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ENERGY SUPPLY,
DEVELOPMENT TRENDS
PUREVBAYAR.D,
Deputy Director of Energy Policy
Department, MMRE, Mongolia
1
“Discover Mongolia-2012" International Mining Investors’ Forum
CONTENT
Current State of Power Sector of Mongolia
Development Programs and Policy Documents
of Power Energy Sector
Electricity Demand from Mining Sector
Development
Development Prospect of Power Sector by
Regions
Ministry of Mineral
Resources and Energy
2
“Discover Mongolia-2012" International Mining Investors’ Forum
Western Power System Central Power System
Western Power System
Ulaanbaatar
MONGOLIAN INTEGRATED POWER SYSTEM
MINISTRY OF MINERAL
RESOURCES AND ENERGY
Altai-Uliastai Power System
3
Combined Heat and
Power (CHP) Plant, 86.53
%
Heat only Plant, 6.88%
Heat only Boilers, 6.60
%
Current State of Power Sector of Mongolia
The overwhelming majority of our heat and electric energy was being generated by coal fired thermo power plants and the remaining small amount by hydro, wind, solar and diesel stations.
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Power Industries
Installed Capacity for Heat Generation Total-6018MWth
Installed Capacity for Electricity Generation Total- 897MW
Combined Heat and
Power (CHP) Plant, 91.8%
Diesel, 5.1%Hydro, 3.0%Wind and
Solar, 0.1%
MINISTRY OF MINERAL
RESOURCES AND ENERGY
Energy Balance of Mongolia in 2010 (Unit : 1,000 TOE)
Energy Statistics in Mongolia
================================ ========= ============ ===== ======= ========= ======= ========= =========
------------------------------------------------------- ---------------- --------------------- --------- ----------- ---------------- ----------- ---------------- ---------------
Production 10,963.83 285.53 0.00 4.73 0.00 337.09 11,591.18
Import 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.60 0.00 0.00 908.89
Export -8,737.75 -288.36 0.00 -1.91 0.00 0.00 -9,028.02
Stock Changes (±) 97.86 2.83 0.00 0.00 93.54
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total Primary Energy Supply 2,323.94 0.00 0.00 4.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 337.09 3,544.89
Transformation Sector -1,997.73 0.00 0.00 -4.73 0.00 269.58 782.02 0.00 -954.08
Electricity Only Plants 0.00 0.00 -4.73 0.00 4.88 0.15
Heat Only Plants -252.09 0.00 221.87 -30.22
Refinery 0.00 0.00
CHP's -1,653.45 0.00 365.95 614.38 -676.33
Other -25.27 0.00 0.00 -25.27
Own Use & Losses -66.93 0.00 -101.26 -54.23 -222.42
Own Use & Losses 0.00 -57.80 -33.84 -91.64
Losses -66.93 -43.46 -20.39 -130.77
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Final Consumption 326.21 0.00 290.27 782.02 337.09 2,611.50
Industry 55.47 0.00 183.10 228.42 0.00 623.45
Transportation 0.00 0.00 6.86 0.00 0.00 685.69
Residential 162.59 0.00 45.83 320.10 283.79 812.31
Com/Public & Others 108.15 0.00 54.47 233.51 53.30 490.04
================================ ========= ============ ===== ======= ========= ======= ========= =========
TOTALLNG Hydro Nuclear Electricity Heat
Traditional
Fuels &
Others
Energy Resources
Energy FlowsCaol Oil
MINISTRY OF MINERAL
RESOURCES AND ENERGY
5 “Discover Mongolia-2012" International Mining Investors’ Forum
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1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Growth rate per annum, (%)
’90-’95 ’95-’00 ’00-‘05 ’05-’10
Total Primary Energy Supply (1,000 TOE) 3,746 2,317 2,564 2,800 3,545 -9.2% 2.0% 1.8% 4.8%
Energy per capita (TOE) 1.74 1.03 1.06 1.09 1.27 -9.9% 0.6% 0.5% 3.1%
Population (thousand) 2,153 2,243 2,408 2,562 2,781 0.8% 1.4% 1.3% 1.6%
GDP (billion tog, at 2005 constant price) 2,107 1,826 2,100 2,780 4,154 -2.8% 2.8% 5.8% 8.4%
Energy/GDP Intensity (TOE/million Tog) 1.78 1.27 1.22 1.01 0.85 -6.5% -0.8% -3.8% -3.3%
Import Dependency (%) 22.3% 16.2% 19.4% 21.4% 25.6% -6.2% 3.7% 1.9% 3.7%
Total Primary Energy and Economic Indicator in Mongolia
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
Growth rate per annum, (%)
’90-’95 ’95-’00 ’00-‘05 ’05-’10
Indigenous Production 2,709 1,980 2,019 3,592 11,591 -6.1% 0.4% 12.2% 26.4%
Import 836.01 375.55 497.13 597.88 908.89
-14.8% 5.8% 3.8% 8.7%
Export 171 1 3 1,405 9,028
-61.8% 18.4% 236% 45.1%
Total Domestic Energy Supply 3,746 2,317 2,564 2,800 3,545 -9.2% 2.0% 1.8% 4.8%
