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Edward G. Rendell, Governor www.dot.state.pa.us
Provider: AIA Pittsburgh Provider Number A217
PPart 2Transformation in Mobility: Impacts of Connected and Automated Vehicles in the Built EnvironmentCourse Number BP16
Allen BiehlerApril 21, 2016
Edward G. Rendell, Governor www.dot.state.pa.us
Credit(s) earned on completion of this course will be reported to AIA CES for AIA members. Certificates of Completion for both AIA members and non-AIA members are available upon request.
This course is registered with AIA
CES for continuing professional education. As such, it does not include content that may be deemed or construed to be an approval or endorsement by the AIA of any material of construction or any method or manner ofhandling, using, distributing, or dealing in any material or product.___________________________________________Questions related to specific materials, methods, and services will be addressed at the conclusion of this presentation.
Edward G. Rendell, Governor www.dot.state.pa.us
This presentation is protected by US and International Copyright laws. Reproduction, distribution, display and use of the presentation without
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Copyright Materials
Edward G. Rendell, Governor www.dot.state.pa.usLearningObjectives
Objective 4 Identify potential impacts and
opportunities of automated vehicles Prepare for the future
At the end of the this course, participants will be able to:
Edward G. Rendell, Governor www.dot.state.pa.us
Connected and Autonomous Vehicles 2040 Vision
Secretary Barry Schoch
Edward G. Rendell, Governor www.dot.state.pa.usConnected & Autonomous Vehicles – 2040 Vision
• Infrastructure investment and design
• Communication devices / real time data use
• Driver licensing
• Workforce training needs
• Freight movement
Edward G. Rendell, Governor www.dot.state.pa.usProposed PennDOT Actions
• Evaluate planned capacity enhancements.
• Collaborate with private sector to convert data into information.
• Begin deployment of V2I applications at key locations.
• Reconfigure and repurpose lanes.
• Dedicate highway lanes to autonomous vehicle use.
Edward G. Rendell, Governor www.dot.state.pa.us
Personal car
Zipcar – internet, wireless technology + on-line payment
Real-time knowledge of all modes – seamless connectivity
• ubiquitous smart phones• collaboration of people• data assets• technology platforms
Major Transportation Changes
Edward G. Rendell, Governor www.dot.state.pa.us
CityLab April 27, 2015
Microtransit Movement Is Changing Urban Mobility
San Francisco commuter bus Leap Transit.
Edward G. Rendell, Governor www.dot.state.pa.usMicrotransit
Commuter buses Leap Transit or Chariot in San
Francisco
Bridj in Boston and now Washington
Dynamic vanpools
Via in New York.
Personal cars as taxis
Lyft
Uber
Company shuttles
Google bus
Edward G. Rendell, Governor www.dot.state.pa.usMicrotransit
Commuter buses Leap Transit or Chariot in San
Francisco
Bridj in Boston and now Washington
Dynamic vanpools
Via in New York.
Personal cars as taxis
Lyft
Uber
Company shuttles
Google bus
Driverless
Edward G. Rendell, Governor www.dot.state.pa.us
Distronic Plus w/ Steering Assist o Stay in laneo Brakeo Accelerate
Active lane assist Active blind spot assist Attention assist Night view assist Active parking assist
Technology available today
Edward G. Rendell, Governor www.dot.state.pa.usAutomation development & deployment
WepodGelderland, Netherlands
Fall 2015
Self-driving cross-country trip
April 1, 2015
“Available in 5 Years” Chris Urmson
Edward G. Rendell, Governor www.dot.state.pa.usAutomation development & deployment
Summer 2016Sion, Switzerland
PostBus Switzerland Ltd.
Edward G. Rendell, Governor www.dot.state.pa.usWhen?
Cadillac, Tesla, Google, Volvo, Audi, Mercedes-Benz and Nissan – driverless cars by 2020.
Fully driverless vehicles by 2025 (Boston Consulting Group)
Driverless trucks and cars by 2026-2030 (European Road Transport Research Council)
Driverless cars won’t be common and affordable until 2040-2060(Todd Litman)
Edward G. Rendell, Governor www.dot.state.pa.us
Automated Vehicle Issues
Technical
Regulatory
Operating
Policy
Edward G. Rendell, Governor www.dot.state.pa.usPolicy Issues
Connected and Autonomous Vehicles
Safety Congestion & VMT
Energy & Environment
Mobility & Access Public Transportation
Economy & JobsLand UseRoadwayDesign
Edward G. Rendell, Governor www.dot.state.pa.usThe transition is underway
Transportation Network Companies are the precursor of driverless transportation
Edward G. Rendell, Governor www.dot.state.pa.usHow Many American Cities Are Preparing For The Arrival of Self-Driving Cars?
