What! Planes Carry More Than Passengers and Their Luggage? What! Planes Carry More Than Passengers...

What! Planes What! Planes Carry More Than Carry More Than Passengers and Passengers and Their Luggage?Their Luggage?

Jock O’ConnellJock O’Connell

Caltrans Planning Horizons Caltrans Planning Horizons March 14, 2006March 14, 2006

The Topic of Today’s The Topic of Today’s Sermon:Sermon:

AvariceAvariceGluttonyGluttonyPridePrideAngerAngerLustLustEnvy Envy SlothSloth

The Conventional The Conventional Wisdom:Wisdom:

Foreign Trade Foreign Trade Happens Down By Happens Down By

the Waterfrontthe Waterfront

U.S. Foreign Trade (2004)U.S. Foreign Trade (2004)Modal Share by WeightModal Share by Weight

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation StatisticsSource: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics

OverlandAirWater

Ergo…Goods movement Ergo…Goods movement planning should focus planning should focus

predominantly on major predominantly on major maritime gateways:maritime gateways:

Port of Los AngelesPort of Los AngelesPort of Long Beach Port of Long Beach

Port of OaklandPort of Oakland

Forget Forget anything?anything?

U.S. Foreign Trade U.S. Foreign Trade (2004)(2004)

Modal Share by Dollar Modal Share by Dollar ValueValue

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation StatisticsSource: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics

OverlandAirWater

U.S. Export Trade U.S. Export Trade (2004)(2004)

Modal Share by Dollar Modal Share by Dollar ValueValue

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation StatisticsSource: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics

OverlandAirWater

What Flies?What Flies? High value-to-weight ratioHigh value-to-weight ratio

– Electronics componentsElectronics components PerishablesPerishables

– Fresh cherries, medicines, Fresh cherries, medicines, documentsdocuments

Early Market MovesEarly Market Moves– Seasonal fruits and vegetablesSeasonal fruits and vegetables

Emergency ShipmentsEmergency Shipments– Relief supplies, supply-chain snafusRelief supplies, supply-chain snafus

California’s Export Trade California’s Export Trade (2005)(2005)

Modal Share by Dollar Modal Share by Dollar ValueValue

SSource: U.S. Census Bureau Foreign Trade Divisionource: U.S. Census Bureau Foreign Trade Division

OverlandAirborneWaterborne

San Francisco Customs San Francisco Customs DistrictDistrict

Merchandise Exports by Merchandise Exports by ValueValue

0102030405060708090

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

Overland Airborne Water

California’s Billion Dollar California’s Billion Dollar Airborne Export Markets: Airborne Export Markets:

20052005 1. Japan1. Japan 2. Korea2. Korea 3. Hong Kong3. Hong Kong 4. Taiwan4. Taiwan 5. U.K.5. U.K. 6. China6. China 7. Germany7. Germany 8. Canada8. Canada 9. Singapore9. Singapore 10. Netherlands10. Netherlands

11. Mexico11. Mexico 12. France12. France 13. Malaysia13. Malaysia 14. Australia14. Australia 15. Israel15. Israel 16. Thailand16. Thailand 17. Belgium17. Belgium 18. Brazil18. Brazil 19. Italy19. Italy

Top U.S. Cargo Airports Top U.S. Cargo Airports 20042004

Source: Air Cargo WorldSource: Air Cargo World 1. Memphis1. Memphis 2. Anchorage2. Anchorage 3. LAX3. LAX 4. Miami4. Miami 5. Louisville5. Louisville 6. JFK6. JFK 7. O’Hare7. O’Hare 8. Indianapolis8. Indianapolis

9. Newark9. Newark 10. Atlanta10. Atlanta 11. Dallas-Fort 11. Dallas-Fort

WorthWorth 12. Oakland12. Oakland 13. Philadelphia13. Philadelphia 14. SFO14. SFO 15. Ontario15. Ontario

California Merchandise California Merchandise Exports: Exports:

Value by Mode of Value by Mode of TransportTransport

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Overland Airborne Waterborne

Domestic Air Cargo Domestic Air Cargo Shipments Shipments

By Billions of DollarsBy Billions of DollarsSource: 2002 Commodity Flow SurveySource: 2002 Commodity Flow Survey

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

CaliforniaTexasFloridaNew YorkPenn.New JerseyI llinoisOhioMichigan

Leading Ports of Leading Ports of Departure for CA Departure for CA

Exports: 2005Exports: 2005(Billions of Dollars)(Billions of Dollars)

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

LAXSFOOtay MesaPoLBPoLAPoOakCalexicoDetroit

2004 Air Cargo 2004 Air Cargo TonnagesTonnages

Source: Caltrans, Division of AeronauticsSource: Caltrans, Division of Aeronautics

LAXEBE

2004 Air Cargo 2004 Air Cargo TonnagesTonnages

Source: Caltrans, Division of AeronauticsSource: Caltrans, Division of Aeronautics

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000LAXOAKSFOONTSANSJCSMFMHRLGBBURSNASCKFAT

CA Exports by CA CA Exports by CA Airports: Airports: 20052005

By ValueBy Value

LAXSFOEBE

US Exports by CA US Exports by CA Airports: Airports: 20052005

By ValueBy Value

LAXSFOEBE

Factors in The Factors in The FutureFuture

Economic Evolution in CA Economic Evolution in CA – Less ManufacturingLess Manufacturing

Terrorism; Anti-TerrorismTerrorism; Anti-TerrorismRising Fuel PricesRising Fuel PricesChanging Business PlansChanging Business Plans““Open Skies” PactsOpen Skies” PactsNew TechnologyNew Technology

The Challenge:The Challenge:

Defining a New Defining a New Role for the Role for the

StateState

Copyright © 2006 by Jock O’ConnellCopyright © 2006 by Jock O’Connell

JockJock O’ConnellO’Connell

www.jockoconnell.www.jockoconnell.comcom