ESA CCI CAMS Engelen · Introduction! • ECMWF is currently negotiating with the European...

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!!

5th CCI Collocation Meeting!20-22 October 2014!

29-Oct-14! 1!

Atmosphere*Monitoring*Service*

Richard*Engelen*

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!

Introduction!

•  ECMWF is currently negotiating with the European Commission to become the Entrusted Entity that will operate the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)!

•  ECMWF coordinates MACC-III, a consortium of 36 European partners building and operating the pre-operational services!

29-Oct-14! 2!

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!

©*ECMWF*

MACC-III is the fourth in a series of FP6, FP7 and Horizon 2020 EU R&D projects (since 2005). !It is coordinated by ECMWF and the consortium comprises 36 partners from 13 countries. It runs until April 2015, when the operational Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service will kick-off.!The main aim of the series of projects was to develop pre-operational services in the wider field of atmospheric composition, which meet the needs of users.!

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!

From EO to policy-relevant products!

2010$

2011$

Over*60*EO*instruments*are*assimilated*in*the*global*system*

PolicyBrelevant*(here*health*indicator*for*ozone)*products*are*delivered.*They*are*“maps*with*no*gaps”,*which*observaMons*alone*don’t*provide*and*are*essenMal*to*assess*impacts.*

Boundary*condiMons*feed*an*ensemble*of*highBresoluMon*European*

AQ*systems*(in*order*to*assess*uncertainMes)*

More*data*are*assimilated*(in*parMcular*hourly*surface*AQ*concentrated*by*EEA/EIONET)*

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!

Surface(fluxes:(

greenhouse(gases,(

fires,(emissions(

(GFAS,(MACCity,(

MACC/TNO)(

Global(

atmospheric(

composiEon(

h&p://atmosphere.copernicus.eu$Online$catalogue,$quicklooks$and$data$(>200*individual*products!)*

RadiaEon(and(

ozone(layer(

European(Air(

Quality(

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!

The*two*MACCBII*two*videos*produced*by*youris.com*have*been*broadcast*over*28*European*TV*staMons,*including*on*Euronews*in*13*languages.**They*covered*air*quality*and*solar*power*applicaMons.*They*have*been*viewed*by*approximately*664,000*people,*with*significant*social*media*uptake.**

Users and Outreach!

(Power)users*use*rouMnely*MACCBII*products*as*part*of*their*MmeBcriMcal*acMviMes*(newspapers,*apps,*higher*resoluMon*forecasts...).**

MACCBII*users*

Main$products$categories Users

Global*NRT*Analyses*&*Forecasts 200*daily*users

Regional*NRT*Analyses*&*Forecasts 125*daily*users

Global*Reanalysis 1200*users Solar*RadiaMon 110*users,*~20000*requests/yr Global*dp*(new*disseminaMon) 40*users

Copernicus*Atmosphere*A*dedicated*Youtube*channel*offers*training*videos*from*the*MACCBII*summer*school.*One*of*them**has*been*seen*more*than*1000*Mmes.*

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!

Current*and*planned*satellite*data*usage*for*ECMWF*NWP*and*MACC*

NWP(

MACC(

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS! 29-Oct-14! 8!

Species$ Instrument$ PlaBorm$ ResoluDon$

Aerosol*(AOD)* MODIS* Terra,*Aqua* Column*

O3* SBUV* NOAAB16,17,18,19* Profile*

O3* SCIAMACHY* Envisat* Column*

O3* GOME* ERSB2* Profile*

O3* MIPAS* Envisat* Profile*

O3* MLS* Aura* Profile*

O3* OMI* Aura* Column*

CO* MOPITT* Terra* Column*

CO* IASI* MetopBA* Column*

NO2* SCIAMACHY* Envisat* Column*

CO2*(radiances)* AIRS* Aqua*

CO2*(radiances)* IASI* MetopBA*

CH4* SCIAMACHY* Envisat* Column*

Data$used$in$MACC$Reanalysis$–$2003K2012$

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS! 29-Oct-14! 9!

