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This work explores the past, present and future of Russian Mafiya from a Business System perspective. It is only an academic work based on research and data from the internet. It demonstrates the use of 5 Bases of Social Power as a powerful framework to explain the growth or decline of an extensive organization in future.
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Analyzing the World’s Most Powerful Parallel Business System
RUSSIAN MAFIYA
Learning Team – 1 A - Darshak S J - Madhuranath R - Tanmoy Dey - Vincent Bermejo
Asian Institute of Management MBA-2012 | Cohort-7
Asian Business Systems Final Report
ORIGIN
History, Culture, Uniqueness
BUSINESS SYSTEMS
Illegal & Legal Businesses
BUSINESS COMMERCE
Economic Impact
TRANSFORMATION New age crimes
FUTURE
Flow of Analysis
What are the cultural and historical factors that make the Russian Mafiya a unique system?
ORIGIN
Madhuranath R
TSARs + COMMUNISM + GULAGs RED MAFIYA
Suppression of people since Tsarist times; serfdoms thrive in Russia
1900s
Gulags create notorious yet loyal thieving brotherhoods – “Vory”
1920-1990
Lenin, Stalin, Khrushchev & Communism make people poorer
Communism & Organized Crime Vory organize into Bratva; offer protection, arms, drugs, prostitutes
1990 – till now
Mafia spreads globally; bigger; more organized; more businesses
Tracing the Roots
Uniqueness
RUSSIAN ITALIAN TRIADS COLUMBIAN
Org. Unit Brotherhood Family Clan Gang
Org. Structure Amorphous Hierarchical Hierarchical Hierarchical
Reach Global Europe /
America Asia / America South America /
Africa / Asia
Size 8,000 Bratva Few 1000s Very large Few 100s
Businesses
Arms Assassination
Drugs Extortion Gambling Protection
Prostitution Money
Laundering Cyber Crime
Assassination Extortion Gambling Protection
Prostitution
Assassination Drugs
Extortion Gambling Protection
Prostitution Money
Laundering
Assassination Arms Drugs
Gambling Prostitution
Control Centralized yet Dissipated
Centralized Centralized per Clan
Centralized per Gang
Critical Success Factors
Govt. support & military collusion
Loyalty to Brotherhood (Bratva)
Amorphous & Dispensable Bratva
Continuous Innovation in Business
Diversification & Legalization
What is the underlying business system framework that the Russian Mafiya operates in?
SYSTEM
Tanmoy Dey
Core Illegal Businesses • Online & Offline media. • Threats, damage to property & life. • Celebrities , glam shows & events, sports events.
• Fake ads, mail order bride catalogues, casual acquaintances. • Sexual exploitation, debt bondage, forced labor. • To Middle-East, SEA, West Europe
• Prime hubs- Israel, Ukraine, UK, Czech • $ 3000-5000 on each sale • Cheap service tariffs • Girls cannot escape, blackmailed
• Terrorist organization funding & Drug cartels. • 3 million regular takers, 2.1% of Russian youth population. • Prime overseas markets • UK, West Europe, US
• Supply to paramilitary groups , terrorist organizations and exchange to drug cartels. • Prime markets- Latin America, US, East Europe
• 7% of illicit world trade • Easy money from fake products. • Funded to terrorist organizations, triad gangs, mafia hubs. • Cohesive global network
Extortion
Drug Trafficking
Arms Trafficking
Prostitution
Human Trafficking
Counterfeit
Business System
Funds from illegal businesses used to fuel stakes and interests in legal businesses
Proceeds from stakes in legal holdings re-invested and laundered into illegal dealings.
Oil & Gas
Banking
Automotives
Electronics
Food & Agriculture
Information Technology
Counterfeit $ 120 billion
Human Trafficking $ 100 billion
Drug Trafficking $ 25 billion
Arms Trafficking $ 20 billion
Prostitution $ 25 billion
Extortion $ 6 billion
What is the economic size and impact of the Russian Mafiya?
COMMERCE
Vincent Bermejo
Economic Exposure The Economic Situation • 10% Territory (including old Russian States)
• 25% Economy (US$ 450B)
• 40% State-Owned Corporation (influence on policy making & justice system)
• 80% Banks (taken out of the EU’s white list)
• 90% SME’s (protection fees are cheaper compared to paying the government exorbitant tax rates)
The Economic Impact • Channeling billions of dollars out of the economy
• Bypassing legal procedures
• stealing tax revenues needed to sustain an economy
• robbing the country of aid
• discouraging foreign investors and domestic businesses from starting up
“If it was not for the mafia there would not be an economy. They are a major driving force behind what goes on in Russia.”
Criminal Syndicate Industry
BU
SIN
ESS
VEN
TUR
ES
ILL
EG
AL
L
EG
AL
GLOBAL LOCAL
MARKET REACH
VA
LUE –
CH
AIN
PR
OD
CU
TIO
N
DIS
TR
IBU
TIO
N
Red Mafiya
How did the Russian Mafiya evolve with the changing global environment?
EVOLUTION
Darshak S J
TRANSFORMATION 2009- FRAGMENTED 2012- ORGANIZED
• 2011 saw consolidation of individuals to form 6 potent groups. • Growth of internal market- C2C services. • Expansion of cybercrime in the international market. • Lack of proper cyber laws. • No jobs for Young IT Engineers. • Ease of entry and difficult to be caught. • Doubling of cybercrime in 2011 from 2010.
Digitalization of the Russian Crime
CYBER CRIME in $
$4.7 Billion Russian Speaking
Cyber Crime
Source: Ib report
Type Of Crime Revenue % of total
Online Fraud $ 940,000,000 41%
Spam $ 830,000,000 36%
Internal Market C2C $ 230,000,000 10%
DDoS Attacks $ 130,000,000 5.6%
Others $ 168,000,000 7.4%
The Binary Numbers Games’ Distribution
Low High
Measure of perceived damage to the organization
Online Banking
fraud
Malware
DDoS
Spam
Source: Ib report
Brand Attack
Fake SW
Internal Market Consulting
Fake Drugs
Online Piracy
What will be the future trajectory of the business system of Russian Mafiya?
FORECAST
Madhuranath R
ORGANIZATION PAKHAN
GODFATHER
SOVIETNIK
COUNCILOR
OBSHCHAK
BOOKMAKER
AVTORIYET
AUTHORITY
BOYEVIK
WARRIOR
KRISHAS
ROOF/COVER
TORPEDO
KILLER
BYKI
BULL
RUSSIAN MAFIYA
COERCIVE POWER
REWARD POWER
LEGITIMATE POWER
REFERENT POWER
EXPERT POWER
INFORMATION POWER
Bases of Social Power
Attraction
Resistance