Megan Braley Print Portfolio

age (2008)4 5 6 7 8 10 9 1112 131415 17 16 1920212223 24

age (1988)

Orlando, FL

Ocean City, MD

Atlantic City, NJ Pittsburgh, PA

Pocono Mts., PA

Cooperstown, NYBoston, MA

Fishtown, PA

Ocean City, NJ

Brandenton, FL

Lakeland, FL

Los Angeles, CA

Seattle, WA

Baltimore, MD

Megan Braley, M.I.D.Designer and Communications Strategist

[email protected]

FOREST CONFLICTS ARE UNIQUE in their complexity and persistence, ranging widely across scales, timeframes, players, and goods and services at issue. This challenge spurred our first dialogue in 2000 and it keeps us even busier today.

Unequal powers of those with a stake in the forests–Indigenous Peoples’ groups and the World Bank, for example –create fundamental stumbling blocks to finding solutions. And lack of solutions threatens a host of dire consequences: irreversible change to global climate systems, a biodiversity extinction crisis, and continued impoverishment of many whose livelihoods depend on forests. In this context, TFD hosts bottom-up dialogue initiatives to ensure a balanced representation of stakeholders’ voices and concerns in the dialogue process. In many cases, this process includes direct engagement at key field sites on the ground.

KEY DRIVERS ANDTRENDS AFFECTING FORESTS

WE’RE MOVING DOUBLE-TIME: in the next five years we aim to accomplish as much as we have in the past ten, hosting 40 dialogues and up to four concurrent initiatives at once. We have three initiatives underway and are currently scoping a fourth.

1. REDD READINESS: target recommendations for overcoming central challenges of REDD readiness at related local, national, and international levels.

2. INVESTING IN LOCALLY CONTROLLED FORESTRY: bridge the gap in understanding and foster productive partnerships between investors and rights-holders.

3. FREE, PRIOR AND INFORMED CONSENT: improve guidance and increase preparedness for effective FPIC approaches to benefit affected parties.

4. THE 4FS: Changing Outlooks on Food, Fuel, Fibre and Forests: catalyze debate and rally stakeholders around the future role of the 4Fs in a “one planet economy.”

These four dialogue initiatives will constitute the core of TFD’s work through 2015.

STRATEGIC ACTIONS TO 2015

FOR THE PAST TEN YEARS TFD has observed a largely unchanging purpose and mission. For the next five years we plan to do the same. That’s our commitment, and we think it’s a good thing.

OUR PURPOSE is to motivate sustainable land and resource use, conservation of forests, and improved livelihoods by urging invested groups to engage with, explore, and solve difficult forest issues.

OUR MISSION is to fulfill our purpose through constructive dialogue processes that build trust and spur collaborative action among all key stakeholders.

Through 2015 we hope to engage 2000 diverse forest sector leaders in at least four distinct initiatives. Our extensive network of dialogue and Steering Committee ‘alumni’ will be integral in achieving this goal.

TFD PURPOSE, MISSION AND GOAL THROUGH 2015

LET’S TALK about putting an end to illegal logging. Let’s talk about what it will take, realistically, to eliminate tropical deforestation. Let’s talk about strong collaboration between business, government, and local interests.

Let’s talk.

THE FORESTS DIALOGUE (TFD) helps a diversity of stakeholders build consensus and effect solutions around the most pressing local and global forest issues of today. TFD seeks common ground when that ground is thickly wooded, and when people want those woods for all variety of uses. The tool of intervention is focused dialogue, and the premise is simple and powerful: When like minds sit in dialogue, accomplishments can be impressive. When a diversity of minds sit in dialogue, accomplishments are bound to be extraordinary. We welcome the extraordinary.

LET’S HAVE A CONVERSATION

THE FORESTSDIALOGUE

ProjectPromotional Collateral

ClientThe Forests Dialogue (TFD)

DescriptionTFD is an independent program of Yale University that helps a diversity of stakeholders build consensus and effect solutions around the most pressing local and global forest issues of today. This brochure promotes TFD’s mission and current initiatives.

ResponsibilitiesArt Direction and Layout Design

SoftwarePhotoshop CS5, InDesign CS5

Year2011

The Forests DialogueStrategic Plan 2011-2015

ENGAGE! EXPLORE! CHANGE!

The Forests Dialogue stimulates multi-stakeholder platforms for discussion, reflection and the promotion of collaborative solutions to difficult issues facing forests and people. Since its establishment in 2000, TFD has engaged more than 2500 key stakeholders from civil society organisations, the private sector, and governments from all over the world in some 40 international dialogues.

