Investigating Hider Theory ©2004 Alidade Incorporated. All Rights Reserved

Investigating Hider Theory

©2004 Alidade Incorporated. All Rights Reserved

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New Horizons in Search Theory 4th Workshop

INVESTIGATING ‘HIDER THEORY’

©2004 Alidade Incorporated. All Rights Reserved

Investigating Hider Theory

©2004 Alidade Incorporated. All Rights Reserved

Agenda

• Introduction• Previous Workshops• Abstract and Charge• Schedule

Investigating Hider Theory

©2004 Alidade Incorporated. All Rights Reserved

Introduction

• Newport Center for Information Age Warfare Sciences

• Santa Fe Institute/BiosGroup, Inc.• Premise for Workshop Series

– Search Theory, as understood by military researchers, had not fundamentally changed in many decades, although the platforms and operational concepts were under extraordinary transformation

New Horizons in Search Theory:From Abstraction to Application

 May 21-23, 2001

Newport, Rhode Island

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ALIDADECONSULTING

NEWPORT CENTER FOR INFORMATION AGE WARFARE STUDIES

Investigating Hider Theory

©2004 Alidade Incorporated. All Rights Reserved

2001: From Abstraction to Application

• Focus:– Bring the combinatoric optimization

crowd and military search theorists together to see if they had anything in common

• Stu Kauffman, Jose Lobo, Bill MacReady

• Wayne Hughes, Brian McCue, Don DelBalzo

• Colloquium– Is Search Still Relevant?

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New Horizons in Search Theory 2nd International Workshop 

“Search Theory, Invented Now”

NEWPORT CENTER FOR INFORMATION AGE WARFARE STUDIES

Investigating Hider Theory

©2004 Alidade Incorporated. All Rights Reserved

2002: Search Theory, Invented Now

• Focus:– Examine the changes in operational

concepts, mathematical tools and platform technologies to see if we would invent the same Search Theory now as we did then

• Josh Epstein, Fred Glover, Rob Axtell• Brian McCue, Ralph Klingbeil, Ray Hill• Colloquium

– Search Theory, Invented Now– Agent-based modeling approaches

New Horizons in Search Theory, 3nd Workshop

 “NETWORKED SEARCHES AND SEARCHES IN NETWORKS”

ALIDADEINCORPORATED

NEWPORT CENTER FOR INFORMATION AGE WARFARE STUDIES

Investigating Hider Theory

©2004 Alidade Incorporated. All Rights Reserved

2003: Networked Searches, Searches in Networks

• Focus:– Examine aspects of search using networks

as well as aspects of search for information within networks.

• Dave Davis, Peter Dodd

• Brian McCue, Ray Christian, Ray Hill

• Colloquium– Search with Networks

Investigating Hider Theory

©2004 Alidade Incorporated. All Rights Reserved

2004: Investigating Hider Theory

• A ballistic missile submarine (SSBN) that does not want to be detected while on deterrence patrol

• A downed pilot in enemy-controlled territory who does not want to be found by the enemy but does want to be rescued

• An embezzler who does not want to be discovered for a long time

• An in-country terrorist waiting for orders or opportunity to strike within some time duration

• An encrypted electronic message that is perhaps buried within a benign or noise transmission

• A pollution event; hide who did it and perhaps blame someone else

“Hider Theory” should shed light on what these examples have in common and what makes them different.

Investigating Hider Theory

©2004 Alidade Incorporated. All Rights Reserved

AgendaDay 1

• Morning Session– Welcome and Introduction: Jeff Cares– An Exploration of Zig-zagging, Brian McCue– Investigating Terrorist and Smuggling Games,

Jim Taylor– Intro to Hider Theory, Ralph Klingbeil

• Lunch• Afternoon Session

– An Operational Perspective of Smuggling Tactics, CAPT Ivan Luke, USCG

– An Operational Perspective of Submarine Evasion Operations, CDR Dale Sykora,USN

– Breakout groups

Investigating Hider Theory

©2004 Alidade Incorporated. All Rights Reserved

AgendaDay 2

• Morning Session– Breakout

• Lunch• Afternoon Session

– Breakout– Report

Investigating Hider Theory

©2004 Alidade Incorporated. All Rights Reserved

Remember

•Time is built into the schedule to ask and answer questions

•Workshops should work!

Investigating Hider Theory

©2004 Alidade Incorporated. All Rights Reserved

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