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Deutsche Bank Access Italy Conference - Marco Patuano presentation (17/05/2012)
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Telecom Italia Update Deutsche Bank Access Italy ConferenceThursday, 17 May 2012, London
MARCO PATUANO – Chief Operating Officer
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP
1MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Deutsche Bank Access Italy ConferenceThursday, 17 May 2012, London
Safe Harbour
These presentations contain statements that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements appear in a number of places in this presentation and include statements regarding the intent, belief or current expectations of the customer base, estimates regarding future growth in the different business lines and the global business, market share, financial results and other aspects of the activities and situation relating to the Company and the Group. Such forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from those projected or implied in the forward looking statements as a result of various factors. Consequently, Telecom Italia S.p.A. makes no representation, whether expressed or implied, as to the conformity of the actual results with those projected in the forward looking statement.Forward-looking information is based on certain key assumptions which we believe to be reasonable as of the date hereof, but forward looking information by its nature involves risks and uncertainties, which are outside our control, and could significantly affect expected results.Analysts are cautioned not to place undue reliance on those forward looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation. Telecom Italia S.p.A. undertakes no obligation to release publicly the results of any revisions to these forward looking statements which may be made to reflect events and circumstances after the date of this presentation, including, without limitation, changes in Telecom Italia S.p.A. business or acquisition strategy or planned capital expenditures or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. Analysts and investors are encouraged to consult the Company's Annual Report on Form 20-F as well as periodic filings made on Form 6-K, which are on file with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission.
2MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Deutsche Bank Access Italy ConferenceThursday, 17 May 2012, London
Agenda
Group Overview
Domestic 1Q12 Progress Report
Fixed BusinessMobile BusinessFocus on Ultra BroadbandEBITDA Generation and Cost Efficiency Progress
3MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Deutsche Bank Access Italy ConferenceThursday, 17 May 2012, London
Revenues EBITDA
42.0% 40.1%% on Revenues -1.9 p.p.
Revenues Trend YoY EBITDA-CAPEX
Euro mln, Organic data, %
27.2%-2.1 p.p.29.3%
+15 M€+0.5%
-43 M€-2.1%
TI Group Key Results
+373 M€+5.3%7,019
7,392
1Q11 1Q12
2,055 2,012
1Q11 1Q12
2,951 2,966
1Q11 1Q12
-0,2%
2.1%
3.7%
5.0%5.3%
1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12
% on Revenues
4MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Deutsche Bank Access Italy ConferenceThursday, 17 May 2012, London
Revenues
EBITDA
EBITDA-CAPEX
Weight on TI Group
38.2%
26.7%
Euro mln, Organic Data
TI Group
1Q12
7,392
2,966
2,012
Δ% yoy
+5.3%
+0.5%
-2.1%
1Q12
1,928
505
271
Δ% yoy
+19.1%
+13.5%
-14.6%
26.0%
17.0%
~14%
Brazil
1Q12
901
289
168
Δ% yoy
+24.0%
+16.6%
+5.1 %
12.2%
9.7%
~8%
Argentina
1Q12
4,486
2,196
1,607
Δ% yoy
-2.4%
-3.4%
-0.2%
60.4%
74.0%
~80%
Domestic
TI Group Key Results by Core Markets
5MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Deutsche Bank Access Italy ConferenceThursday, 17 May 2012, London
+439
(1)Δ vs. 11
2010YE
31,468 (1,076)
+450
(377)
+367
+156
(149) +77
+12 30,622
1Q11 (846)
Euro mln, Reported Data
EBITDACAPEXΔ WC & Others
Operating FCF
(2,963)+954
+1,383
(626)
(102)
Debt Reduction Progressing as per Planned Sequence
30,414 30,312 (626) (10) 438 7 89
2011YEAdjusted
Operating FCF Disposals Cash Financial Expenses/Financial Accruals
FinancialInvestments
Cash Taxes/OtherImpacts
1Q12Adjusted
6MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Deutsche Bank Access Italy ConferenceThursday, 17 May 2012, London
Free Cash Flow Generation: in line with Targets
TIGroup
TIGroup
* Excluding spectrum acquisitions
7.0* ~7.0*
FY2011 FY2012E
0.6
1Q12
StableStable
-0.5
0.7
5.8* 1.2DomesticDomestic
BrazilBrazil
ArgentinaArgentina
Guidance OFCF FY12E
0.6
Breakdown
Euro mln, Reported Data
Operating Free Cash Flow
Revenues
Opex
Capex
Δ WC
OFCF
7,0737,392
+319
-53
- 431
- 450
-285
Brazil: - 0.3bln € (capex acceleration for network upgrades and increased cashout from TLC fees) Domestic: - 0.1bln € (increased VAT payment)Argentina: stableTI Media: -0.04bln €
1,076 626
952 1,383
901 954
4,144 4,429
1Q11 1Q12
0.05
Euro bln
7MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Deutsche Bank Access Italy ConferenceThursday, 17 May 2012, London
** excluding Latam spectrum licences
TI Group – FY 2012 Key Guidance
Revenues
Ebitda
Capexcum ’12-’14
NFP Adj.**
NFP Adj. 2012-’14
Stable
Broadly Stable
>15 € bln
∼ 27.5 € bln
FY 2012: ∼ 27.5 € bln
FY 2013: ∼ 25 € bln
From FY 2014: < 2x Net Debt/Ebitda***
Organic Data*
TI Group – 2012-14 Plan Key Guidance **Ebitda-Capexcum ’12-’14
>22 € bln
Organic Data*
*exchange rates 2011 (R$/€ 2.33; ARS/€5.74), excluding impact from non-organic items
*** reported figure
Telecom Italia Group – FY 2012 and 2012-14 Plan Key Guidance
8MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Deutsche Bank Access Italy ConferenceThursday, 17 May 2012, London
Agenda
Group Overview
Domestic 1Q12 Progress Report
Fixed BusinessMobile BusinessFocus on Ultra BroadbandEBITDA Generation and Cost Efficiency Progress
9MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Deutsche Bank Access Italy ConferenceThursday, 17 May 2012, London
Domestic Results: Trend still improvingEuro mln, Organic data, %
4,595 4,486-109 M€
-2.4%
-1.7%
-2.9%Wireline
Mobile
Total Domestic Revenues Domestic Service Revenues
EBITDA
-78 M€-3.4%
49.5% 49.0%-0.5 p.p.% on Revenues
2,2742,196
EBITDA-Capex
1,611 1,607
35.8%+0.7 p.p.% on Revenues 35.1%
-4 M€-0.2%
10MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Deutsche Bank Access Italy ConferenceThursday, 17 May 2012, London
Agenda
Group Overview
Domestic 1Q12 Progress Report
Fixed BusinessMobile BusinessFocus on Ultra BroadbandEBITDA Generation and Cost Efficiency Progress
11MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Deutsche Bank Access Italy ConferenceThursday, 17 May 2012, London
Tariff simplificationprocess begins
Euro mln, Organic Data, %
Domestic Fixed: Revenue Dynamics
3,330 -2.9%
Wholesale Revenues Trend – YoY % change
Total Fixed Revenues Fixed Revenues Trend – YoY % change
3,235
Tota
lS
ervi
ces
Retail Service Revenues Trend – YoY % change
Dom
estic
Equi
pmen
t
Spar
kle
Gro
up*
*Gross of Elim. & Adj.
12MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Deutsche Bank Access Italy ConferenceThursday, 17 May 2012, London
Domestic Fixed: TI Access Performance
Telecom Italia Access TI Line Losses
-150k22,098 21,712 21,562
TI R
etai
lW
hole
sale
1Q11 4Q11 1Q12
TI R
etai
lW
hole
sale
Stable
Voice ARPU – YoY % change Highlights
-25k -77k -150k
Reduction
66.2%66.6%67.7%M/Son total Mrk
Access Market reduction as result of stable TI’s line losses and decreasing OLO’s net adds
TI’s access market share above 66%
Line erosion driven byIn Consumer, disconnections in second
homes (low potential, voice only)In Business Segment, multi-line contracts
rationalization and increasing number ofCompanies exiting the market
13MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Deutsche Bank Access Italy ConferenceThursday, 17 May 2012, London
‘000Euro/month/line
Flat (%)
TI retail accesses
M/S 54.3% 53.2% 52.6%
TI Retail Broadband Accesses Broadband Retail ARPU
Domestic Fixed: Focus on Broadband
88%87%87%
7,194 7,125 7,092 -0.6%
+0.3%
BB Service Revenues Highlights% YoY
TotalMarkets 13,248 13,394 13,485
Confirming the right direction in TI’s Value Strategy:
Continued positive BB Service Revenues trend
QoQ ARPU increase
+1.0 p.p. of Flat offers on TI’s BB CustomerBase
Increasing BB penetration (+1.5 p.p.) on fixed CB, confirming the low value of TI’s line losses
14MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Deutsche Bank Access Italy ConferenceThursday, 17 May 2012, London
Agenda
Group Overview
Domestic 1Q12 Progress Report
Fixed BusinessMobile BusinessFocus on Ultra BroadbandEBITDA Generation and Cost Efficiency Progress
15MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Deutsche Bank Access Italy ConferenceThursday, 17 May 2012, London
Euro mln, Organic Data
Mobile Revenues: 1Q12 Results at a Glance
Total Mobile Revenues
Mobile Service Revenues Trend – YoY % change
Handsetrevenues
Service revenues
1,650-29
-1.7%1,679
Normalized (*)
~-2.5%
Total Mobile
-3.7%
Normalized (*)
~-4.5%
+71.1%
(*) Leap year
Mobile Handsets Revenues Trend – YoY % change
16MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Deutsche Bank Access Italy ConferenceThursday, 17 May 2012, London
Euro mln, Organic Data
‘000‘000
Balance MPN 2012
Total SIM cards Net Adds
+1,290
X5
Domestic Mobile: Customer Base Trend
Highlights
Sound customer base growth in spite of weakseasonality
Progressive improvement in MNP balance, and lower promo agressivness
Best in class churn rate supported by CRM focus
17MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Deutsche Bank Access Italy ConferenceThursday, 17 May 2012, London
Domestic Mobile – Defending Value of our Customer Base
BusinessGenerated
BusinessReceived
Lower exposure toMTR cuts
Options benefit Consumer Churn
More Value from Options – Consumer Segment Consumer Calling ARPU
Business Generated Consumer Revenues
-8 p.p.
