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Kansallinen resurssiviisaus -foorumi 4.12.2013 Professori Dieter D. Genske, Nordhausenin yliopisto, Saksa: "Baselista hiilineutraali kaupunki – käytännön keinot siihen pääsemiseksi" / Basel on its way to the 2000-Watt-Society
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Basel on its way to the
2000-Watt-Society
Basel Project Group Till Berger (sustainserv Basel), Dieter D. Genske (Presenter, Nordhausen University of Applied Sciences),
Ariane Ruff (University of Liechtenstein)
Basel on its way to the
2000-Watt-Society
What the vision means
and practical examples of how this vision can be realized December 4, 2013
Basel on its way to the
2000-Watt-Society
• Why 2000 Watt?
• Principles to assess efficiency and energy potentials
• Basel on its way to the 2000-Watt-Society
EUR 200.000.000.000
USD 310.000.000.000
EUR 180.000.000.000
Numbers from “Langfristszenarien und Strategien für den Ausbau der erneuerbaren Energien in
Deutschland”, German Ministry of Environment 2012.
Basel on its way to the
2000-Watt-Society
• Why 2000 Watt ?
• Principles to assess efficiency and energy potentials
• Basel on its way to the 2000-Watt-Society
Principles
Adam Smiths’ Principle of Space and Labour
Adam Smith (1723-1790):
“In the classical production
process, space and labour
create wealth”
Principles
Energy Parties
Households
B&T
Industry
Living
Working
Mobility
He
atin
g
Wa
rm w
ate
r
Pro
ce
ss w
ate
r
Po
we
r
Fu
els
Road
Railroad
etc.
Medium
Small
Barely
Need
Strong
NB: Situation in Northern Europe
Principles
Scenarios
Defining goals, then discussing scenarios how to reach these goals.
(1) Trend scenario: Following the trend
(2) Innovation scenario: i.e. Self-sufficiency, 2000-Watt ...
Principles
Energetically Homogeneous Zones
EHZ have a similar energy consumption as well as a similar capacity to
produce renewable energy
Individual Homes
Forest
Basel on its way to the
2000-Watt-Society
• Why 2000 Watt?
• Principles to assess efficiency and energy potentials
• Basel on its way to the 2000-Watt-Society
Basel on its way to the
2000-Watt-Society
Annual
expenses for
fossil fuels
300-400
Mio CHF
Population 0.2m
Area 48 km2
Energy Demand per capita
Leistung in Watt Primärenergie per capita nach
Aktivität und Zielwerte im Referenzszenario
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Watt
PE p
er
capit
a
Mobility
Working
Livingtarget
Reference scenario
Leistung in Watt Primärenergie per capita nach
Aktivität und Zielwerte im 2000W-Szenario
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Watt
PE p
er
capit
a
Mobility
Working
Livingtarget
2000-Watt-scenario
Heat Demand and Renewable Heat Production
Heat demand and renewable heat, trend scenario
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
GW
hEnd p
er
year
Sun (roof and facade)
Shallow geothermal
Wastewater heat
Biogas
Biomass
Deep geothermal
STP sludge
Waste incineration
Demand
Reference scenario
Heat demand and renewable heat, 2000W-scenario
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
GW
hEnd p
er
year
Sun (roof and facade)
Shallow geothermal
Wastewater heat
Biogas
Biomass
Deep geothermal
Schlammverbrennung
Waste incineration
Demand
2000-Watt-scenario
Heat demand and renewable heat, trend scenario
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
GW
hEnd p
er
year
Waste incineration STP sludge Deep geothermal
Biomass Biogas Wastewater heat
Shallow geothermal Sun (roof and facade) Demand
Power Demand and Renewable Power Production
Power demand and renewable power, 2000W-scenario
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
GW
hEnd p
er
year
Waste incineration Deep geothermal Biomass
Wind Water Sun (roof and facade)
Demand
Power demand and renewable power, trend scenario
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
GW
hEnd p
er
year Sun (roof and facade)
Water
Wind
Biomass
Deep geothermal
Waste incineration
Demand
Reference scenario
Power demand and renewable power, 2000W-scenario
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
GW
hEnd p
er
year Sun (roof and facade)
Water
Wind
Biomass
Deep geothermal
Waste incineration
Demand
2000-Watt-scenario
CO2eq-Reduction
C02-äquivalente Jahresemissionen per capita (ohne
graue Energie) im Referenzszenario
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
t C
O2eq p
er
capit
a a
nd y
ear
Mobility
Working
Living
Reference scenario
target
C02-äquivalente Jahresemissionen per capita (ohne
graue Energie) im 2000W-Szenario
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
t C
O2eq p
er
capit
a a
nd y
ear
Mobility
Working
Living
2000-Watt-scenario
target
Status quo: Heat Demand
Trend Scenario: Heat Demand 2050
2000-Watt-Scenario: Heat Demand 2050
Status quo: Renewable Heat Production
Trend Scenario: Renewable Heat Production 2050
2000-Watt-Scenario: Renewable Heat Production 2050
Status quo: Power Demand
Trend Scenario: Power Demand 2050
2000-Watt-Szenario: Power Demand 2050
Status quo: Renewable Power Production
Trend Scenario: Renewable Power Production 2050
2000-Watt-Szenario: Renewable Power Production 2050
Expenses and Gains in the Reference Scenario Ausgaben und Einsparungen im Referenzszenario
-150.00
-100.00
-50.00
0.00
50.00
100.00
150.00
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Mio
CH
F/a
THG
Strom
Wärme
Wasserkraft
KVA
Biomasse
Geothermie
Abwasserwärme
Erdwärmesonden
Sonne (PV und Kollektoren)
big
sto
ck
Expenses and Gains in the 2000-Watt-Scenario Ausgaben und Einsparungen im 2000W-Szenario
-150.00
-100.00
-50.00
0.00
50.00
100.00
150.00
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Mio
CH
F/a
THG
Strom
Wärme
Wasserkraft
KVA
Biomasse
Geothermie
Abwasserwärme
Erdwärmesonden
Sonne (PV und Kollektoren)
big
sto
ck
Expenses per capita in the 2000-Watt-Scenario Typische Ausgaben im Kanton Basel-Stadt
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
Highw
ay vigne
tte
6 bo
ttles of S
wiss wine (A
igle A
OC)
Men
u Sur
prise Café Spitz plus wine
2000
W-soc
iety (pe
r ca
pita
and
yea
r)
Dog
tax
(an
nual)
Hea
lth in
sura
nce (m
onth
ly)
Apa
rtmen
t (m
onth
ly ren
t 3-
room
-app
t.)
Sw
iss F
ranks
hu
nd
era
ssen.d
e
Examples of how this vision can be realized
Research project “2000W-Society”
Discussion of proposals to introduce
2000W-Society at City Council
Fixing of
budget /
Co-financing
SME
University
Research
Labs
Voting at City Council plus referendum
Implementation
?
Efficiency
Re-
newables
Pilot
projects
Public
Reviewing /
re-discussing
no
yes
Examples of how this vision can be realized: Pilot projects www.2000-watt.bs.ch 2000-Watt-Gesellschaft: 10 Jahre Pilotregion Basel. AUE Kanton Basel Stadt
Basel on its way to the
2000-Watt-Society
Basel Project Group Till Berger (sustainserv Basel), Dieter D. Genske (Presenter, Nordhausen University of Applied Sciences),
Ariane Ruff (University of Liechtenstein)
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