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UCAR Leadership Academy January 2007 Tim Killeen NCAR Director. NCAR’s Role. The need to mount an attack on the fundamental atmospheric problems on a scale commensurate with their global nature and importance - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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UCAR Leadership AcademyJanuary 2007
Tim KilleenNCAR Director
UCAR Leadership AcademyJanuary 2007
Tim KilleenNCAR Director
NCAR’s Role
1. The need to mount an attack on the fundamental atmospheric problems on a scale commensurate with their global nature and importance
2. The fact that the extent of such an attack requires facilities and technological assistance beyond those that can properly be made available at individual universities
3. The fact that the difficulties of the problems are such that they require the best talents from various disciplines to be applied to them in a coordinated fashion, on a scale not feasible in a university department
4. The fact that such an Institute offers the possibility of preserving the natural alliance of research and education without unbalancing the university programs
“1959: There are four compelling reasons for establishing a National Institute for Atmospheric Research:”
“1959: There are four compelling reasons for establishing a National Institute for Atmospheric Research:”
Tim Killeen
Presentation to the Committee on Strategic Guidance for NSF’s Support of the Atmospheric Sciences, October 14, 2004
NCAR’s Role in the Atmospheric Sciences NCAR’s Role in the Atmospheric Sciences
Computing/Cyberinfrastructure Services: Supercomputing, Data Services, Networking
Observation Services: Aircraft and Ground-based Measurement Systems, Field Programs
Science: Community Models, Climate, Chemistry, Meteorology, Sun-Earth System, Environmental and Societal Impacts
Applications: Aviation, Ground Transportation, Homeland Security, etc.
Education: Informal, K-12, Undergraduate and graduate students, Postdocs, Diversity programs, National and International Capacity-building
NCAR TodayNCAR Today
Institution Rankings in the GeosciencesSorted by Citations – June 2006
Institution Rankings in the GeosciencesSorted by Citations – June 2006
Data courtesy of ISI Essential Science Indicators™ – Powered by ISI Web of Knowledge™
“[The NCAR] program [is] of great value to NSF and the nation”
“[NCAR] has used its resources wisely and represents an important U.S. scientific asset.”
“The vision for the future of NCAR outlined in the strategic plan is both truly exciting and important for the country and indeed the entire world.”
• Every recent review has asked NCAR to further its excellence
NSF Review of NCAR Management, March 20 - 22
NSF Review of NCAR Management, March 20 - 22
RANKING INSTITUTION CITATIONS
1 NASA 82,604
2 NOAA 66,179
33 NCARNCAR 50,98550,985
4 University of Colorado 44,795
5University of Washington
44,138
6 Max Planck Society 41,477
7 US Geological Survey 41,246
8 CALTECH 39,499
9 Columbia University 34,264
10University of California,San Diego
31,483
Challenges
World Population Growth 1750-2100
Source: Population Reference Bureau
10
8
6
4
2
1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 2100
Bill
ion
s
Developing Countries
Industrial Countries
From M. Prather University of California at Irvine
“Global Warming Is 'Real,' Report Finds”“Global Warming Is 'Real,' Report Finds”
NY Times, Jan 13, 2000
“If the floods don't get you... Climate change will have dramatic and widespread effects”
“If the floods don't get you... Climate change will have dramatic and widespread effects”
Financial Times (London),
Jan 22, 2000
“World Bank Sets Up Fund to Assist Pollution-Control Effort”“World Bank Sets Up Fund to Assist Pollution-Control Effort”
The Washington Post, Jan 19, 2000
“Conservationists Win Battles but Fear War Is Lost”“Conservationists Win Battles but Fear War Is Lost”
NY Times, Jan 11, 2000
“Radioactive Waste and Unpaid Bills”“Radioactive Waste and Unpaid Bills”
NY Times, Jan 4, 2000
“Combating West Nile Virus”“Combating West Nile Virus”
NY Times, Dec 20, 1999
“EPA Is Ordering 392 Plants to Cut Pollution in Half”“EPA Is Ordering 392 Plants to Cut Pollution in Half”
NY Times, Dec 18, 1999
“Sprawl Quickens Its Attack On Forests”“Sprawl Quickens Its Attack On Forests”
NY Times, Dec 7, 1999
“Arctic Thawing May Jolt Sea's Climate Belt”“Arctic Thawing May Jolt Sea's Climate Belt”
NY Times, Dec 7, 1999
Plans
NCAR’s New Strategic Plan, 2006NCAR’s New Strategic Plan, 2006
Revised, 2006
NCAR scientists, managementand communityparticipants
Approved by UCARBoard of TrusteesOctober 2006
2006 Strategic Plan2006 Strategic Plan
NCAR as…
Integrator - Generating and disseminating knowledge and information across disciplines and from many sources
Innovator - Creating new practices and methods across our service, research and education activities
Community Builder - Organizing and supporting the research community
Enhance science/facility integrative activities, for example:
• Community Climate System Model evolution into “Earth System Model”: carbon, nitrogen cycles, chemistry, human processes
• Airborne, satellite, and ground observing systems: instrument development, miniaturization, tele-science, data systems, field campaigns, etc.
