The Future of RGGI: Updating the Emissions Cap

Preview:

DESCRIPTION

The Future of RGGI: Updating the Emissions Cap. Presentation to the Restructuring Roundtable February 17 th , 2012 Derek Murrow Energy & Climate Policy Director (ENE) Environment Northeast. 2005 Emissions Projections. Current Emissions and Projections. Generation by Fuel Type. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Citation preview

The Future of RGGI:Updating the Emissions Cap

Presentation to the Restructuring Roundtable

February 17th, 2012

Derek Murrow

Energy & Climate Policy Director

(ENE) Environment Northeast

2005 Emissions Projections

0

50

100

150

200

250

CO

2 E

mis

sio

ns

(Mil

lion

Sh

ort

To

ns)

RGGI Cap

Actual RGGI Unit Emissions

2005 IPM Projection

Sources: RGGI Emissions Data, RGGI IPM Modeling Results, and ENE Analysis

Current Emissions and Projections

0

50

100

150

200

250

CO

2 E

mis

sio

ns

(Mil

lion

Sh

ort

To

ns)

Current RGGI Cap

Actual RGGI Unit Emissions

BAU - High Combo

BAU - Reference

BAU - Low Combo

Sources: RGGI Emissions Data, RGGI IPM Modeling Results, and ENE Analysis

Cap and modeling adjusted to reflect New Jersey's non-participation after 2011

Generation by Fuel Type

Natural Gas vs. Oil Prices

Allowance Surplus with Retirement

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

CO

2 E

mis

sio

ns

(Mill

ion

Sh

ort

To

ns)

Retired Allowances

Cumulative Banked Allowances

Current RGGI Cap

Actual RGGI Unit Emissions

BAU - Reference

Sources: RGGI Emissions Data, RGGI IPM Modeling Results, and ENE Analysis

Revised RGGI Cap

0

50

100

150

200

250

CO

2 E

mis

sio

ns

(Mill

ion

Sh

ort

To

ns)

Current RGGI Cap (w/o NJ)

Actual RGGI Unit Emissions (w/o NJ)

BAU - Reference

Revised Cap

Sources: RGGI Emissions Data, RGGI IPM Modeling Results, and ENE Analysis

Revised cap starts at 2009 emissions levels (w/o NJ) : 107 million tons

Reform Principles

Revise the Emissions Cap To actual 2009 emissions level Decline toward 80% reduction

Include Other GHG Emissions Imports Other smokestack GHGs Smaller sources Biomass

Linkage

Contact Information

Derek Murrow

Energy & Climate Policy Director

(203) 285-1946

dmurrow@env-ne.org

Environment Northeast

Rockport, ME / Portland, ME / Boston, MA

Providence, RI / Hartford, CT / Ottawa, ON, Canada

www.env-ne.org

Recommended