TFD is a small but ambitious organisation, with a reach via our governing Steering Committee and Dialogue participants into institutions and organisations that are central to the future of forests and trees in landscapes. We seek to engage stakeholders from diverse backgrounds, to explore vital but contentious issues – ‘fracture lines’ in forest uses, demands and decision-making, and to change thinking and outcomes for the better. We have, for example, provided a vehicle for concerted stakeholder inputs to Forest Law Enforcement and Governance processes in Europe and North Asia, and have spread recognition of the scale of changes required to make REDD work in the tropics. TFD work has also spawned local organisations in a range of countries determined to extend and deepen regional dialogue initiatives.

Over the next five years, from 2011 to 2015, TFD seeks to run up to four concurrent dialogue initiatives involving up to 40 dialogues. In 2011 these initiatives are: REDD readiness; Free, Prior and Informed Consent; Investing in locally controlled forestry; and the ‘4F dialogues – changing outlooks on food, fuel, fibre and forests. A fifth dialogue on the potential role of GM trees within intensively managed planted forests will also be scoped. To maximise the effectiveness of these dialogue streams, we will sharpen our communication and knowledge management processes over the same period, coordinating the use of information before, during and post-dialogue and targeting materials to key stakeholders.

Drawing on our Steering Committee’s expertise, we will implement a realistic, but aspirational fundraising strategy to expand our business operations and to ensure that TFD’s capacity can meet the growing demand for our approach and activities. In implementing this strategic plan we will aim for best practice in managing risk and in monitoring and evaluating the work of TFD.

GeorGe AsherLake Taupo Forest Trust — New Zealand

estebAncio cAstro DiAzInternational Alliance of Indigenous and Tribal Peoples of the Tropical Forests (IAITPTF)

MArcus colchesterForest Peoples Programme

Minnie DeGAwAnKADIOAN - Phillipines

GerhArD DieterleThe World Bank

GAry DunninGThe Forests Dialogue

Peter GArDinerMondi

JAMes GriffithsWorld Business Council forSustainable Development

JeAnnette GurunGWomen Organizing for Change in Agriculture & NRM (WOCAN)

Peter KAnowsKiAustralian National University

chris KniGhtPricewaterhouseCoopers

sKiP KrAsnyKimberly-Clark

lArs lAestADiusWorld Resources Institute

Joe lAwsonMWV

stewArt MAGinnisInternational Union for theConservation of Nature (IUCN)

ruth MArtinezLa Asociación CoordinadoraIndígena y Campesina deAgroforestería ComunitariaCentroamericana (ACICAFOC)

JAMes MAyers, tfD co-leADerInternational Institute forEnvironment and Development

JAn McAlPineUnited Nations Forum on Forests

herbert PircherStora Enso

MiriAM ProchnowApremavi - Brazil

bob rAMsAyBuilding and WoodworkersInternational (BWI)

cArlos roxo, tfD co-leADerFibria

Antti sAhiConfederation of EuropeanForest Owners (CEPF)

roD tAylorWWF International

eMMAnuel ze MeKAInternational Tropical TimberOrganization

TFD STEERING COMMITTEE 2011

THE FORESTS DIALOGUE, YALE UNIVERSITY, 360 PROSPECT STREET, NEW HAVEN, CONNECTICUT, 06511, USA O: +1 (203) 432-5966 F: +1 (203) 432-3809 W: www.theforestsdialogue.org E: [email protected]

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY1

The Forests Dialogue


ClientThe Forests Dialogue (TFD)

DescriptionI designed TFD’s 2011-2015 Strategic Plan to be colorful, bright and positive. The plan outlines TFD’s accomplishments and proposes future initiatives.

ResponsibilitiesArt Direction and Layout Design


Year2011

The Forests Dialogue (TFD) helps forest stakeholders engage in vital but contentious forest issues, to explore them together, and to seek effective changes.

Formed in 2000, TFD provides international forest leaders engaged with forests, forestry and the forest industries with a platform for multi-stakeholder dialogues focused on developing trust, sharing understanding and building collaborative solutions that work for forests and people. Over the last 10 years, TFD has brought together over 2500 diverse stakeholders, many of them leaders of organizations that are highly influential for forests and livelihoods, in dialogues that have addressed eight urgent forest issues.

