
post de-bottlenecking at its Bihar plant. For FY19, GSL achieved extra neutral
alcohol (raw material for IMIL, IMFL) production at ~130 million litre (~85-
90% utilisation of current capacity) and is expected to reach ~150-155
million litre (~95% utilisation of full capacity) in FY21E. The capacity makes
GSL self-sufficient in terms of captive utilisation of its own ENA needs
(~42% captive utilisation of current capacity), residual being sold in open
market. Approximately 50% of ENA produced is sold in the open market,
which generated 43% (~| 427 crore) of net revenues in FY19.
Exhibit 2: ENA capacity
105.8
123.7
150.0160.0 160.0
0
40
80
120
160
200
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20E FY21E
million litres
ENA Capacity
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
Diversified business model positions GSL across value chain
Over the years, GSL has successfully transformed from a grain-based bulk
alcohol manufacturer to a 360° alcohol beverage (alcobev segment) player.
GSL covers the entire value chain of alcohol manufacturing undertaking
array of operating activities from manufacturing of extra neutral alcohol
(ENA) to contract bottling of Indian made foreign liquor (IMFL), to marketing
and selling IMIL and several by-products. GSL utilised ~45% of existing
capacity for captive consumption in FY19. IMIL dominates the share of
captive utilisation (~46% FY19 revenue contribution), with Rajasthan being
the dominant contributor (~75-80% of IMIL revenues and ~30% market
share in the state). Major IMIL brands include Nimboo, Heer Ranjha,
Ghoomer and Goldee. New IMIL brands launched in West Bengal remain key
for the company’s growth in the IMIL category. GSL also offers contract
manufacturing for bottling brands like Officer’s Choice and McDowell's No.1
for leading IMFL players like United Spirits and Allied Blenders Distillers
(ABD). The company also markets its by-product distilled dried grains
soluble (DDGS), which provides an attractive animal feed in replacement for
soybean and maize. The diversified business model (360° approach) enables
GSL to manage optimum level of utilisation. Transition of the incremental
ENA produced towards captive utilisation would remain key for gaining
ICICI Securities | Retail Research 4
ICICI Direct Research
Stock Tales | Globus Spirits
higher realisation (ENA diverted towards IMIL yields ~2.5-3X realisation)
and also contributes to higher incremental margins.
Exhibit 3: Brand portfolio
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
Government fuel ethanol push to benefit ENA suppliers
Government of India has encouraged building additional ethanol production
capacity, to raise ethanol blending in petrol to 10% by 2022 from current 2-
3%. As per industry estimates for FY19E, 53% of alcohol demand (~3.3
billion litre) is expected to arise from production of ethanol and only 36%
(2.2 billion litre) will be from the potable alcohol sector. Also, going by the
recent BPCL E-procurement tender for supply of ~329 crore litre of ethanol,
it equated the bidding prices of grain based ethanol with B-heavy molasses
at ~| 47.1/litre. GSL bid and has been allocated 2.6 crore litre in the first
tender cycle. The management expects additional ethanol volumes in two
further allocation cycles. The management has enlisted its distilleries in
Haryana and Bihar to be utilised for production for ethanol from ENA (with
a | 10-12 crore capex). ENA from states such as Haryana and Bihar which
have over capacity situation garner lower realisation of ~| 39-40 /litre. Thus,
a diversion to ethanol production could raise the realisation by ~18-20%.
Exhibit 4: IMIL gross revenues trend
400.4
479.6509.0
560.7
618.1
0
300
600
900
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20E FY21E
| crore
IMIL gross revenues
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
Exhibit 5: ENA & ethanol revenue trend
205.1
349.2
427.1
543.9
610.6
0
150
300
450
600
750
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20E FY21E
| crore
ENA & Ethanol revenues
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
ICICI Securities | Retail Research 5
ICICI Direct Research
Stock Tales | Globus Spirits
Building of IMFL franchise to add long term value
The company’s JV ‘Unibev’ (90% owned and 10% owned by former USL
MD Vijay Rekhi) has launched three IMFL liquor brands in Prestige and
Above category in a few pilot southern states. As on FY19, the geographic
presence includes Puducherry, Karnataka, Telangana, West Bengal and
Andhra Pradesh and the three brands include L’Affaire Napoleon Premium
French brandy, Governor’s Reserve whisky created with 12 Year old
matured scotch, Oakton Barrel Aged whisky created with 18 Year old
matured scotch. The premium brand portfolio has an age claim over
competitors (blended with aged scotch) and is expected to include two to
three more brands in the whisky and vodka segment. Rise in discretionary
spends, increasing number of aspiring consumers and limited competitors
and options for consumers makes the category particularly attractive.
