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M a r k e t I n t e l l i g e n c e . C o n s u l t i n g
Africa Two - Wheeler Market By Vehicle Type , By Country, Competit ion Forecast &
Opportunities , 2011 – 2021
© TechSci Research
2
T a b l e o f C o n t e n t s
S. No. Contents
1. Product Overview
2. Research Methodology
3. Analyst View
4. Africa Two-Wheeler Market Outlook
4.1. Market Size & Forecast
4.1.1. By Value & Volume
4.2. Market Share & Forecast
4.2.1. By Vehicle Type
4.2.2. By Country
4.3. Africa Two-Wheeler Market Attractiveness Index (By Country)
4.4. Africa Two-Wheeler Market Attractiveness Index (By Vehicle Type)
5. South Africa Two-Wheeler Market Outlook
5.1. Market Size & Forecast
5.1.1. By Value & Volume
5.2. Market Share & Forecast
5.2.1. By Vehicle Type
5.2.2. By Region
5.2.3. By Company
5.3. Pricing Analysis
5.4. Supply Chain Analysis
5.5. Import Duties
5.6. South Africa Two-Wheeler Market Attractiveness Index (By Vehicle Type)
© TechSci Research
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T a b l e o f C o n t e n t s
S. No. Contents
5.7. Competition Outlook
5.8. List of Prominent Dealers/Distributors with Contact Details
6. Nigeria Two-Wheeler Market Outlook
6.1. Market Size & Forecast
6.1.1. By Value & Volume
6.2. Market Share & Forecast
6.2.1. By Vehicle Type
6.2.2. By Region
6.2.3. By Company
6.3. Pricing Analysis
6.4. Supply Chain Analysis
6.5. Import Duties
6.6. Nigeria Two-Wheeler Market Attractiveness Index (By Vehicle Type)
6.7. Competition Outlook
6.8. List of Prominent Dealers/Distributors with Contact Details
7. Tanzania Two-Wheeler Market Outlook
7.1. Market Size & Forecast
7.1.1. By Value & Volume
7.2. Market Share & Forecast
7.2.1. By Vehicle Type
7.2.2. By Region
7.2.3. By Company
© TechSci Research
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T a b l e o f C o n t e n t s
S. No. Contents
7.3. Pricing Analysis
7.4. Supply Chain Analysis
7.5. Import Duties
7.6. Tanzania Two-Wheeler Market Attractiveness Index (By Vehicle Type)
7.7. Competition Outlook
7.8. List of Prominent Dealers/Distributors with Contact Details
8. Kenya Two-Wheeler Market Outlook
8.1. Market Size & Forecast
8.1.1. By Value & Volume
8.2. Market Share & Forecast
8.2.1. By Vehicle Type
8.2.2. By Region
8.2.3. By Company
8.3. Pricing Analysis
8.4. Supply Chain Analysis
8.5. Import Duties
8.6. Kenya Two-Wheeler Market Attractiveness Index (By Vehicle Type)
8.7. Competition Outlook
8.8. List of Prominent Dealers/Distributors with Contact Details
9. Algeria Two-Wheeler Market Outlook
9.1. Market Size & Forecast
9.1.1. By Value & Volume
© TechSci Research
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T a b l e o f C o n t e n t s
S. No. Contents
9.2. Market Share & Forecast
9.2.1. By Vehicle Type
9.2.2. By Region
9.2.3. By Company
9.3. Pricing Analysis
9.4. Supply Chain Analysis
9.5. Import Duties
9.6. Algeria Two-Wheeler Market Attractiveness Index (By Vehicle Type)
9.7. Competition Outlook
9.8. List of Prominent Dealers/Distributors with Contact Details
10. Uganda Two-Wheeler Market Outlook
10.1. Market Size & Forecast
10.1.1. By Value & Volume
10.2. Market Share & Forecast
10.2.1. By Vehicle Type
10.2.2. By Region
10.2.3. By Company
10.3. Pricing Analysis
10.4. Supply Chain Analysis
10.5. Import Duties
10.6. Uganda Two-Wheeler Market Attractiveness Index (By Vehicle Type)
10.7. Competition Outlook
10.8. List of Prominent Dealers/Distributors with Contact Details
© TechSci Research
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T a b l e o f C o n t e n t s
S. No. Contents
11. Egypt Two-Wheeler Market Outlook
11.1. Market Size & Forecast
11.1.1. By Value & Volume
11.2. Market Share & Forecast
11.2.1. By Vehicle Type
11.2.2. By Region
11.2.3. By Company
11.3. Pricing Analysis
11.4. Supply Chain Analysis
11.5. Import Duties
11.6. Egypt Two-Wheeler Market Attractiveness Index (By Vehicle Type)
11.7. Competition Outlook
11.8. List of Prominent Dealers/Distributors with Contact Details
12. Morocco Two-Wheeler Market Outlook
12.1. Market Size & Forecast
12.1.1. By Value & Volume
12.2. Market Share & Forecast
12.2.1. By Vehicle Type
12.2.2. By Region
12.2.3. By Company