Once considered an inefficient and costly distraction, dialogue is now accepted as an essential process for achieving improvement within the forest sector. In addition, TFD has been recognized as a useful model for many other sectors. Its work has raised the visibility of and promoted collaborative solutions to the issues it has tackled. Over the last 10 years, TFD has moved from a single dialogue structure to an initiative-based, action-oriented approach. It has progressed from focusing on trust-building and shared understanding to achieving tangible and collaborative outcomes. TFD’s Steering Committee and initiative participants have effectively promoted consensus-based outcomes, working through both their own organizations and within networks formed through dialogue processes. Outcomes have been communicated through a variety of means including press conferences, presentations, publications, web-based communications and follow-up meetings – with an objective of creating and realizing opportunities for positive change.

AN INTRODUCTION TO THE FORESTS DIALOGUE

TFD HIGHLIGHTS 2000 - 2010TFD’s dialogues have covered eight urgent issues: forest and biodiversity conservation; forest certification; illegal logging; intensively managed planted forests; poverty reduction and commercial forestry; forests and climate change – focused on REDD financing and readiness; investing in locally controlled forestry; and free, prior and informed consent.

Since 2004, TFD has produced key publications, recognized as internationally influential on forests issues, e.g. the ‘Beyond REDD’ consensus statement by a group of 250+ forest sector leaders stimulated by TFD.

TFD has served as a catalyst and model for partnerships, and has helped defrost frozen relationships, e.g. between Indigenous Peoples’ groups and the World Bank, and between the World Business Council for Sustainable Development and WWF.

In Brazil, an autonomous dialogue organization focused on national issues was formed – inspired by TFD and supported by it for the first 2 years. Follow-up local dialoguing has been evident in numerous other countries (e.g. Bolivia, Malaysia, Russia, Nepal, Indonesia, Ghana, Guatemala, Uganda and Kenya) as a direct result of TFD initiatives.

2

The Forests Dialogue 2Strategic Plan 2011-2015


ILLUSTRATING THE TFD WAY TFD ORGANIZATIONAL DIAGRAM AND INITIATIVE FLOW

TFD Secretariat

Advisory Group(initiativeleadership)

TFD SteeringCommittee(organisationalleadership)

DialogueParticipants

InitiativePartner

LocalPartner

ENGAGE

COLLABORATE

COLLABORATE

TFD

NETW

OR

K

ShareInformation

andPerspectives

CreateAdvisoryGroups

IdentifyStakeholderActions andNext Steps

Network With Local

and InternationalPartners to Promote

CollaborativeSolutions

Identify Local orGlobal

Challenge

DetermineKey Partners

From Over 2500Stakeholders

IdentifyKey Issues

andFracture

Lines

Clarifyand

DistillFindings

Advocate forConsensus-Based Policyat the Local,National andInternational

Level

Scope theIssue

ThroughDialogue

Dialogue WithParticipants About

Conditions Underlying Key

Challenges

IMPLEMENT INITIATIVES

The ForestsDialogue

EXPLORE

ENGAGE

CHANGE

build trust among leaders

seek cons

ensu

s

facilitate collaborative action

Identify Opportunitiesfor Resolving

“Fracture-Line”Issues

SUSTAINABILITY ASSESSMENT

TFD will assess its operations for their environmental and social impacts, taking water, waste, procurement, travel and energy use into consideration in view of their costs and benefits. We will audit our consumption in these areas and set targets for reductions and increased efficiencies over the period of the Strategic Plan, whilst acknowledging the need for face to face interactions that are at the core of TFDs process and the planned growth of TFD over the same period.

RISK MANAGEMENT

Each TFD initiative will be subject to a risk assessment which aims to identify: the main risks and their implicit assumptions during and after implementation of each main action, the likelihood of their occurrence (low, medium, high), the impact they would have should they occur (low, medium, high) and the risk mitigation and strategies to deal with them. Such an assessment will also be undertaken for the TFD organization as a whole each year in work planning.

As noted above, TFD has already produced substantial impact. This impact bodes well and breeds confidence that a ‘critical mass’ of concerned opinion formers and policy makers will continue to see through the outcomes long after the dialoguing initiatives are completed. Achieving better forestry and better livelihoods from it is a complex process that is bound to take time. But effective, policy-focused outputs of dialoguing can have a long shelf-life due to their relevant subject matter, concise and accessible format, and solid findings. Ultimately, for change to occur, there needs to be pressure from below – from informed citizens who are able to use the capacity and ideas generated through dialogue. All TFD activity will be focused on achieving this.

