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This keynote from Dr. James Canton, CEO Institute for Global Futures, www.FutureGuru.com is part of a ten year forecast of leading-edge technologies that will transform markets, humans and society. For more see www.FutureGuru.com
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Future S&T Forecasts
Dr. James Canton
CEO & Chairman
GlobalFuturist.com
Institute for Global Futures
Forecast Emerging
Trends
• Think Tank
• Advise Fortune 1000
• Global Risk Analysis
• Analytic Forecasting
• Innovation Strategy
Worldwide Clients
Forecasting Models
•Proprietary Computer and
Network based Analytic engines
•Environmental scanning
•Conduct primary and analyze
secondary research
Welcome to the Extreme Future
Extreme Future: More Risk More
Opportunity
!A highly multidimensional worldof complex trends
Challenge: Navigate Extreme Future
8
World of 2020
Top Global Risk on GDP & Multinational
• Energy
• Population
• Food
• Water
• Health
• Ecology
• GWOT
Global Population
By 2020, 95% of World’s 8 Billion People will
Live in Developing Nations
Total Fertility
Rate by
Country
Fertility Rates Dropping
Fertility in Every Developed Country has
Fallen Beneath the Replacement Rate of 2.1UN 1997
An Older World
Immigration & birthrates
will not keep pace
with GDP demands
Impact on:
•Global Security
•Productivity
•Quality of life
Future Productivity Crisis:
More Jobs then Workers
US Workforce 2020
• More Jobs then Workers• Over 50% Women• One third minority• Large Hispanic population• Knowledge Enabled• Global outsourcing
By 2020: Most mega-cities indeveloping world—EcoFault risk
Global Megacities
The World of 2020 will have 100 Megacities
with more than 10 Million People Each
17
Possible 2020 Disruption Forecast
The clash between the rich agingdeveloped world and the pooryoung ethnic developing world
18
Possible 2020 Disruption Forecast
Wealth gaps between not only thehaves and have not nations butpopulations within nations like Asia &India will drive social unrest
19
Possible Disruption Forecast 2020
Current energy resources will notkeep pace with population growthor GDP—strategic implications?
20
Possible 2020 Disruption Forecast
Over one quarter of gross worldproduct is made by ten cities todayBut this economic power may shiftto Asia in the future—implications?
21
Possible 2020 Disruption Forecast
Cities and planet’s carryingcapacity to feed, clean, cloth, houseand economically sustain 1-2 Billionmore people is questionable.
Innovation: Key Driver of Global GDP
1/3 of US GDP is Innovation Driven
Global Innovation Economy
• Key driver of competitive
advantage, wealth and
prosperity
• Fusion of talent & science
• America leads
NextGen Science Convergence
New Systems Science
Bioinfomatics
Biological Metaphors in Computing
In Silico Biology
Genetic / BioMed Proteomics
NBICQ Modeling
Quantum Modeling
of Nano-Materials
• Quantum Modeling of meta-scale nanostructured catalysts, nano-
crystals, and membranes enables investigation into unique molecular
forms with substantial cost savings over conventional material solutions
Knowledge-Engineering
Genetic Magnification
Key Properties:
Photonic
Electronic
Mechnical
Chemical
Controlled Replication
Living
Systems as
Biofoundry
Materials Harvest /
“Biocomponents”
Dynamic Agent
Material Patterning /
Structural Systems
Synthetic Biology
Synthetic Biology Building Blocks >
Biological Systems Architectures
Neural Futures
Conquering Disease at the
Atomic Scale: Designed Care
• From InSilico Biology, to Molecular Delivery, toIntracellular NanoBiology
• The Evolution of Applied NanoMedicine
Life Extension: Personalized Med
Space Futures
Industrialization of Space – the next Economic Paradigm
Energy Harvesting
Specialized Materials
Space Pharma
Summary
"Science must accelerate socialinnovations
"Key is next gen systems science
"Direct connection to science anddemocracy, security, economic growth,prosperity
"Better private/public coordination
Convergence: Future of Mega Cities