04/07/23 1

Carl PottsExecutive Director

Saskatchewan Pulse Growers

Outline• Overall Grain situation in Canada• 2013 Production• 2014 forecast• Factors to watch

CDN Pulse Production History

Source: AAFC

Production

Seeded Area

CDN 2013 Crop Production

Source: AAFC

2013 CDN Pulse Production

Source: AAFC

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Wheat Canola Peas Lentils

Mill

ion

tonn

es

2012

2013

2014f

Up 40%

Up 30%

Up 40%

Up 30%

Up 15%Up 15%

2013 Production

2013 Production• Wheat yields up 25%• Canola yields up 42%Increase in wheat and canola production alone -

> 3.5X total Canadian pea cropResult: Constrained transportation struggling

to move all the grain.

2013 Pulse Production• Peas: 3.85 million tonnes• Lentils: 1.88 million tonnes• Dry beans: 209,000 tonnes• Chickpeas: 182,000 tonnes

Source: Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada – Jan 24, 2014 estimates

2014 Factors• Prices for major grains and

oilseeds down sharply• Cereal grain seeded area

forecasted lower• Pea and lentil area expected

to be higher.

Source: Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, Jan 24, 2014

Factors to watch• Grain Movement• Weather• Soybeans and corn competing for acres• China – yellow pea imports