Ride-sharing companies operate in 60 of the 68 largest US markets.
But only:
6% of US big cities are planning or thinking about automated vehicles.
3% of big cities’ transit plans are taking into account ride-hailing companies.
National League of Cities
Edward G. Rendell, Governor www.dot.state.pa.usReasons to be interested
30% of urban land in US devoted to parking and roadways
93% of vehicular deaths – human error
Death toll about 3,000/mo. in US
$230 billion in accident cost; 2-3% of GDP
Edward G. Rendell, Governor www.dot.state.pa.usReasons to be interested
50 billion hrs. of people’s time; worth about $1 trillion or 8% of GDP
50 billion gallons of imported gasoline
Average car sits idle 92% of time
Average car owner pays $12,544/yr
Cars & trucks produce 80% of transportation carbon.
Edward G. Rendell, Governor www.dot.state.pa.usConsiderations
Levels of automation
Capabilities of automated vehicles
When will automated vehicles be available?
Penetration rates
Who will own the vehicles?
When to take action?
What action?
Edward G. Rendell, Governor www.dot.state.pa.usPotential Outcomes
One shared autonomous vehicle (SAV) could replace 9 conventional vehicles in Austin (Kockelman et al, University of Texas)
SAV’s could result in a city where everyone could travel with one-fifth the number of cars (Carlo Ratti, SENSEable City Lab, MIT)
SAV’s could reduce traffic or make cars cheaper and increase traffic (Marshall Brown, Illinois Institute of Technology)
Lisbon could offer the same level of mobility with 10% of vehicles if Robo-taxis were used (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development)
Edward G. Rendell, Governor www.dot.state.pa.usPotential Outcomes
Driverless technology will enable electric vehicles.
More affordable housing if reduce parking requirements.
More independent mobility for people with low incomes.
Edward G. Rendell, Governor www.dot.state.pa.usWill the world of driverless cars be heaven or hell?
Robin Chase, Zipcar Founder, CityLab 4-3-14
By 2050, there could be 2.5 billion more people living in urban areas. If 10% have a car, that’s another 250 million vehicles. Jordan Crucchiola, Wired, 11-27-15
Edward G. Rendell, Governor www.dot.state.pa.us
Planners, Urban Designers & Developers
Collaboration Opportunity
Edward G. Rendell, Governor www.dot.state.pa.us
Wid
en20-Year Forecast
Capacity
Years
Ideal Traffic Planning
Past Practice
Edward G. Rendell, Governor www.dot.state.pa.us
Congestion
Wid
enCongestion
Congestion
Traf
fic
Wid
enCapacity
Years
Choice
Reduced Options
No Option
Past Practice
More Typical Traffic Planning
Edward G. Rendell, Governor www.dot.state.pa.usPast Practice
Edward G. Rendell, Governor www.dot.state.pa.usActions to Consider
Stop adding highway lanes and more parking lots. Instead build ideal driverless urban environment (Gabe Klein)
Driverless cars will create opportunity to capture roadway and parking space in urban areas.
Edward G. Rendell, Governor www.dot.state.pa.usActions to Consider
Roadway design
o Narrower lanes and cartways
o Curbside design for heavier pick-ups & drop-offs
o Special lanes for driverless vehicles
o Pedestrian and bicycle safety design
o Eliminate curbs
o Design speeds
Edward G. Rendell, Governor www.dot.state.pa.usActions to Consider
Parking
o Reduce or eliminate on- and off-street parking
o Lower or eliminate parking requirements for developments
Transit
o Continue investment in fixed-route, fixed guideway
o Stop and station design
o Service integration
Edward G. Rendell, Governor www.dot.state.pa.usActions to Consider
Consider driverless car pockets within cities.
Capture up to 90% of urban land devoted to roadways and parking.
o Garages & lots – commercial, mixed-use, residential
o Open space
Incentivize data companies to make upfront investments.
U LI conversation with Christopher Choa (AECOM VP, UK)
Edward G. Rendell, Governor www.dot.state.pa.usPolicy Issues
Connected and Autonomous Vehicles
Safety Congestion & VMT
Energy & Environment
Mobility & Access Public Transportation
Economy & JobsLand UseRoadwayDesign
Edward G. Rendell, Governor www.dot.state.pa.us
This concludes The American Institute of Architects Continuing Education Systems Course
AIA Pittsburgh945 Liberty Avenue, Unit 3Pittsburgh, PA 15222