However, the management is taking a cautious step in expansion and will
infuse | 15-20 crore each year in building up the JV business. It also intends
to launch IMFL in states such as Maharashtra in FY20 and would begin
exports in a while. Higher realisation from IMFL would push the asset
turnover for the company, with increased margins, thereby providing
healthy contribution to return ratios. However, we expect meaningful
contribution from the Unibev franchise from FY22 onwards.
ICICI Securities | Retail Research 6
ICICI Direct Research
Stock Tales | Globus Spirits
Financials
Net revenues expected to grow at 13% CAGR to | 1269 crore in FY19-21E
GSL’s blended revenues are expected to grow in grow double digits. IMIL
segment is expected to grow at CAGR of 10% over FY19-21E to | 498 crore,
on the back of 4% volume growth (low single digit volume growth mainly
led by management cautious stance on West Bengal IMIL market due delay
in the price hike by the state government). On the other hand, revenues from
bulk and ethanol sales are expected to clock 20% growth to | 611 crore
mainly led by the de-bottlenecking exercise at Bihar plant (would lead to an
incremental 10 million litre of ENA capacity) and commencement of ethanol
supply in FY20. Overall, others segment is expected to remain flat at | 129
crore. On an overall basis, we expect blended Globus revenues to grow at
13% CAGR to | 1269 crore in FY19-21E.
Exhibit 6: Net revenues expected to clock 13% CAGR in FY19-21 to | 1269 crore
789.1855.2
985.9
1149.4
1268.6
0
300
600
900
1200
1500
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20E FY21E
| crore
Revenues
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
EBITDA margins expected to increase mere 40 bps due to COGS inflation
Liquor companies have been experiencing a rise in raw material inflation (i.e.
ENA and glass) since H2FY19. Being a grain ENA supplier itself, GSL has
also seen grain prices harden QoQ and YoY. However, ongoing stronger
growth in ENA realisation in key markets would, thus, negate higher inflation
and even result in a marginal gross margin expansion. Other expenses are
expected to stay range bound in the presence of a limited capex (| 30-40
crore) in the standalone and Unibev entity. Overall, we expect EBITDA
margins to expand 40 bps in two years, mainly led by expansion in gross
margins. Hence, absolute EBITDA is expected to grow 16% to | 119 crore.
Exhibit 7: EBITDA expected to grow 16% to | 119 crore
54.8
68.2
88.3
102.3
119.2
6.9
8.0
9.0 8.99.4
0.0
4.0
8.0
12.0
0
30
60
90
120
150
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20E FY21E
%
| crore
EBITDA EBITDA margin (RHS)
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
ICICI Securities | Retail Research 7
ICICI Direct Research
Stock Tales | Globus Spirits
PAT expected to grow at 46% CAGR to | 52 crore in FY19-21E
Capex is expected to remain rangebound at | 30-40 crore each year in the
consolidated entity. The management also expects to further deleverage its
balance sheet from current debt level of | 200 crore by | 50-70 crore in two
years, which is expected to lower the interest expense from | 26 crore to
| 18 crore in FY21, which is expected to ramp up the profitability of the
company. Thus, PAT is expected to grow at 46% FY19-21 CAGR to | 52
crore, higher than the expected growth on the EBITDA front. Also lower tax
(decline of 200-300 bps) due to change in corporate tax rate is expected to
further aid the growth in net profit.
Exhibit 8: PAT expected to grow 46% to | 52 crore
7.45.8
24.3
36.7
51.9
0
15
30
45
60
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20E FY21E
| crore
PAT
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
Return ratios, free cash flows to remain strong, going ahead
GSL clocked RoE & RoCE of mere 6.1% & 9.5%, respectively, in FY19, led by
subdued grain ENA prices and excess capacity. With rising revenues and
profitability and lack of any major capex in the medium term, RoE and RoCE
are expected to remain healthy at 10.7% and 13.5%, respectively, in FY21.
Exhibit 9: Return ratios to remain stable
2.01.6
6.1
8.4
10.7
3.3
6.0
9.5
11.3
13.5
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20E FY21E
%
RoE RoCE
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
Similarly, with focus on priority states and better working capital
management and lower capex, cash flows are expected to remain strong.
ICICI Securities | Retail Research 8
ICICI Direct Research
Stock Tales | Globus Spirits
Valuations
We believe that initially newer capacities at Bihar and West Bengal will reach
optimal utilisation with bulk alcohol. Newer brands for IMIL (like “Goldee”
recently launched in West Bengal) and ethanol supply would lead to greater
captive usage of ENA. GSL saw a strong improvement in EBITDA margin
(~9% in FY19 from 8.1% in FY18). We expect margins in the range of 9-10%
for FY20E, FY21E, on the back of favourable hike in Rajasthan and negation
of rising input costs by higher bulk and ethanol realisation. We expect 13%,
16%, 46% CAGR in revenue, EBITDA, PAT, respectively, in FY19-21E.
