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San Francisco| August 13–17 Data that persuades How to prove your point Ian Lurie CEO, Portent

Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

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Page 1: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

San  Francisco|  August  13–17  

Data that persuades How to prove your point

Ian  Lurie  CEO,  Portent  

Page 2: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

ME: @PORTENTINT

Page 3: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

portent.co/sesdata

Yes, like this, no ‘m’.

Page 4: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

This presentation is certified 100% bullet-free.

Page 5: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

San Francisco | August 13–17, 2012 | #sessf

@portentint

Page 6: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

If you wouldn’t do this

@portentint

Page 7: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

Why the @#$! would you do this?

@portentint

0  

1000  

2000  

3000  

4000  

5000  

6000  

7000  

Alfalfa   Timothy  Hay  

Chewy  Treats  

Pigloos  

Jun-­‐12  

Jul-­‐12  

Aug-­‐12  

Page 8: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

THIS IS NOT ANALYSIS

Page 9: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012
Page 10: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

@portentint

@#$!@!!! off, Ian

Page 11: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

WHY I CARE AND YOU SHOULD, TOO

Page 12: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

DATA = FOOD

Page 13: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

Data good!!!

Page 14: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

More data better!!!

Page 15: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

Whoa, hey now, let's not get

personal.

Page 16: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

INNUMERACY

Page 17: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

INNUMERACY DATA LUNACY

Page 18: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

YOUR CAREER ISN’T ABOUT BEING

RIGHT

Page 19: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

YOUR CAREER IS ABOUT BEING

UNDERSTOOD

Page 20: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

IF YOU WANT TO PERSUADE PEOPLE

Page 21: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

BE THE PERSON THEY ACTUALLY UNDERSTAND

Page 22: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

HERE’S HOW YOU DO IT

Page 23: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

LIZARD. APE. HUMAN.

Page 24: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

VISCERAL BEHAVIORAL REFLECTIVE

From The Design of Everyday Things, Donald Norman

Page 25: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

it's true. I'm a visceral guy.

Page 26: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

not as smart as humans? Whatever.

Page 27: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

does this mean I'm an apex

predator? Sweet!

Page 28: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

WHAT. WHY. NEXT.

Page 29: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging  May-­‐12    $669.00      $643.00      $1,005.00      $767.00    Jun-­‐12    $850.00      $1,500.00      $647.00      $1,074.00    Jul-­‐12    $2,500.00      $2,340.00      $619.00      $687.00    

WHAT: SEO & PPC are on an upswing.

Page 30: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

WHAT: SEO & PPC are on an upswing. WHY: Content, landers.

New landers launched July 1.

SEO content strategy ongoing as of May 1.

PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging  May-­‐12    $669.00      $643.00      $1,005.00      $767.00    Jun-­‐12    $850.00      $1,500.00      $647.00      $1,074.00    Jul-­‐12    $2,500.00      $2,340.00      $619.00      $687.00    

Page 31: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

WHAT: SEO & PPC are on an upswing. WHY: Content, landers.

New landers launched July 1.

SEO content strategy ongoing as of May 1.

PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging  May-­‐12    $669.00      $643.00      $1,005.00      $767.00    Jun-­‐12    $850.00      $1,500.00      $647.00      $1,074.00    Jul-­‐12    $2,500.00      $2,340.00      $619.00      $687.00    

Page 32: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

Why?

0.40%  

1.10%  0.75%  

1.00%   1.00%  

4.00%  

5.00%  

0%  

1%  

2%  

3%  

4%  

5%  

6%  

Jan-­‐12   Feb-­‐12   Mar-­‐12   Apr-­‐12   May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  

PPC  Conversion  rate  

Landers go live June 1

Page 33: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

 $616.00    

 $1,067.00      $1,146.00    

 $-­‐        

 $200.00    

 $400.00    

 $600.00    

 $800.00    

 $1,000.00    

 $1,200.00    

 $1,400.00    

May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  

SEO  performance  

Why?

Page 34: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

Test more landers.

Continue SEO. There’s a lag.

Next

Page 35: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

WHAT. WHY. NEXT.