CONCLUSION

MONITORING AND EVALUATION, AND RISK MANAGEMENT7


80/70 No Full Sun No No Yes Yes Yes

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Amur maackia Maackia amurensis (pg. )

Ash, Cimmaron Fraxinus pennsylvanica (pg. )

Ash, Newport Fraxinus pennsylvanica (pg. )

Bald Cypress Taxodium distichum (pg. )

Black Gum Nyssa sylvatica (pg. )

Catalpa Catalpa speciosa (pg. )

Cherry Prunus spp. (pg. )

Cherry, ‘Columnar Sargent’ Prunus sargentii ‘Columnaris’ (pg. )

Cherry, ‘Spire’ Prunus x hillerii ‘Spire’ (pg. )

Coffee Tree Gymnocladus dioicus (pg. )

Common Persimmon Diospyros virginiana (pg. )

Cork Tree Phellodendron amurense (pg. )

Crabapple ‘Harvest Gold’ Malus’ Harvest Gold’ (pg. )

Crabapple ‘Prairiefire’ Malus ‘Prairiefire’ (pg. )

Crabapple ‘Red Jewel’ Malus ‘Jewelcole’ (pg. )

Crabapple ‘Royal Raindrop’ Malus ‘Royal Raindrop’ (pg. )

Crabapple ‘Velvet Pillar’ Malus ‘Velvet Pillar’ (pg. )

Dawn Redwood Metasequoia glyptostroboides (pg. )

Dogwood, Kousa Cornus kousa (pg. )

Elm, American Ulmus americana (pg. )

Elm, American ‘Colonial Spirit’ Ulmus americana Colonial Spirit (pg. )

Elm, American ‘Jefferson’ Ulmus americana Jefferson (pg. )

Elm, American ‘Princeton’ Ulmus americana Princeton (pg. )

Elm, Lacebark Ulmus parvifolia (pg. )

30/30 Yes Full Sun Yes No No No YesNo

45/40 No Full Sun No Yes No No No

60/30 No Full Sun/Part Shade Yes No No Yes YesNo

70/45 No Full Sun/Part Shade No No Yes Yes Yes

35/35 Yes Full Sun Yes No No No Yes

40/18 No Full Sun Yes No No No Yes


75/65 No Full Sun Yes Yes Yes Yes No

35/35 No Full Sun No Yes No Yes Yes

80/70 No Full Sun No No Yes Yes Yes

80/45 No Full Sun/Full Shade No No No Yes YesNo


90/90 No Full Sun No Yes Yes Yes Yes



85/40 No Full Sun No No No No No

30/30 Yes Full Sun/Part Shade Yes No No No Yes

90/90 No Full Sun Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes




16/14 No Full Sun No No No No Yes

75/75 No Full Sun No Yes Yes No YesNo

Saucer Magnolia is the most commonly cultivated magnolia, growing well in urban settings and on a wide variety of soils. A hybrid of two Asian magnolia species, Magnolia denudata and M. liliiflora, Saucer Magnolia originated in China. The large pink flowers resemble a porcelain teacup and saucer, hence the name.

NOTES

LEAVES

TWIGS

EXCELLENT SPECIMEN

BARK

Saucer MagnoliaMagnolia x soulangiana

Full Tree

Leaf

Flower

Bark

AlternateSimpleUnlobedEntire

Gray, smooth

Stout, with large hairy buds in winter

30” DBH. 201 Townsend Ave., East Shore

Magnolia Family Alternate, simple

CHARACTERISTICSwide tree pit neededgood fall colorshowy flowersacceptable under wiresgood for wildlifeinvasive

nativenarrow canopywide canopydrought tolerantsalt tolerantweak wood

HEIGHT 20-30 ft

p p

35

Sycamore is among of the most massive hardwood trees of eastern North America, forming a canopy-emergent layer in mixed stands as well as developing an impressive bole diameter. It is a riparian species, typically found on the banks of flowing streams. The leaves resemble those of Maples, but are alternate rather than opposite. The fruit is a fuzzy tannish-brown ball about 1” in diameter, borne singly, which breaks apart to release the individual seeds, which are dispersed by water. The mottled bark is cream-colored, lighter than that of London Plane. Common names: American Planetree or Buttonwood.

NOTES

LEAVES

TWIGS

BARK

American SycamorePlatanus occidentalis

Full Tree

Leaf

Bark

Fruit

AlternateSimpleLobedMaple-like

Molted, whitish, cream grey brown color

Zigzag, terminal bud lacking, lateral buds divergent

EXCELLENT SPECIMEN58” DBH. 250 West Rock, Westville

CHARACTERISTICS

HEIGHT

wide tree pit neededgood fall colorshowy flowersacceptable under wiresgood for wildlifeinvasive

nativenarrow canopywide canopydrought tolerantsalt tolerantweak wood

Sycamore Family Alternate, simple

75-90 ft

p

p

36

Guide to New Haven’s Trees

Urban Resources InitiativeURINew Haven, Connecticut

ProjectTree Guide Book Design

ClientUrban Resources Initiative (URI)

DescriptionURI is a not-for-profit partnership with Yale University. This book will serve as an educational tool for new students entering the Yale School of Forestry. The colorful guide book lists detailed information about New Haven’s 96 street tree species, and includes a Tree Leaf Identification Key and a Planting Recommendation Chart.