12.3. Pricing Analysis
© TechSci Research
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T a b l e o f C o n t e n t s
S. No. Contents
12.4. Supply Chain Analysis
12.5. Import Duties
12.6. Morocco Two-Wheeler Market Attractiveness Index (By Vehicle Type)
12.7. Competition Outlook
12.8. List of Prominent Dealers/Distributors with Contact Details
13. Angola Two-Wheeler Market Outlook
13.1. Market Size & Forecast
13.1.1. By Value & Volume
13.2. Market Share & Forecast
13.2.1. By Vehicle Type
13.2.2. By Region
13.2.3. By Company
13.3. Pricing Analysis
13.4. Supply Chain Analysis
13.5. Import Duties
13.6. Angola Two-Wheeler Market Attractiveness Index (By Vehicle Type)
13.7. Competition Outlook
13.8. List of Prominent Dealers/Distributors with Contact Details
14. Ethiopia Two-Wheeler Market Outlook
14.1. Market Size & Forecast
14.1.1. By Value & Volume
© TechSci Research
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T a b l e o f C o n t e n t s
S. No. Contents
14.2. Market Share & Forecast
14.2.1. By Vehicle Type
14.2.2. By Region
14.2.3. By Company
14.3. Pricing Analysis
14.4. Supply Chain Analysis
14.5. Import Duties
14.6. Ethiopia Two-Wheeler Market Attractiveness Index (By Vehicle Type)
14.7. Competition Outlook
15. Strategic Recommendations
16. About Us & Disclaimer
© TechSci Research
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P r o d u c t O v e r v i e w
A Motorcycle is defined as “A two-wheeled motor vehicle with engine mounted in middleof the frame, with a fuel tank above it, and a manual clutch and gear system.”
Classification According to Vehicle Type
Motorcycle Definition
Vehicle Segment Sub-Segment Customer Segment
Two-Wheeler
Motorcycle
Individuals
Scooter
A Scooter is defined as “A two-wheeled motor vehicle which has a step through frameand the engine located between the rider and the rear.”
Scooter Definition
© TechSci Research
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R e s e a r c h M e t h o d o l o g y
A
C
B
Primary Research
Company Analysis
Desk Research
Identifying Key Opinion
Leaders
Questionnaire Design
In-depth Interviews
Market Participants
Key Strengths
Spark plug Portfolio
OEM Tie-ups
Recent
Developments
Market Changing
Aspects/Dynamics
Government
Policies
Final Conclusion
LinkedIn TechSci Internal
database
Factiva Hoovers
Paid Sources
Company Website Company Annual
Reports White Paper Study Financial Reports Investor
Presentations Regulatory Body, Associations, etc.
Secondary Research
Primary Research
Data Collection
Data Filter& Analysis
Research &Intelligence
ActionableInsights
BusinessSolution
•In-depth secondary research was used todetermine top players in Africa two-wheelermarket, overall market size and to identify topplayers.
Market Profiling
•In order to conduct industry experts interviews,TechSci Research has formulated a detailedquestionnaire.
Formulating Questionnaire
•List of industry players, distributors, dealers,retailers, and industry specialists wasdeveloped.
Developing list of respondents
•TechSci Research conducted interviews withindustry experts, industry players, for datacollection and verification.
Data Collection
•Data obtained as a result of primary andsecondary research was validated throughrigorous triangulation.
Data Validation
•The data was scrutinized using MS-Excel andstatistical tools such as Time Series analysis etc.to obtain qualitative and quantitative insightsabout the Africa two-wheeler market.
Data Analysis
© TechSci Research
11
R e s e a r c h M e t h o d o l o g y
Baseline Methodology:
For the study, TechSci Research has gathered information through primary research surveys with leading two-wheeler companies/ dealers/ distributors/ importers present in Africa, and subsequently, verified information fromprominent two-wheeler companies key executive available within region. We also put through an exhaustive searchof credible paid databases such as Factiva, Hoovers, etc., in addition to our internal database. Our team of analystshas then prudently evaluated all the collected information and presented the same in chronological order to depict ameaningful and clear picture of the Africa two-wheeler market.