Page 36: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

ESTABLISH CONTEXT

@portentint

Page 37: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

 $-­‐        

 $200.00    

 $400.00    

 $600.00    

 $800.00    

 $1,000.00    

 $1,200.00    

 $1,400.00    

May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  

SEO  &  PPC  performance  

Page 38: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

 $-­‐        

 $600.00    

 $1,200.00    

PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging  

Sales  by  channel  

May-­‐12  

Jun-­‐12  

Jul-­‐12  

Page 39: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

9 WAYS TO GIVE GREAT DATA

Page 40: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

DON’T MAKE THEM READ

@portentint

Page 41: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging  May-­‐12    $669.00      $643.00      $1,005.00      $767.00    Jun-­‐12    $850.00      $1,500.00      $647.00      $1,074.00    Jul-­‐12    $2,500.00      $2,340.00      $619.00      $687.00    

Page 42: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

 $-­‐        

 $200.00    

 $400.00    

 $600.00    

 $800.00    

 $1,000.00    

 $1,200.00    

 $1,400.00    

May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  

SEO  &  PPC  performance  

Page 43: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

FOLLOW TUFTE’S LAWS

@portentint

Above all else, show the data. Maximize data-ink ratio. Erase non-data ink. Erase redundant data ink. Revise and edit.

From The Visual Display of Quantitative Data, by Edward Tufte

Page 44: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

ABOVE ALL ELSE, SHOW THE DATA

@portentint

Page 45: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

 $-­‐        

 $200.00    

 $400.00    

 $600.00    

 $800.00    

 $1,000.00    

 $1,200.00    

PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging  

May-­‐12  

Jun-­‐12  

Jul-­‐12  

Page 46: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

 $-­‐        

 $200.00    

 $400.00    

 $600.00    

 $800.00    

 $1,000.00    

 $1,200.00    

PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging  

May-­‐12  

Jun-­‐12  

Jul-­‐12  

Page 47: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

MAXIMIZE DATA-INK RATIO

@portentint

Page 48: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

 $-­‐        

 $200.00    

 $400.00    

 $600.00    

 $800.00    

 $1,000.00    

 $1,200.00    

PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging  

May-­‐12  

Jun-­‐12  

Jul-­‐12  

Page 49: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

NO HAMMER PANTS!!

Page 50: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

 $-­‐        

 $200.00    

 $400.00    

 $600.00    

 $800.00    

 $1,000.00    

 $1,200.00    

PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging  

May-­‐12  

Jun-­‐12  

Jul-­‐12  

Page 51: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

REMOVE NON-DATA INK

@portentint

Page 52: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

 $-­‐        

 $200.00    

 $400.00    

 $600.00    

 $800.00    

 $1,000.00    

 $1,200.00    

PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging  

May-­‐12  

Jun-­‐12  

Jul-­‐12  

Page 53: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

 $-­‐        

 $200.00    

 $400.00    

 $600.00    

 $800.00    

 $1,000.00    

 $1,200.00    

PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging  

May-­‐12  

Jun-­‐12  

Jul-­‐12  

Page 54: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

REMOVE REDUNDANT DATA INK

@portentint

Page 55: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

 $-­‐        

 $600.00    

 $1,200.00    

PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging  

May-­‐12  

Jun-­‐12  

Jul-­‐12  

Page 56: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

REVISE & EDIT

@portentint

Page 57: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

 $-­‐        

 $600.00    

 $1,200.00    

PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging  

May-­‐12  

Jun-­‐12  

Jul-­‐12  

Page 58: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

 $-­‐        

 $200.00    

 $400.00    

 $600.00    

 $800.00    

 $1,000.00    

 $1,200.00    

PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging  

Sale  by  channel  

May-­‐12  

Jun-­‐12  

Jul-­‐12  

Page 59: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

 $-­‐        

 $600.00    

 $1,200.00    

PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging  

Sales  by  channel  

May-­‐12  

Jun-­‐12  

Jul-­‐12  

Page 60: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

@portentint

From The Visual Display of Quantitative Data, by Edward Tufte

FOLLOW TUFTE’S LAWS

Above all else, show the data. Maximize data-ink ratio. Erase non-data ink. Erase redundant data ink. Revise and edit.

