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Na%onality: Zambian Languages: English is the official language and is widely spoken. There are 73
dialects in Zambia, including Bemba, Tonga, Nyanja, Lozi, Luvale, Lunda.
Major Religions: ChrisGanity 97,5%, Islam-‐Hindu and indigenous beliefs
Capital City: Lusaka Climate: Tropical Terrain: Mostly high plateau with few hills and mountains
Natural Resources: Copper, cobalt, gold, nickel, diamonds, coal, emeralds, uranium, water.
Land Use: Arable land: 60 million hectares. Only 15% of arable land is culGvated. Time: +2 hours of GMT Country code: +260 Internet Domain: .zm Measures: Metric system
• Zambia is a landlinked country located in South-‐Central region of Africa with a total surface area of 752’614 km2, with a maximum length of 1’206 km E–W and a maximum width of 815 km N–S. Zambia shares a total boundary length of 5’664 km with eight countr ies namely: Tanzania, Malawi, Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Botswana, Namibia, Angola, and the DemocraGc Republic of the Congo (DRC);
• Zambia has an esGmated populaGon of about 14,22 million people. Lusaka is the capital city of Zambia with a populaGon of more than 1,5 million;
• Zambia’s rural areas are home to two thirds of the total populaGon;
• ChrisGanity is the main religion, followed by Islam with about 2,5% of the populaGon ;
• Currency – Zambian Kwacha (ZMW) = 100 Ngwee.
• Exchange Rate: The exchange rate is market determined. Current Rate ~ 6,2 ZMW / 1 US$
• Main export commodiGes come from Mining & Agriculture.
Source: CIA Factbook, Finscope Zambia, Central Sta9s9cal Office, Zambia
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Socio-economic profile • The majority (62%) of the adult populaGon live in rural areas • Almost half (47%) of the adult populaGon are under the age of 30 years
• More than half of the adult populaGon (56%) have only a primary school educaGon or less
• Many adults get income on an irregular, inconsistent basis – income from farming and self-‐employment are the most relied upon sources of income:
• 50% of rural and 27% of urban adults do not have a regular monthly income
• Only 14% of urban adults earn a salary or wages from a company or business, reducing to less than 3% for rural adults
• In rural areas, financial acGvity is driven by farming acGviGes, whereas in urban areas self-‐employment (running own business) feature more prominently
• Almost 80% of adults earn below K400 000 a month (US$1 = K5 145 (June 2010))
Female 51%
Male 49%
Gender distribution Urban 38% Rural
62%
Urban-rural distribution
10%
15%
12%
8% 17%
5%
8%
6%
12%
7%
Percentage Share of Population by Province, Zambia, 2010
Central
Copperbelt
Eastern
Luapula
Lusaka
Muchinga
Northern
North-Western
Southern
Western
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FINANCIAL PRODUCTS PENETRATION • Accessibility to banking products & services remains a problem. Only about 13,9% of the populaGon have access to banking products & services;
• Currently Zambian consumers pay for services such as Electricity, water, etc. through the service provider service centers, retail chain stores, super markets & mobile money operators e.g. Airtel, MTN, POS -‐ Kazang & Zoona;
• Payment terminals are an important tool for corporate cash collecGon operaGons (LaFarge, Zambia Breweries);
• PotenGal micro-‐payments market including Telcos top-‐up is US$ 175 million per month.
