Tennyson Magombo: Incidence of Indigenous and Innovative climate change adaptation practices for...

Enabling Rural Innovation for Climate Change Adaptation:

Incidence of Indigenous and Innovative Climate Change Adaptation

Practices for Smallholder Farmers’ Livelihood Security in Chikhwawa

District, Southern Malawi

Tennyson Magombo, George kanthiti, Grace Phiri, Mutisungirire

Kachulu,Hilda Kabuli

ACKNOWLEDEMENTS• This study was conducted as part of the implementation of the

African Technology Policy Studies Network (ATPS) Phase VI Strategic Plan, 2008 – 2012 funded by ATPS Donors including the Ministerie van Buitenlandse Zaken (DGIS) the Netherlands, Rockefeller Foundation, amongst others. The authors hereby thank the ATPS for the financial and technical support during the implementation of the study. The Authors specially thank the ATPS Climate Sense Program Director, Dr. Kevin Urama (ATPS); and the Program Coordinators including Prof. Francis Mutua (ATPS Kenya); Dr. George Owusu Essegbey (ATPS Ghana), Prof. Eric Eboh (ATPS Nigeria), Dr. Nicholas Ozor (ATPS), and Ms. Wairimu Mwangi (ATPS) for their technical support during the research process.

Presentation Outline• Introduction

• Review of Indigenous and innovative adaptation practices

• Conceptual Framework

• Research Questions

• Research Objectives

• Data

• Discussion of Results

• Conclusion and Recommendations

Introduction

Chikhwawa

Introduction

Incidence of Climate Change Impacts

Rainfall Pattern for Chikhwawa

Monthly and Three Months Total Rainfall Distribution

Review of Indigenous and innovative adaptation practices

• Lema M. A and Majule A. E. 2009 reported that Climate change is a global phenomenon while adaptation is largely site-specific.

• This implies that climate change adaptation strategies require site specific knowledge.

• According to IPCC, (2007) a clear understanding of what is happening at a community level is of paramount importance in order to significantly impact on farmers who are by large the most climate-vulnerable group.

Cont’d• Apparently, indigenous, innovative climate change

adaptation practices by smallholder farmers in Chikhwawa district were not found in the literature.

.

Research Question• what are the effective indigenous, emerging and

innovative technologies for climate change adaptation?

• What are the factors that affect adoption of various adaptation strategies by smallholder farmers?

• What are the capacity building needs of the farming communities that can assist to adapt to climate change?

Research Objectives• to examine the awareness of climate change

in the area;

• to examine the nature of climate change impact in the study area;

• to identify different practices that exacerbate the impact of climate change in the area;

Cont’d• to determine factors affecting adoption of

various adaptation strategies in the area.

• to identify, describe and document effective indigenous and emerging technologies and innovations for climate change adaptation used by farmers in the study area.

• to make policy recommendations for building climate change resilience at individual, community and national levels in Malawi;

Conceptual Framework• Consider a farmer or a decision maker who has

been affected by climate change and is able to compare two climate change adaptation alternatives.

• Assume that this farmer is rational and would like to maximize utility.

• Given a set of different climate change adaptation measures, this farmer would opt for an alternative that would maximize his or her utility (that will ensure livelihood security).

The utility is modelled as a random variable in order to reflect this uncertainty. More specifically, the utility that individual i is associating with alternative a is given by

ia

ia

ia VU

To the neoclassical economic theory, the alternative with the highest utility is supposed to be chosen. Therefore, the probability that alternative a is chosen by decision-maker i within choice set C is

Cb

ib

ia

i UUPacP max

Cont’d• Also consider a farm family which is affected by climate

change and has a set of different adaptation measures.

• We assume that each farmer faces a set of discrete, mutually exclusive choices of adaptation measures amidst risks and uncertainties.

• These measures are assumed to be dependent on a number of climate attributes, socioeconomic characteristics and other factors X.

Let be a random variable representing the adaptation measure chosen by any farm family.

