Do Sweat the Small Stuff ! Why Everyone Should Care About Nanotechnology Mike Treder, Executive...

Do Sweat the Small Stuff !

Do Sweat the Small Stuff !

Why Everyone Should Care About Nanotechnology

Why Everyone Should Care About Nanotechnology

Mike Treder, Executive Director

Center for Responsible Nanotechnology

www.CRNano.org WorldFuture 2005 Chicago July 30,

2005

Mike Treder, Executive Director

Center for Responsible Nanotechnology

www.CRNano.org WorldFuture 2005 Chicago July 30,

2005

Why Everyone Should CareWhy Everyone Should Care

About NanotechnologyAbout Nanotechnology

HowHow

WhatWhat

WhereWhere

When When

WhoWho

How…How…

What…What…

Where…Where…

When… When…

Who…Who…

Why…Why…

About NanotechnologyAbout Nanotechnology

How…How…

What…What…

Where…Where…

When… When…

Who…Who…

Why…Why…

You’re driving a car, very fast, on a poorly marked road, in the pitch-black darkness.

There are no streetlights, there is no moon out tonight, the only illumination you have is your car’s headlights. You’re in uncharted territory; you have no roadmap, no way to know for sure where you are going…but you’re driving very fast, into the pitch-black darkness…

That’s the state of nanotechnology today. We’re advancing rapidly into uncharted territory. The changes this technology will bring may arrive sooner than we are prepared to respond effectively to them. It’s like driving a car in the darkness with only your headlights to show what’s ahead. The speed you are driving exceeds your ability to react, and if something suddenly comes out of the darkness, you won’t have time to respond and avoid disaster.

One other thing: you don’t know it, but there is a chasm up ahead in the distance. You are driving directly toward it, very fast, and you don’t even know it’s there.

That’s where we are going with advanced nanotechnology.

How…How…

What…What…

Where…Where…

When… When…

Who…Who…

Why…Why…

How…How…

What…What…

Where…Where…

When… When…

Who…Who…

Why…Why…

What… is nanotechnology?What… is nanotechnology?

What… is nanotechnology?What… is nanotechnology?

1) Nanoscale technology Big machines making

small products

1) Nanoscale technology Big machines making

small products

2) Molecular manufacturing

Small machines making big products

2) Molecular manufacturing

Small machines making big products

What… is nanotechnology?What… is nanotechnology?

1) Nanoscale technology Incremental advances Familiar problems

1) Nanoscale technology Incremental advances Familiar problems

2) Molecular manufacturing Revolutionary advances Unfamiliar problems

2) Molecular manufacturing Revolutionary advances Unfamiliar problems

How…How…

What…What…

Where…Where…

When… When…

Who…Who…

Why…Why…

How…How…

What…What…

Where…Where…

When… When…

Who…Who…

Why…Why…

How… will MM affect us?How… will MM affect us?

How… will MM affect us?How… will MM affect us?

Not just new products —

Not just new products —

A new means of production!

A new means of production!

How… will MM affect us?How… will MM affect us?

faster, smaller, better

exponential proliferation

revolutionary products

vastly accelerated product improvement

faster, smaller, better

exponential proliferation

revolutionary products

vastly accelerated product improvement

Scaling laws

Factories that make factories

Bottom-up, atomically precise manufacturing

Cheap rapid prototyping

Scaling laws

Factories that make factories

Bottom-up, atomically precise manufacturing

Cheap rapid prototyping

How… will MM affect us?How… will MM affect us?

Lifesaving medical Lifesaving medical robotsrobots oror

Untraceable weapons of Untraceable weapons of mass mass destructiondestruction

How… will MM affect us?How… will MM affect us?

Lifesaving medical Lifesaving medical robotsrobots oror

Untraceable weapons of Untraceable weapons of mass mass destructiondestruction

Networked computers Networked computers for everyone in the for everyone in the

worldworld oror

Networked cameras so Networked cameras so governments can watch governments can watch our every our every

movemove

How… will MM affect us?How… will MM affect us?

Lifesaving medical Lifesaving medical robotsrobots oror

Untraceable weapons of Untraceable weapons of mass mass destructiondestruction

Networked computers Networked computers for everyone in the for everyone in the

worldworld oror

Networked cameras so Networked cameras so governments can watch governments can watch our every our every

movemove

Trillions of dollars of Trillions of dollars of abundanceabundance oror

A vicious scramble to A vicious scramble to own own

everythingeverything

How… will MM affect us?How… will MM affect us?