Page 61: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

USE SMALL MULTIPLES

@portentint

Page 62: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

 $-­‐        

 $200.00    

 $400.00    

 $600.00    

 $800.00    

 $1,000.00    

 $1,200.00    

May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  

Sales  by  month  

PPC  

SEO  

E-­‐mail  

Begging  

Page 63: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

 $-­‐          $200.00      $400.00      $600.00      $800.00    

 $1,000.00      $1,200.00      $1,400.00    

May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  

PPC  

 $-­‐          $200.00      $400.00      $600.00      $800.00    

 $1,000.00      $1,200.00      $1,400.00    

May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  

SEO  

 $-­‐          $200.00      $400.00      $600.00      $800.00    

 $1,000.00      $1,200.00      $1,400.00    

May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  

E-­‐mail  

 $-­‐          $200.00      $400.00      $600.00      $800.00    

 $1,000.00      $1,200.00      $1,400.00    

May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  

Begging  

Sales by channel

Page 64: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

 $750.00    

 $800.00    

 $850.00    

 $900.00    

 $950.00    

 $1,000.00    

 $1,050.00    

May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  

PPC  

 $750.00    

 $850.00    

 $950.00    

 $1,050.00    

 $1,150.00    

 $1,250.00    

May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  

SEO  

 $1,040.00    

 $1,060.00    

 $1,080.00    

 $1,100.00    

 $1,120.00    

 $1,140.00    

May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  

E-­‐mail  

 $1,120.00    

 $1,130.00    

 $1,140.00    

 $1,150.00    

 $1,160.00    

May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  

Begging  

Sales by channel

Page 65: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

 $750.00    

 $850.00    

 $950.00    

 $1,050.00    

 $1,150.00    

 $1,250.00    

 $1,350.00    

May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  

PPC  

 $750.00    

 $850.00    

 $950.00    

 $1,050.00    

 $1,150.00    

 $1,250.00    

 $1,350.00    

May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  

SEO  

 $750.00    

 $850.00    

 $950.00    

 $1,050.00    

 $1,150.00    

 $1,250.00    

 $1,350.00    

May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  

E-­‐mail  

 $750.00    

 $850.00    

 $950.00    

 $1,050.00    

 $1,150.00    

 $1,250.00    

 $1,350.00    

May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  

Begging  

Sales by channel

Page 66: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

 $750.00    

 $950.00    

 $1,150.00    

 $1,350.00    

May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  

PPC  

 $750.00    

 $950.00    

 $1,150.00    

 $1,350.00    

May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  

SEO  

 $750.00    

 $950.00    

 $1,150.00    

 $1,350.00    

May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  

E-­‐mail  

 $750.00    

 $950.00    

 $1,150.00    

 $1,350.00    

May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  

Begging  

Sales by channel

Page 67: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

BSG despair-o-meter E

pis

od

e q

uali

ty 9   9   9  

1-­‐5   6-­‐10   11-­‐15   16-­‐20  

Season  1  

9   8   9   9  

1-­‐5   6-­‐10   11-­‐15   16-­‐20  

Season  2  

10   9   9  7  

1-­‐5   6-­‐10   11-­‐15   16-­‐20  

Season  3  

7   6  4   2  

1-­‐5   6-­‐10   11-­‐15   16-­‐20  

Season  4  

Page 68: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

USE NATURAL COLORS

@portentint

Page 69: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

 $-­‐        

 $600.00    

 $1,200.00    

PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging  

May-­‐12  

Jun-­‐12  

Jul-­‐12  

Sales by channel

Page 70: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

 $-­‐        

 $600.00    

 $1,200.00    

PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging  

May-­‐12  

Jun-­‐12  

Jul-­‐12  

Sales by channel

Page 71: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

USE CONTRASTING NATURAL COLORS

@portentint

Page 72: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

http://portent.co/NHy5QD

From Tim Beard

Page 73: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

 $-­‐        

 $600.00    

 $1,200.00    

PPC   SEO   E-­‐mail   Begging  

May-­‐12  

Jun-­‐12  

Jul-­‐12  

Sales by channel

Page 74: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

SAY NO TO PIE CHARTS

@portentint

Page 75: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

Orders by channel

Page 76: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

Orders by channel

0  

10  

20  

30  

40  

50  

60  

70  

