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© 2012 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
Adobe Consulting Services Adobe & Attribution
© 2012 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
Define “Attribute”
at·trib·ute [v. uh-trib-yoot]
1) to regard as resulting from a specified cause; consider as caused by something indicated
3) to consider as made by the one indicated, especially with strong evidence but in the absence of conclusive proof: to attribute a painting to an artist.
4) to regard as produced by or originating in the time, period, place, etc., indicated; credit; assign
2
You have a lot of players on the field…
Who scored?
© 2012 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
Consider a typical Path to Purchase
3
Display
Day 1:
Visitor sees display ad
3
Natural Search
Day 3:
Natural Search “Photoshop” ► Site
Paid Search
Day 4:
Paid Search “Buy Photoshop” ► Site
Social ► $
Day 5:
Social leads to Conversion
© 2012 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
Why do we Attribute?
Sr. Level & Executive Sponsor
Optimizing Marketing Spend?
“Global Truth”
Marketer & Tactical
Optimizing one channel?
“Focused Truths” (should still include an understanding of the Global Truth)
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© 2012 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. 5
Key Takeaways
Be aware of the choices and challenges for building your Attribution Model, but don’t let them keep you from getting started.
“Don’t let perfect get in the way of good.”
“Creating an Attribution Model for your business can be really challenging, so start simple and evolve from there”
© 2012 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. 6
Attribution in the Adobe Marketing Cloud
6
Custom Predictive & Statistical
Attribution of Offline Conversions
Custom & Special Weighted
Baseline & Out-of-the-Box
Reports & Analytics Data Workbench
© 2012 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
Attribution in Data Workbench
Advanced Attribution Solution (Depends on existing dataset with all desired data integrated)
Consult on Attribution Methods & Models
Deploy & Deliver standard global models
Standard Starter/Player/Closer
First
Last
Participation
Pathing
Latency Score
Provide Analysis, Client Data Workshops, Statistical Modeling, and Consultation on Marketing Mix Optimization
Deliver recommended model optimization roadmap
7
© 2012 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
Insight Attribution Engagement Roadmap
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Explore Envision Execute Evolve
Project Kick off Adobe Ignition Bus. Consulting
Deploy Global Attribution Models
Starter/Player/Closer – First – Last Participation – Pathing – Latency Score
Analysis (Insight Bus Consultants)
Future Execution of Custom Model
Recommendations
Project Charter
Present Analysis & MMO Recommendation
& Future Custom Model Recommendation
Statistical/Modeling (Predictive Team)
Integrate Custom MMO (Starter/Player/Closer)
Weighting
Client Workshops for Understanding
© 2012 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. 9
Common Attribution Models
© 2012 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
Last Touch vs. First Touch
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Benefits: Easy to understand; Simple to implement
Display Natural Search
Paid Search Social > $699
“Last Touch” Attribution: Gives the full credit to the last event
$699
“Last Touch” Attribution: Gives the full credit to the first event
$699
© 2012 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
Display Natural Search
Paid Search Social > $699
Linear vs. Participation Attribution
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11
Linear Attribution
$175 $175 $175 $175
Participation
$699 $699 $699 $699
© 2012 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
Display Natural Search
Paid Search Social > $699
Starter + Players + Closer
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12
Starter + Players + Closer
“Players”: Other Tactics or Placements along the path to Conversion
“Closer”: Directly led to Conversion
“Starter”: Tactic or Placement initiating path to Conversion
© 2012 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
Display Natural Search
Paid Search Social > $699
Starter + Players + Closer
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13
Weighted Starter + Players + Closer Attribution: Decide on a weighted % credit to give to “Starter”, “Players”, & “Closer”
“Players” “Closer” “Starter” 100%
“Players” “Closer” “Starter” 50%
…and, or… 50%
“Players” “Closer” “Starter” 40%
…and, or… 20% 40%
© 2012 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
Display Natural Search
Paid Search Social > $699
Modified Starter + Players + Closer
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14
Starter + Players + Closer
“Starter”: Tactic or Placement initiating path to Conversion
“Players”: Other Tactics or Placements along the path to Conversion
Ignore due to some rule (i.e.: Branded Term)
“Closer”: Directly led to Conversion
© 2012 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
Display Natural Search
Paid Search Social > $699
Predictive Model
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15
Statistically Weighted Attribution: Decide on a weighted % based on probability score
1. Validate sufficient marketing channel data 2. Extract and model data
• Logistic regression, correlation, probabilistic models
3. Provide probabilistic revenue amount based on likelihood to contribute.
Note: May not always add up to 100% because of outside factors or non paid sources that contribute to conversion.
20% 15% 10% 15%
© 2012 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
Display Natural Search
Paid Search Social > $699
Restricted First Touch
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Restricted First Touch gives precedence for certain channels over others
$699
For example, we might say: “Let’s use First Touch, but only include Search or Social touches. Ignore other channels.” The First Touch using this logic would be the Natural Search above. Consider that you could also implement a Restricted Last Touch.
© 2012 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
Adjacency Scoring
17
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Adjacency Scoring attaches a “Score” to each Tactic or Placement based on how adjacent it is to the Conversion, then averages each Score
Social Display Paid Search > $ 3 4 5
Display Natural Search
Paid Search Social > $
3 4 5 2
Paid Search Display Social Natural > $ 2 3 4 5
© 2012 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
Latency Scoring
18
18
Latency Scoring considers how many days each Tactic or Placement averages before Conversion
Social Display Paid Search > $ 6 1 0
Display Natural Search
Paid Search Social > $
8 2 0 10
Paid Search Display Social Natural > $ 16 9 5 0