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TECHNOLOGY COMMUNICATIONS
JAPANChristos Makiyama - OIT Techno-Frontier on Electronics - December 2013
#TECHNOLOGY
TechnologyΤέχνη /téxni/ Λόγος /lóɣos/+
人工 言葉、論理、理由
Τεχνολογία
me
wikimedia
Gertrud K. flickr
Angie Nan, flickr
bombeeney, flickr
生 life
死 death
と
生 life
死 death
??
??
time
nicubunu.photo, flickr
不確実性への挑戦 OUR CHALLENGE TO THE UNCERTAINTY
Myra Khawar, flickr belief
MIT Physics Demo, flickr science
Sandia Labs, flickr
technology
Wikipedia
農業の始まり
銅
都市文明
車 青銅
帝国時代
鉄
産業革命
石炭
石油
Red-Pill Photo Gallery, flickr
#COMMUNICATIONS
1995:Welcome to Cyberspace
Paradigm Shift
Jerry Yang Yahoo co-founder
New Business Models
New Platforms
New Systems
New Technologies
Empowering Ideas, Innovation, Internet �����
The Digital Tsunamis
NOW 1980 1990 2020
Digital PSTN Wave
Internet Network Wave
Broadband Network Wave
Service Delivery Network Wave
Digital
Internet
End to End IP
Managed IP Services
� ����� �����
�PC�� ������
�Non-PC�� ��100����
NTVPセミナー 2002年7月8日
2013
#internet
Roberta Morrone, flickr
2.77 billion
Internet Users in 2013
Source: Wikipedia
Global IP Traffic Forecast 2012-2017EB per year
0"
200"
400"
600"
800"
1,000"
1,200"
1,400"
1,600"
2012" 2013" 2014" 2015" 2016" 2017"
ME"&"Africa" La6n"America" Europe" North"America" Asia"Pacific"
Source: Cisco Systems
471
667
827
1,006
1,213
1,448
ZettaByte Era
John Ward, flickr
1ZB=1021B 213,000,000,000 DVDs
Les Taylor, flickr
50%Mobile devices traffic by 2016
Source: Cisco Systems
Wayan Vota, flickr
50%non-PC devices traffic by 2017
Source: Cisco Systems
$1.3 trillion
World Wide B2C e-commerce in 2013
Source: eMarketer
Andrew Perry, flickr
2 billion
users will watch online Video by 2017
Source: Cisco Systems
Full-time-lover, flickr
1.08 million
US households cancelled TV subscriptions in 2012
Source: Statista
Jason A. Howie, flickr
23HAmericans’ average time spent online per week. May 2013
Source: eMarketer
#IoT
Jell, flickr
50 billion
things connected by 2020
Source: Cisco Systems
• make better decisions • manage & control things
エネルギー
Energy
環境
Earth
健康
Health
食料
Food
交通
Transport
Fitness &
Healthcare
Tom Wang
170 million
wireless health & fitness devices by 2017
Source: ABI research
Healthgauge
1.4 billion
health & fitness mobile apps downloads by 2017
Source: ON World
Jawbone, UP
iHealth, Wireless Pulse Oximeter
Wahoo, Heart Rate Strap
Sensoria, Fitness Socks
Nike, Fuelband
Withings, Smart body analyzer
94fifty, Smart Basketball
Image: Apple, Sensoria
Withings,Blood Pressure 血圧計
Sanofi, Glucose Meter 血糖値計
AliveCor, ECG/EKG Reader 心電図
Mobisante, Ultrasonic 超音波
Image: fool.com
Software APP & Embedded
Cloud
Multi Disciplinary ENGINEERING
Image: Fast Company & Inc.
DesignComponents Sensors, battery etc
LSI Low Power,AMS,RF
#DevOps
Source: Gartner
2013 ICT Spending Forecast
Billion US$
US$3,787B
Source: Gartner
2013 ICT Spending Forecast
Billion US$
US$1,206B
SaaS Software as a Service
Legacy
software publisher
customer datacenterstorage
network
server
OS
database
application
users
SaaS
software publisher
application
database
OS
server
network
storage
internet
usersusers users
IaaS Infrastructure as a Service
app developer
application
database
OS
server
network
storage
internet
users
servernetworkstorage
app developer
IaaS provider
applicationdatabase
OS
internet
users
Virtualization Layer
VM VM VM VM
http://…….
