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Assemblee of the people, Astana
Friday, 25th of November 2016
ECONOMIC REVIEW OF RENEWABLE ENERGY
STRATEGIC PERSPECTIVES FOR BILATERAL ENERGY COOPERATION
BETWEEN THE EU AND KAZAKHSTAN
GEOECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL DIMENSIONS IN
COMPETITION WITH RUSSIA‘S AND CHINA‘S CENTRAL
ASIA POLICIES
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Oil Consumption
Oil Production
[`000 barrels per day]
Falling Crude Oil Consumption and Production in the EU (2010-2014)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Gas Consumption
Gas Production
[bcm]
Falling Natural Gas Consumption and Production in the EU (2010-2014)
0,00
20,00
40,00
60,00
80,00
100,00
120,00
140,00
6.1
.06
9.1
.06
12
.1.0
6
3.1
.07
6.1
.07
9.1
.07
12
.1.0
7
3.1
.08
6.1
.08
9.1
.08
12
.1.0
8
3.1
.09
6.1
.09
9.1
.09
12
.1.0
9
3.1
.10
6.1
.10
9.1
.10
12
.1.1
0
3.1
.11
6.1
.11
9.1
.11
12
.1.1
1
3.1
.12
6.1
.12
9.1
.12
12
.1.1
2
3.1
.13
6.1
.13
9.1
.13
12
.1.1
3
3.1
.14
6.1
.14
9.1
.14
12
.1.1
4
3.1
.15
6.1
.15
9.1
.15
12
.1.1
5
3.1
.16
6.1
.16
Crude Oil Spot Prices (in US$)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Exports in Billion of US$
Kazakhstan‘
s Oil Exports
in US$
Billion
Oil Spot-
Prize in US$
Development of the Kazakh Oil Sector
16%
18%
63%
3%
Kazakhstan‘s Energy Mix, 2014
Natural Gas
Oil
Coal
Hdyro
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2016 2020 2030 2050
Expansion of Renewable Energy in Kazakhstan
(in %)
State Planning for Renewablesin the Energy Mix (in %)
2) The Role of Renewable Energies in Kazakhstan‘s Transformation Process
• Kazakhstan possesses a huge development potential in the realm of renewable energies
• Solar energy
• Wind energy
• Bio mass
• Hydro power(potential conflicts with neighboring states)
• Kazakhstan has the advantage of using renewable energies, while not generating conflicts in society (in contrast to Germany)
3) Political Recommendations I
• State-led information campaign about environmental challenges and the long-term neccesity to expand renewable energies
• Expanded usage of renewable energy for a decentralized energy supply (starting with used wind turbines)
• Earnings from fossil fuel exports to finance renewable energies
• Increasing the energy effiency in energy-intensive industries
• Foundation of a research cluster „coal technologies“ in cooperation with foreign institutes (e.g. Fraunhofer Institut)
3) Political Recommendations II
• Development of a long-term portfolio strategy of the Kazakh National Fund (connecting renewables with digital services)
• Excecuting the legislation from May 2016 on REN; e.g. the fed-in tariffs.
• No step out from classic energy – financial basis
• The role of the Eurasian Development Bank
• Obtaining the model of the German Kreditanstalt für Wiederaufbau (KFW)