Define and implement new large scale integrative science activities in close cooperation with the community, for example:
• Climate/clouds/water cycle/ecosystems
• Impacts/adaptation/vulnerability/sustainability
NCAR in the Next Decade:
Traditional and New Modalities NCAR in the Next Decade:
Traditional and New Modalities
Accelerate Scientific Progress with new cyberinfrastructure:
• Tools: Data Assimilation, Grids, Earth System Modeling Framework, GIS
• Services: Capacity and capability computing, Community Data Portal
Build Deeper Connections - for example:
• With the Universities and other partners
• With the operational forecasting community
• With minority-serving universities & colleges by exchanging visitors, hosting students, and providing technical assistance
• With business and government decision-makers through sustained dialogue, answering questions, and creating new information products
• With the international science community
NCAR in the next Decade (continued)NCAR in the next Decade (continued)
The Overarching Challenge: Service and leadership for the community
• Need to address complex, large-scale, important science problems. NCAR will play a leading role.
• Need to build and deploy enabling cyberinfrastructure and observing facilities. NCAR will play a leading role.
• Need to further define community model concept and process science. NCAR will play a leading role.
• Need community and capacity-building: public, K-12, postdocs, grad students, faculty, teams, etc. NCAR will play a leading role.
• Need to further develop a diverse and creative workforce. NCAR will play a leading role.
Challenges and Opportunities: NCAR as an Integrator Challenges and Opportunities: NCAR as an Integrator
Organization & Budget
Member Institutions
Board of Trustees
UCAR President Richard Anthes
Finance & AdministrationKaty Schmoll, VP
Corporate Affairs
Jack Fellows, VP
UCAR ProgramsJack Fellows, Director
Kathryn Strand, Manager, Budget and Administration
NCARTim Killeen, Director
Larry Winter, Deputy Director
Education and Outreach
Roberta Johnson
CISL EOL ESSL RAL SERE COMET DLESECOSMIC
GLOBE JOSS NSDL
UNIDATA VSP
FY2006 NCAR Expenditures by Fund Source
FAA$12.3
8%
DOD$11.1
7%
NASA$7.6 5%
UNIV$4.8 3%
NSF$81.4 55%
NSF-Spec$10.1
7%
NSF-HIAPER$9.5 6%
DOE$3.6 2%
OTHER$2.3 2%
NOAA$3.6 2%
COMM$1.8 1%
FOREIGN$2.4 2%
NCAR All-Funds Summary
NCAR All Funds Summary
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
FY97 FY98 FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06
$ x
1,00
0
TOTAL
NSF SPEC (exp)
NON-NSF (exp)
OTHER BASE TRSF
USWRP
OPP FUNDS
STRAT INITIATIVES
NSF BASE (Target)
HIAPER Funds
A Few Recent Highlights
The Nested Regional Climate Model Integrating WRF and CCSM to model across scales
A 2-way Nested Regional Climate Model (NRCM) provides an integrating research tool that is essential to address upscaling and downscaling issues.