Energy Production and Net Import in Mongolia
(Unit : 1,000 TOE, %)*
(Unit : 1,000 TOE, %)
* 1,000 TOE- 1,000 Tonnes of Oil Equivalent
Energy Statistics in Mongolia MINISTRY OF MINERAL
RESOURCES AND ENERGY
“Discover Mongolia-2012" International Mining Investors’ Forum
Final Energy Demand by Source in Mongolia (Unit : 1,000 TOE, %)
2000 2005 2010
Growth rate p.a. (%)
’00-‘05 ’05-’08
Coal 217 148 326 -7.4% 17.2%
12.3% 7.5% 12.5% - -
Oil 443 570 876 5.2% 9.0%
25.0% 28.9% 33.5% - -
Electricity 154 216 290 7.0% 6.1%
8.7% 10.9% 11.1% - -
Heat 663 718 782 1.6% 1.7%
37.4% 36.4% 29.9% - -
Traditional Fuels & Others
293 321 337 1.8% 1.0%
16.5% 16.3% 12.9% - -
Total 1,770 1,973 2,611 2.2% 5.8%
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% - -
Trend in Demand Shares (200020052010, %)
• Coal : 12.3 7.5 12.5 • Oil : 25.0 28.9 33.5
• Electricity : 8.710.9 11.1 • Heat : 37.4 36.4 29.9
• Traditional Fuels & Others : 16.5 16.3 12.9
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
Coal Oil Electricity Heat Traditional Fuels & Others
Energy Statistics in Mongolia MINISTRY OF MINERAL
RESOURCES AND ENERGY
7 “Discover Mongolia-2012" International Mining Investors’ Forum
Development Programs and
Policy Documents of Power Energy Sector
No Name of Documents Approved Update
Legal Framework
1 Law on Energy of Mongolia 2001 2011
2 Law on Renewable Energy of Mongolia 2007 -
Development programs
3 “100000 Solar Ger” National Program 1999 Come to the end 2012
4 Program on Integrated Power Energy System 2002 2007 and Update will
be made in 2012
5 National Renewable Energy Program 2005 -
6 Millennium Development Goals Based Comprehensive National Development Strategy of Mongolia
2007 -
7 New Construction and Mid-Term Goal Program 2010 -
Other Policy Documents
8 Government Action Plan 2008-2012 2008 -
9 Sustainable Development Plan of Energy Sector 2002 -
MINISTRY OF MINERAL
RESOURCES AND ENERGY
8 “Discover Mongolia-2012" International Mining Investors’ Forum
Implementation of the Program on Integrated Energy System of Mongolia:
Currently, all 21 aimags and 318 soums are supplied by centralized energy source while 15 soums are supplied from renewable sources and other hybrid systems.
The first phase or short-term (from 2007 to 2012) action plan of “the Program on Integrated Energy System of Mongolia” is currently being implemented successfully.
Implementation of “100,000 solar ger” and “the National Program on Renewable Energy”:
Currently, use of renewable energy sources for power generation has become a reality as a result of which about 100,000 nomadic families and 15 soums have access to electricity using a renewable energy sources.
“100,000 Solar ger” national program will be completed in 2012 with the final distribution of 5,000 solar home system.
MINISTRY OF MINERAL
RESOURCES AND ENERGY
Development Programs and
Policy Documents of Power Energy Sector
9 “Discover Mongolia-2012" International Mining Investors’ Forum
Electricity Demand Projection
According to the recent studies conducted on large industrialized and settlement regions and cities it
can be estimated that between 2015 and 2030 the country’s Electricity consumption rate will reach
1,600 to 3,000MW.
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MINISTRY OF MINERAL
RESOURCES AND ENERGY
“Discover Mongolia-2012" International Mining Investors’ Forum
51.7104.2
157.8
211.8267.2
310.2346.2
383.3421.5
462498.7
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Short and mid-term electricity demand of Central region will be supplied from following sources.
Source Commission
year Capacity,
MW Status
Central Power System - 814,3 Existing
CHP-5 2015 820 Ongoing
Tsaidam nuur TPP 2012-2016 600 Planned
Chandgana TPP 2013-2017 600 Planned
Bayanteeg TPP - 40 Potential
Baganuur TPP - 270 Potential
Salhit Wind Farm 2011-2013 50 Ongoing
Shuren HPP - 300 Planned
EG HPP - 220 Potential
Pump storage plant of CPS
- 100 Potential
Electricity Demand Forecast of Ulaanbaatar
MINISTRY OF MINERAL
RESOURCES AND ENERGY
Development Prospect of Power Sector – Central Region
11 “Discover Mongolia-2012" International Mining Investors’ Forum
•Installed capacity of Durgun HydroPP, main
electricity source of the region, is 12 MW and it
supply approximately 30 % of this region electricity
consumption.
