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Master of Design Futures Program Queensland College of Art Brisbane 2048 these times they are a changing

Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

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This presentation documents the results of a two day workshop themed Brisbane 2048 in which a group of six designers, academics and planners addressed the threats posed by climate change. Convened by QCA Design Futures Lecturer, Dr Tony Fry, the seminar and workshop aim to communicate the scale of the problems we face in South East Queensland as a result of climate change while also engaging the community with appropriate and affirmative responses. The workshop addressed the large scale impacts and threats of climate change, including environmental refugees, fires, floods, storms and cyclones and disease patterns. The six participants in the workshop – Larry Vint, Petra Perolini, Will Odom, Coral Gillett, Nora Kinnunen and Linda Carroli – developed three types of responses: preparatory actions, protective technologies and affirmative sustainable actions. Convened by QCA Design Futures Lecturer, Dr Tony Fry, the seminar and workshop aim to communicate the scale of the problems we face in South East Queensland as a result of climate change while also engaging the community with appropriate and affirmative responses. Produced in October 2008 by workshop participants and Tony Fry.

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Page 1: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

Master of Design Futures Program

Queensland College of Art

Brisbane 2048 these times they are a changing

Page 2: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

R

H

H

heat & fire

heat islanding

flash flooding

storm surges

cyclonic winds

hail

vector carried disease

risks

Page 3: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

2048 concepts / two days + ten years Warning systems

Risk code/ sign

Retrofit guide

Environmental refugee profile

SES ODF climate defence org. +

Medical aid volunteers

Change of work patterns

School curriculum

Visual campaign

Infill model – plan for development

Traffic: human powered

Traffic: lightweight renewable

Traffic: solar/ night delivery

Traffic: walking lines

Traffic: car share (hire pools)

River/ sea transport

Evaporative cooling using river water

Food: 20% city target (into urban

farming)

Urban Farming, incl roof gardens

Home protection

Climate clothing

Cyclone washers

Community equipment stores

Shade provision

Stormwater

External insulation

Urban firebreaks

Barriers: mech eg levees

Protective core

Science shops

Emergency housing

Secure services

Decentred city

LAREN

Total transport system

Community hubs

Urban resource management

Page 4: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

King George Square redevelopment; completion June 2009

www.brisbane.qld.gov.au/BCC:BASE::pc=PC_2072

Definition ‘Decentred city’ is used in order to characterise City Business District (CBD) as a heat island which is formed due to adsorption heat from the thermal mass produced by the city.

City Business District (CBD) includes: • Infrastructure • Population

risks / de-centered city

Page 5: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

Causes:

• building materials

• building and street design

Result:

• heat islanding

• little day and night temperature difference

• a warming of 20 from 2048

• +100 temperature difference from outer suburbs and the city centre

de-centered city/ thermal mass

Page 6: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

Brisbane Square

www.construction-innovation.info/index.php?id=1028

Page 7: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

stage 1:

• money leaving

stage 2:

• rush of departures

• business closures

stage 3:

• poor move in

de-centered city/ thermal mass

Page 8: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

stage 4:

• poor move out

• CBD becomes too uncomfortable for the poor

stage 5:

• hyper neglect

• very undesirable place

flickr.com/photos/craigjewell/2185542104/

Abandoned Albion Flour Mill ,Brisbane

de-centered city/ thermal mass

Page 9: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

stage 6:

• demolition

• city is getting flattened

stage 7:

• recolonise city in a climate adaptive infrastructure.

flickr.com/photos/81021905@N00/427863618/

Bellevue Hotel demolished 20 April 1979

de-centered city/ thermal mass

Page 10: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

Tokyo

www.skyscrapercity.com/showthread.php?t=2008

Page 11: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

www.flickr.com/photos/15040225@N06/1568872956/in/set-72157602415317285/

Johannesburg 2007

Page 12: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

Detroit 1958

mywebpage.netscape.com/urbandetroit1/vintage/1797.jpg

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Detroit 2004

mywebpage.netscape.com/simcityfreak4/IMG_1376.jpg

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Brisbane 1956

upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/7/70/Brisbane_seen_from_air.jpg

