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CSLI Service Learning – Final Meeting, Spring 2012. Review the process Review the findings Analyze - Hypotheses. Review the process – 1. Evaluate the CSLI process Review – what exactly did CSLI do? Generated questionnaire Oriented students in intro meeting - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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CSLI Service Learning – Final Meeting, Spring 2012
Review the processReview the findings
Analyze - Hypotheses
Evaluate the CSLI process◦ Review – what exactly did CSLI do?
Generated questionnaire Oriented students in intro meeting
Reviewed questionnaire with students Reviewed nature of surveys/sampling
Trained students in telephone/marking instructions Conducted telephone interviews
Target at least 400 completions Accomplished – 440 completions
Issue and post on Web site – already available Expect coverage in major media –Capital
Review the process – 1
Questionnaire issues – initial contact ◦ Was the opening statement OK?◦ Hello, I’m a student calling from Anne Arundel Community College whose
Center for the Study of Local Issues is conducting a survey on issues affecting Anne Arundel County Residents. Would you please take a few minutes to complete this survey
◦ Suggestions?
Review the process -2
Questionnaire issues - questions- Did any specific questions give you more problems than
others? Clarity Public constantly asked for restatement Vagueness of what is being asked
◦ Did the respondents seem to think that the questions were generally interesting?
◦ Did the respondents think that the survey was too long or short?
◦ Other suggestions?
Review the process - 3
Public receptivity Were you surprised by how easy/hard it was to obtain a
completion? Problems with phone numbers? Idle chatter from respondents? Bias among interviewers? Partial completions? Other suggestions
Review the process - 4
County: Right or Wrong Direction? Spring ‘99 to Spring ‘12
Sp '99
Fa '99
Sp '00
Fa '00
Sp '01
Fa '01
Sp '02
Fa '02
Sp '03
Fa '03
Sp '04
Fa '04
Sp '05
Fa '05
Sp '06
Fa '06
Sp '07
Fa '07
Sp '08
Fa '08
Sp '09
Fa '09
Sp '10
Fa '10
Sp '11
Fa '11
Sp '12
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
5754
5855
6266
60 61 62
51
58 5853
57 5551 52 51 50 52
4752 52
49 5047
43
2327 25 24 23
15
2621
25
3431
2429 27 26
29 27
33 32 3128 27 28 28 28
32
41
20 19 1720
1519
1418
13 1512
19 18 16 18 20 2116 17 17
2521 20
23 22 22
16
Right Wrong Unsure
'06 '07 '07 '08 ‘08 '09 ‘09 ‘10 ‘10 ‘11 ‘11 12Fall Spring Fall Spring Fall Spring Fall Spring Fall Spring Fall Spring
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
7
12
8
23
38
48
33
36 36 35
48
30
9
1517
16
1210
1211
1311
9
17
21
16 16
12
9
5 5 5
24 4 4
16
12 12 1210
87
89
10
57
119
10
64
68
6 6 68
4
Economy Taxes – too high Growth EducationTransportationCrime / drugs
Most Important Problem Fall 2006 to Spring 2012Economy shows sharp drop as problem in March
2012
County – Economic Conditions vs. State and USA
Federal State County-5
5
15
25
35
45
55
5
27
46
11
30
48
11
31
44
11
32
45
11
35
49
9
33
48
13
38
51
S '09 S '09 S '09S '10 S '10 S '10S '11
General economic conditions – % saying ‘applies’
Facing
the p
ossibi
lity of
unem
ploym
ent
Signifi
cant lo
sses in
your
stock
or ret
iremen
t acco
unts
Facing
the p
ossibi
lity of
house
forec
losure
or lo
ss
Delay i
n mak
ing a m
ajor p
urcha
se suc
h as a
home o
r car
Health
care i
nsuran
ce is u
navai
lable,
too e
xpen
sive o
r inad
equat
e
Found
a new
or be
tter jo
b rece
ntly
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
116
35
15
71
4
3024
75
6
51
2924
70
8
46
33
19
56
7
47
32
21
60
7
44
34
20
52
9
47
35
21
60
8
51
32
1417
44
8
45
32
16S '08F '08S '09F '09S '10F '10S '11F '11S '12
% saying ‘applies’ sorted by Std. Deviation
Condition
Spring ‘08
Fall ‘08
Spring ‘09
Fall‘09
Spring ‘10
Fall‘10
Spring
‘ 11
Fall ‘11
Spring ’12
Sp ‘12-Fa
‘11Std. Dev.
Significant losses in your stock or retirement accounts n.a. 71 75 70 56 60 52 60 44 -16 9.84Hard to afford cost of transportation 40 32 21 17 21 24 41 30 36 6 8.31Hard to afford cost of utilities such as electricity or gas 61 50 53 42 44 43 46 39 39 0 6.80Received an income increase 26 35 9 4.50Facing the possibility of unemployment 11 15 24 24 19 21 20 21 17 -4 3.98Wages or salaries are not rising as fast as the cost of living 56 59 55 55 56 56 63 59 66 7 3.65Unable to find affordable housing 21 11 12 13 15 10 14 11 15 4 3.13Delay in making a major purchase such as a home or car n.a. n.a. 51 46 47 44 47 51 45 -6 2.55Hard to afford cost of taxes* 47 58 59 59 63 60 63 58 63 5 2.12Health care insurance is unavailable, too expensive or inadequate
35 30 29 33 32 34 35 32 32 0 1.95Facing the possibility of house foreclosure or loss 6 4 6 8 7 7 9 8 8 0 1.41Found a new or better job recently 14 16 2 1.00
Economic conditions: Found job, got income increase
County residents vs. AACC students
05
10152025303540
1426
1827
16
35
2328
County Students County Students
Fall 2011
Spring 2012
Consumer confidence: County vs. students
Economic growth Unemployment Inflation Your personal financial situation0
10
20
30
40
50
60
36 36
9
24
31
25
6
34
40
46
4244 44
14
27
55
1818
29
40
16
Better County Better Students Same County Same Students Worse County Worse Students
Support for Various Issues – Spring 2012
Proposal SupportPop/Students
Oppose Unsure No answer
Legalizing same-sex marriage 46/59 47/26 5/13 2/1Doubling the so-called ‘flush tax’ from $30 to $60 to help improve wastewater treatment 32/25 56/37 10/25 3/13Increasing state funding by $15 million for building affordable rental housing in Maryland 37/35 51/38 10/25 2/3The next two proposals would require the county to take funds from other agencies or raise taxes to cover the costs.
