Meeting the challenge of change

Meeting the challenge of change: Historical models of transformation and lessons

for higher education

George Siemens, PhDJuly 18, 2012

Campus TechnologyBoston, MA

“…incessantly destroying the old one, incessantly creating a new one…the perennial gale of creative destruction”

(Schumpeter, 1942)

Perez, 2010

Technical Economic

Cloud/SaaS Reduced state support

Social media Increased tuition costs

Mobiles Globalization

Multi-media (better bandwidth)

Internationalization

End-user control Commercialization

Online learning For-profit growth

Constant connectivity Greater competition

Metal workers: cylinders

SteamWheelsMotion

Transportation need

Viability

Scientific progress

Entrepreneurship

Regime transition thesis..(Freeman, Perez, 1988)

Education systems track the architecture of information of an era

To understand what tomorrow’s education system will look like, we have to understand the architecture of information today:how is it createdhow is it sharedhow is it iterated

how is it controlled?

Our education system faces information that is:

OpenAccessibleDistributedScalableSocialNetworkedSelf-organizedAdaptiveGlobalMultimedia-based

Understanding the attributes of your core products

The infrastructure and supporting system needed for developing and shipping CDs and records is very different from what is needed for digital music

Legacy

Contexts can change quickly,

the physical instantiation of ideas take longer to change

Why do we wear pants? What was the cost of not adopting pants?

Turchin, 2012

Where are the hats??

Why? Who

Robert Krulwich/NPR

Electrification of America

A network & ecosystem model of change

“a thousand threads that lead from the locomotive to the very beginning of the modern world”

Rosen, 2010

The power of an ecosystem

October, 2001

Courtesy of Apple

April, 2003

October, 2005

TV shows, music videos(September, 2006, full length movies)

January, 2007

Courtesy of Apple

Network theory of change

The integration of services provides the value for end users

What does this mean to education?

Fragmentation of integrated whole

When systems are distributed, alternative modes of integration are needed

Stasser-Titus (1985)

Challenge then is to create a new integrated whole

Creating integrated ecosystems:Content,Delivery,Assessment

(The integrator rules)

Tightly integrated systems are difficult to sustain

Complexity and specialized requires greater openness

Look at today’s MOOCs as stage one in the formation of an ecosystem

New economic value points in education

Jill: university student

Courtesy: Carol Yeager, CMC11

Paul: employed, upgrading

Julianne

Self-regulated, motivated learner

http://dilbert.com/strips/comic/2012-05-19/

http://edfuture.net/

October 8-November 16, 2012

gsiemens @gmailTwitterSkypeFBWherever

www.elearnspace.org

www.connectivism.ca

www.learninganalytics.net