Progressive improvement on quarterly basis
% YoY
Avg Δ ARPU Ex-ante/Ex-post
+
+
-
Positive blended impact
Spontaneous migration by clientsfrom pay-as-you-go profile
to bundle and options
CRM activity on existing CB
14% 12%
86% 88%
18MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Deutsche Bank Access Italy ConferenceThursday, 17 May 2012, London
Content
Domestic Mobile – Focus on Mobile VAS Consumer
Browsing
Messaging
2011
2012
VAS+7.3%
VAS Consumer Revenues Trend
% YoY
Successful strategy pushing on bundle offers aiming at messaging revenues protection and CB fidelization:
Messaging Volumes: +25% YoYCB with Messaging Bundle Offers: +44% YoY
Continued solid growth in active
users and browsing revenues
underpinning Mobile recovery trend
~70% of Smartphoneon Handsets sold
Solid ARPU increase: +9.4% YoY
MBB Users
1Q11 1Q12
+32%
Browsing Revenues
1Q11 1Q12
+21%
Small Screen Large Screen
Leadership confirmedon dongle: M/S ~38%
Double digit growth in users (+11.5% YoY)
Marketing strategy focused on bundling data & SMS to avoid
cannibalization
Messaging Revenues – YoY % change
-
++
≈
19MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Deutsche Bank Access Italy ConferenceThursday, 17 May 2012, London
Agenda
Group Overview
Domestic 1Q12 Progress Report
Fixed BusinessMobile BusinessFocus on Ultra BroadbandEBITDA Generation and Cost Efficiency Progress
20MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Deutsche Bank Access Italy ConferenceThursday, 17 May 2012, London
Ultra Broadband in MotionUltra Broadband in Motion
42 Mbps coveragein progress in 50cities
Ongoing Trialsextended to Turin, Milan, Rome and Naples
FTTC (covering 30 main cities) and FTTH (in Milan) Retail commercial launch expected in 4Q
Reference Offer for wholesaleNGAN Access Services submittedto Agcom in March, final approvalexpected by September
Fixed Mobile
Maintaining a fixed & mobile coordinated approach
21MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Deutsche Bank Access Italy ConferenceThursday, 17 May 2012, London
Agenda
Group Overview
Domestic 1Q12 Progress Report
Fixed BusinessMobile BusinessFocus on Ultra BroadbandEBITDA Generation and Cost Efficiency Progress
22MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Deutsche Bank Access Italy ConferenceThursday, 17 May 2012, London
Euro mln, Organic Data, %
Personnel Cost reduction from lay-off program (-3% yoy) offsets the negative impact from market prices increase in energy and real estate**
•ITZ Wholesale: -36M€ due to gross Voice revenues increase
•Retail: +59M€ reflecting MTR cut impact
Push on Mobile Smartphone with limited impact on SAC/Subsidy
•Robust growth on Mobile Gross Adds managed through Acquisition Costs Control
•Efficiency program on Fixed Commercial Costs turned into yoy positive contribution to margins
1
2
3
4
* Industrial + Personnel + G&A = Fixed Opex
Focus on 1Q12 Domestic EBITDA
2 3 41
-78M€, -3,4%
** Energy unitary price (including taxation) and inflation adj (ISTAT), IMU on Real Estate
23MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Deutsche Bank Access Italy ConferenceThursday, 17 May 2012, London
Progress on Domestic Efficiency PlanEuro mln, Organic Data, %
Delta Cash Cost1Q12 vs 1Q11
Cash Cost
EfficiencyVolume Driven
-232.984
- 105
-134
Intercon-nection
Target FY : -0,5 Bn
1Q11 1Q 12
2.879
+52
Cash Cost on Revenues %
1Q11 1Q12
64.9%
64.2%- 0.7 p.p.
**Includes Other Operating cost/Income and Capitalized Costs* Costs related to credit management are reclassified from G&A & Other to Mktg & Sales
Δ Abs’12 vs ‘111Q12
-23
589Total Capex
442
250
- 29
757
+18
-20
+17
2.290Total Opex* -31
556
Industrial
Personnel
Mktg &Comm.
ITX
G&A &Other ** 120
2.879 -105TotalCash Cost
165 +6Handset Efficiency
FixedOpex
+151Q12
134
Opex Capex
% on FYTarget ~30%
-74
~25% ~35%