While compiling the data, we have also cross checked all the collected information from multiple sources and datawarehouses, in order to present the most accurate and precise information of the concerned industry. We useinnovative business model that focuses on accuracy, while ensuring creation of high-quality reports.
Sampling Technique:
While conducting the study, TechSci Research followed the stratified random sampling technique to shortlist the KeyOpinion Leaders (KOLs) in various two-wheeler companies in Africa. KOLs based out of prominent two-wheelercompanies in Africa were interviewed to identify the size of the continent’s two-wheeler market.
Sample Size:
KOL No. of Respondents
Personnel in two-wheeler companies/ dealers/ distributors 20
Regional Sales Managers/ Country Heads and other mid to senior management people in two-wheeler Companies/Dealers/Distributors
15
Industry Experts / Government Bodies (Import Export Department, Associations, etc.)
5
Total 40
© TechSci Research
12
R e s e a r c h M e t h o d o l o g y
Market Size Calculation Technique:
Primary Research
For the preparation of Africa two-wheeler market, bottom-up model has been used, which has been later crossvalidated by using top-down approach. TechSci Research interviewed sales managers/ country heads and other midto senior management people of two-wheeler companies using Delphi technique for calculating the market size ofthe Africa two-wheeler market. Respondents were also asked about the current and future growth rates, marketshare by region and average selling prices. All the information gathered was carefully analyzed. Data points whichexhibited high deviations from the majority estimates were eliminated as outliers, and the remaining refined datapoints were put together to arrive at the volume data.
S. No. Company/Dealers & Distributor Name
1. CFAO Yamaha Motor Nigeria Limited
2. Honda Manufacturing Nigeria Limited
3. Suzuki Motorcycle
4. Bajaj Auto Limited
5. Hero MotoCorp
6. Lusolanda SARL
7. AngoZara Auto
8. SARL PROX4
9. Auto Competicao Angola LDA
10. Ezz Elarab Automotive Group
11. Tamerco Motorcycle, Cairo
12. VIP Merchandise Enterprises limited
Primary Research – Prominent Companies & Associations Interviewed
© TechSci Research
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R e s e a r c h M e t h o d o l o g y
S. No. Secondary Source
1. National Bureau of Statistics, Nigeria
2. National Transport & Safety Authority, Kenya
3. The Association of Motorcycle Importers & Distributors In South Africa.
4. Tanzania Revenue Authority
5. Central Agency for Public Mobilization & Statistics
6. Central Statistical Agency, Ethiopia
Secondary Research
We also put through an exhaustive search of credible paid databases such as Factiva, Hoovers, etc., in addition toour internal database. Further analyses of credible publications, white papers, company’s annual reports, investorpresentations, news articles, etc. were also analysed to cross validate the end-findings derived from primaryresearch.
Forecasting Technique:
The team anticipated the Africa two-wheeler market on the basis of econometric and judgemental analysis, inaddition to statistical techniques such as averaging, and geometric mean. During primary research interviews,questions regarding historical sales trend of Africa two-wheeler market during the last five years were put forward.Respondents were asked about the current and future growth rates, market share by vehicle type, etc. In order toforecast the Africa two-wheeler market, following forecast techniques were used:
• Moving Average
• Time Series Analysis
• Econometric and Judgmental Analysis
I n d u s t r y B r i e f
14
Africa Two-Wheeler Market to Cross $ 9 Billion by 2021
According to TechSci Research report, “Africa Two-Wheeler Market By Vehicle Type, By Country, Competition Forecast &Opportunities, 2011 – 2021”, the two-wheeler market in Africa is forecast to cross US$ 9 billion by 2021.South Africa, Nigeriaand Tanzania are the largest two-wheeler markets in Africa, followed by Kenya, Algeria, Uganda, Egypt, Morocco, Angola andEthiopia. According to the World Bank, the population of Africa is forecast to reach 2.8 billion by 2060. As the population of thecontinent continues to grow at an alarming rate, governments and other stakeholders are coming under pressure to developand strengthen transport networks. Public transportation system in African countries is still inadequate and poorly developed,and consequently, two-wheelers are becoming a key medium for transportation in urban as well as rural settlements.
In Africa, two-wheelers offer an affordable mode of transportation. Workers as well as travellers, who earlier used to preferother modes of transportation, are increasingly switching to two-wheelers, to avoid the frantic traffic in the cities across majorAfrican countries. Moreover, rising fuel prices is also driving demand for two-wheelers in the continent due to their higher fuelefficiency. Furthermore, as driving license is not mandatory for driving gearless two-wheelers in majority of the Africancountries, tourists visiting the continent usually opt for two-wheelers for transportation purpose.