• it is necessary to have additional 50-60 MW
electricity source to solve import dependency and
supply growing demand.
•The growing demand will be supplied from
Khushuut 12-36 MW TPP or Nuurst Khotgor 40 MW
TPP.
MINISTRY OF MINERAL
RESOURCES AND ENERGY
Development Prospect of Power Sector – Western Region
Short and mid-term electricity demand of Western 3 provinces will be supplied from following sources.
Source Commission
year Capacity, MW Status
Durgun HPP - 12 Existing
Khushuut TPP 2012-2014 12-36 Planned
Nuurst Khotgor or Khar Tarvagtai TPP
2013-2016 40 Potential
Maikhan Tolgoi HPP - 12 Potential
12 “Discover Mongolia-2012" International Mining Investors’ Forum
• Install capacity of Taishir hydro PP, main electricity
source of this region, is 11 MW and there are small
sized wind, solar and diesel power station.
•It is necessary to build 50-60 MW new elecricity
source to supply growing demand of the region.
• The demand will be supplied from Telmen 60 MW
TPP, based from Mogoin gol coal deposite.
MINISTRY OF MINERAL
RESOURCES AND ENERGY
Development Prospect of Power Sector – Western Region
Short and mid-term electricity demand of Altai-Uliastai Power System will be supplied from following sources.
Source Commission
year Capacity, MW Status
Taishir HPP - 11 Existing
Diesel power stations of AUPS
- 9 Existing
Telmen TPP based Mogoin gol coal mine
2012-2014 60 Ongoing
Taishir Wind Farm - 20 Potential
13 “Discover Mongolia-2012" International Mining Investors’ Forum
MINISTRY OF MINERAL
RESOURCES AND ENERGY
Development Prospect of Power Sector – Eastern Region
Short and mid-term electricity demand of Eastern Power System will be supplied from following sources.
Source Commission
year Capacity,
MW Status
Choibalsan TPP - 36 Existing
Extension of Choibalsan TPP
- 100 Planned
Aduunchuluun TPP - 450 Potential
Baganuur-Undurkhaan-Choibalsan 220 kV OHTL
- - Planned
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Electricity Demand Forecast of Eastern Region
4.7 5.3 6 7.5 9 11 13 15 16 17 18 19 20 2115.526.9
39.4
59.170.6
77.7 79.3 79.6 81 82.4 83.9 85.4 87 88.7
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Consumption of Dornod and Sukhbaatar Requested Demand from Mining Projects
“Discover Mongolia-2012" International Mining Investors’ Forum
MINISTRY OF MINERAL
RESOURCES AND ENERGY
Development Prospect of Power Sector – Gobi Region
Short and mid-term electricity demand of Gobi Region will be supplied from following sources.
Source Commission
year Capacity,
MW Status
Dalanzadgad TPP - 9 Existing
Ukhaa Khudag TPP
- 18-68 First blocks are
commisioned
Тавантолгой ДЦС 2012-2016 600 Planned
УБ-Мандалговь-ТТ-ОТ 220 кВ-ын ЦДАШ
2011-2013 - Under
construction
Electricity Demand of Oyu Tolgoi is around 280 MW
Its short-term demand will be supplied from UB-Mandalgobi-
TT-OT 220 kV OHTL and 220 kV OHTL from China.
Its mid and long-term demand will be supplied from Tavan
tolgoi 600 MW TPP.
Electricity Demand Forecast of Gobi Region, 2011-2025
Years 2011 2012 2015 2020 2025
Demand, MW 21 48.5 260 498 607
15 “Discover Mongolia-2012" International Mining Investors’ Forum
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Location of Ongoing and Planned Projects which
will implemented in the near future
Telmen TPP 60 MW Ulaanbaatar CHP#5 830 MW
Tavan tolgoi TPP 600 MW Ukhaa khudag TPP 18 MW
Shuren HPP 300 MW
Baganuur to
Tsagaansuvarga 220 kV
OHTL
Baganuur to
Choibalsan 220 kV
OHTL
Ulaanbaatar to
Tavantolgoi-220 kV
OHTL
Chandgana TPP
600 MW
MINISTRY OF MINERAL
RESOURCES AND ENERGY
“Discover Mongolia-2012" International Mining Investors’ Forum
Short term strategy and goals
In the near future, Mongolia’s Ministry will implement the following principles and strategies towards the development of the power energy sector, including:
Providing financial and economic opportunities to build new sources of energy supply networks and developing energy sector;
Supporting the construction of new energy supply networks by the private sector, developing the legal environment of energy prices and tariffs, and developing a public-private sector partnership;
Developing and expanding power line networks under the review of the Government in accordance with the consumption and energy supply sources projections;
Increasing the efficiency of the energy sector, providing its financial sustainability, implementing economically feasible regulations, and fully transferring the energy sector and prices to market regulations.
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MINISTRY OF MINERAL
RESOURCES AND ENERGY
“Discover Mongolia-2012" International Mining Investors’ Forum
Thank you for the attention!
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