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This year, next
year
December 2010
2010 global forecast
5.9%
2011 global forecast
5.8%
2011 global forecast
$500bn
Broad-based recovery
Jan-Sep 10 vs. 09
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2009
2010
GroupM/Kantar Media
The recovery by region
2010 2011
North America 2 4
Lat Am 14 11
W Europe 4 3
CEE 11 11
CEE excl. Turkey,
Russia & Ukraina
0 3.8
AsPac 10 8
World 5.9 5.8
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Canada Russia Indonesia India Brazil Japan China USA
Contributions to 2011
USD billion
-1
1
3
5
7
9
11
13
15
Radio OOH Print Internet TV
Contributions to 2011
USD billion
Ad spend by regions past decade
Real media growth (% yoy); fixed USD rate (at Y2K)
8.6
18.5
6.1
10.1 8.9 8.711.7
7.7
-20.2
-1.3
3.2
-25.0
-20.0
-15.0
-10.0
-5.0
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010f 2011f
NORTH AMERICA LATIN AMERICA
WESTERN EUROPE CENTRAL & EASTERN EUROPE
Russia, Ukraine and Turkey ASIA-PACIFIC (all)
Ad spend by regions past decade
Real media growth (% yoy), fixed USD rate (at Y2K)
8.1 7.94.4
-16.2
-6.7
1.4
-25.0
-20.0
-15.0
-10.0
-5.0
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010f 2011f
WORLD CENTRAL & EASTERN EUROPE
Czech Republic Hungary
Poland Slovak Republic
Growing Poland importance
41% 43%46%
64%
6% 7% 6% 5%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
2007 2010F 2011F Marginal increase
Czech Republic
Estonia
Hungary
Latvia
Lithuania
Poland
Romania
Slovak Republic
Media investment growth (USD)
Investment by media type
39.1 43.5
29.6 18.1
17.2
10.4
1.916.4
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
100.0
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Internet
OOH
Magazines
Newspapers
Radio
TV
World´s averaged media mix
Regional view on media split
TV, 43.5TV, 48.5
TV, 43.9
Radio, 5.4
Radio, 7.2Radio, 7.1
Newspapers, 18.1Newspapers, 10.9
Newspapers, 10.6
Magazines, 10.4 Magazines, 11.4Magazines, 15.5
OOH, 5.9 OOH, 8.6 OOH, 13.0
Internet, 16.4 Internet, 12.2 Internet, 9.2
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
WORLD CEE SLOVAKIA
TV´s share of ad spend: CEE region
48.5
30.0
35.3
42.643.9
46.348.2
50.1
62.163.4
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
CEE Estonia Hungary Czech Republic
Slovak Republic
Latvia Lithuania Poland Romania Slovenia
CEE
Estonia
Hungary
Czech Republic
Slovak Republic
Latvia
Lithuania
Poland
Romania
Slovenia
Internet’s share of ad spend
05
101520253035
Summary of TYNY Adex review
Global view
– 2010 shows relatively solid rebound (5.9), sustainable rate of growth predicted also in 2011 (5.8)
– 65% of new investment goes into „New World“
– dominant share of TV and Internet with new adex; Internet in Old, TV spend in new world
CEE/Slovakia
– CEE region loosing its „emerging“ status in terms of AdEx growth (3.8)
– Poland´s prospect brighter, outshine budget from other regional countries
– Slovakian rebound is weaker compared to other CEE countries ; Efficiency of scale issue
– Slovak Internet investment share (9%) still lower, even compared to CEE average (12%);
– OOH and magazines investment fare better than regional figures