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Brisbane 2006

commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Image:Brisbane_seen_from_air.jpg

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Brisbane 2048

DISCUSSIONS – PROPOSALS – SCENARIOS

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Brisbane 2048 / environmental refugees

3 potential ‘waves’ of environmental refugees:

1. internally displaced persons (gradual movement)

2. externally displaced persons (gradual movement)

3. mass influx (caused by peak global event)

Page 18: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

environmental refugees / internally displaced persons

People Image – murray basin Built Env. Image – infill (informal density??)

Page 19: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

environmental refugees / internally displaced persons

Built Env. Image??

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environmental refugees / internally displaced persons

Built Env. Image??

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environmental refugees / externally displaced persons

People Image – pacific islands? Built Env. Image – infill (i.e. squatter)

Page 22: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

environmental refugees / externally displaced persons

People Image – pacific islands? Built Env. Image – infill (i.e. squatter)

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environmental refugees / externally displaced persons

People Image – pacific islands? Built Env. Image – infill (i.e. squatter)

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environmental refugees / mass influx

People Image – pacific islands? Built Env. Image – infill (i.e. squatter)

Page 25: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

environmental refugees / mass influx

People Image – pacific islands? Built Env. Image – infill (i.e. squatter)

Page 26: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

environmental refugees / mass influx

People Image – pacific islands? Built Env. Image – infill (i.e. squatter)

Page 27: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

Brisbane 2048 / environmental refugees

creating a profile of future environmental refugees

climatic adaption

knowledge/skills

economic

physical state

social integration

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retrofitting

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retrofitting thermal mass

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retrofitting traffic congestion

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retrofitting

empty shops

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retrofitting overhead power lines

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retrofitting buildings in bad repair

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retrofitting family home

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retrofitting / internal core

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retrofitting / internal core

what is available

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retrofitting / internal core

what is available

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retrofitting / internal core

for existing building

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retrofitting / internal core

for new buildings

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Brisbane 2048 / external insulation

retrofitting external insulation…

onto existing buildings…

to reduce heat load on building envelope…

and reduce energy consumed through cooling…

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Brisbane 2048 / external insulation

retrofitting external insulation:

shading

- ‘green screens’

- façade structures

thermal insulation

- aerated concrete

Page 42: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

external insulation / green screens

Images – ken yeang or etc

Page 43: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

external insulation / green screens

Images – ken yeang or etc

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external insulation / green screens

Images – ken yeang or etc

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external insulation / façade structures

Image – existing building ‘before’ Image – existing building ‘after’ (photoshop)

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external insulation / façade structures

Image – existing building ‘before’ Image – existing building ‘after’ (photoshop)

Page 47: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

external insulation / aerated concrete

Image – existing building ‘before’ Image – existing building ‘after’ (photoshop)

Page 48: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

external insulation / aerated concrete

Image – existing building ‘before’ Image – existing building ‘after’ (photoshop)

Page 49: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

external insulation / aerated concrete

Image – existing building ‘before’ Image – existing building ‘after’ (photoshop)

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retrofitting / infill development

urban infill suburban infill infill housing

Page 51: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

infill development / urban

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infill development / urban

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infill development / suburban

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infill development / suburban

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infill development / infill housing

Page 57: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)
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cultivating, processing and distributing food in or around a city Bailkey, M. and J. Nasr. 2000. From Brownfields to Greenfields: Producing Food in North American Cities. Community Food Security News. Fall 1999/Winter 2000:6

retrofitting / urban farming

Page 59: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

50% of the world’s population lives in cities; by 2015 26 cities exceed 10 Million People

