Trendlines in 2015

By SMF

21.3 23.8

21

25.4

30

25.6 27.1

17.4 17

11.3

6 8.3

2012 2013 2014 2015

Rural area

Mongolian People’s Party Democratic Party MPRP

15 12.2 11.9

16.2

26.5

32.2

37.1

19.6

14.3

9.1 7.5

13.6

2012 2013 2014 2015

UB

Mongolian People’s Party Democratic Party MPRP

31.9 27.9

31.9 29.8

38.9 33.4

42.4 47

54

33

12.1

23.6

17.3 11.4

18.9

2012 Apr 2012 Jun 2013 2014 2015

Nationwide (valid only)

Mongolian People’s Party Democratic Party MPRP

19.7%

14.0%

30.9%

25.4%

7.6% 8.4%

Countryside Ulan Bator

If the Parliamentary elections were held today, which party would you most likely

support?

Mongolian People's Party Democratic Party Mongolian People's Revolutionary Party

Distribution of Voters since Election 2012 (parties)

2012 Next Elections

MPP DP

MPRP,

MNDP

Coalition

Mongolian People’s Party 84.0% 15.5% 0

Democratic Party 4.9% 68.2% 0

MPRP 5.8% 8.3% 94.7%

Civic Will - Green Party 1.3% 3.8% 1.3%

MNDP .9% 1.5% 2.6%

Other Party 3.1% 2.7% 1.3%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

1995SepUB

1996JanUB

1996AprUB

1997JanUB

1998MarUB

1998NovUB

1999OctUB

2000MarUB

2000Nov

2001Nov

2002Oct

2003May

2004Mar

2004Nov

2005Nov

2006Oct

2007Oct

2008Oct

2009Oct

2010Oct

2012Apr

2013Apr

2015Mar

Standard of Living

VERY GOOD GOOD NOT GOOD, NOT BAD RATHER BAD BAD

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Axi

s Ti

tle

Life level comparing to the last year

WORSE

THE SAME

BETTER

7069846

7394823

7905555

April 2013 March 2014 Mar 2015

Annual income of HH

30.5% 23.8%

22.1% 17.9%

14.7% 15.5%

12.9% 27.1% 26.7%

34.7% 33.3% 33.1% 32.4%

37.4% 33.1%

31.5% 41.0% 41.5%

32.0% 27.2%

22.5% 28.4% 28.0% 29.3%

23.9% 29.4% 28.9%

27.8% 32.9%

23.6% 26.2%

23.7% 24.9% 25.6% 25.8%

22.6%

69.5% 76.2%

77.9% 82.1%

85.3% 84.5%

87.1% 72.9% 73.3%

65.3% 66.7% 66.9% 67.6%

62.6% 66.9%

68.5% 59.0% 58.5%

68.0% 72.8%

77.5% 71.6% 72.0% 70.7%

76.1% 70.6% 71.1%

72.2% 67.1%

76.4% 73.8%

76.3% 75.1% 74.4% 74.2%

77.4%

1997 Oct UB

1998 Oct UB

1999 Apr UB

2000 Mar UB

2000 Nov

2001 Nov

2002 Oct

2003 May

2004 Mar

2004 Nov

2005 Nov

2006 Oct

2007 Oct

2008 Oct

2009 Oct

2010 Oct

2012 April

2014 Mar

Do political parties represent public opinion?

