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Natural gas exploration & demand scenario
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March 28~29, 2012- Yangon, Myanmar
Outline
Introduction
Gas Production History of Myannmar
Demand & Supply
Gas Pipeline Grid
Gas Pricing
Demand Forecast
Natural Gas Resources in Myanmar
Supply and Demand Scenario 1 (Base Case)
Supply and Demand Scenario 2 (Normal Case)
Supply and Demand Scenario 3 (High Case)
Conclusion
Introduction
Shares of Energy Sources in World Primary Energy Demand
World Energy Outlook 2011
GAS
OIL
COAL
BIOMASS
NUCLEAR
HYDRO
Gas Production History of Myanmar
Daily Average Production (million cubic feet per day)
Budget Year Onshore Production Offshore Production Total
2001-2002 119 682 800
2002-2003 122 854 976
2003-2004 137 879 1016
2004-2005 143 1025 1168
2005-2006 135 1064 1199
2006-2007 122 1140 1261
2007-2008 96 1207 1303
2008-2009 108 1003 1111
2009-2010 79 1125 1204
2010-2011 61 1173 1234
2011-2012 65 1246 1311
Gas Production History of Myanmar
Gas Production History of Myanmar
Out of 1.31 billion cuft per day produced, 1041 mmcfd is exported to Thailand
and the remaining 270 mmcfd is used in various domestic sectors.
Demand & Supply
Demand & Supply
Demand & Supply
Gas Infrastructure
550
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
1600
2000-01 2005-06 2010-11 2015-16 2020-21 2025-26 2030-31
Dail
y M
MS
CF
Year
30 Years Gas Demand Forecast (2000-2001 to 2030-31)
Base Case
Normal Case
High Case
Current Trend
Demand Forecast
MYANMAR ONSHORE GAS RESERVES/ RESOURCES
Sr. No. Basin
Gas (IGIP) (TCF) Cumulative Production
(TCF) Proved Probable+ Possible
Total
1 CHINDWIN BASIN 0.011 1.394 1.405 -
2 CENTRAL MYANMAR 0.839 1.851 2.689 0.589
3 PYAY EMBAYMENT 0.484 1.954 2.438 0.303
4 AYEYARWADY DELTA BASIN 1.049 0.377 1.426 0.597
5 BAGO YOMA BASIN 0.029 1.418 1.447 0.002
TOTAL 2.411 6.994 9.405 1.492
Natural Gas Resources in Myanmar
13
Sr.
No. Company Block
Field
Prospect
Gas (IGIP) (TCF) Oil
(IOIP)
(MMBL)
Remark
Proved
Probable
+
Possible
Total
1 Total M-5 Yadana 6.690 - 6.690 Certified by DMN
M-5 Badamya 0.515 0.222 0.737 Certified by DMN
M-5 Sein 0.252 0.007 0.259 Certified by DMN
M-5 Others 2.732 2.732 Potential
M-6 0.450 0.450 4.542 By MOGE
Sub-total 7.907 2.961 10.868 4.542
2 Petronas M-12 Yetagun 4.023 0.478 4.501 84.560 Certified by DMN
M-13 YTG(North) 0.143 0.146 0.289 Certified by DMN
M-14 Aungzeya 0.179 - 0.179 1.790 By Premier Oil
M-
12/13/14 Others - 0.620 0.620 Potential
Sub-total 4.345 1.244 5.589 86.350
3 Daewoo A-1 Shwe 2.069 3.351 5.42 Certified by GCA
A-1 Shwe Phyu 0.277 0.895 1.172 Certified by GCA
A-3 Mya 1.023 1.470 2.493 Certified by GCA
A-3 Others - 4.930 4.930 Potential
Sub-total 3.369 10.646 14.015
MYANMAR OFFSHORE GAS RESERVES/ RESOURCES
To page 2
Natural Gas Resources in Myanmar
Sr.
No. Company Block
Field
Prospect
Gas (IGIP) (TCF) Cumulative
Production
(TCF)
Remark
Proved
Probable
+
Possible
Total
4 PTTEP M-3 3CA (North) 0.870 - 0.870 10 By MOGE
M-3 (East) - 4.250 4.250 Potential (PTTEPI)
M-4 - 3.280 3.280 Potential (PTTEPI)
M-7 0.173 4.640 4.813 Potential (PTTEPI)
M-9 3.068 16.581 19.649 Potential (PTTEPI)
M-11 - 9.000 9.000 Potential (PTTEPI)
Sub-total 4.111 37.751 41.862 10
5 M-8 - 4.039 4.039 Potential (NGWE)
CNOOC M-10 0.245 0.104 0.349 - Potential (CNOOC)
Sub-total 0.245 4.143 4.388 -
Total+Petronas+Daewoo+PTTEP+CNOOC 19.732 56.745 76.722 100.892
MYANMAR OFFSHORE GAS RESERVES/RESOURCES (Continued)
Note: This resource estimation was based on the available data from 17 known shallow water blocks.
No resource estimation has been done on the rest 8 shallow water blocks and 18 deep water blocks.
Natural Gas Resources in Myanmar
Supply and Demand Scenario 1 (Base Case)
Supply and Demand Scenario 2 (Normal Case)
Supply and Demand Scenario 3 (High Case)
Supply and Demand Scenario 3 (High Case)
Supply and Demand Scenario 3 (High Case)
Conclusion
• Natural gas demand is expected to remain high. • With high-case scenario, the supply eventually meets the
demand at around 2017.
• Exploration focus on natural gas has become a must.
• Recent development in floating LNG plant concept is an encouragement for offshore natural gas development including deepwater prospects.
• Today's awareness for domestic requirement is escalating at an unprecedented great speed.
• "More Gas, More Industries, More Economic Development, and More Wealth."
"More Gas, and More Wealth"