Page 60: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

average produce item travels 1500 miles

4 liters of fuel / 100 lbs when shipped by truck

Page 61: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

Braddock, Pennsylvania, USA http://flickr.com/photos/warmestregards/2413243209/

Page 62: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

Cheong-ju, South Korea http://www.flickr.com/photos/daxmelmer/184771143/

Page 63: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

Antwerp, Belgium http://www.flickr.com/photos/duvel1000/2868641876/

Page 64: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

urban farming / what it is

Cabrini Green, Chicago http://www.flickr.com/photos/paytonc/259829347/sizes/l/

Page 65: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

Vancover, Canada http://www.flickr.com/photos/sillydog/63252751/sizes/l/

Page 66: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

retrofitting / urban farming

disconnected pockets of urban farming

Page 67: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

urban farming / utilizing roof space

Page 68: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

urban farming / utilizing roof space

Page 69: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

retrofitting / urban farming

agricultural land is used for residential & commercial developments

Page 70: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

retrofitting / urban farming meet current & future food demands

proactively harvest rainwater

reduce heat islands

metabolize food waste

Page 71: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

“After five millennia of planning cities for people, in the 20th century we planned cities for cars. Yet no one goes to France and says - what great highways Paris has”.

Enrique Pe alosa

retrofitting / transport system

Page 72: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

reclassify streets for a more efficient traffic flow scenario which caters to alternative forms of transport

adjust power balance of existing forms of transport

explore and encourage alternative forms of transport

build responsive infrastructure

build amenities along bicycle and pedestrian paths

adopt a new culture

retrofitting / transport system

Page 73: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

reclassify

Page 74: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)
Page 75: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

Home Street, Fairfield Kent Street, Perth http://www.bv.com.au

transport system / reclassify

Annerley Road, South Brisbane

Page 76: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

Bike actuated signals, Toronto

http://www.toronto.ca/cycling/bikeplan/pdf/chapter04.pdf

Bicycle Push-Button – Vancouver http://www.toronto.ca/cycling/bikeplan/pdf/chapter04.pdf

transport / human-powered

Page 77: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

transport / power of the pedal

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Strida foldable bicycle

http://stridaaustralia.com Trisled recumbent http://www.trisled.com.au

Page 82: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)
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transport / lightweight vehicles

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transport / pedestrian-power

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Page 86: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

transport / car sharing

Page 87: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

retrofitting / from road to water transport

Page 88: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

retrofitting / coastal tramping Brisbane Gold Coast

http://flickr.com/photos/faraway/173111943/

Page 89: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

retrofitting / river transport

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retrofitting / river transport

R

Page 91: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

retrofitting / river transport

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retrofitting / LAREN

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retrofitting / LAREN

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retrofitting / LAREN

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retrofitting / LAREN

Page 96: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

retrofitting / LAREN

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retrofitting / LAREN

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actions / communication

communication

http://flickr.com/photos/bmoyle/2402526793/

Page 100: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

communication / science-design shops

Page 101: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

communication / science shops

<<insert map>>

Page 102: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

communication / visual campaign presenting how to see the city in another way

Page 103: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

visual campaign / micro-metabolic city

http://flickr.com/photos/offchurch-tam/2066559553/sizes/o/

Page 104: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

Contemporary Art Center, NY, NY, USA http://flickr.com/photos/lingualx/2685750767/

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Brisbane Park(ing) Day http://flickr.com/photos/30258821@N05/

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visual campaign / community map

City of Memory http://www.cityofmemory.org/map/index.php

Page 107: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

visual campaign / re-imaging cityscape

Nuage Vert, Helsinki http://www.pixelache.ac/nuage-blog/

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communication / visual campaign

<meta-category: communication> <visual campaign (Will)>

inkahoots http://flickr.com/photos/lightsight/2662870162/sizes/o/

Page 109: Brisbane 2048 (by Design Futures Seminar Group)

inkahoots http://flickr.com/photos/lightsight/2662870162/sizes/o/

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design futures / dialectic of sustainment

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the coming moment of sustainment