Statistical Inversion Algorithm for MODIS AOD Retrieval...MODIS AOD retrieval was developed...

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Statistical Inversion Algorithm forMODIS AOD RetrievalAntti Lipponenantti.lipponen@fmi.fi

Finnish Meteorological InstituteYoram Kaufman Memorial SymposiumJune 21, 2016

• Tero Mielonen (FMI)

• Mikko Pitkänen (FMI)

• Rob Levy (GSFC)

• Ville Kolehmainen (UEF)

• Sami Romakkaniemi (FMI)

• Antti Arola (FMI)

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

Typical granule: 27 September 2009

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

Typical granule: 27 September 2009

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

Typical granule: 27 September 2009

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

Typical granule: 27 September 2009

AERONET stations0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.20

AO

D

AERONET

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

Typical granule: 27 September 2009

AERONET stations0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.20

AO

D

AERONETDark Target

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

Typical granule: 27 September 2009

AERONET stations0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.20

AO

D

AERONETDark TargetNew

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

Typical granule: 27 September 2009

AERONET stations0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.20

AO

D

AERONETDark TargetNew

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

Typical granule: 27 September 2009

0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.20

AO

D

sum(|error|) ≈  0.53

sum(|error|) ≈  0.30

AERONETDark TargetNew

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

New retrieval algorithm

1. Statistical (Bayesian) inversion

2. Modified surface reflectance relationship

3. Quantities retrieved

• AOD

• fine mode fraction

• surface reflectances at 466 and 644 nm

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

New retrieval algorithm

1. Statistical (Bayesian) inversion

2. Modified surface reflectance relationship

3. Quantities retrieved

• AOD

• fine mode fraction

• surface reflectances at 466 and 644 nm

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

New retrieval algorithm

1. Statistical (Bayesian) inversion

2. Modified surface reflectance relationship

3. Quantities retrieved

• AOD

• fine mode fraction

• surface reflectances at 466 and 644 nm

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

New retrieval algorithm

1. Statistical (Bayesian) inversion

2. Modified surface reflectance relationship

3. Quantities retrieved

• AOD

• fine mode fraction

• surface reflectances at 466 and 644 nm

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

New retrieval algorithm

1. Statistical (Bayesian) inversion

2. Modified surface reflectance relationship

3. Quantities retrieved

• AOD

• fine mode fraction

• surface reflectances at 466 and 644 nm

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

New retrieval algorithm

Figure from http://darktarget.gsfc.nasa.gov/algorithm/land

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

New retrieval algorithm

Figure from http://darktarget.gsfc.nasa.gov/algorithm/land

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

1. Statistical inversion

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4AOD τ

Pro

babi

lity 

dens

ity fu

nctio

n va

lue

π(τ|ρ) =π(ρ|τ)π(τ)π(ρ)

Bayes' theorem

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

1. Statistical inversion

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4AOD τ

Pro

babi

lity 

dens

ity fu

nctio

n va

lue

π(τ|ρ) =π(ρ|τ)π(τ)π(ρ)

Prior distribution π(τ)

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

1. Statistical inversion

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4AOD τ

Pro

babi

lity 

dens

ity fu

nctio

n va

lue

π(τ|ρ) =π(ρ|τ)π(τ)π(ρ)

Prior distribution π(τ)Likelihood distribution π(ρ|τ)

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

1. Statistical inversion

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4AOD τ

Pro

babi

lity 

dens

ity fu

nctio

n va

lue

π(τ|ρ) =π(ρ|τ)π(τ)π(ρ)

Prior distribution π(τ)Likelihood distribution π(ρ|τ)Posterior distribution π(τ|ρ)

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

1. Statistical inversion - prior distributions

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

1. Statistical inversion - prior distributionsFebruary

September

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

1. Statistical inversion - likelihood distributions

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

1. Statistical inversion - likelihood distributions

ρ = f (τ, η, ρs0.466, ρs

0.644) + e

• Radiative transfer model• Lookup tables from Dark Target

• Gaussian noise model for e

• Results in Gaussian likelihood distribution

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

2. Modified surface reflectance relationship

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

2. Modified surface reflectance relationship

Original figure from Levy, Remer, Mattoo, Vermote and Kaufman, JGR, 2007.

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

2. Modified surface reflectance relationship

Original figure from Levy, Remer, Mattoo, Vermote and Kaufman, JGR, 2007.

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

2. Modified surface reflectance relationship

Original figure from Levy, Remer, Mattoo, Vermote and Kaufman, JGR, 2007.

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

2. Modified surface reflectance relationship

Original figure from Levy, Remer, Mattoo, Vermote and Kaufman, JGR, 2007.