SEO   PPC   E-­‐mail   Display   Direct  

Page 77: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

USE CONSISTENT PROPORTIONS

@portentint

Page 78: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

 $750.00      $950.00    

 $1,150.00      $1,350.00    

May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  

PPC  

 $750.00      $950.00    

 $1,150.00      $1,350.00    

May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  

SEO  

 $750.00    

 $950.00    

 $1,150.00    

 $1,350.00    

May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  

E-­‐mail  

 $750.00    

 $950.00    

 $1,150.00    

 $1,350.00    

May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  

Begging  

Sales by channel

Page 79: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

 $750.00    

 $950.00    

 $1,150.00    

 $1,350.00    

May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  

PPC  

 $750.00    

 $950.00    

 $1,150.00    

 $1,350.00    

May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  

SEO  

 $750.00    

 $950.00    

 $1,150.00    

 $1,350.00    

May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  

E-­‐mail  

 $750.00    

 $950.00    

 $1,150.00    

 $1,350.00    

May-­‐12   Jun-­‐12   Jul-­‐12  

Begging  

Sales by channel

Page 80: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

BSG despair-o-meter E

pis

od

e q

uali

ty 9   9   9  

1-­‐5   6-­‐10   11-­‐15   16-­‐20  

Season  1  

9   8   9   9  

1-­‐5   6-­‐10   11-­‐15   16-­‐20  

Season  2  

10   9   9   7  

1-­‐5   6-­‐10   11-­‐15   16-­‐20  

Season  3  

7   6   4   2  

1-­‐5   6-­‐10   11-­‐15   16-­‐20  

Season  4  

Page 81: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

GO 45 DEGREES

@portentint

Page 82: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

 $-­‐    

 $50,000    

 $100,000    

 $150,000    

 $200,000    

 $250,000    

 $300,000    

 $350,000    

 $400,000    

 $450,000    

Jan-­‐11   Feb-­‐11   Mar-­‐11   Apr-­‐11   May-­‐11   Jun-­‐11   Jul-­‐11   Aug-­‐11   Sep-­‐11  

Sales  

Page 83: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

SHOW TRENDS

@portentint

Page 84: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

 $-­‐    

 $50,000    

 $100,000    

 $150,000    

 $200,000    

 $250,000    

 $300,000    

 $350,000    

 $400,000    

 $450,000    

Jan-­‐11   Feb-­‐11   Mar-­‐11   Apr-­‐11   May-­‐11   Jun-­‐11   Jul-­‐11   Aug-­‐11   Sep-­‐11  

Sales  

Page 85: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

 $-­‐    

 $50,000    

 $100,000    

 $150,000    

 $200,000    

 $250,000    

 $300,000    

 $350,000    

 $400,000    

 $450,000    

Jan-­‐11   Feb-­‐11   Mar-­‐11   Apr-­‐11   May-­‐11   Jun-­‐11   Jul-­‐11   Aug-­‐11   Sep-­‐11  

Sales  

Page 86: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

DON’T BE THESE GUYS

Page 87: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012
Page 88: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012
Page 89: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012
Page 90: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

$-

$1,000.00

$2,000.00

$3,000.00

$4,000.00

$5,000.00

$6,000.00

$7,000.00

Dec

-10

Jan-

11

Feb-

11

Mar

-11

Apr

-11

May

-11

Jun-

11

Jul-1

1

Aug

-11

Sep

-11

Oct

-11

Nov

-11

Clic

ks

Spen

ding

Total Clicks Compared to Total Monthly Spending

Historical Average Clicks

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18

$-

$1,000.00

$2,000.00

$3,000.00

$4,000.00

$5,000.00

$6,000.00

$7,000.00

Dec

-10

Jan-

11

Feb-

11

Mar

-11

Apr

-11

May

-11

Jun-

11

Jul-1

1

Aug

-11

Sep

-11

Oct

-11

Nov

-11

Con

vers

ions

Spen

ding

Conversions Compared to Total Monthly Spending

Spending Conversions

Page 91: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

OR

Page 92: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

0

5

10

15

20

Dec

-10

Feb-

11

Apr

-11

Jun-

11

Aug

-11

Oct

-11

Conversions

$-

$2,000

$4,000

$6,000

$8,000

Dec

-10

Feb-

11

Apr

-11

Jun-

11

Aug

-11

Oct

-11

Spend

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DON’T BE THESE GUYS

Page 94: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

Jan   Feb   March   April   May   June   July   Aug   Sep   Oct   Nov   Dec  2008   319   405   667   926   1,121   913   817   520   433   331   267   204  

2009   239   780   992   1,073   889   862   722   567   199   133   86  

2010   253   397   618   741   573   456   463   402   370   333   192   153  

2011   217   322   511   640   931   793   603   526   390   357   250   262  

2012   339   405   581  

0  

200  

400  

600  

800  

1,000  

1,200  

Uniqu

e  Visitors  

Monthly  PPC  visitors  

Page 95: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

AN OBLIGATION

Page 96: Data that persuades: SES SF 2012

@PORTENTINT [email protected]

PORTENT.CO/SESDATA