2015 State of the Community Report

2012 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT

2015 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT

Our Presenting Sponsor

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Stretch Break and Video Interlude Sponsor

Town of Chapel HillTown of Carrboro

Orange County Economic Development

Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors BureauA Thank You to Our Special Guests

Background on this Report

Our Eighth State of the Community Report

Born out of graduate student research at UNC

Social, Economic, and Health Indicators

Objective: deliver relevant information to community and business leadersChamber + The Partnership

Annually take a look at how are we doing as a communityProvide snapshots in time or show trends among indicators of well-beingHelp people make more informed decisions as: Business owners/entrepreneursHomeowners/community membersPhilanthropists/donorsVoters/activists

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Special Thanks To

Town of Chapel Hill Orange County Board of HealthChapel Hill-Orange County Visitors BureauOrange Water & Sewer AuthorityOrange County Department of Environment, Agriculture, Parks and RecreationGreater Chapel Hill Association of REALTORSOrange County Tax AdministrationHome Builders of Durham, Orange & Chatham CountiesDurham Tech

Assessed Value Per Acre

Who We Are and Where We Live

Orange County Land Distribution

Location of Orange County Housing UnitsU.S. Census Bureau

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Population GrowthJurisdiction20102014Pop GrowthGrowth RateOrange County133,702140,420+6,7185.0% (~1.2% PY)Hillsborough6,0876,388+3014.9% (~1.2% PY)Carrboro 19,58220,984+1,4027.2% (~1.8% PY)Chapel Hill57,23359,376+2,1433.7% (~0.9% PY)North Carolina9,535,6919,943,964+408,2734.3% (~1.1% PY)

U.S. Census Bureau

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U.S. Census BureauPopulation Growth

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High School Degree or Higher (2010-2014)U.S. Census Bureau

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Bachelors Degree or Higher (2009-2013)U.S. Census Bureau

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Minority Races by MunicipalityU.S. Census Bureau

Orange County Population by Race

U.S. Census Bureau

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Orange County Population ProjectionsCurrent 2014 Estimate: 140,420US Census Bureau and Orange County Planning

Municipal Population ProjectionsUS Census and Orange County Planning

Population Density People Per Square Mile (2010)US Census Bureau

Municipal Population Density (pp/mi2)US Census Bureau and Orange County Planning

College Town Population Density (pp/mi2)2010 US Census Bureau

A few take aways

Demography Key Takeaways: Mebane is the fastest growing municipality in Orange County. Even with projected growth, were not as dense as college town peers. What to Watch: Should we show the slower growth compared to peer communities?

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Number of Homes Sold in Orange CountyTriangle Multiple Listing Services

Orange County Average Residential Closing PriceTriangle Multiple Listing Services

2014 Average Residential Closing Price per Square FootTriangle Multiple Listing Services

Change in Average Residential Closing Price 2013 to 2014Triangle Multiple Listing Services

Average age of a $300,000 house is 1985 in Orange and 2005 in Wake. The average age of a home in Orange vs.28

Percent Change in Residential Closing Price Per Square Foot 2013 to 2014Triangle Multiple Listing Services

2014 Average Home Price by LocationTriangle Multiple Listing Services

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2014 Average Home Price by LocationTriangle Multiple Listing Services

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Non-Owner Occupied (2009-2013)U.S. Census Bureau

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Orange County Housing Gross RentU.S Census Bureau

Orange Co. Gross Rent as a Percent of Household Income (2009-13)U.S Census Bureau

Transportation and Commuting

40,411 Live outside Orange County and drive in for work37,851 Live in Orange County and drive out of the county for work19,698 Live in Orange County and work in Orange CountyU.S. Census Bureau

Chapel Hill CommutingU.S. Census Bureau

Carrboro Commuting

U.S. Census Bureau

Orange County Residents CommutingU.S. Census Bureau

Orange County Employee CommutingU.S. Census Bureau

Commute Change 2010-2012U.S. Census Bureau

Commuting to Primary JobsU.S. Census Bureau

Orange Commuting to Primary JobsUS Census Bureau

Young Worker (< 29 yo) Commuting 2010-12U.S. Census Bureau

Percent Change in Young Worker (< 29 yo) Commuting 2010-12

Distribution of UNC Chapel Hills 11,964 employees by home addressUNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment

Percent Distribution of UNC Chapel Hills 11,964 employees by home addressUNC Office of Institutional Research and AssessmentUp from 48.1%

Chapel Hill Transit Ridership (millions)Chapel Hill Transit

GoTriangle Ridership (Millions)GoTriangle (formerly Triangle Transit)

Thats right, takeaways

Commuting Key Takeaways: Less people are waking up and working in Orange County. The trend is sharper for workers under 30. But we see an increase in UNC employees working in Orange County. Slight dip in Chapel Hill Transit ridership, with regional transit ridership increases. What to Watch: young talent, commute time, infastructure

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Working, Wages and Poverty

Percent of Persons Living Below Poverty Level (2009-2013)U.S Census Bureau

Percent of Children in PovertyU.S Census Bureau

Orange County Children in PovertyU.S Census Bureau

Percent of K-12 Students Enrolled in Free and Reduced LunchNC Dept of Public Instruction

Percent of CHCCS Elementary Students Receiving Free and Reduced LunchN.C Dept of Public Instruction

N.C Dept of Public InstructionPercent of Orange County Schools Elem Students Receiving Free and Reduced Lunch

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Orange County Families Receiving Food and Nutrition Services (Formerly Food Stamps)NC Division of Social Services

Orange County Families Receiving Food and Nutrition Services (Formerly Food Stamps)NC Division of Social Services

Percent of K-12 School Children Receiving Free and Reduced LunchNC Department of Public Instruction

Extremely Low Income (ELI)Less Than 30% of Median IncomeUrban Institute

Min wage w two weeks of vacation is $15500 and never taking a day off is $16,00061

Residential Units per 100 ELI HouseholdsUrban Institute

Per Capita Personal Income (2013)U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis

Per Capita Income Change 2009-2013U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis

Per Capita Personal Income 1969-2013U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis

Per Capita Personal Income 2000-2013U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis

Median vs. Per Capita Income (2009-2013)

U.S. Census Bureau; U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis

Unemployment Over TimeNC Dept of Commerce

Chapel Hill Residents EmployedNC Department of Commerce

A reminder that employment is about county of residence69

Orange County Residents EmploymentNC Department of Commerce

One of the biggest once year increases70

Unemployed IndividualsNC Department of Commerce

7x the amount of folks in this room and 15X the folks for the county71

Our Non Profit Employment Sector

One of our largest employment sectors. The NC Center for NC reports that 42% of all jobs are in this sector and their count does not include the university or BCBS. 72

Number of 501 (c)3 Nonprofits Filing 990sNC Center for Nonprofits

Average Annual Wages for Non Profit EmployeesNC Center for Nonprofits

Orange County Non ProfitsOrange County Registered Non Profits735Orange County 501(c)3 Orgs Filing 990s333Annual Revenue of Orange County 501(c)3s$5.2 billionAssets of Orange county 501(c)3s$933 million

Urban Institute

Incubation and Start UpOpenedFacility Size (sq/ft)Enterprises served in 2013 and 2014Mid Way Business Center20015,00011Piedmont Food & Ag Processing Center201110,40037The Cube (UNC- Campus Y)20121,50015LaUNCh Chapel Hill20133,40034178920133,50045TOTALS23,800142 enterprises

Personal Interviews

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Nominal 2014 County GDP (Billions)National Association of Counties

Chatham County

National Association of Counties

Durham County Economic Output


Orange County


Stretch Break and Video Interlude Sponsor

Taxes and Revenue

Orange County Taxable Sales (Millions)NC Department of Revenue

Orange Co. Gross Sales Tax Collection (Millions)NC Department of Revenue

Percent Share of Sales Tax Revenue DistributionNC Dept of Revenue

Durham is actually .0185

Retail Demand How it worksThe average Orange County household spends $34,229 on retail purchases including food.Multiply the annual spend by 53,141 household gives total retail demand of ~$1.82 billionThe Retail Gap is delta between demand and annual retail sales.