According to Greene, (2003) the MNL model for adaptation choice specifies the relationship between the probability of choosing option and the set of explanatory variables X as follows:

iA

iA

0

....2,1,0,1

)(Pr

0

0

'

'

jje

ejAob

j

k

x

x

iij

ij

Data

2

2

2

2

05.0

)1(96.1)1( pp

e

ppZn

38205.0

47.0)47.01(96.12

2

n

Descriptive Statistics of household Characteristics

Variable Obs Mean Std Deviation Min Max

Age of hh head 300 41.9667 15.0190 18 86

Education of hh head 300 5.4733 3.9448 0 16

Household Size 300 6 3 1 15

Farming experience of hh head 300 18.3733 14.3800 1 68

Value of hh assets 300 75,301.11 237,020.20 0 3,141,200

Land Holding size 300 3.6638 2.2603 0 15.5

Months hh had no own maize in 2009

139 7.884892 3.005018 0 12

Months hh had no own sorghum in 2009

236 7.991525 2.902667 0 12

Distance to market 300 3.8097 2.7744 0 13

Total annual income 300 5,204.65 90,392.73 0 1,000,000

Identified Indigenous Adaptation Strategies

I.D Adaptation strategy Percentage of households practicing

1 Crop diversification 84

2 Eating Nyika a wild tuber plant 56.67

3 Apply organic manure to fields 53

4 Mixed crop and L/stock farming 43.33

5 Small scale irrigation 42.33

6 Nonfarm income generating activities

27.67

  Sample size 300

Discussion of Results

Identified indigenous climate change adaptation strategies

Factors affecting adoption of indigenous adaptation strategies

• As total annual income of the household has a negative effect on the odds ratio that the household would adopt crop diversification (p=0.019) and a combination of crop diversification and use of organic manure (p=0.097).

• Number of months without maize proved to have a positive effect on the odds ratio that a household would adopt crop diversification (p=0.065) and a combination of small scale irrigation and crop diversification (P=0.05) as a climate change adaptation strategies

Cont’d• Household size proved to have a positive effect

on the odd ratio that a household would adopt use of organic manure as a climate change adaptation strategy (p=0.049).

• Access to agricultural extension services also proved to have a positive effect on the odds ratio that a household would adopt application of organic manure to agricultural fields (P=0.000) a combination of small scale irrigation and crop diversification (P=0.0000) and a combination of crop diversification and mixed crop and L/stock farming(p=0000) .

Cont’d• Market access by a household proved to have a

positive effect on the odds ratio that a household eat nyika during hard times when a household had run short of staple and other food crops(p=0.099).

• Age of household head proved to have a positive effect on the odds ratio that a household would adopt a combination of crop diversification and use of organic manure (p=0.074).

Farming practices that exacerbate the impact of climate change

Conclusion and Policy Recommendations

• Crop diversification, eating a wild tuber plant called nyika (Nymphea petersiana), applying organic manure to agriculture fields, mixed crop and livestock farming; small scale irrigation and nonfarm income generating activities are the indigenous climate change adaptation strategies being practiced by households in the study area

Cont’d

• Household size, landholding size, total annual household income level, access to inputs and output market, months household had no maize or sorghum, and access to agricultural extension services are the major factors that significantly affect adoption of indigenous climate change adaptation strategies in the study area

Cont’d• There is need for MoAFS to improve on the

agricultural extension services delivery system and develop messages that aim at promoting adoption of climate change adaptation strategies being identified.

• Innovative collective action institutional set ups can be explored so that they assist in reinforcing adopting of good farming practices and influence communal and household’s behavioral change in favor of climate change impacts mitigation and adaptation.

Cont’d

• There is need to conduct an action research on domestication of nyika(Nymphaea petersiana) and find ways on how to improve its productivity at the farm level.

• There is need to intensively promote afforestation programs in Chikhwawa and Malawi at large and conduct intensive civic education programs aimed at sensitizing communities on the danger of careless cutting down of trees, cultivating along river banks and continuous cropping

Lessons Learnt•Some of the indigenous adaptation strategies and technologies conflict with climate change mitigation strategies e.g Selling Firewood and Charcoal for cash.

•Some farming systems ( livelihood strategies) exacerbate the impacts of climate Change while others enhance adaptation to climate change.

Lessons Learnt Cont’d

Women, girls and children are more vulnerable to climate change impacts and effects.

End of Presentation

Thank you for your kind attention. God bless you!