On the basis of vehicle type, the two-wheeler market in Africa has been segmented into two categories, namely, motorcycleand scooter. Among these categories, motorcycle segment dominated the continent’s two-wheeler market in 2015, owing tovarious associated advantages such as quicker acceleration, better engine capacity, large fuel tank, larger wheel base and easymaintenance. Moreover, booming motorcycle taxis business in African countries is further augmenting demand for motorcyclesin the continent. Backed by rapid urbanization, growing population and inadequate means of transportation, the segment isanticipated to maintain its dominance over the next five years as well
“In Africa, South Africa was the major demand generator of two-wheelers in 2015. Growing per capita income, increasingemployment opportunities, developing infrastructure and vast reserves of natural resources are driving the country’s economicgrowth. According to the Association of Motorcycle Importers and Distributors, the country registers huge demand for premiummotorcycle with an engine capacity of more than 500cc, and the same trend is expected to continue over the next five years aswell. As these high-end motorcycles are comparatively costlier than other motorcycles with low engine capacities, the two-wheeler market of South Africa is expected to grow at a healthy pace in value terms over the next five years.”, said Mr. KaranChechi, Research Director with TechSci Research, a research based global management consulting firm.
15
S a m p l e D a t a - S n a p s h o t
Africa Two-Wheeler Market Size, By Value (USD
Billion), By Volume (Thousand Units), 2011-2021F
© TechSci Research
151 2 3 4 5 7 8 9 10 11 12
3 5 7 9 1115 17 19 21 23 25
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F 2021F
Value (USD Billion) Volume (Million Unit)
5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10%
15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15%20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20%
25% 25% 25% 25% 25% 25% 25%
30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30%
35% 35% 35% 35% 35% 35% 35%
40% 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% 40%
2015 2016E 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F 2021F
Honda BMW Motorrad KTM Yamaha
Harley Davidson Kawasaki Suzuki Others
South Africa Two-Wheeler Market Share, By Company, By
Volume, 2015-2021F
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50
Motorcycle
Scooter
Africa Two-Wheeler Market Attractiveness Index, By
Vehicle Type, By Volume, 2015-2021F
Ethiopia Two-Wheeler Market Attractiveness Index, By
Vehicle Type, By Volume, 2015-2021F
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50
Motorcycle
Scooter
4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4%
9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9%
14% 14% 14% 14% 14% 14% 14%
19% 19% 19% 19% 19% 19% 19%
21% 21% 21% 21% 21% 21% 21%
24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24%
2015 2016E 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F 2021F
Bajaj Chinese TVS Honda Hero Others
Nigeria Two-Wheeler Market Share, By Company, By Volume, 2015-2021F
KwaZulu-Natal
2015 2021F
X% X%
Gauteng
2015 2021F
X% X%
Eastern Cape
2015 2020F
X% X%
*Others
2015 2021F
X% X%
South Africa Two-Wheeler
Market Share, By Region, By
Volume, 2015 & 2021F
© TechSci Research
16
R e p o r t O r d e r i n g
To View Sample OR Purchase Report
Report Price
Report Name: Africa Two-Wheeler Market By Vehicle Type, By Country,
Competition Forecast & Opportunities, 2011 – 2021
License Type Price
Electronic Access - Single User License $4200
CD-ROM Mail Delivery $4700
Hard Copy Mail Delivery $5200
Electronic Access - Multi-User License $10000
© TechSci Research
17
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About Us
TechSci Research is a global market research and consulting company with offices in the US, the UK and India. TechSci Research
provides market research reports in a number of areas to organizations. The company uses innovative business models that focus on
improving productivity, while ensuring creation of high-quality reports. The proprietary forecasting models use various analyses of both
industry-specific and macroeconomic variables on a state-by-state basis to produce a unique ‘bottom-up’ model of a country, regional
and global industry prospects. Combined with the detailed analysis of company activity and industry trends, the result is a uniquely rich
evaluation of the opportunities available in the market.
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Disclaimer
The contents of this report are based on information generally available to the public from sources believed to be reliable. No representation is made thatit is timely, accurate or complete. TechSci Research has taken due care and caution in compilation of data as this has been obtained from various sourcesincluding which it considers reliable and first hand. However, TechSci Research does not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy or completeness of anyinformation and it is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for the results obtained from the use of such information and especially states that ithas no financial liability whatsoever to the subscribers / users of this report. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can changewithout notice. All the figures provided in this document are indicative of relative market size and are strictly for client’s internal consumption. Usage ofthe same for purpose other than internal will require prior approval of TechSci Research.
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