ResponsibilitiesArt Direction, Illustration, Layout Design

SoftwarePhotoshop CS5, Illustrator CS5, and InDesign CS5

Year2011

When it rains, water whooshes through our city, drains into our rivers through storm drains, and winds up in Long Island Sound—but it doesn’t go alone!

system

s and

le

aves, trees filter

out pollutantsbefore they enter

our waterways anddestroy marine life.

Just as the rain can rinse away sidewalk chalk and the dust on cars, it can also rinse away fertilizer, gasoline, and heavy metals—pollutants that end up in our city’s rivers and streams.

gasoline

he

avy metals

ferti

lizer

There, the dirty pollutants threaten our water quality and endanger our precious marine life. Excess fertilizer in water feeds algal blooms that steal oxygen away from fish and marine life, ultimately destroying the careful balance of our ecosystem.

You can stop all of those things from happening!

Your new tree will clean rainwater naturally.

Here’s the good news!

Did you know that New Haven’s street trees already intercept over 53 million gallons of rainfall annually? That’s a lot of water! And there’s an added bonus: that intercepted water saves the city over $400,000 per year!

Tree canopies curb downpour and let the rain soak into the soil slowly. This decreases flooding and nutrient depletion in soil, making your yard greener and healthier.

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You can stop all of those things from happening!

Free Trees Planted on Your Street!

Join TreeHaven 10KBy Requesting A

Free Tree

YOU can help protect New Haven’s waterways while making your yard beautiful!


ClientUrban Resources Initiative (URI)

DescriptionURI’s Community Greenspace program has planted more than 2,000 trees throughout New Haven, CT. My strategy was to use storytelling to inform New Haven’s residents about the impact trees have on New Haven’s waterways. The brochure includes a perforated postcard that can be detached and mailed back to URI to request a free tree. ResponsibilitiesArt Direction, Illustration, Layout Design


Year2010

Sound like something you want to be a part of? Order a free tree from URI and commit to watering the newly planted tree.

To request a free tree fill out this form, or order online via www.cityofnewhaven.com/Sustainability/Take_Action/Request_a_Tree.asp

We employ, educate, and pay youth and adults in need of job training and experience to plant your tree.

Name:

Address:

Email:

Phone #:

PlaceFirst Class

Postage Here

Urban Resources Initiative195 Prospect Street

New Haven, CT 06511

Questions? Call URI at (203) 432-6189, Email [email protected], or visit yale.edu/uri

William Cleary, M.M.Saxophonist, Composer, Arranger & Educator

[email protected] | (713) 854-2059www.williamcleary.com

An Evening of Jazzfeaturing Saxophonist Will Cleary & Pianist Nick Weiser

Monday March 7th 7:00 PM

St. Paul and St. James Cathedral 57 Olive St., New Haven, CT


ClientWilliam Cleary Music

DescriptionWilliam Cleary is a professional Jazz Saxophonist who performs in New York and surrounding areas. I designed his business card and promotional materials for his performances.

ResponsibilitiesArt Direction, Layout Design


Year2011

An Evening of Jazzfeaturing Saxophonist Will Cleary & Pianist Nick Weiser

Monday March 7th

7:00 pm

St. Paul and St. James Cathedral

57 Olive Street, New Haven, CT

Climate Change and The American Southwest Educational Poster Series from Gray is Green: The National Senior Conservation Corps

Global Warming Changes Snow to Rain and Rain to Episodic Downpours

Data provided by the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Natural Resources Conservation Service Water and Climate Center(www.wcc.nrcs.usda.gov)

Downpours pelt crops, overflow storm sewers, and flood culvertsand underpasses. In desert-shrubland, downpours refresh groundwater, but often runoff too quickly to penetrate dry, caked soil.

From Ordinary Rain to Downpours

Trends in April Snowpack In the WesternUnited States (1950-2000)

By reducing the amount of snow falling on mountains, global warming has reduced Western snowpacks by as much as 75%(EPA), changing runoff from a source ofrelief in summer dry spells to spring floods, which are of less value to farming and to dry climates generally.

