Research matching society - From visions to actions, TRUST Conference, 29-10-2015, European...

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CEPS_thinktank

Thinking ahead for Europe

Research matching society From visions to actions TRUST Conference, 29-10-2015, European Commission, Brussels

www.ceps.eu

ILARIA MASELLI Research Fellow CEPS

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What “kind” of knowledge do we need to tackle future human challenges?

3(1) A better understanding of what drives innovation• Europe cannot grow just by accumulation of

production factors• Basics of growth: Perspiration VS Inspiration• How to push forward the frontier?• Skills? Democracy? R&D expenditure? Workplace

innovation?• US vs. Japan and EU2020

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…under time pressure

20002001

20022003

20042005

20062007

20082009

20102011

20122013

20142015

20162017

20182019

20202021

20222023

20242025

20262027

20282029

2030215

220

225

230

235

240

245

41%

42%

43%

44%

45%

46%

47%

48%

49%

Labour Force in million Labour Force/PopulationSource: The Global Economy in 2030 – CEPS 2013

Ageing, productivity

&

wealth

5(2) The on-demand economy

“Uber, the world’s largest taxi company, owns no vehicles. Facebook, the world’s most popular media owner, creates no content. (…) And Airbnb, the world’s largest accommodation provider, owns no real estate. Something interesting is happening.”Tom Goodwin, 3 March 2015

Italy Serbia Spain Bulgaria0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

36

69.4

33.4 35.1

Average earnings per submission on CoCon-test.com (€)

Source: Digital workers by design? – CEPS 2015

6(3) Divergence and growth in Europe

t1 t2 t3 t4 t5 t6 t7 t8 t9 t10 t11 t12 t13 t14 t15 t16 t17 t18 t19 t20 t2120

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

IT ES EL BG RO

shar

e of

Ger

man

y's

per c

apita

GPD

(PPS

)

Bulgaria: 2000 - 2016

Italy: 1960 - 1980

Spain: 1980 - 2000

Greece : 1980 - 2000

Romania: 2000 - 2016

7(4) Where policy transfer fails• Implementation on the ground• Quality of institutions• Rule of law• Corruption

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How research can have a direct impact on economics, politics and society?

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p = 0.00001%

10What we (researchers) are good at…

11What we (researchers) are not good at… I• Talking to a wider public• Not strictly necessary• Difficult to translate research into more accessible lingo • Journalists are not easy to handle!

12What we (researchers) are not good at… II• Talking to policy-makers• Short-term vs long-term• Priorities not synchronized

…Yet effort needed: often huge distance between scientific knowledge and policy proposals

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@IlariaInBxl @CEPS_thinktank

Ilaria.Maselli@ceps.eu

www.ceps.eu

Thank you for the attention