Con
trolle
r
dashboard
Proprietary
Open Source
190 million
Server workloads by 2017 !100million in 2013
Source: Cisco Systems
Gary Hayes
63%Server workloads will run on Cloud by 2017
Source: Cisco Systems
Gary Hayes
7×Virtualized: 16.7 Non-Virtualized: 2.3 workloads per server by 2017
Source: Cisco Systems
Google Datacenter
7.7ZBData Center traffic by 2017
Source: Cisco Systems
80%Intra Data Center traffic
Source: Cisco Systems
138EBDemand for storage capacity by 2017 !28EB in 2012
Source: IDC
operation complexity
but, how about developers?
agile software development
Quality
AssuranceDeve
lopm
ent
Operations
DevOps
株式会社あくしゅ
山崎泰宏 株式会社あくしゅ 代表取締役社長
datacenteris thecomputer
Tom Raftery,flickr
server virtualization
network virtualization
storage virtualization
•globe’s data centers as one computer
Software DefineD Data Center
•data center total virtualization•data center environment portability
on
#web
SUBSCRIPTIONS PER DEVICE TYPE
HW PLATFORMS DIVERSITY
smartphone tablet PC TV
smart home appliance
wearable
in-car
SW environments DIVERSITY
Marc Andreessen Andreessen Horowitz General Partner
Netscape Co-Founder
browser the new application platform
8,000,000 HTML developers 450,000 Android and 100,000 iOS
Source: Firefox
zowchow
audiovideo
local storage
canvas
local SQL
2d/3d graphics
web apps full CSS3
local file access
app cache
semantic elements
javascript workers
inline SVG
Web Real Time Communications
HIGH QUALITY Video CommunicationS to the Masses
internet
adaptive video resolutionmulti-party
3G/4G Wifi xDSL
FTTH
scalableaffordable API integration
Ofer Shapiro Vidyo CEO & co-founder
Enhancement Layer
Base Layer
Scalable Coding
Source: Vidyo
Conventional vs Scalable Video Codec
H.264-AVC
H.264-SVC
Source: Vidyo
DECODE
ENCODE
ENCODE
COMPOSE
ENCODE
DECODE
MCU Processing takes 200 - 250 ms
Traditional architecture suffers from latency and jitter which requires purpose built network and hardware
MCU based Architecture
Source: Vidyo
Vidyo’s Adaptive Video LayeringTM does not require network decision
High Resolution - High Frame Ra
Medium Resolution - Medium Frame Rate
Low Resolution - Low Frame Rate
2 Mbps
500 Kbps
3G/4G Low Bandwidth
Medium Resolution - Medium Frame Rate
High Resolution - High Frame Rate
Low Resolution - Low Frame Rate
Source
Base Layer
High Resolution Layer
Base Layer
High Resolution Layer
Base Layer
High Resolution Layer
Base Layer
Vidyo Architecture
Source: Vidyo
Semantic Web
• Web 1.0:Web of documents • Web 2.0:Web of collaboration • Web 3.0:Web of data
Linden Tibbets IFTTT CEO & Co-founder Devin Foley
Alex Tibbets IFTTT Co-founder
#bigdata
NASA, flickr
8ZBCreated information by 2015 !2.7ZB in 2012
Source: IDC
nicubunu.photo, flickr
BIG DATA IS… !
OUR MOST IMPORTANT CHALLENGE TO THE UNCERTAINTY
Panos Papadopoulos BugSense CEO & Co-founder
Jon Vlachoyiannis BugSense CTO & Co-founder
Improve Customer Experience
Cross Platform
3rd biggest mobile SDK Analyze data from -400M devices
Realtime Crash Analytics120K writes/updates per sec
Custom Big DB (LDB)
+ = IoT
#JAPAN
1989
Raid_blood, flickr, Wikipedia
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011
バブル崩壊
リーマンショック
インターネットバブル崩壊
アテネ大学中退&来日
OIT入学
起業卒業&入社
誕生
Berlin wall, Nov. 9 1989
Gulf war, Aug. 2 1990
産業革命Industrial Revolution
世界市場Global Markets
情報革命Information Revolution
世界民衆主義Global Democracy
James Welsh, flickr
世界市民Global Citizen
お客様のイノベーション活動の支援を通じて、豊かな社会の実現に貢献する
Technology
New Ventures
Innovators
New Projects
New !Products!
or!Services
New Markets
Marketing & Customer Development
Product Development
USA・CANADA・JAPAN・ISRAEL・GREECE
Technology has no borders
端島, 鹿児島県
The World of R&D
IPhone supply chain map
source: sourcemap
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
5,40010,80016,20021,60027,00032,40037,80043,20048,60054,00059,40064,80070,20075,60081,00086,40091,80097,200
102,600108,000113,400118,800124,200129,600135,000140,400145,800151,200156,600162,000167,400172,800178,200
1955 1958 1961 1964 1967 1970 1973 1976 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009
設立登記件数 会社開業率 会社廃業率
JAPAN NEW Business Formation statistics
平成24年中小企業白書
倒木更新 nurse log
80男 86女
厚生労働省2013
35年帝国データバンク, 2013年
18年帝国データバンク, 2013年
What
How
Why
生 life
死 death
??
??
time
•異文化を体験experience new cultures
•外国語の勉強learn new languages
•人脈づくりbuild connections
•熱中することを見つけるfind your passion
•WHYから始めよstart with why
The best way to predict the future is to create it
!未来を予言する一番良い方法は、自分の手で創り出
すことである
Alan Kay
�127
ご清聴をありがとうございました
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