Data Source: NOAA, 2009

Percent Change-80%

-60%

-40%

-20%

5

1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

Year

Perc

ent o

f Lan

d Ar

ea

0

5

10

15

20

25

Extreme One-Day Precipitation Events in theLower 48 States (1910-2008)

Southwest Temperatures Are Rising Rapidly

Rate of Temperature Change by State and Region, 1901-2008Data provided by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s National Climate Data Center (www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/ncdc.html)

-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4

Temperature Change (�F per century):

1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

Year

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

Tem

pera

ture

ano

mal

y [°

F] 1901-2009 trend: +1.28°F per century1979-2009 trend: Surface: +2.93°F per century UAH: +2.30°F per century

Earth’s Surface Lower Troposphere (measured by satellite)UAH

1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

Year

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

Tem

pera

ture

ano

mal

y [°

F] 1901-2009 trend: +1.25°F per century1979-2009 trend: Surface: +5.05°F per century UAH: +4.00°F per century

Earth’s Surface Lower Troposphere (measured by satellite)UAH

The United States Has Warmed at Nearly Twice the Global Rate

Rising U.S. Temperatures Rising World Temperature

Data Source: NOAA, 2010 Data Source: NOAA, 2010


3

Great Basin

Mojave

Sonoran

Chihuahuan

The Four North American Deserts

The largest of the deserts is the Great Basin Desert, extending east of the California border to Salt Lake City. The other deserts are the Mojave, the Sonoran, and the Chihuahuan Desert, which is expanding north from Mexico, deeper into New Mexico and Texas.

This diagram shows the extent of the United States’ Desert-Shrub Ecosystem, reaching from close to the Canadian border to Mexico,where it merges with the Mexican Desert-Shrub Ecosystem.

The Great Basin Desert The Mojave Desert The Sonoran Desert The Chihuahuan Desert

Source: http://clminternship.org/blog/wp-content/uploads/2009/10/DSCN0441.JPG Source: http://www.sheltoweehikes.com/IMG_0922.jpg Source: http://www.edupic.net/Images/Biomes/tonto_desert138.JPG Source: http://lh4.ggpht.com/_ynz-PpOfY1Y/SB4HOfsoyEI/AAAAAAAAAdo/LUwJOIz6U9Q/P3210395.JPG


The U.S. Desert-Shrub Ecosystemis Changing

1

Climate Change and The American Southwest Educational Poster Series from Gray is Green: The National Senior Conservation Corps 8

Possible Social Consequences of Heat and Water Stress

Just as higher costs caused the textile industry to move from New England to the South— and then from the U.S. to China— so higher costs for energy and water may deindustrialize the Southwest.

Industrial Relocation

Without an industrial or agricultural base, working age people tend to leave an area. As a result, the proportion of people age 65 and above is expected to increase in the Southwest.

Human Migration

U.S. Projected Age 65+ Growth, 2000-2030

The outflow of working age people to places with better industrial and agricultural bases will be matched by the inflow of Mexican environmental refugees fleeing the drying up of their native habitats. As seen above, many of Mexico’s highest populated areas will face extreme water stress in the future.

Mexico: Migration as a Strategyfor Drought and Disaster

Data provided by William H. Frey, PhD, demographer with the Brookings Institution (http://www.maryfurlong.com/newsletter/2009-12.htm)

With fewer resources available to a growing number of people, the Southwest’s reception of Hispanic environmental refugees is likely to be less welcoming. Thus, global warming makes ethnic and international relations more tense.

Data provided by CARE, U.N. University’s Institute for Environment and Human Security, and Columbia University’s Center for International Earth Science Information Network

140% and above

100% to 139%

70% to 99%

under 69%

Retiree Population Increase

0 1 - 4 5 - 24 25 - 249 250 - 999 1000 +

Mexico Population Density In 2000 (persons per km2)

Projected Change in Runoff by 2080(available water)

25 to 50 percent decrease

5 to 24 percent decrease

ProjectEducational Poster Series

ClientNatural Resources Defense Council (NRDC)

DescriptionThese four posters are part of a 9-poster series focused on the climate changes currently occuring in the United States Southwest. This Educational Poster Series was designed for NRDC’s Gray is Green Project, which engages America’s Senior citizens in today’s most pressing environmental initiatives. The posters will exhibit in retirement communities throughout the country.

To view the entire series please go to:http://www.meganbraley.com/?page_id=23



Year2010

Poster Series on exhibit at the Whitney Center in Hamden, CT.