Lifesaving medical Lifesaving medical robotsrobots oror

Untraceable weapons of Untraceable weapons of mass mass destructiondestruction

Networked computers Networked computers for everyone in the for everyone in the

worldworld oror

Networked cameras so Networked cameras so governments can watch governments can watch our every our every

movemove

Trillions of dollars of Trillions of dollars of abundanceabundance oror

A vicious scramble to A vicious scramble to own own

everythingeverything

Rapid invention of Rapid invention of wondrous productswondrous products oror

Weapons development Weapons development fast enough to fast enough to

destabilize any arms destabilize any arms racerace

How… will MM affect us?How… will MM affect us?

Lifesaving medical Lifesaving medical robotsrobots

ANANDD

Untraceable weapons of Untraceable weapons of mass mass destructiondestruction

Networked computers Networked computers for everyone in the for everyone in the

worldworld

ANANDD

Networked cameras so Networked cameras so governments can watch governments can watch our every our every

movemove

Trillions of dollars of Trillions of dollars of abundanceabundance

ANANDD

A vicious scramble to A vicious scramble to own own

everythingeverything

Rapid invention of Rapid invention of wondrous productswondrous products

ANANDD

Weapons development Weapons development fast enough to fast enough to

destabilize any arms destabilize any arms racerace

How… will MM affect us?How… will MM affect us?

How…How…

What…What…

Where…Where…

When… When…

Who…Who…

Why…Why…

How…How…

What…What…

Where…Where…

When… When…

Who…Who…

Why…Why…

Why… is MM coming soon?Why… is MM coming soon?

Five leading drivers: Energy/Environment

Life Quality - Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals

Industrial Productivity- Info Tech & Manufacturing

Security/Surveillance/Privacy

Military/Geopolitics

Why… is MM coming soon?Why… is MM coming soon?

Energy/Environment Clean power Smaller footprint Remediation Nano-litter Planet-scale engineering Albedo change

Why… is MM coming soon?Why… is MM coming soon?

Life Quality Conquer diseases Increase healthspans Improve mental wellness Overpopulation Psychotropic drug abuse

Why… is MM coming soon?Why… is MM coming soon?

Industrial Productivity Supercomputing Low-cost manufacturing Rapid product improvement Economic disruption / social chaos Monopolies / black markets

Why… is MM coming soon?Why… is MM coming soon?

Security/Surveillance/Privacy Counterterrorism Crime fighting & prevention Intrusive surveillance Stolen intellectual property Identity theft

Why… is MM coming soon?Why… is MM coming soon?

Military/Geopolitics Nano arms race

- Easy to build

- Hard to monitor

- Easy to deliver

- Obsolete almost immediately

- Programmable and controllable

Rapidly shifting balance of power

How…How…

What…What…

Where…Where…

When… When…

Who…Who…

Why…Why…

How…How…

What…What…

Where…Where…

When… When…

Who…Who…

Why…Why…

Surveillance & Privacy

Information Technology

Ecological Remediation

Arms Control & Geopolitics

Sustainable Development

Who… should start preparing?Who… should start preparing?

All Stakeholders!

Social JusticeIntellectual

Property

Policing & Criminology

Business & Trade Medical Ethics &

Research

How…How…

What…What…

Where…Where…

When…When…Who…Who…

Why…Why…

How…How…

What…What…

Where…Where…

When…When…Who…Who…

Why…Why…

When… will MM be developed?When… will MM be developed?

When?When?

Brookhaven National Laboratory

National Renewable Energy Laboratory

Oak Ridge National Laboratory

Pacific Northwest National Laboratory

Idaho National Laboratory

Battelle – Foresight Roadmap Initiative

Technology Roadmap for Productive Nanosystems

We may know the answer soon…

CRN Policy and Implications Task Force

For Advanced Nanotechnology Study implications

Evaluate policy options Consider all stakeholders Seek integrated, comprehensive

solutions Publish recommendations Promote proposals with relevant

groups

Study implications Evaluate policy options Consider all stakeholders Seek integrated, comprehensive

solutions Publish recommendations Promote proposals with relevant

groups

Before molecular manufacturing starts working...

Before molecular manufacturing starts working...

Before molecular manufacturing starts working...

Before molecular manufacturing starts working...

WE ALL must start working

on wise solutions!

WE ALL must start working

on wise solutions!

For more information: For more information:

www.CRNano.org

Mike Treder — Executive Director Center for Responsible

Nanotechnology

mtreder@CRNano.org

www.CRNano.org

Mike Treder — Executive Director Center for Responsible

Nanotechnology

mtreder@CRNano.org