Shifting pension fund contributions for teachers from the state to the counties 22/25 63/29 12/42 3/4Strictly enforcing the requirement that local schools be funded at no less than last year’s levels 65/53 28/16 6/27 1/46% Increase in gasoline tax
21/11 74/66 5/30 0/0
Support for Gambling– Spring 2012
Agree Disagree Unsure No answer
Adding a location in Prince George’s County would increase state revenue significantly
47/51 44/19 7/30 1/0Adding table games would increase state revenue significantly
51/55 38/19 9/26 2/0Adding a site in Prince George’s County would reduce revenue at the Arundel Mills site and therefore reduce Anne Arundel County’s revenue
33/28 48/39 15/33 3/0Adding more sites or table games would lead to significantly more gambling addiction
49/53 43/21 7/25 2/2Expanding gambling by adding another site has more costs than benefits
42/27 43/37 11/35 4/2Expanding gambling by adding table games has more costs than benefits
34/21 48/40 13/37 5/3
Satisfaction with Various Government Agencies– Spring 2012
Level of satisfaction(very satisfied, somewhat satisfied…)
Have you had any direct contact
within two years
Very Somewhat Not very NA Yes No
Fire Department 87/75 8 1 3 42/28 58Police Department 67/42 21 8 4 45/52 55Public libraries 68/61 16 6 10 67/76 33Public schools 41/43 27 16 15 51/70 49Permit application center 18/34 19 20 44 29/4 71
Department of Aging and Disabilities
30/46 12 9 49 25/13 75
Department of Health 36/39 16 9 40 32/33 68 “No answers” removed below Permit application center 32 33 35 --
Department of Aging and Disabilities
59 23 17 --
Department of Health 59 26 14 --
Satisfaction with Various Government Agencies– Spring 2012
Very serious
Somewhat
serious
Not very
serious
Unsure/NA
Total
Pollution of the Bay hurting the maritime industry and water-oriented tourism 66/41 21 11 2 100Budget constraints limiting the ability of county government to provide services 43/57 28 19 10 100An over-dependency on government employment 43/37 27 22 9 101Air pollution causing illnesses 39/46 26 32 3 100Changes in the quality of county schools 39/57 26 19 16 100Rising sea levels threatening low lying areas with flooding
31/45 33 27 9 100
Presidential job approvalFall 2007 to Spring 2012
2007 2008 2008 2009 2009 2010 2010 2011 2011 2012Fall Spring Fall Spring Fall Spring Fall Spring Fall Spring
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
35
2824
53
47 47
42
47
37
42
3230
25
61
54
47 43 47
40
45
CSLI Gallup
Presidential Job Approval by Party Registration
Fall 2009 to Spring 2012
F '09 S '10 F '10 S '11 F '11 S '120
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
47 4742
47
3742
72 70
61
7067
73
17
24 2418
712
54 53
33
57
47
34
Overall Democrats Republicans Unaffiliated
Trust in Political Parties – Spring 2009 to Spring 2012
Spring Fall Spring Fall Spring Fall Spring2009 2010 2011 2012
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
42
37
33 34 34
31
37
3028
31
37
3230
34
20
27
31
21
29
32
21
Democrats Republicans Neither
Exercise: Develop Hypotheses1. Identify a dependent variable – attitude, preference
2. Identify an independent variable – a social/demographic characteristic
3. Specify a likely relationship between the two based on a “theory” or hunch
you have about people and attitudes
Test Hypotheses using SPSS1. Login2. Go to CSLI Web site: http://www2.aacc.edu/csli3. Double click on CSLI_Fall_2011_Data.sav4. Weight the dataset /data/weight cases/weight cases by Weight5. Cross-tabs - /Analyze/Descriptive Statistics/Crosstabs6. Find Income75– click once on it to select it then use arrow to place in
columns box7. Find ‘v4.2’ or ‘v4.3’ – click once to select it then use arrow to place in rows box 8. Click on “cells” and then click on Percentages “columns” then OK9. Click on “statistics” and then click on Nominal “Phi and Cramer’s V” OK10.Click on OK in main crosstabs dialog box11.Check results: Did a higher percentage of under $75k agree with “unemployment”
than those over $75k?” Were the results statistically significant – were the Phi and Cramer’s V values under the column “Approx. Sig” under .05?
12.If the answer is yes to both these questions, then it is possible that your hypothesis is correct – you have disproved the ‘null hypothesis” 13. Try it again with the “significant losses in stocks and retirement accounts” variable (v4.3)14. Continue with other hypotheses15. In the last 10 minutes, we will go around the room asking you to tell us your most interesting finding
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