More information: http://www.mmm.ucar.edu/modeling/nrcm/
Precipitable Water Whole-year animation for 1996
QuickTime™ and aBMP decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
Facilities: The High-Performance Instrumented Platform for Environmental Research (HIAPER)
• Custom designed for unprecedented research
• Satellite communications allow greater, real-time participation from investigators and students at remote locations
• Delivered on time and under budget
Projections of Degradation of Near-Surface Permafrost with CCSM3
Animation of Near-surface Permafrost Changes
QuickTime™ and aCinepak decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
Solar B (Hinode) Launch, Sep 22, 2006
HAO-developed Spectral Polarimeter:
Already providing line of sight magnetic fields with good signal to noise for the quiet Sun
QuickTime™ and aTIFF (LZW) decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
Web-based Turbulence Display System for Pilots
/EXPERIMENTAL TURBULENCE FI UAL███/AN N███UA UPLINK-- 05 Sep 2006 21:38:13Z FL 300 orient. 83 deg'+'=waypoint, '*'=route, 'X'=aircraft at 38.3N, 80.6W' '=no_data, 'o'=smooth, 'l'=light, 'M'=mod, 'S'=severe-----------------------(52 to IAD)------------------------ | * | *MM | *MM | *MM | l lll M *MMM | lollo *lMl | oolo *l | oo * | * |080 * M |llllllll ll *MM |lllllllllllllll l *lll |lllllllllollllllll *MMl l |MMllllllllooollllll *MMl l |MMMl lllllllllollll *MM l |MMMM llll llol ll *MM | MMMM ll *MMS | MMM *MSS | MM *MSS +PUTTZ +MSS | * SSSSSSMSS M | l S*SSSSSSSSSMSS M | lllS*SSSMSSSSSMSS l | lSMS*SMMMMSSSSMSS l | SSMM*MMMMMMMMMSS M | MM*SMMMMMMMMlllllMSS M | M*SSMMMMMMMMllllllMMM M | *MMMMMMMMMMMMMllllMMM | * MMlllMMMlMllllllMlll |040 * lllllllllllllllllMMllll | * llllllllllllllllS | * llllllllllMMS | * lllllllSSS | * lllllSSS | * lllMMS | * l llMM | * MM M | MM*MM oMSS | SM*MMMMM | MM *MM lMM | MMMSS S * l llM | MMMSSM * lllllll ol |l MMMM * lllllo | MMMMM * llllll | M * lllll | SSS * llllll | SSS M l * llll | SSS Mlllll *llM | MM lMlllll * l-------|---------valid-|--------X--------|-----------------90 +90|Left 40 2135Z (18 from 3819N/8058W) Right 40
Sample uplink message Flight information
Legend
Route
Severe turbulence
Aircraft position
Waypoint
Vertical cross-section
NTDA Demonstration Concept
Java web-based turbulence display
Moderate turbulence
Severe turbulence
In situ turbulence reports
Moderate turbulence
Implications of Ocean Acidification
• Ocean chemistry is changing to a state that has not occurred for millions of years
• Shell-building in marine organisms will slow down
• Reef-building will decrease, stop, or reverse
• Fundamental changes will occur in marine ecosystems
Early-career Scientists & Increasing Diversity
• Since 2001, 34 new early-career scientists• Steady progress increasing diversity
Female Scientists
Women Scientists at NCAR and on Faculties of Top 50 University Departments in Selected Disciplines
(Percentages at August 2005)
Career Level (% Women)
Scientist I & II (Asst Prof)
Scientist III (Assoc Prof)
Sr. Scientist (Full Prof)
Rank Discipline % Women Discipline % Women Discipline % Women
1 NCAR 31.88 Biology 24.87 Biology 14.79
2 Biology 30.20 NCAR 24.32 Astronomy 9.75
3 Civil Eng 22.26 Chemistry 20.50 NCAR 9.46
4 Chemistry 21.47 Chemical Eng 19.19 Computer Sci 8.33
5 Chemical Eng 21.38 Astronomy 15.69 Chemistry 7.62
6 Astronomy 20.18 Computer Sci 14.41 Physical Sci 6.36
7 Math & Stat 19.60 Physical Sci 14.18 Physics 5.24
8 Engineering 16.94 Math & Stat 13.19 Math & Sci 4.56
9 Physical Sci 16.13 Civil Eng 11.50 Chemical Eng 4.37
10 Mechanical Eng 15.65 Engineering 11.17 Electrical Eng 3.85
11 Physics 11.15 Electrical Eng 9.84 Engineering 3.68
12 Electrical Eng 10.86 Physics 9.41 Civil Eng 3.52
13 Computer Sci 10.82 Mechanical Eng 8.89 Mechanical Eng 3.17
Departments are ranked b y NSF according to research expenditures in that discipline. Adapted from Science, Vol. 309, No. 5738, 19 August 2005 p. 1190. “More Women in Science” article by Jo Handelsman et al. According to AGU, the proportion of women earning Ph.D.s in the geosci ences in 2003 was 33%.
What we want from our leaders
Commitment to Excellence, Dedication, Integrity,Tenacity, Teamwork, Competence, Diligence, Ability to be Inspired
….and to Inspire
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