Rangoon

Ho Chí Minh City

Bangkok

Dhaka

New York

Miami

AbidjanLagos

Alexandria

Mumbai

KolkataKhulna

ChittagongTokyo

Ningbo

Shanghai

Tianjin

GuangzhouHai Phòng

Jakarta

• Low Elevation• Estuaries• Loss of Barrier Islands (for surges only)• Ocean Currents, like the ones carrying Greenland meltwater to the New England coast, also carry Arctic meltwater to Europe, cooling the continent.

Top 20 Cities With Population Exposed to Coastal Flooding by 2070

Because tropical and subtropical areas have more frequent hurricanes, they are more vulnerable to flooding. Tropical areas also contain more people in low-lying islands and vulnerable estuaries thando temperate areas.

Indicators of a Coast Vulnerable to Flooding

Climate Change and Coastal Flooding 6

Characteristics of Coasts Likely to Flood include:

Coastline Changes: Meters in Sea Level Rise

Different topologies and prevailing winds make the U.S. Gulf and Atlantic coasts more vulnerable than Europe’s North Sea Coast, and more than the U.S. Pacific Coast, which is already 2 ft higher than the North Atlantic.

Educational Poster Series from Gray is Green: The National Senior Conservation Corps Text by Robert E. Lane, Ph.D. Design by Megan Braley, M.I.D.

Data Provided By: Risk Management Solutions, Inc.

< 3,000 3,000 to 4,000 4,000 to 5,000 5,000 to 6,000 > 6,000

Exposed Population

0 6 25 35 75 300 1000 3825

United States Under Water

Source: Hope-Care Foundation (http://www.all-creatures.org/hope/gw/hydro-img-065.htm)


Sea Levels Are Rising

Rise and Fall of Coastal LandSource: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/slrmap.html)

From 1900 to 2000 sea level rose 18.5 cm (c 7.4 inches). If continued at this rate, sea levels would rise half a foot during the 21st century.

Increasing scientific estimates of 2 ft, 4 ½ ft, and 6 ½ ft follow. The result is a precisely measured record for 1870-2000, with broad bands of uncertainty in earlier and later periods, as seen in Figure 3 on Panel 1.

Rising sea levels are only half of the problem. The other half is storm surges.

Among the reasons for this variation is an odd relative rise and fall of coastal land.

In late 2010, authorities agreed on a probable rise of 3 feet by the year 2100. To which the Nature Conservancy said: If sea levels rose 3 feet,“every city on the East Coast of the United States…would be swamped.”

9 to 12 (3 to 4)6 to 9 (2 to 3)

3 to 6 (1 to 2)

0 to 3 (0 to 1)-3 to 0 (-1 to 0)

Sea Level Trendsmm/yr (feet/century)

2000198019601940192019001880

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Sea

Leve

l Cha

nge

(cm

)

Source: http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Recent_Sea_Level_Rise.png


View of residential parcel and storm-surge impact on Southampton, NY, which would see $1.5 billion in exposed residential property in the event of a Category 4 hurricane.

Consequences of Coastal Flooding


Because sea level rise works slowly, loss of life from sudden storm surges is greater (as in New Orleans during Katrina).

If the rate of loss of life during Katrina (halfof 1%) prevailed, the fatalities in two major New Jersey cities would be about 2,500.

Loss of Life

The diagram to the right shows the flooding pattern of Southampton, NY, in the event of hurricanes of varying forces.

Residential Property Loss

As seen in the image of Lower Manhattan below, even where cities are not flooded, connecting interstate highways and other forms of transportation are, especially where crossing flooded areas.

Transportation

A. West Side HighwayB. Battery ParkC. Brooklyn-Battery TunnelD. South Ferry Subway Station

E. Ferry TerminalsF. Franklin D. Roosevelt DriveG. Wall StreetH. South Street Seaport

Five years after Katrina, a quarter of pre-flood residents had not returned. For the New York area, this rate means over 4.5m people seeking jobs and shelter.

Loss of life caused by Katrina’s flooding was half of 1%. In a flood, the East Coast might also have similar low mortality rates.

This sad story has a silver lining.

In 2006, the first post-Katrina year, New Orleans had less unemployment, more business start-ups, higher wages, fewer school dropouts, and the same poverty rates. Post-flooding conditions were relatively good—better than the 2008 recession.