2014 Average Local Household Retail Demand (with Food and Drink)NC Department of Commerce

2014 Retail Demand vs Retail Sales (Billions)NC Department of Commerce

2014 Retail Demand vs Retail Sales (Billions)NC Department of Commerce

Total Retail Gap (Millions)(with Food and Drink)NC Department of Commerce

Retail Gap Change from 2012 to 2014 (Millions)NC Department of Commerce

Orange Retail Gap (Millions)NC Department of Commerce

The News We Have Been Waiting For. But Not Really :-(

$Tax revenue/population

$Tax Rev + New Tax Rev/population

Sales Tax Revenue Per CapitaNC Dept of Revenue

Sales Tax Revenue Per CapitaJohn Locke Foundation

Sales Tax Per Capita RankingsJohn Locke Foundation

Per Capital Income Rank vs Per Capita Retail Sales RankJohn Locke Foundation

A little property data

Total Assessed Property Value (Billions)Orange County Tax Administration

2014 Commercial vs Residential Tax BaseOrange County Tax Administration

2014 Orange County Commercial Assessed Value ($Millions)Orange County Tax Administration

Orange County Assessed ValueTOTAL TOTAL $15.6 Billion1.99 Billion$451.7 Million$13.16 BillionOrange County Tax Administration

2013 City and Town Tax RateNC Dept of Revenue

Total of All Jurisdictions Property Tax RateNC Dept of Revenue

Property Taxes on Median House PricesNC Dept of Revenue and RealEstate.com

Environment

Water Sales and Accounts

Monthly Water & Sewer Bills2%0%0%0%3%3%3%

Orange County Water Users (MGD)2014 Orange County State of the Environment

Totally & Partially Protected Lands (Acres) #1 Duke University (5,092 acres)2014 Orange County State of the Environment

Annual Ozone Exceedances

Orange County State of the Environment

Orange County Diagnosis of Asthma (All Ages) in Hospital Discharges per 100,000NC State Center on Health Statistics

Air Quality:Orange County Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Sector2009 Orange County State of the Environment Report

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Air Pollution and Volatile Organic Compounds


Air Pollutants by Source Over Time


Health and Safety

Health Indicators

Health IndicatorOrange CountyChatham CountyWho is #1Length of Life#1#6Orange Quality of Life#3 #34WakeHealth Behaviors#1#17OrangeClinical Care#1#8OrangeSocial and Economic Factors#1#8OrangePhysical Environment#5#24Hyde

County Health Rankings

Length of Live = premature deathQuality of Life= poor or fair health, poor physical health dauys., poor mental health days, low birthweight, Health Behaviors= smoking, obesity, food environ index, physical activity, access to exercise, excessive drinkingSexually transmitted infections and teen birthsClinical Care=unisured, access to primary care, access to dentists, mental health providers, preventable hospital stays, diabetic monitoring, mamography screeningSocial and Economic= high school graduation, college attainment, unemployment, children in povertyu, income inequality, single parent households, social associations, violent crime and injury dealthsPhyscial env= air polution, drinking water violations, sever housing problems, long commutes driving alone, 118

All Cancer Frequency (per 100,000)NC State Center for Health Statistics

Lung/Bronchus Cancer Rate (per 100,000)NC State Center for Health Statistics

Prostate Cancer Rate (per 100,000)NC State Center for Health Statistics

Female Breast Cancer Frequency (per 100,000)NC State Center for Health Statistics

Orange County Pregnancy Rate Girls Age 15-17 (per 1000)NC State Center for Health Statistics

Orange County Teen Pregnancies (Girls 15-17)NC State Center for Health Statistics

Orange County Infant Mortality Rate (per 1000 live births)NC State Center for Health Statistics

Property Crime Rate (per 100,000)State Bureau of Investigation

Violent Crime Rate (per 100,000)State Bureau of Investigation

County Property Crime Rates (Per 100,000)State Bureau of Investigation

County Violent Crime Rates (Per 100,000) State Bureau of Investigation

More information at:relyMD.com/carolinachamber

Contact:Lisa Weistart (919) [email protected]

