International Security and Peace : Northeast Security Issues Prof. Jaechun Kim

International Security and Peace:

Northeast Security Issues

Prof. Jaechun Kim

1. Geopolitical Map of

Northeast Asia

2. Major Security Challenges of Northeast Asia

North Korea’s Nuclear Weapons Program

North Korea’s Byongjin Strategy (2013. 3. 31) : North made it official that it would not relinquish nukes

Dramatic increase in nuke capabilites Use of HEU for 3rd test!

Danger of arms race in the region

Source of instability in inter-Korean relations

Not many policy options!

Escalating great power rivalry in the region

Rise of China

Assertive foreign policy posture of Xi – No more “ 韜光養

晦 (conceal one's ability and bide one’s time!)”

New Type of Great Power Relations ( 新型大國關係 ) with

the US – We are two equals!

Good neighbor policy toward neighboring countries in Southeast Asia, but at the same time using ‘great power diplomacy’ to them…

Disputes with Vietnam Disputes with the Philippines

Strained relations with Japan Senkaku islands ( 釣魚島 )

Charm offensive to South Korea

Russia

Strained Relationship with the US

Gradual shift to Northeast Asian region

China & Russia

in North East Asia and

Korean Peninsula

US – Pivot to Asia (Rebalancing Strategy) !

Japan’s Renewed Aggression

Collective self-defense

Distorting history

Territorial disputes with major stakeholder countries in

the region

Asia Paradox

3. Solutions?

How to Deal with the North Korean Nukes?

Trust-process(trustpolitik) toward North Korea?

Build Trust First!

Strengthen (nuclear) deterrence?

Restart nuclear diplomacy?

How to deal with Asian Paradox?

Establish multilateral security institution in the region!

Asian equivalent of CSCE and OSCE…

Northeast Asia Peace and Cooperation Initiative (NAPCI)?

Seek Cooperation in Non-traditional Security Issues (Human Se-

curity Issues)

Give “neo-functionalism” a chance!

Start Small; Incrementalist Approach… !

Multilateral institutional settings of the region