Species$ Instrument$ PlaBorm$ ResoluDon$

Aerosol*(AOD)* MODIS* Terra,*Aqua* Column*

Aerosol*(AOD)* AATSR* Envisat* Column*

O3* SBUV* NOAAB16,17,18,19* Profile*

O3* SCIAMACHY* Envisat* Column*

O3* GOME* ERSB2* Profile*

O3* MIPAS* Envisat* Profile*

O3* MLS* Aura* Profile*

O3* OMI* Aura* Column*

CO* MOPITT* Terra* Column*

CO* IASI* MetopBA* Column*

NO2* SCIAMACHY* Envisat* Column*

NO2* OMI* Aura* Column*

CO2* IASI* MetopBA* Column*

CO2* SCIAMACHY* Envisat* Column*

CH4* IASI* MetopBA* Column*

CH4* SCIAMACHY* Envisat* Column*

Data$used$in$MACCKII$CCI$Reanalysis$K$2008$

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!

CCI and MACC!

29-Oct-14! 10!

•  ReBprocessing*of*data*with*stateBofBtheBart*algorithms*will*improve*future*reanalyses*

•  Easier*access*to*and*improved*documentaMon*of*data*sets*

•  RoundBrobin*provides*important*insight*in*quality*of*data*

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!

Monitoring the ozone layer!

AssimilaMon*MLS*V3.4*(new)*AssimilaMon*MLS*V2*(control)*

MACCBII*operaMons**to*IndeIndependent*observaMons*

(A. Inness)!

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!

Monitoring solar resources!

Missing*extreme*values*

Valla

dolid

(Spa

in)!

AOD (monthly climatology)! AOD (MACC-II daily values)!

Direct normal irradiance [W.m-2]*

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS! 29-Oct-14! 13!

Atmosphere*

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!

~2004*

~2006*

Present*

Present*

MACCKIII$is$funded$unDl$April$2015$

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS! 29-Oct-14! 15!

More of the same?!

More$budget$(12$M€/year,$total$76$M€$unDl$end$2020$–$midK2021)$=$more$resilient$systems$;$service$level$commitments$(new)$;$more$user$support$;$more$outreach$;$more$communicaDons$;$management$of$funds$and$contracts$(new).$R&D$at$a$similar$level$(or$slightly$increased).$

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS! 29-Oct-14! 16!

DerK3$R&D$$fundamental$RS$Next$generaDon$

DerK2$R&D$

DerK1$R&D$

operaDons$Includ

ed$in$CAM

S$

eKsuite$oKsuite$reanalysis$

6mK1y$integraDon$next$eKsuite$

1yK2y$R&D$AssimilaDon$&$forecast$systems$

H2020...$

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS! 29-Oct-14! 17!

CAMS$highKlevel$architecture$items

CAMS_1000:$Management$Tasks

CAMS_2000:$In$Situ$Data$Processing

CAMS_3000:$Global$ProducDon

CAMS_4000:$Global$System$Development

CAMS_5000:$Regional$ProducDon

CAMS_6000:$Regional$Systems$Development

CAMS_7000:$Supplementary$services$producDon

CAMS_8000:$ValidaDon$and$acDviDes$in$support$of$producDon

CAMS_9000:$User$interacDon,$training$and$communicaDons

CAMS structure!

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Operational implementation!

Entrusted*EnMty*for*ImplementaMon*Tasks**

ITT(/(CompeEEve(calls(

Contractor* Contractor* Contractor*...(

SubBcontractor*

SubBcontractor*

SubBcontractor*

...(

Call(for(Expression(of(Interest(

NegoEaEon(

DelegaEon(Agreement(

PreparaEon(of(response(to(

ITTs(

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!

Coming back to CCI!

CAMS*Reanalysis*

Meteorological*observaMons*

Land*&*ocean*surface*

observaMons*Atmospheric*composiMon*modelling*

ComposiMon*observaMons*

EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS!

©*ECMWF*

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h&p://copernicusKatmosphere.eu$info@copernicusKatmosphere.eu$

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