Robust growth in the IMIL, ethanol & bulk category are expected to drive the
performance. Subsequently, RoCE is expected to move from 10% to ~14%
in FY21E. We have a BUY rating on the company with a target price of | 160,
valuing the business at 9x FY21E EPS.
Exhibit 10: Globus valuation
Revenues Growth EPS Growth P/E EV/EBITDA RoNW RoCE
(| crore) (%) (|) (%) (x) (X) (%) (%)
FY17 789.1 8.2 2.6 21.4 46.9 10.8 2.0 3.3
FY18 855.2 8.4 2.0 -20.8 59.2 8.3 1.6 6.0
FY19 985.9 15.3 8.5 316.8 14.2 6.2 6.1 9.5
FY20E 1149.4 16.6 12.7 50.7 9.4 5.2 8.4 11.3
FY21E 1268.6 10.4 18.0 41.6 6.7 4.1 10.7 13.5
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
ICICI Securities | Retail Research 9
ICICI Direct Research
Stock Tales | Globus Spirits
Risks and concerns
Geographic concentration
The company derives 75% of its IMIL revenues (52% of FY18 topline) from
Rajasthan. Any disruption (on the supply or demand side) in the state, could
lead to revenue and profitability decline for the company.
JV related costs
The company will invest | 20-25 crore each year in developing brands in
the IMFL category, dominated by Diageo and Pernod Richard. It is yet to be
seen how that avenue pans out
Highly regulated sector
Liquor distribution business in India is subject to strict regulations. The rules
and regulation vary in different states. Any change in policies by the
respective state governments with regard to production, distribution or
marketing of IMFL can impact the operational performance of the company.
Also, changes in taxes and other levies by the state government can impact
the financial performance of the company.
Increase in raw material costs
The prices of grains (which is one of the primary raw materials for
manufacture of IMFL) and packaging material have been hardening since
H2FY19, which has impacted the margins of liquor companies. Any further
significant and sustained increase in their prices can impact the profitability
of the company.
Slowdown in volume growth
Any significant slowdown in volume growth could impact the operation and
financial performance of the company in a negative manner.
Inability to take price hikes
In majority of the states, price hikes are decided by the government. If the
company is not granted price hikes or the price hike is insufficient to cover
for increased input cost, it can impact the margins of the company.
ICICI Securities | Retail Research 10
ICICI Direct Research
Stock Tales | Globus Spirits
Financial Summary
Exhibit 11: Profit & loss statement (| crore)
(Year-end March)/ (| crore) FY18 FY19 FY20E FY21E
Total Operating Income 855.2 985.9 1,149.4 1,268.6
Growth (%) 8.4 15.3 16.6 10.4
Raw Material Expenses 516.9 599.0 689.6 754.8
Gross Profit 338.3 386.9 459.8 513.8
Gross Profit Margins (%) 39.6 39.2 40.0 40.5
Employee Expenses 22.9 27.7 29.9 33.0
Other Expenditure 247.2 270.9 327.6 361.5
Total Operating Expenditure 787.1 897.7 1,047.1 1,149.3
EBITDA 68.2 88.3 102.3 119.2
Growth (%) 24.4 29.4 15.9 16.6
Interest 27.1 26.3 22.9 18.1
Depreciation 36.2 36.1 38.5 40.6
Other Income 5.4 7.1 7.2 8.0
PBT before Exceptional Items 10.2 32.9 48.2 68.5
Less: Exceptional Items 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
PBT after Exceptional Items 10.2 32.9 48.2 68.5
Total Tax 4.5 9.2 12.1 17.2
PAT before MI 5.7 23.7 36.0 51.3
Minority Interest -0.1 -0.6 -0.7 -0.7
PAT 5.8 24.3 36.7 51.9
Growth (%) -20.8 316.8 50.7 41.6
EPS (Adjusted) 2.0 8.5 12.7 18.0
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
Exhibit 12: Cash flow statement (| crore)
(Year-end March)/ (| crore) FY18 FY19 FY20E FY21E
Profit/(Loss) after taxation 5.8 24.3 36.7 51.9
Add: Depreciation & Amortization 36.2 36.1 38.5 40.6
Add: Interest Paid 27.1 26.3 22.9 18.1
Net Increase in Current Assets -5.7 -26.7 -21.1 -15.7
Net Increase in Current Liabilities -4.5 -3.7 16.4 12.4
Others -3.2 -25.8 0.0 0.0
CF from Operating activities 55.8 30.6 93.4 107.4
(Purchase)/Sale of Fixed Assets -18.8 -16.8 -37.6 -40.0
Long term Loans & Advances -0.6 3.2 0.0 0.0