The Zambian Access Strand • 37.3% of Zambian adults are financially served leaving 62.7% of
adults financially excluded (i.e. using no financial products – formal or informal to manage their financial lives)
• 23.2% of Zambians adults are formally served: 13.9% have a bank account and 9.3% have other formal financial products though they do not have a bank account
• 14.1% of Zambians are informally served only (i.e. using only informal financial products)
EXISTING PAYMENTS STRUCTURES
32%
23%
18%
17%
7%
2% 1% Total of 175 mln US$ Per Month
!!CASH!SERVICE
!!TELCOS
!!MUNICIPALITY!BILLS
!!TAXES!AND!FEES
!!FINANCE!PRODUCTS
!!INTERNET
!!PAY!TV
Source: CIA Factbook, Cellpay, Finscope Zambia, ZICTA
Another Company
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1,12$
4,59$
7,13$
9,68$
12,81$
563$
1$715$
2$867$
4$019$
5$171$
2014$ 2015$ 2016$ 2017$ 2018$
Revenue,$million$USD$
Quan;ty$of$installed$terminals$
REVENUE & TERMINAL QUANTITY DYNAMICS
Touch Four Pay Limited is a Zambian registered Company and subsidiary of Bantec InternaGonal an e-‐Commerce and Mobile payments soluGon provider which has offices in Europe, Northern America and Africa, with numerous terminals located worldwide offering over 3000 mobile payment services; • Workforce employees: − Lusaka: 7 people (as at May, 2014) − Other offices: 65 people. • Signed contracts with main service providers and TELCOS; • The company is currently conducGng online transacGon tests,
UATs & fine tuning integraGon parameters. Deployment of terminals will start latest April 2014.
THE COMPANY SHAREHOLDING STRUCTURE
HK
Individual
Individual
TOUCH FOUR PAY OFFICE MAIN AGENTS
100%
12% 88%
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BUSINESS DESCRIPTION & ARCHITECTURE
FORECAST; GEOGRAPHICAL LOCATION OF TERMINALS
info
info
cache cache
cache
servise
bank
processing
Service Providers
“Touch4pay offers its agents a special proposal for Incasa9on/CIT from established CIT agents such as ARMAGUARD”.
Dimensions: 198,5х55 ,5х39 ,5 cm Weight: 136 kg. Power consumption: < 200W Storage temperature range: -10 …… +80 С Operating temperature: +10 ……. +60 С
Terminal with 22” advertising screen cost – US$ 3’800 + VAT
1000
1200
70
200
200
200
Total ~ 2’870 pcs
Maintenance and repair of
terminals § spare parts and
consumables storage; § Repair terminals;
§ InstallaGon; § Servicing of terminals.
Maintenance & Support
Online monitoring system
§ Display; § Validator; § Fiscal printer; § Network; § Emergency sensor.
Online Monitoring system
2014-‐2016
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• The Company was granted an Investment License under the ZDA Act of the Laws Of Zambia; Key benefits: ü Zero % taxes on dividends for 5 years from the first declaraGon;
ü Zero % taxes on profits for 5 years from the first announcement; • Currently awaiGng the issuance of a Bank of Zambia designaGon License.
8
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Risk Mitigation
1. Industry Life Cycle (The risk that the industry will not grow fast enough to sustain the level of investment)
The ICT Industry is projected to have a steady growth, which will be largely determined by the World GDP growth, which influences disposable incomes and other industries growth rates.
2. CompeGGon (The risk of losing market share due to increased industry rivalry)
Strategic partnerships with players ,service industries and distributors.
3. New Entrants TOUCH FOUR PAY will conGnually scan the market for new entrants and develop strategies aimed at maintaining its market share through improvements in the quality and variety of its service offering.
4. OperaGonal Gearing (The risk of loss due to high fixed costs)
The Company has low fixed cost element projecGon in relaGon to the variable costs. This means that TOUCH FOUR PAY's costs structure limits its exposure to loss due to high overheads even when operaGng at low capacity.
5. Financial Risk (The risk of loss due to fraud or thev)
1. The company intends to invest in an integrated IT and accounGng system, which will monitor and manage the whole transacGon process.
2. The Company will seek to conGnuously review and improve on exisGng systems of internal controls and financial management.
6. Human Resource Risk (Failure to recruit and retain the right people)
1. The Company will seek complete reviews of the human resource management systems and policies from Gme to Gme.
2. The Company will develop operaGonal manuals and systems to guarantee effecGve management and staff; this is to involve both internal and external training. Seek consultancy services when required.
7. Taxes and Compliance (Failure to comply with tax legislaGon and industry standards)
The Company intends to InsGtute a programme of strict compliance with relevant taxes and industry standards.