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

2. Modified surface reflectance relationship

Original figure from Levy, Remer, Mattoo, Vermote and Kaufman, JGR, 2007.

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

2. Modified surface reflectance relationship

Original figure from Levy, Remer, Mattoo, Vermote and Kaufman, JGR, 2007.

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

2. Modified surface reflectance relationship

0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 0.35Input surface reflectance

0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.20

Out

puts

urfa

cere

flect

ance

2.1µm→ 0.644 µm0.644µm→ 0.466 µm

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

2. Modified surface reflectance relationship

0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 0.35Input surface reflectance

0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.20

Out

puts

urfa

cere

flect

ance

2.1µm→ 0.644 µm0.644µm→ 0.466 µmmodified 2.1µm→ 0.644 µmmodified 0.644µm→ 0.466 µm

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

3. Quantities retrieved - AOD, FMF, ρs × 2

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

3. Quantities retrieved - AOD, FMF, ρs × 2

0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 0.35Input surface reflectance

0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.20

Out

puts

urfa

cere

flect

ance

modified 2.1µm→ 0.644 µmmodified 0.644µm→ 0.466 µm

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

Results

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

Results

Europe

SouthAmericaSouthAfrica

NorthAmerica

SouthAsia

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

Results

Europe

SouthAmericaSouthAfrica

NorthAmerica

SouthAsia

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

Results - North America

• 15 granules / month (180 granules)

• Total of 656 AERONET comparisons

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

Results - North America

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

Results - North America

0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8AOD (AERONET)

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

AO

D (M

OD

IS)

Inside ±0. 05± 0. 15 ∗AODAERONET envelope: 49.1%Median absolute error: 0.066

Bias: 0.076

DARK TARGET

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

Results - North America

0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8AOD (AERONET)

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

AO

D (M

OD

IS)

Inside ±0. 05± 0. 15 ∗AODAERONET envelope: 66.8%Median absolute error: 0.042

Bias: 0.020

NEW

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

Results - Median absolute error in AOD

0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.10Median absolute error in AOD

South Asia

North America

South America

Europe

Overall

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

Results - Median absolute error in AOD

0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.10Median absolute error in AOD

South Asia

North America

South America

Europe

OverallDark Target

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

Results - Median absolute error in AOD

0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.10Median absolute error in AOD

South Asia

North America

South America

Europe

OverallDark TargetNew

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

Results - Median absolute error in AOD

0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.10Median absolute error in AOD

South Asia

North America

South America

Europe

Overall

­1%

­36%

­9%

­12%

­18% Dark TargetNew

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

Results - Bias in AOD

0.02 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08Bias in AOD

South Asia

North America

South America

Europe

Overall

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

Results - Bias in AOD

0.02 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08Bias in AOD

South Asia

North America

South America

Europe

OverallDark Target

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

Results - Bias in AOD

0.02 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08Bias in AOD

South Asia

North America

South America

Europe

OverallDark TargetNew

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

Conclusions

• A statistical inversion based inversion algorithm forMODIS AOD retrieval was developed

• Significantly improves the accuracy of retrieved AODin most of test areas

1. Spatial correlation models

2. Modified surface reflectance relationship

3. Surface reflectance is estimated in additionto AOD and FMF

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

Conclusions

• A statistical inversion based inversion algorithm forMODIS AOD retrieval was developed

• Significantly improves the accuracy of retrieved AODin most of test areas

1. Spatial correlation models

2. Modified surface reflectance relationship

3. Surface reflectance is estimated in additionto AOD and FMF

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

Conclusions

• A statistical inversion based inversion algorithm forMODIS AOD retrieval was developed

• Significantly improves the accuracy of retrieved AODin most of test areas

1. Spatial correlation models

2. Modified surface reflectance relationship

3. Surface reflectance is estimated in additionto AOD and FMF

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

Conclusions

• Manuscript under preparation, will be submitted soon

• Code package (Python) will be released with the paper• Want early access to the codes? Please ask

antti.lipponen@fmi.fi

• Want to try the algorithm e.g. with differentinstrument or in retrieval of other quantities?

• Have ideas to further develop theinversion algorithm?

• All comments, ideas, etc. are very welcome

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

Conclusions

• Manuscript under preparation, will be submitted soon

• Code package (Python) will be released with the paper• Want early access to the codes? Please ask

antti.lipponen@fmi.fi

• Want to try the algorithm e.g. with differentinstrument or in retrieval of other quantities?

• Have ideas to further develop theinversion algorithm?

• All comments, ideas, etc. are very welcome

A. Lipponen: Statistical Inversion for MODIS AOD Retrieval

Thank you for your attention!

antti.lipponen@fmi.fi

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