Lessons from Katrina


Hurricane Category Total Properties Affected Total Residential Structure Value

Category 1

Category 2

Category 3

Category 4

95,456

182,061

367,773

285,675

$3,054,306,140.00

$5,823,436,345.00

$10,950,192,608.00

$8,444,421,334.00

Source: 2010 First American Storm Surge Report

Greenland: Accelerating Loss of Ice Mass2002.5 2003 2003.5 2004 2004.5 2005 2005.5

-400

-300

-200

-100

0

100

200

300

400

500

Source: Velicogna and Wahr, 2005

Ice

Mas

s (km

3 )

The glaciers and ice sheets of Greenland (an island about ¼ the size of the U.S.) are melting with anaccelerating loss of mass. If all of Greenland’s ice melted, ocean levels would rise about 21 feet.

Source: Isabella Velicogna and John Wahr, 2004

East Antarctica is a rock-based continent larger than the United States and covered by ice at leasta mile high. It is not melting. However, West Antarctica, is a smaller ice-covered peninsula and a set of ice-covered islands. It is melting and if it were all to melt, “seas would rise 20 feet.”

Antarctica: Temperature Zones, 1957-2006

Source: U.S. Geological Survey, 2/22/10, as reported by the Environment and Energy Study Institute


The Cryosphere is MeltingThe Cryosphere is the frozen, mainly fresh, water of the planet, located at the two poles and Greenland. There are two kinds: floating sea ice (icebergs) and land-based glaciers.

Arctic sea ice is melting rapidly. This image shows the amount of ice in 2003. The area outlined in red represents the extent of ice cover in 1980, at the same time of year.

As sea ice melts to water it reduces heat reflection and increases heat absorption, thereby warming the planet and indirectly raising sea level.


Image Source: NASA

ProjectEducational Poster Series

ClientNatural Resources Defense Council (NRDC)

DescriptionThese four posters are from another 9-poster series that I designed for NRDC’s Gray is Green Project. This series focuses on Coastal Flooding. The posters will exhibit in retirement communities throughout the country.

To view the entire series please go to:http://www.meganbraley.com/?page_id=23



Year2010

ProjectGrowlots Philadelphia Proposal

ClientPhiladelphia Department of Parks and Recreation

DescriptionI wrote and designed this proposal for the Growlots Philadelphia Program, which I organized and implemented to help Philadelphia’s Department of Parks and Recreation raise awareness for the city’s urban agriculture movement. The proposal outlines my concept for the design of a communication system that enables the urban agriculture sector to work effectively on developing city-wide urban agriculture initiatives.

To view the entire book please go to:http://issuu.com/megbraley/docs/growlotsphiladelphiafinal

ResponsibilitiesArt Direction, Illustration, Layout Design, Writing


Year2010

ProjectGrowlots Philadelphia Website

ClientPhiladelphia Department of Parks and Recreation

Descriptionwww.GrowlotsPhiladelphia.com offers Philadelphia’s Urban Agriculture Sector a collaborative content management system that acts as an organized resource database and a social networking communication tool for nonprofit organizations, local governement departments, and urban gardeners and farmers.

ResponsibilitiesArt Direction, Illustration, Layout Design, Writing, HTML, CSS

SoftwarePhotoshop CS5, Illustrator CS5, and InDesign CS5, Wordpress

Year2010

Growing Gardens and Urban Farms

Composting Planting Fruit Trees Keeping Bees Marketing Your Goods Distributing Your Goods Meeting Your Peers Impacting Teens and Adults

Advancing Children

ProjectPhiladelphia Murals Against Crime

DescriptionI designed this booklet to explore the connections between Philadelphia’s murals and areas of lowered crime. I examined the relationship between mural location and crime level on three levels: citywide, by zip code, and a two-block radius. I found that crime levels decreased in all areas after the addition of a mural.

To view the entire booklet please go to:http://issuu.com/megbraley/docs/muralsagainstcrime



Year2009

W. Master St.W. Girard AvePoplar St.

Fairmount Ave.

Spring Garden St.Vine St. ExpyRace St.Arch St.Market St.Chestnut St.

Walnut St.Spruce St.Pine St.South St.

Christian St.Washington Ave.

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Crime in 2008

60 Thefts 26 Robberies

20 Burglaries 10 Assaults


Fairmount Ave.




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Murals to Date17

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Fairmount Ave.




Wharton St.

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19

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Figurative Cultural

Abstract

Youth

LandscapePortrait

History

Social Concern

ProjectTexas Architect Magazine

ClientTexas Society of Architects

DescriptionI wrote and designed the “Portfolio” pages published in the Texas Architect Magazine from June of 2007 through May of 2008. I worked with the Art Director, Editor, and Publisher.

ResponsibilitiesWriting and Layout Design


Year2008