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Education

132NC Department of Public InstructionPer Pupil Funding by School District

Total Per Pupil Funding All SourcesNC Department of Public Instruction

High School Graduation RatesN.C. Dept of Public Instruction

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School District Dropout RatesN.C. Dept of Public Instruction

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Percent Grade Level Proficient (3, 4 or 5) Reading, Grade 3NC Dept of Public Instruction

Percent Grade Level Proficient (3, 4 or 5)3rd Grade End of Grade Test (EOG)NC Dept of Public Instruction

Percent College/Career Ready (4or5)8th Grade End of Grade TestNC Dept of Public Instruction

Percent of Students College/Career Ready (4 or 5) in Math, Grade 7NC Dept of Public Instruction

Percent of Students College/Career Ready (4 or 5) 8th Grade Science EOC

CHCCS Percent of Students Passing BOTH End of Grade Reading and Math TestsNC Dept of Public Instruction

CHCCS Percent of Students Passing Both End of Grade Reading & Math TestNC Dept of Public Instruction

Percent of Economically Disadvantaged Students Passing Both End of Grade Reading and Math TestsNC Dept of Public Instruction

Higher Education

UNC Chapel Hills 29,278 students UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment

UNCs 11,900 EmployeesUNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment

Fall 2014 UNC Chapel Hill Student HousingUNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment

UNC Chapel Hill Annual Research Funding (2000-2014)UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment

State Appropriations (FY 2014 UNC Chapel Hill)UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment

Total UNC Revenues

UNC Student EnrollmentUNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment

Percent Growth of UNC Student EnrollmentUNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment

UNC Campus Gross Sq Ft (000s)UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment

NUniversity Master Plan Land Holdings

UNC Chapel Hills 95 Start-Up Companies UNC Office of Technology Development

UNC Chapel Hill Number of US Patents IssuesUNC Office of Technology Development

UNC Chapel Hill Licensed Rev (millions)UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment

Durham Tech

Durham Tech

Durham Tech

Durham Tech

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Visitors

Chapel Hill/Orange Co. Hotel Occupancy

Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau

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Chapel Hill/ Orange Co. Average Daily Rate


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Chapel Hill/Orange Co. Room RevenueRevPAR, or revenue per available room, is a performance metric calculated by multiplying a hotel's average daily room rate (ADR) by its occupancy rate. Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau

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2014 Taxes Generated by Tourists (Millions)

In 2014, visitors to Orange County generated $13.34 million in State and Local Taxes (including sales, lodging, food & beverage, gas and other)


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Tourism Spending in Orange County (millions)


Last years growth was 7.5% earning Orange county the high honors of fasting growing visitor spending in NC167

Competitive Advantage

Money Magazine

Accolades and Awards#9 most educated places in America by NerdWalletBest Places to Live by Money MagazineTop cities for music that arent New York or LA by mic.comBest college cities or towns in America by WalletHubBest Small City for Education by Movoto.com#4 of best commute cities in NC by Obrella#13 of the 19 Totally Magical Libraries To Visit Before You Die by BuzzFeed#7 Best College Town for People who Aren't in College by Conde Nast#3 Most Caring Small City in America by Movoto.com#1 Community we would want to work or live in by CHCCC

How You Can SupportPerformance Golf ClassicSept. 28 at Governors Club

Donate at carolinachamber.org/partnership

Be a SuperFan!

GolfSponsor

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Meet local businesses and maybe your next client at

PRIMETIME presented by Michelin OnSite

4-7 p.m., Sept. 10, here at the Friday Center!

www.carolinachamber.org/eventsFor sponsorship opportunities contact Aubrey Fox Williams at [email protected] County Development Briefing presented by the Town of Chapel Hill October 20, 2015

slideshare.net/carolinachamberCheck the Chambers SlideShare account for the entire presentation.

Connect With UsFacebook.com/ChapelHillCarrboroChamberTwitter: @CarolinaChamber Instagram: @carolinachamberflickr.com/photos/carolinachamberLinkedIn: Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber group

carolinachamber.org

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Data & Analytics

2015 State of the Community Report