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CB RICHARD ELLIS
NAIOP TAMPA BAYANNUAL BROKER UPDATE :: 2011Retailer Overview
David ConnExecutive Vice PresidentCB Richard Ellis
Tesco- Homeplus Subway Virtual Store
Diminishing Store Size for Some Big Box Retailers
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Best Buy Office Depot Staples Target Wal-Mart
2008 2009 2010 2011
AVERAGE STORE SIZE (X1,000 SF)
Source: CBRE Econometric Advisors/Dodge Pipeline
Econometric Advisors
Outlook
Econometric Advisors
Outlook
US Retail Chain Store Sales Segments & Selected Comp-store PerformanceAUGUST 2011 :: YEAR-OVER-YEAR %CHANGE
Source: ICSC Chain Store Sales Trends
Econometric Advisors
Outlook
RETAILER 9/1/2011 9/1/2010 % CHANGE
S&P 500 1204.42 1080.29 11.49%
Best Buy 24.79 32.66 -24.10%
Costco 79.48 57.79 37.53%
Home Depot 32.93 28.67 14.86%
J.C. Penney 26.26 20.75 26.55%
Kohl's 45.39 48.40 -6.22%
Kroger 23.31 20.06 16.20%
Ross Stores 74.77 51.10 46.32%
Staples 14.42 18.41 -21.67%
Target 51.06 52.24 -2.26%
TJX Companies 52.99 40.89 29.59%
Walgreens 35.65 27.69 28.75%
Walmart 52.65 51.20 2.83%
Econometric Advisors
Outlook
Retailer Stock Performance
Source: CBRE Econometric Advisors
Rent Trough Expected in 4Q 2011
$17.00
$17.50
$18.00
$18.50
$19.00
$19.50
$20.00
$20.50
$21.00
-2.0
-1.5
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
Rent Growth (L) Rent Level (R )
Lowest Rent Since 2003q4, Down 12% From 08q1 Peak
Forecast
Active Retailers
TAMPA BAYRETAILER MARKET