Investments 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Others -1.0 13.7 -24.1 -0.5
CF from Investing activities -1.6 16.9 -61.7 -40.5
(inc)/Dec in Loan -27.0 -21.1 -10.0 -40.0
Dividend & Dividend tax 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Less: Interest Paid -27.1 -26.3 -22.9 -18.1
Other 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
CF from Financing activities -54.1 -47.4 -32.9 -58.1
Net Cash Flow 0.1 0.1 -1.3 8.8
Cash and Cash Equivalent at the beginning2.4 2.4 2.5 1.2
Cash 2.4 2.5 1.2 10.0
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
Exhibit 13: Balance Sheet (| crore)
(Year-end March) FY18 FY19 FY20E FY21E
Equity Capital 28.8 28.8 28.8 28.8
Reserve and Surplus 344.7 369.1 405.8 457.7
Total Shareholders funds 373.5 397.9 434.6 486.5
Minority Interest -0.1 -0.7 -0.7 -0.7
Total Debt 222.1 201.0 191.0 151.0
Deferred Tax Liability 22.7 23.6 0.0 0.0
Long-Term Provisions 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8
Other Non Current Liabilities 2.7 2.5 2.5 2.6
Source of Funds 622.5 626.0 629.1 641.1
Gross Block - Fixed Assets 671.2 672.3 712.3 752.3
Accumulated Depreciation 62.7 98.7 137.1 177.7
Net Block 608.6 573.7 575.2 574.6
Capital WIP 0.5 12.4 10.0 10.0
Fixed Assets 609.0 586.0 585.2 584.6
Investments 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Other non-Current Assets 27.8 27.0 27.5 28.1
Inventory 60.4 77.8 90.5 99.9
Debtors 48.4 49.1 57.1 63.0
Loans and Advances 7.5 9.1 9.2 9.2
Other Current Assets 12.5 16.2 16.5 16.8
Cash 2.4 2.5 1.2 10.0
Total Current Assets 131.2 154.6 174.5 199.0
Creditors 96.5 94.7 110.1 121.6
Provisions 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.7
Other Current Liabilities 47.5 45.4 46.3 47.2
Total Current Liabilities 145.5 141.7 158.1 170.5
Net Current Assets -14.3 12.9 16.4 28.5
Application of Funds 622.5 625.9 629.1 641.1
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
Exhibit 14: Key ratios
(Year-end March) FY18 FY19 FY20E FY21E
Per share data (|)
Reported EPS 2.0 8.5 12.7 18.0
Cash EPS 2.0 8.5 12.7 18.0
BV per share 129.7 138.2 150.9 168.9
Cash per Share 0.8 0.9 0.4 3.5
Dividend per share 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Operating Ratios (%)
Gross Profit Margins 39.6 39.2 40.0 40.5
EBITDA margins 8.0 9.0 8.9 9.4
PAT Margins 0.7 2.5 3.2 4.1
Inventory days 25.8 28.8 28.7 28.7
Debtor days 20.6 18.2 18.1 18.1
Creditor days 41.2 35.0 35.0 35.0
Asset Turnover 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.7
Return Ratios (%)
RoE 1.6 6.1 8.4 10.7
RoCE 6.0 9.5 11.3 13.5
RoIC 5.2 8.5 10.3 12.7
Valuation Ratios (x)
P/E 59.2 14.2 9.4 6.7
EV / EBITDA 8.3 6.2 5.2 4.1
EV / Net Sales 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4
Market Cap / Sales 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3
Price to Book Value 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.7
Solvency Ratios
Debt / EBITDA 3.3 2.3 1.9 1.3
Debt / Equity 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3
Current Ratio 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.1
Quick Ratio 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
ICICI Securities | Retail Research 11
ICICI Direct Research
Stock Tales | Globus Spirits
RATING RATIONALE
ICICI Direct endeavors to provide objective opinions and recommendations. ICICI Direct assigns ratings to its
stocks according to their notional target price vs. current market price and then categorizes them as Buy, Hold,
Reduce and Sell. The performance horizon is two years unless specified and the notional target price is defined as
the analysts' valuation for a stock
Buy: >15%
Hold: -5% to 15%;
Reduce: -15% to -5%;
Sell: <-15%
Pankaj Pandey Head – Research [email protected]
ICICI Direct Research Desk,
ICICI Securities Limited,
1st Floor, Akruti Trade Centre,
Road No 7, MIDC,
Andheri (East)
Mumbai – 400 093
ICICI Securities | Retail Research 12
ICICI Direct Research
Stock Tales | Globus Spirits
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