Electricity 2.0 @ Etech

Electricity 2.0

Using The Lessons Of the Web To Improve Our Energy Networks

ETech 2009

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Tom Raftery

•Lead analyst, energy and sustainability practice, RedMonk•GreenMonk.net•twitter.com/tomraftery•tom@redmonk.com•+34 677 695 468

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Background

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Telecoms

Photo http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Alexander_Graham_Bell.jpg

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Telecoms

Photo http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:1876_Bell_Speaking_into_Telephone.jpg

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Telecoms

Photo http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Alexander_Graham_Bell.jpg Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/alt1040/2675256698/

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Electricity

Photo http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Thomas_Edison.jpg Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/intimaj/111843868/

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Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/adambrock/142056834/

Electricity 1.0 - LANs!

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Electricity 1.0 - Read Only

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/ericskiff/2400270056/

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Electricity 1.0 - Top Down

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/mikedefiant/1949525340/

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Electricity 1.0 - buggy

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/smb_flickr/892015017/

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Electricity 1.0 - Dumb!

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/bright/24691962/

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Electricity 1.0 - Closed!

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/markusschoepke/72431367/

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Electricity 1.0 - Architected for the Past

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/bakewell/35026819/

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Provisioning for Hits

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/hsinho/228010056/

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Provisioning for Hits

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Then along comes...

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/hsinho/228010056/17

Renewable energy

Source - Red Eléctrica de España (http://www.ree.es)18

Renewable energy

Source - http://www.eirgrid.ie19

Renewable energy

Electricity Demand Wind Energy Wind

20065GW max

1.8GW min

0.9GW max

0.0GW min6.5%

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Renewable energy - 2020

Electricity Demand Wind Energy Wind

202010GW max

3.6 GW min

6.3GW max

0.0GW min40%

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Storage?

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/spo0ky/420291292/22

Exotic storage solutions

Image http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/d/d9/Minebw-large.jpg23

Exotic Storage solutions

Image http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/9/9a/Pumpstor_racoon_mtn.jpg

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Which leads to...

Graph - http://www.eirgrid.ie25

And this...

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Current scenario

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Change agents

28Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/enigmaphotos/458004066/

Change agents

29Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/sshb/3212887119/

Solutions?

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Smart Grid

Photo: http://www.flickr.com/photos/traftery/2996254784/31

Smart Grid potential?

Smart grid technologies were the largest opportunity found in the study and could globally reduce 2.03 GtCO2e, worth €79 billion ($124.6 billion)

The Climate GroupSmart 2020 Report

http://www.smart2020.org/32

Use proven principles

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/alexbip/247333777/33

Information

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/traftery/2888824539/34

Smart Grid potential?

95% [of Americans] are interested in receiving detailed information on their energy use

OracleTurning Information into Power Report

http://www.oracle.com/go/?&Src=6642417&Act=71&pcode=NAUT08044847MPP13935

Use proven principles

Data: http://www.synergymodule.com36

TiVo’ising Energy Use

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/earlysound/485734055/37

Peak Shaving

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/ronlayters/13237817/38

Demand Stimulation

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/pigpogm/320545917/39

Push => Pull

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The Read/Write Grid

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/cdell/185642911/41

Plug!

http://www.archboldelectric.com/42

Vehicle to Grid - p2p power?

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/better_place/3062172470/43

Quote

I could imagine a smart garage where I would plug in my car and the computer handles it. I could even make money by cost shifting.... It solves energy security, energy prices and job creation...and by the way, climate change.

Eric SchmidtCEO Google

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Enablers?

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Enablers?

46http://www.consert.com/

Enablers?

47http://www.getgreenbox.com/

Enablers?

48http://www.tendrilinc.com/

Enablers?

49http://www.gridpoint.com/

Enablers?

50http://www.google.org/powermeter/howitworks.html

Grassroots

http://homecamp.pbwiki.com/51

Grassroots

52Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/dalelane/3148136252/

To Know Me Is To Change Me

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/tristanf/2627886505/

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To Know Me Is To Change Me

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/dalelane/3074171640/54

Hacking Your Home Electric

55Screenshot http://twitter.com/andy_house

To Know Me Is To Change Me

Screenshot http://my.amee.com/demo/156

Hacking Your Home Electric

57Screenshot http://stanford-clark.com/cgi-bin/cc128pie.pl?andy

Blogpost http://eightbar.co.uk

What if?

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What if?

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/melancon/285306424/59

What if?

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What if?

Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/commensa/2531256290/61

Why is this important?

As global average temperature increase exceeds about 3.5 degrees C, model projections suggest significant extinctions (40-70% of species assessed) around the globe.

2007 IPCC Climate Change Synthesis Report

http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar4/syr/ar4_syr_spm.pdf62

Why is this critical?

If there’s no action before 2012, that’s too late. What we do in the next two to three years will determine our future. This is the defining moment.

Rajendra PachauriChair IPCC

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Thanks!

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