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P&L USD 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Turnover total 16 839 171 104 330 880 203 898 240 303 465 600 403 032 960 Transac%on turnover 14 034 900 96 235 200 192 484 800 288 734 400 384 984 000 Revenue from transac%on 689 238 2 081 980 3 410 631 4 739 282 6 067 933
Revenue from processing services 7 200 293 760 708 480 1 123 200 1 537 920 Commission from agents terminals 114 838 827 199 1 741 130 2 655 061 3 568 992 Commission from own terminals 567 200 961 021 961 021 961 021 961 021
Marginality of the terminal services 4,9% 2,2% 1,8% 1,6% 1,6% Revenue from adver%sing 315 936 1 491 840 2 708 352 3 924 864 5 141 376 Revenue from sales of terminals 118 250 1 015 872 1 015 872 1 015 872 1 601 776
Revenue total 1 123 423 4 589 692 7 134 855 9 680 018 12 811 085
Expenses -‐234 925 -‐772 410 -‐729 746 -‐874 014 -‐1 085 832 -‐1 216 940 Equipment costs -‐64 250 -‐45 100 -‐43 300 -‐26 000 -‐34 250 -‐20 250 Salary -‐50 300 -‐329 935 -‐398 446 -‐516 264 -‐646 082 -‐773 640 Organiza%onal and administra%ve expenses -‐120 375 -‐397 375 -‐288 000 -‐331 750 -‐405 500 -‐423 050
EBITDA -‐234 925 351 013 3 859 946 6 260 841 8 594 186 11 594 145
Marginality 31,2% 84,1% 87,8% 88,8% 90,5% Income tax Under ZDA Act the company have zero percent tax on profits for 5 years from the first year profits are made.
The net profit -‐234 925 351 013 3 859 946 6 260 841 8 594 186 11 594 145
Free cash flow 2013 2014 2015 2016 Free cash flow -‐234 925 351 013 3 859 946 6 260 841
Net income -‐234 925 351 013 3 859 946 6 260 841 Deprecia%on Capital expenses Changes in working capital
WACC 25,00% Discounted cash flow -‐234 925 280 811 2 470 365 3 205 550
Periods 0 1 2 3
Net discounted profit 5 721 801
CalculaYon of the terminal value Free cash flow 6 323 449 The growth in the pos_orecasted period 1%
A terminal value, 2013 26 347 705
PV terminal value 13 490 025
Cost of the company DCF, 2013-‐2016 19 211 826
11
COMPARATIVE MULTIPLES OF PUBLIC COMPANIES
REVENUE DYNAMICS AND EBITDA 2014-‐18
Company Market cap, USD
Enterprise Value, USD
EV/Rev, bm
EV/EBITDA, bm
Visa 124,53 B 121,18 B 10,51 16,39 Mastercard 82,25B 77,16 B 9,87 16,99 Alliance Data Systems 10,20 B 18,57 B 4,69 15,39 Total System Services 5,55 B 5,5 B 2,91 12,77 Western Union 9,3B 11,43B 2,06 7,64 FleetCor 9,10 B 9,84 B 12,24 22,45 Euronet Worldwide 1,93 B 2,04 B 1,52 12,42 QIWI 2,44 B 2,24 B 6,32 28,18 Median 5,51 15,89
FINAL EVALUATION OF THE COMPANY
1,12
4,59
7,13
9,68
12,81
0,35
3,86
6,26
8,59
11,59
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Revenue, million USD
EBITDA, million USD
Parameter 2014 2015 2016
Valua%on, mln USD Share of Valua%on,
mln USD Share of Valua%on, mln USD Share of
EV/Revenue 6,18 40% 25,27 40% 70,53 40% EV/EBITDA 5,58 20% 61,33 20% 99,48 20% DCF 1,23 40% 12,91 40% 19,21 40%
The final grade 4,08 100% 27,54 100% 55,79 100%
§ Company valuaGon is calculated on two methodologies: DCF and mulGples of comparable companies.
§ Rates by DCF 2014-‐2016 : US$ 19,21 million.
§ Rate mulGples:
− EV/Revenue 2015 US$ 25,27 million.
− EV/EBITDA 2015 US$ 61,33 million.
§ The average valuaGon of the company in 2015 US$ 27,54 million.
§ If to esGmate on the projecGons for 2016, weighted assessment of the company will amount to US$ 55,79 million.