YES NO

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

1997OctUB

1998NovUB

1999OctUB

2000May

2001Mar

2002Apr

2003Mar

2003Oct

2004Jun

2005Apr

2006Apr

2007Mar

2008May

2009Apr

2010Apr

2011Apr

2012June

2014Mar

WITH THE GOVERNMENT WITH THE OPPOSITION

Confidence to State Institutions

29.2

13.2 10.9

23.4

6.9 16.3

32.5

29.4 28.5

40.9

26.1

36.2

20.7

29 27.8

21.4

28.8

22.2

11.3 19.3

23.3

8.7

28.3

15.7

President Parliament Judiciarysystem

Gvt admin Politicalparties

Civil society

2014

confident rather confident

rather not confident not confident

12.5 7.9 11.5

20.9

3.9 11.8

27.8

24.3

32.3

43.3

21.1

39.4

26.8

31.6

27.2

23.5

30.6

22.5

28 30.1 22.8

10.3

36.5

17.8

President Parliament JudiciarySystem

Gvt admin Politicalparties

Civil society

2015

confident rather confident

rather not confident not confident

2012 2013 2014 2015 Column1

Column2

Column3

Column4

Column5

Column6

Column52

Column63

1. Unemployment

27.8

Unemployment

33

Unemployment

31.1

Unemployment

32.2 2. Standard of living\

poverty\ income

15.6

Standard of living\

poverty\ income

15.9

Price increase\

Inflation

20.8

Standard of

living\ poverty\

income 17.8 3. Price increase\

Inflation

14.6

Price increase\

Inflation

15.1

Standard of

living\ poverty\

income 17.6

Price increase\

Inflation

15.3 4. Law enforcement

8.9

Law enforcement

7.3

Economy\

manufacturing\

mining 5.8

Economy\

manufacturing\

mining 8.1 5. Corruption

8

Social Justice

5.4

Law

enforcement 5.1

Law

enforcement 5.7 6. Social Justice

4.9

Economy\

manufacturing\mini

ng 5

Education

5.1

Corruption

5.4 7. Economy\

manufacturing\ mining 4.4

Corruption

4.9

Corruption

4.5

Education

4.6 8. Education 4.2 Education 4.3 Social Justice 4 Social Justice 3.4 9. Ecology\

Environment 3.7

Ecology\

Environment 3.4

Ecology\

Environment 2.3

State

administration 2.8 10. State

administration 3.5

State

administration 2.5

State

administration 2.1

Ecology\

Environment 1.4

Biggest success of the government

2012 Column1 2013

Column2 2014

Column3 2015

Column5

1. Agriculture 25.1 Dealing with

Corruption 14 Dealing with

Corruption 10.9 Agriculture 7.8

2. Economy\

manufacturing\mining 10.5 Agriculture 7.2 Agriculture 10.3 Dealing with

Corruption 5.6

3. Education 8.1 Economy\

manufacturing\ mining 6.3 Economy\

manufacturing\ mining 7.4 Education 5.5

4. Reduction of

unemployment 3.2 Education 5.5 Education 6.1 Ecology\ Environment 3.3

5. Improving of

standard of living\

poverty\ income

2.6 Reduction of

unemployment 4 Reduction of

unemployment 5.8 Infrastructure 3.3

6. Ecology\

Environment 1.9 Law enforcement 3.3 Infrastructure 3.8 Economy\

manufacturing\ mining 3.1

Dealing with Corruption 1.8 State administration 2.7 Law enforcement 2.7 Law enforcement 2.3

8. Election/Election

promises 1.8 Social security 2.3 Ecology\ Environment 2.5 Reduction of

unemployment 2.2

9. Social Justice 1 Ecology\ Environment 1.9 State administration/

open government 2.3 State administration/

open government 1.8

10. Price increase\

Inflation 0.9 Improving of standard

of living 1.6 Social Justice 1.9 Improving of standard

of living\ poverty\

income

1.5

18 - 24 25 - 29 30 - 39 40 - 49 50 - 59 60 + Total

(No answer) 1.3 0.4 1.2 0.6 0.6

(Don't know) 8.1 6.9 6.3 3.3 2.4 3.2 4.9

100% Foreign 0.4 0.4 0.2

more than 51% foreign 1.3 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.5

Equal 13.1 10.6 10.7 9.4 11.4 7.1 10.4

more than 51% Mongolian 55.6 51.9 58.1 62.4 70.5 71.6 61.8

100% Mongolian 21.9 29.4 23.7 22.4 15.7 16.8 21.7

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

Proportion of Mongolian and Foreign investment in strategic mining

18 - 24 25 - 29 30 - 39 40 - 49 50 - 59 60 + Total

(No answer) 1.9 1.9 1.1 1.2 0.5 0.6 1.2

(Don't know) 9.4 6.3 8.1 9.0 4.3 5.2 7.2

Only private business 6.3 6.3 3.3 4.1 6.2 3.2 4.8

Mixed 50.0 53.1 47.8 46.9 46.2 48.4 48.4

Only state 32.5 32.5 39.6 38.8 42.9 42.6 38.5

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Proportion of Mongolian investment

18 - 24 25 - 29 30 - 39 40 - 49 50 - 59 60 +

Russia 62.7 65.0 77.1 77.2 86.7 95.6

China 18.3 17.9 24.4 29.4 30.9 38.0

USA 31.0 23.1 23.9 13.3 11.5 4.4

EU 14.3 12.0 8.0 6.1 5.5 1.5

Japan 31.7 25.6 22.4 25.6 16.4 6.6

S Korea 14.3 12.0 9.5 7.8 7.3 5.8

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

Best partner by age group