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Workshop on Municipal Fiber NetworksGhent, October24th2011
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08/11/2011 # 1 Part of Swedish ICT
crister. mattsson@acreo.se
Socio-economic impact of FTTH in Sweden
2011-11-08 Crister Mattsson Acreo
08/11/2011 # 2 Part of Swedish ICT
44 per cent of all households and businesses in
Sweden have access to at least 100 Mbps
broadband
34 % of the homes have possibility to connect
to fiber
Fiber coverage 0- 83 %
40 municipal. have less than 1 %.
08/11/2011 # 3 Part of Swedish ICT
Business Models
Single Operator
OPCO
NetCo
RSP
RSP
RSP
Netco
OP
CO
R
SP
RSP
RSP
Netco
OP
CO
OP
CO
OPCO
RSP
RSP
RSP
Traditionel
08/11/2011 # 4 Part of Swedish ICT
Urban Networks with competition
85
74
63
45
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2010200820062004
Procent
År
Perc
ent
Year
08/11/2011 # 5 Part of Swedish ICT
08/11/2011 # 6 Part of Swedish ICT
08/11/2011 # 7 Part of Swedish ICT
Investment decisions
Roll
out
cost
Telco
roi
Roll
out
cost Telco
return
Un-
captured
values
yes No, but should be yes
08/11/2011 # 8 Part of Swedish ICT
increased use of ICT services
Competition between SPs
reduced forced migration
ICT competence HR pool
Ease to do business
FTTH deployment
Very high access speed New infrastructure Direct economic activity
True cloud computing
HD and 3D TV VoD
Videoconf Telepresence
E-health
E-government
Logistics, prod, management
Sensor networks
Democracy strengthened
transparency in PA
efficiency in PA
Distance working
reduced traffic congestion
Network gaming
Dev. of new technologies
Customers for new services
corruption discouraged
lower publ spending higher tax revenue
productivity
learning curves
lower prices for services
lower entry barriers
low upfront investment
for NP and SP
Functional separation
new business model possible
higher employment
Virtual labour mobility
entrepreneurship
e-learning
Profitability of NP and SP
Profitability Of PIP
RoW revenues
reduced ènvironment
impact
GDP
lower burden of bureaucracy
Perceived quality of life
Video surveillance
Power grid efficiency
New ICT and traditional companies
New/better services
Education quality and cost
ICT Maturity: digital natives
Increased market value
08/11/2011 # 9 Part of Swedish ICT
Is it possible to calculate the return for society ?
Cost for Ftth deployment
Effects of the Investment
08/11/2011 # 10 Part of Swedish ICT
More fiber homes passed
gives more employment
and improved population
development
08/11/2011 # 11 Part of Swedish ICT
• FTTH cost:
o fast-deployment scenario (investment during four years)
o Investment to connect all households not yet connected
source: companies active in FTTH installation in Sweden
• Return on investment calculated year by year, 1–5 years:
o economic activity directly related to construction
input-output multiplier approach
o savings in the municipal and regional-government costs for
data and telecommunications
extrapolation
08/11/2011 # 12 Part of Swedish ICT
o increased GDP due to increased employment
means of multivariate regression analysis
o added value for end users
extrapolation of rates
o Enhanced population growth is also quantified, but is not
translated in terms of economic returns.
o Longer-term induced effects harder to measure as of today
o Causality was taken care of by introducing a time delay
between fibre deployment and observed effects
08/11/2011 # 13 Part of Swedish ICT
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
�år 1 � år 2 � år 3 � år 4 � år5
AVKASTNING
INVESTERING
08/11/2011 # 14 Part of Swedish ICT
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
�år 1 � år 2 � år 3 � år 4 � år5
"IND. AVK."
"DIREKT AVK."
08/11/2011 # 15 Part of Swedish ICT
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
�år 1 � år 2 � år 3 � år 4 � år5
"ACK. AVKASTNING"
"ACK. INVESTERING"
08/11/2011 # 16 Part of Swedish ICT
The City of Stockholm reduced the cost of
telecommunication with 30 % = 4,5 mill Eu /y
The regions of Norrbotten and Sthlm reduced the
cost of tele-communication with 50 %.
08/11/2011 # 17 Part of Swedish ICT
Sthlm 15 M Eu - 30 %
~ nationell = 50 M. Eu
Region 50 %
~ nationell level = 27 M.Eu
The total cost for connecting the the rest of
Swedens total homes with fiber is ~ 4 Bill.Eu
08/11/2011 # 18 Part of Swedish ICT
Installation cost for fiber lan in MDU av are 275 Eu / apartm.
275/20 y = 13,75 /y
Installation gives higher rent with 4,7 EU per m
= 56,4 Eu/y
08/11/2011 # 19 Part of Swedish ICT
In Suburban Stockholm, the municipal
Sundbyberg have 83 % fiber
Arvidsjaur ( small municipal.) in remote north of
Sweden have 67 %.
08/11/2011 # 20 Part of Swedish ICT
Conclusions
Increased fiber penetration gives significant
impact on severel indicators as population and
employment
Municipalities and regions can lower the costs of
communications
Fiberinstallation are profitable for MDU
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